Wednesday, July15, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
La Conner, WA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:22AMSunset 9:07PM Wednesday July 15, 2020 2:43 AM PDT (09:43 UTC) Moonrise 12:41AMMoonset 3:34PM Illumination 25% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 25 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ133 Northern Inland Waters Including The San Juan Islands- 1141 Pm Pdt Tue Jul 14 2020
Tonight..S wind 10 to 20 kt. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft.
Wed..SW wind 5 to 15 kt easing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less.
Wed night..S wind 10 to 20 kt rising to 15 to 25 kt after midnight. Wind waves 2 to 4 ft.
Thu..S wind 10 to 20 kt becoming 5 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft.
Thu night..SW wind 10 to 20 kt becoming 5 to 15 kt after midnight. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft.
Fri..SW wind 5 to 15 kt becoming to 10 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less.
Fri night..SW wind to 10 kt. Wind waves 1 ft or less.
Sat..Light wind becoming W to 10 kt. Wind waves 1 ft or less.
Sun..W wind to 10 kt. Wind waves 1 ft or less.
PZZ100 1141 Pm Pdt Tue Jul 14 2020
Synopsis for the northern and central washington coastal and inland waters..High pressure remains well offshore through the week with thermal low pressure to the south along the oregon coast, maintaining northerly winds over the coastal waters. A weak disturbance may clip the far northern waters late in the week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near La Conner town, WA
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location: 48.39, -122.5     debug


Area Discussion for - Seattle, WA
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FXUS66 KSEW 150327 AFDSEW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Seattle WA 827 PM PDT Tue Jul 14 2020

UPDATE. Mostly clear skies across Western Washington this evening with a few high clouds. Clear conditions for most tonight with stratus along the coast and through the Strait of Juan de Fuca. Dry and warm into the 70s to low 80s on Wednesday as the upper ridge moves over the area.

SYNOPSIS. Dry and warm weather will continue through mid-week with the warmest afternoon expected on Wednesday. A weak frontal system will pass across the area on Thursday bringing showers to the area through Friday. Then, the development of a blocking pattern over the Pacific this weekend will allow for the return to dry and warm conditions across the area through at least the middle of next week.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/. A synoptic scale analysis of the weather pattern this afternoon shows continued NW flow aloft across the Pacific Northwest as a large anticyclone remains centered over the North Pacific and two notable areas of low pressure reside across SE Alaska and Northern Saskatchewan/Manitoba, respectively. At the surface, high pressure reflection the upper level anticyclone remains anchored across the North Pacific, with ridge influence extending eastward into Western Washington, with a thermally induced area of low pressure over eastern Washington.

As was the case yesterday, the synoptic analysis provided above sums up the clear skies and warm temps that we are experiencing today. Pacific high pressure has nosed a touch more into the area compared to this time yesterday, providing a bit more subsidence aloft. This has yielded generally sunny skies with temperatures running a few degrees warmer than Monday afternoon. IR satellite (and a glimpse out the window) suggests a few high level clouds spilling across the region overtop of the ridge, associated with a few active shortwaves across both the Pacific and BC. Mostly clear skies will continue through the afternoon and evening.

Onshore flow will continue overnight tonight as sfc high pressure remains centered over the Pacific and lower pressure resides inland. This will allow marine stratus to redevelop along the Coast and also push down the Strait of Juan de Fuca and into portions of Northern Puget Sound. Some of this stratus may be able to push a touch inland in the vicinity of these bodies of water. Stratus will then retreat back to the immediate Coast by late morning and thin along the Strait. The upper level ridge will also begin to dampen and lose influence across the Pacific Northwest on Wednesday as a shortwave trough barrels through the stronger belt of westerly flow just south of the Gulf of Alaska, enroute towards the local area. This system will be carrying a sfc front with it, which is set to pass through the local area on Thursday. Before its arrival, the warmest temps of the week are expected on Wednesday, with highs into the low 80s across most lowlands (near 70 by water) and another mostly sunny day.

