Thursday, July2, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
North Marysville, WA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:12AMSunset 9:13PM Thursday July 2, 2020 3:20 AM PDT (10:20 UTC) Moonrise 5:59PMMoonset 2:08AM Illumination 89% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 12 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ134 Admiralty Inlet- 245 Am Pdt Thu Jul 2 2020
Today..SE wind to 10 kt becoming variable 5 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. A slight chance of rain in the afternoon.
Tonight..NW wind to 10 kt in the evening becoming light. Wind waves 1 ft or less. A slight chance of rain in the evening then a chance of rain after midnight.
Fri..Light wind. Wind waves less than 1 ft. A slight chance of rain.
Fri night..NW wind to 10 kt in the evening becoming light. Wind waves 1 ft or less.
Sat..Light wind becoming nw to 10 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 1 ft or less.
Sat night..NW wind to 10 kt in the evening becoming light. Wind waves 1 ft or less.
Sun..Light wind becoming nw to 10 kt. Wind waves 1 ft or less.
Mon..Light wind becoming nw to 10 kt. Wind waves 1 ft or less.
PZZ100 245 Am Pdt Thu Jul 2 2020
Synopsis for the northern and central washington coastal and inland waters..Stronger onshore flow will gradually decrease through Thursday morning. Onshore flow will remain lighter the next few days as high pressure offshore weakens and a low pressure system moves down into the coastal waters from the north.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near North Marysville, WA
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location: 48.13, -122.23     debug


Area Discussion for - Seattle, WA
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FXUS66 KSEW 020947 AFDSEW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Seattle WA 247 AM PDT Thu Jul 2 2020

SYNOPSIS. Showers and abundant clouds will continue today. Drier and warmer weather expected for later Friday into the weekend before additional systems bring a chance for showers and cooler weather next week.

SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. Area will be sandwiched today between departing upper level low to the east and our next upper level low currently off the northern tip of Vancouver Island. As a result, onshore flow will weaken just a bit today with showers gradually becoming confined to the Olympic Peninsula and northern interior by the afternoon. Cloud cover will continue though. Temperatures will be similar to Wednesday, perhaps a degree or two warmer especially across southwest interior.

Aforementioned low will then drop SE toward the area and then into southern BC Friday. This should bring another shot at showers to the area, but with weaker forcing, expect coverage to be more limited to areas north of Seattle. Further to the south, drying trend will begin with the chance for a few peeks of sunshine by late afternoon or evening.

Deterministic and ensemble solutions in good agreement for the weekend pattern in wake of Friday's low. Longwave troughing will shift off to the east on Saturday with flow becoming more zonal. This should lead to dry weather across the area for the holiday and at least partial sunshine by the afternoon. Still some spread across ensemble guidance with regards to afternoon highs so have continued to utilize the NBM which seems to be a good middle ground. Several degrees of warming expected with July 4th afternoon highs topping out in the 70s across the interior lowlands.

CEO

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. Zonal flow continues into Sunday with another dry day on tap. Models have slowed the arrival of the next trough so have dried out previous forecast to better align with guidance trends. Sunday temperatures will be similar to Saturday, near or slightly above seasonal normals. Next upper level low and associated trough approach the area sometime Monday into Tuesday. Still some differences in track of this system among model guidance, but overall looks like minimal chances for showers along with cooler temperatures into mid-week.

CEO

AVIATION. Northwesterly flow aloft will become more westerly and southwesterly today as an upper level low sinks southward over Western Washington. Onshore flow in the low levels will gradually decrease today, however conditions will likely remain breezy for Puget Sound terminals at times through early this evening. Current conditions are mostly MVFR across the region, with a few terminals still remaining VFR at this hour. Expect ceilings to continue to lower to MVFR area-wide early this morning. Drizzle and light showers will be around the region again this morning, so could see some ceilings and visibilities drop down to IFR temporarily at times. Expect ceilings to lift to VFR again by this afternoon. Winds will primarily be from the southwest at 8-12 knots with some gusts to 20 possible through the day.

