Tuesday, October15, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Port Townsend, WA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:28AMSunset 6:23PM Tuesday October 15, 2019 3:54 AM PDT (10:54 UTC) Moonrise 6:39PMMoonset 8:10AM Illumination 97% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ134 Admiralty Inlet- 224 Am Pdt Tue Oct 15 2019
.small craft advisory in effect from noon pdt today through Wednesday afternoon...
Today..SE wind 10 to 20 kt rising to 15 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 to 4 ft.
Tonight..S wind 15 to 25 kt becoming se 20 to 30 kt after midnight. Wind waves 3 to 5 ft. A slight chance of rain in the evening then rain likely after midnight.
Wed..S wind 15 to 25 kt. Wind waves 2 to 4 ft. Rain.
Wed night..S wind 15 to 25 kt. Wind waves 2 to 4 ft.
Thu..S wind 15 to 25 kt. Wind waves 2 to 4 ft.
Thu night..S wind to 10 kt. Wind waves 1 ft or less.
Fri..S wind 5 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less.
Sat..Variable wind to 10 kt. Wind waves 1 ft or less.
PZZ100 224 Am Pdt Tue Oct 15 2019
Synopsis for the northern and central washington coastal and inland waters..A vigorous front will reach the coastal waters this afternoon and move through the inland waters tonight. Another strong front will arrive Wednesday followed by additional weather systems through the end of the week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Port Townsend city, WA
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location: 48.12, -122.72     debug


Area Discussion for - Seattle, WA
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Fxus66 ksew 150242
afdsew
area forecast discussion
national weather service seattle wa
742 pm pdt Mon oct 14 2019

Update this evening The calm before the storm this evening.

Forecast is on track and requires no updates at this time. Will
let overnight shift take a closer look at things for tomorrow.

Previous forecast discussion follows with updates to aviation and
marine sections. Ceo

Synopsis A weak upper level ridge will move eastward and exit
the area by this evening. A frontal system will then approach
western washington and move inland on Tuesday. Wet and unsettled
weather will then continue through the week and into the weekend
as a series of systems move through.

Short term today through Wednesday Current satellite imagery
as well as a look out the window shows the morning low clouds
have burned off revealing mostly sunny skies for most locations
over W wa this afternoon. The exception to the rule seems to be
along the shores of the central strait... Around port
angeles... Where some low clouds still linger. The good news is
that this patch is slowly thinning. Temperatures at the time of
this writing look to be mostly in the mid to upper 50s with
bellingham and seattle hitting 60. All in all... A nice fall day
and given the forecast... The last one for W wa for a stretch.

Models still on track for the upper level ridge to continue
moving eastward today with the ridge axis finally crossing the
cascade crest around midnight tonight. This will hinder the
advance of the incoming frontal system a little... With the front
reaching the coast in the late morning or around noon but models
continue to consistently show this front will have trouble making
its way inland. Most locations should see dry conditions for much
of the day Tuesday before the front finally starts moving eastward
late in the afternoon with the best chances for precip holding
off until Tuesday evening or Tuesday night... Depending on
location. Once the initial front works its way in Wednesday
morning it appears to begin to dissipate over the area. Under
normal circumstances... This would be encouraging unless you like
rain ... But a secondary front hot on its heels passes through
Wednesday afternoon and evening. This second front proves to hold
together much better and thus will keep rain in the forecast for
much of the day. This one two punch in terms of fronts looks to
also bring breezy to windy conditions to the area. While the
strongest winds are expected to be in the usual favored
spots... Along the coast and in the north interior... Some spots
along the sound will also see some breezes kick up. Models
continue to show wind speeds falling just short of any headline
criteria at this time... But will need to monitor as current
solutions are inching closer to said criteria.

High temperatures here in the short term look to remain mild
generally in the upper 50s to around 60. Overnight lows will see a
significant change though... Going from some brisk lower to mid
40s and some isolated locations dipping down into the upper 30s
tonight to upper 40s to lower 50s Tuesday night thanks to the
increased cloud cover as a moderating influence. Smr

Long term Thursday through Sunday Late Wednesday night and
into Thursday morning models suggest there may be some scattering
out of precip... The GFS indicating it a bit better than the
ecmwf... But both models agree that the next frontal system and
associated upper level trough follows so quickly that to even
suggest either a break or brief transition to showers would be
folly. Instead... Sufficed to say the wet and active conditions are
expected to continue throughout the extended as a veritable conga
line of systems make their way through W wa as upper level low
pressure holds court over the western canadian coast. This will
serve to lower daytime highs down into the lower to mid 50s for
lowland locations but overnight lows will remain stable in the mid
to upper 40s... With some valleys in the SW interior possibly
dipping down into the lower 40s. Smr

Aviation Westerly flow aloft this evening will shift to the
southwest on Tuesday as upper level ridge departs and system
approaches the coast. Air mass this evening is dry and stable with
relatively light surface winds. Mid and high level clouds will
continue to increase into Tuesday with rain appearing on the coast
during the late morning to afternoon hours and inland throughout
the evening.VFR conditions tonight will give way to MVFR (locally
ifr) CIGS Tuesday afternoon and evening as rain spreads inland.

