Sunday, January26, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Oak Harbor, WA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:44AMSunset 5:01PM Sunday January 26, 2020 3:13 AM PST (11:13 UTC) Moonrise 9:07AMMoonset 6:57PM Illumination 2% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 1 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ134 Admiralty Inlet- 256 Am Pst Sun Jan 26 2020
.gale warning in effect from 6 am this morning to noon pst today...
.small craft advisory in effect from noon pst today through Monday afternoon...
Today..S wind 25 to 35 kt easing to 15 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 4 to 6 ft subsiding to 2 to 4 ft in the afternoon. A chance of rain in the morning then a chance of showers in the afternoon.
Tonight..S wind 15 to 25 kt. Wind waves 2 to 4 ft. A chance of showers.
Mon..S wind 5 to 15 kt becoming se 15 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less building to 2 to 4 ft in the afternoon. Showers likely in the morning then a chance of rain in the afternoon.
Mon night..SE wind 15 to 25 kt becoming S 5 to 15 kt after midnight. Wind waves 2 to 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft or less after midnight.
Tue..S wind 10 to 20 kt in the morning becoming light. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft in the morning becoming less than 1 ft.
Tue night..S wind 5 to 15 kt rising to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft.
Wed..SE wind 20 to 30 kt becoming S 5 to 15 kt. Wind waves 3 to 5 ft subsiding to 2 ft or less.
Thu..SE wind to 10 kt. Wind waves 1 ft or less.
PZZ100 256 Am Pst Sun Jan 26 2020
Synopsis for the northern and central washington coastal and inland waters..A 995 mb low will move into vancouver island this morning. The associated front will cross the waters early this morning. Another system will arrive tonight with the active weather pattern continuing through much of week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Oak Harbor, WA
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location: 48.25, -122.5     debug


Area Discussion for - Seattle, WA
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FXUS66 KSEW 260558 AFDSEW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Seattle WA 958 PM PST Sat Jan 25 2020

SYNOPSIS. A front will move through Western Washington tonight. The associated low pressure center will bring windy weather to the coast and north part of the area later tonight and Sunday morning. A trough will move through the area Sunday evening. A parade of additional weather systems will affect the region through next week.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/. The leading edge of the rain shield associated with the approaching frontal system is lifting north of the Columbia River and into the southern portions of Western Washington this evening. Offshore flow at the surface continues, but winds will begin to veer and become southeasterly this evening and into tonight as the low pressure center continues to deepen a little and move north toward Vancouver Island. As the cold front approaches, expect winds to increase across the region. This will be most notable along the coast and across the northern portions of the forecast area, where Wind Advisories have been issued.

Showers likely linger over the mountains (in the form of snow as snow levels lower to near or below the Cascade passes by late Sunday morning) but gradually end over the lowlands through the day on Sunday. Some areas may see a short break in the rain and possibly even some breaks in the clouds, too. As has been the case recently, though, this will be short-lived with the next system quickly following. Expect more widespread rain to return from west to east late Sunday afternoon and evening. The pattern remains progressive with another round of lowland rain and mountain snow arriving both Monday afternoon and night. Perhaps another brief break in the rain around Tuesday with guidance suggesting only some lingering occasional showers in the lowlands by Tuesday afternoon, but this too doesn't last too long before the next system approaches. Cullen

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/ . A frontal system on Wednesday--perhaps timed for Wednesday afternoon and night--looks fairly progressive but a little bit warmer. Upper heights rise a bit through Thursday--and Thursday might see a break in the precip. Friday and Saturday are likely to be wet and mild--the atmospheric river pattern. That might mean a more significant round of river flooding is possible around the end of next week.

AVIATION . Strong south or southwesterly aloft tonight and will become strong as a strong frontal system approaches the region from the southwest. Variable high cloud deck remains at least scattered to broken across much of the region, with low-level offshore flow maintaining VFR conditions across much of the region. Expect a return of MVFR ceilings across the southern tier of the forecast area by 07z with the leading edge of rain, lifting north through the night. Low-level wind shear will be a concern generally between 09z and 13z for the Seattle metro area terminals as south winds near 2000 feet strengthen to 40-45 kt with weaker surface winds. Conditions may gradually trend to high MVFR or possibly VFR by Sunday afternoon with some lingering showers.

KSEA . VFR conditions this evening with light surface winds. Expect lowering to MVFR ceilings as leading edge of rain band approaches closer to 09z. LLWS remains a potential concern generally 10z-13z with strong south flow at 2000 ft. Surface winds light this evening, veering southerly and increasing to 15 kt around 16z Sunday ahead of frontal passage. Cullen

MARINE . A strong front associated with a 995 mb low moving into Vancouver Island Sunday morning will reach Western Washington late tonight into Sunday morning. Gale force winds are likely for the coastal waters as well as the Northern Inland waters, East Entrance to the Strait and Admiralty Inlet Sunday morning easing to small craft in the afternoon. Small craft advisory winds over the remainder of the waters late Saturday night into Sunday. Another strong system will move through the area Sunday evening. Active weather pattern continuing next week with a significant system possible Monday night or Tuesday.