KSEA . MVFR cigs observed at the terminal early this morning. A drop to IFR in the morning is possible at times in areas of drizzle. Winds will be south/southwesterly at 8-12 knots, with some gusts to 16-20 knots possible at times. SB

MARINE. Stronger onshore flow will gradually decrease this morning, with small craft advisories remaining in effect for portions of the area waters through the early morning hours. Onshore flow will continue through the week, however will be lighter the next few days as surface high pressure offshore weakens and a low pressure system moves down into the coastal waters from the north. Westerly pushes down the Strait of Juan de Fuca will occur nightly and will likely yield additional marine headlines by the weekend.

Seas 8 to 10 feet offshore will gradually subside to 5 to 7 feet by late tonight. A west-northwesterly swell will persist the next few days, before a longer period southwesterly swell arrives in the region late in the weekend. SB

HYDROLOGY. The daily hydrology discussion has ended until the start of the next rainy season; it will only be updated as needed until then.

SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. WA . None. PZ . Small Craft Advisory until 5 AM PDT early this morning for Coastal Waters From Cape Flattery To James Island 10 To 60 Nm-Coastal Waters From James Island To Point Grenville 10 To 60 Nm-Coastal Waters From Point Grenville To Cape Shoalwater 10 To 60 Nm.

Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM PDT this morning for Central U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca-East Entrance U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca-Northern Inland Waters Including The San Juan Islands.



www.weather.gov/seattle


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
46125 26 mi27 min 53°F 1012.7 hPa51°F
PBFW1 - Padilla Bay Reserve, WA 26 mi50 min SSW 5.1 53°F 1013 hPa53°F
46120 27 mi29 min S 7.8 56°F 1012.4 hPa51°F
PTWW1 - 9444900 - Port Townsend, WA 28 mi50 min WSW 5.1 G 8.9 53°F
SISW1 - Smith Island, WA 34 mi30 min W 16 G 21 54°F 1013.4 hPa48°F
WPOW1 - West Point, WA 34 mi80 min S 17 G 18 56°F 1013.6 hPa (+0.3)53°F

Wind History for Port Townsend, WA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Arlington Municipal Airport, WA4 mi24 minS 410.00 miOvercast54°F52°F93%1014.3 hPa
Everett Snohomish County, WA15 mi27 minS 1010.00 miOvercast55°F50°F83%1013.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KAWO

Wind History from AWO (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS4SE6SE7SE6SE9SE8SE9SE10SE10SE7SE9SE9SE5SE4CalmSE4SE6SE9SW4W3CalmCalmSE6S4
1 day agoNW3CalmNW5NW4N4NW4NW3NW3S11
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S8SW8S53--SW4S7S5S4S3NW7CalmSW4CalmSE3
2 days agoCalmCalmN3S9S9S9S9S7S9S9S8
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Tide / Current Tables for Tulalip, Washington
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Tulalip
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:08 AM PDT     11.34 feet High Tide
Thu -- 03:08 AM PDT     Moonset
Thu -- 05:14 AM PDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:34 AM PDT     -1.72 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:57 PM PDT     10.35 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:59 PM PDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 09:11 PM PDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:44 PM PDT     6.53 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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9.410.711.3119.77.652.2-0.1-1.5-1.6-0.51.64.26.78.81010.39.98.97.66.76.67.1

Tide / Current Tables for Port Gamble Bay, Washington Current
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Port Gamble Bay
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:15 AM PDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 03:10 AM PDT     Moonset
Thu -- 05:15 AM PDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 06:21 AM PDT     -1.17 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 09:24 AM PDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 12:55 PM PDT     1.65 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 05:06 PM PDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 07:00 PM PDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 07:35 PM PDT     -0.54 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 09:12 PM PDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:56 PM PDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.60.40.1-0.3-0.6-1-1.2-1.1-0.8-0.20.51.11.51.61.51.10.60.1-0.3-0.5-0.5-0.300.4

Weather Map
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wmap_P
GEOS Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Seattle, WA (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Seattle/Tacoma, WA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.