Winds will also become breezy by the end of the TAF period.

Ksea...VFR conditions through the period. High clouds will
continue to thicken and lower into a mid level deck Tuesday.

Ceilings will lower further as rain develops Tuesday evening.

Light winds will increase Tuesday evening into Tuesday night as
secondary front approaches.

Marine A strong front will reach the coastal waters by Tuesday
afternoon and shift inland during the evening and overnight hours.

Current headlines remain in place (gale warning for coastal waters
and small craft for inland waters). Periods of blustery weather
will continue for the rest of the week as additional weather
systems move through the waters. Additional headlines will likely
be needed. Seas will also build along the coast to 15 to 20 foot
range for the latter half of the week. Ceo

Hydrology A series of wet systems moving through the area
Tuesday into the weekend will cause rivers to rise, but flooding
is unlikely over the next seven days.

Sew watches warnings advisories
Wa... None.

Pz... Gale warning from 6 am to 11 pm pdt Tuesday for coastal waters
from CAPE flattery to james island 10 to 60 nm-coastal
waters from CAPE flattery to james island out 10 nm-coastal
waters from james island to point grenville 10 to 60 nm-
coastal waters from james island to point grenville out 10
nm-coastal waters from point grenville to CAPE shoalwater
10 to 60 nm-coastal waters from point grenville to cape
shoalwater out 10 nm.

Small craft advisory from noon Tuesday to 5 am pdt Wednesday for
admiralty inlet-east entrance u.S. Waters strait of juan de
fuca-northern inland waters including the san juan islands-
puget sound and hood canal.



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PTWW1 - 9444900 - Port Townsend, WA 2 mi54 min SSW 1.9 G 2.9 48°F 51°F1016.1 hPa (-1.3)
SISW1 - Smith Island, WA 15 mi64 min ESE 4.1 G 5.1 49°F 1015.6 hPa (-1.3)46°F
46125 16 mi37 min 3.9 48°F 1015.2 hPa46°F
PBFW1 - Padilla Bay Reserve, WA 27 mi84 min W 1.9 45°F 1016 hPa42°F
46088 - New Dungeness, WA (Hein Bank) 28 mi34 min ENE 3.9 G 5.8 49°F 51°F1015.4 hPa48°F
46120 30 mi37 min 50°F 1014.7 hPa48°F
FRDW1 - 9449880 - Friday Harbor, WA 33 mi78 min 51°F1015.7 hPa
WPOW1 - West Point, WA 35 mi54 min ENE 1 G 1.9 49°F 1015.9 hPa (-1.1)49°F
PTAW1 - 9444090 - Port Angeles, WA 38 mi78 min SSW 2.9 G 4.1 45°F 50°F1015.6 hPa
46118 42 mi59 min 46°F 1015.1 hPa46°F

Wind History for Port Townsend, WA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Whidbey Island Naval Air Station - Ault Field, WA17 mi58 minESE 54.00 miFog/Mist48°F43°F83%1016.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNUW

Wind History from NUW (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE3SE5SE6E5E6E4E4E5SE43NW7N8NW7NW6W5SW5CalmCalmSE3CalmCalmSE3SE4E5
1 day agoW4CalmW4CalmCalmCalmCalmW5NW6NW4NW5NW3NW6NW4CalmSE3SE4SE4SE4SE4SE3SE4E6SE6
2 days agoSE4E4CalmS3SE3CalmCalmE6W7NW5NW4N53CalmN3W7NW3W4N3NW4NE3CalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Point Hudson, Washington
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Point Hudson
Click for Map
Tue -- 06:22 AM PDT     7.50 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:30 AM PDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:11 AM PDT     Moonset
Tue -- 11:31 AM PDT     3.90 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:24 PM PDT     7.67 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:22 PM PDT     Sunset
Tue -- 07:38 PM PDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 11:48 PM PDT     -0.07 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.71.62.94.35.76.87.47.46.65.64.6444.55.36.27.17.67.56.75.23.21.40.2

Tide / Current Tables for Point Hudson, 0.5 mile E of, Washington Current
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Point Hudson
Click for MapFlood direction 115 true
Ebb direction 10 true

Tue -- 01:37 AM PDT     1.62 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 04:26 AM PDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 07:30 AM PDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:55 AM PDT     -0.45 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 09:10 AM PDT     Moonset
Tue -- 10:25 AM PDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 01:30 PM PDT     0.99 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 03:38 PM PDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 06:22 PM PDT     Sunset
Tue -- 07:38 PM PDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 07:49 PM PDT     -0.62 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 10:33 PM PDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.21.61.61.20.4-0.1-0.3-0.4-0.5-0.3-0.10.30.710.90.5-0.1-0.3-0.5-0.6-0.6-0.5-0.20.3

Weather Map
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wmap_P
GEOS Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Seattle, WA (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Seattle/Tacoma, WA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.