HYDROLOGY . Although there are several weather systems that will move through Western Washington through midweek the pattern is fairly progressive with period of rain turning to scattered showers periodically. The river forecasts do not look too bad at all through the middle of the week. Naturally the Skokomish river will remain high, probably remaining above flood stage most of the time. But it might not be til late in the week that a more general river flood event becomes possible--the 12z GFS and ECMWF both had a rather wet scenario Fri/Sat so that bears watching.

SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. WA . Wind Advisory from 3 AM to 11 AM PST Sunday for Admiralty Inlet Area-Central Coast-North Coast-San Juan County-Western Skagit County-Western Whatcom County.

PZ . Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM PST Sunday for Grays Harbor Bar.

Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM PST Sunday for Coastal Waters From Cape Flattery To James Island 10 To 60 Nm-Coastal Waters From Cape Flattery To James Island Out 10 Nm-Coastal Waters From James Island To Point Grenville 10 To 60 Nm- Coastal Waters From James Island To Point Grenville Out 10 Nm-Coastal Waters From Point Grenville To Cape Shoalwater 10 To 60 Nm-Coastal Waters From Point Grenville To Cape Shoalwater Out 10 Nm.

Gale Warning from 1 AM to noon PST Sunday for Coastal Waters From Cape Flattery To James Island 10 To 60 Nm-Coastal Waters From Cape Flattery To James Island Out 10 Nm-Coastal Waters From James Island To Point Grenville 10 To 60 Nm- Coastal Waters From James Island To Point Grenville Out 10 Nm-Coastal Waters From Point Grenville To Cape Shoalwater 10 To 60 Nm-Coastal Waters From Point Grenville To Cape Shoalwater Out 10 Nm.

Gale Warning from 6 AM to noon PST Sunday for Admiralty Inlet- East Entrance U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca-Northern Inland Waters Including The San Juan Islands.

Small Craft Advisory from 1 AM to 6 PM PST Sunday for Central U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca-West Entrance U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca.

Small Craft Advisory from 6 AM to 6 PM PST Sunday for Puget Sound and Hood Canal.



www.weather.gov/seattle


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PBFW1 - Padilla Bay Reserve, WA 15 mi104 min ESE 8 48°F 1007 hPa41°F
SISW1 - Smith Island, WA 18 mi34 min ESE 16 G 20 47°F 1006.7 hPa41°F
46118 33 mi79 min W 3.9 41°F 1006.2 hPa41°F
FRDW1 - 9449880 - Friday Harbor, WA 34 mi98 min E 6 G 8 47°F 47°F1006.7 hPa
46088 - New Dungeness, WA (Hein Bank) 36 mi44 min ESE 23 G 29 48°F 46°F1005.7 hPa43°F
WPOW1 - West Point, WA 41 mi74 min W 2.9 G 4.1 45°F 1007.3 hPa (-2.9)45°F
CPMW1 44 mi62 min ENE 17 G 20 48°F
CHYW1 - 9449424 - Cherry Point, WA 45 mi62 min 1006.3 hPa
CPNW1 45 mi122 min 46°F

Wind History for Port Townsend, WA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Whidbey Island Naval Air Station - Ault Field, WA11 mi78 minE 910.00 miOvercast48°F39°F74%1007.8 hPa
Burlington/Mount Vernon, Skagit Regional Airport, WA16 mi79 minENE 910.00 miOvercast48°F39°F71%1007.1 hPa
Arlington Municipal Airport, WA18 mi78 minESE 310.00 miLight Rain43°F42°F97%1008 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNUW

Wind History from NUW (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE11SE10E12E11E9E5E4SE4SE15SE9S4CalmE5E6E7E7E7E9E6SE6E8E12E9SE9
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S15S9S8S8S5CalmCalmSE4E4E8E10SE6SE9E9E9E13E12
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Tide / Current Tables for Stanwood, Washington
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Stanwood
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:38 AM PST     -0.32 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:14 AM PST     7.71 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:45 AM PST     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:05 AM PST     Moonrise
Sun -- 02:32 PM PST     1.91 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:58 PM PST     Sunset
Sun -- 05:26 PM PST     6.22 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:57 PM PST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.4-0.2-0.20.92.95.26.97.77.66.95.94.63.42.522.2466.25.85.24.33.22.1

Tide / Current Tables for Mutiny Bay, 3.3 miles SE of, Washington Current
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Mutiny Bay
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:24 AM PST     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 01:25 AM PST     1.67 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 07:00 AM PST     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 07:38 AM PST     -0.89 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 07:46 AM PST     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:06 AM PST     Moonrise
Sun -- 01:15 PM PST     0.38 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 01:45 PM PST     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 05:00 PM PST     Sunset
Sun -- 05:04 PM PST     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 06:58 PM PST     -1.26 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 06:58 PM PST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.11.31.61.51.20.90.4-0-0.9-0.7-0.4-0.10.20.40.20.60.60.1-0.8-1.3-1.2-1.1-0.9-0.6

Weather Map
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wmap_P
GEOS Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Seattle, WA (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Seattle/Tacoma, WA
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.