As just mentioned, a shortwave trough will move across the local area on Thursday, carrying with it a sfc frontal system. There does not appear to be much deep layer moisture associated with the front as it moves into the area, but showers will be likely through the day, especially across the northern half of the area. The passage of the shortwave will then yield a lingering trough and keep for slightly unsettled conditions on Friday. Showers will be possible through the day, especially across the Cascades with conditions gradually drying out through the evening and overnight period.

Kovacik

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. The synoptic pattern to begin the long term will feature some residual troughing across the Pacific Northwest, with a ridge of high pressure beginning to strengthen and build north across North Pacific. This will help push the storm track a bit further north and also aid in the beginning stages of the development of a Rex Block as low pressure deepens to the anticylone's south. With high pressure continuing to dominate in the lower levels, it is shaping up to be a nice weekend across western Washington, with high temps rebounding back towards or into the low 80 in the lowlands by Sunday. The Rex Block will remain anchored across the Pacific into early next week, essentially locking this pattern into place, with a slight retrogression westward noted towards mid-week. This pattern will keep us dry and warm. Will need to keep an eye on fire weather conditions next week given that almost week's worth of dry and warm weather will allow fuels the opportunity to quickly dry out.

Kovacik

AVIATION. Northwesterly flow aloft through Wednesday with an upper ridge over the area. VFR cigs through Wednesday for most with IFR along the coast tonight into Wednesday morning. North to northeast winds through Wednesday 4 to 8 knots.

KSEA . VFR cigs. North winds this evening with northeast winds tonight. North-northwest winds 4 to 8 knots for Wednesday. JD

MARINE. Onshore flow at times through this week with increasing onshore flow most evenings. Small Craft Advisory tonight for most of the coastal waters for northwesterly winds. SCA winds for the central and eastern portions of the Strait of Juan de Fuca tonight with a westerly push. Increasing onshore flow Wednesday night and Thursday night for stronger winds through the Strait of Juan de Fuca. Seas 3 to 6 ft through this week with a system moving through Thursday into Friday. JD

HYDROLOGY. The daily hydrology discussion has ended until the start of the next rainy season; it will only be updated as needed until then.

SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. WA . None. PZ . Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM PDT Wednesday for Coastal Waters From James Island To Point Grenville 10 To 60 Nm-Coastal Waters From James Island To Point Grenville Out 10 Nm- Coastal Waters From Point Grenville To Cape Shoalwater 10 To 60 Nm-Coastal Waters From Point Grenville To Cape Shoalwater Out 10 Nm.

Small Craft Advisory until 5 AM PDT Wednesday for Central U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca-East Entrance U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca.



www.weather.gov/seattle


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PBFW1 - Padilla Bay Reserve, WA 5 mi74 min S 2.9 53°F 1020 hPa51°F
SISW1 - Smith Island, WA 18 mi34 min SW 7 G 8 54°F 1020.4 hPa49°F
46118 23 mi49 min 58°F 1018.7 hPa58°F
PTWW1 - 9444900 - Port Townsend, WA 24 mi74 min 53°F
FRDW1 - 9449880 - Friday Harbor, WA 29 mi188 min 54°F
46125 34 mi42 min 56°F 1019.8 hPa51°F
CHYW1 - 9449424 - Cherry Point, WA 35 mi194 min 1019.9 hPa
46088 - New Dungeness, WA (Hein Bank) 36 mi44 min W 18 G 23 56°F 1019.9 hPa52°F
46120 44 mi43 min Calm 58°F 1019.4 hPa48°F

Wind History for Port Townsend, WA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Burlington/Mount Vernon, Skagit Regional Airport, WA7 mi49 minSSE 410.00 miFair55°F51°F88%1020.7 hPa
Whidbey Island Naval Air Station - Ault Field, WA8 mi48 minS 510.00 miA Few Clouds55°F48°F80%1021.4 hPa
Arlington Municipal Airport, WA23 mi48 minNW 310.00 miFair55°F46°F72%1021.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBVS

Wind History from BVS (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW5NW7NW7NW7NW9NW7W643S5S3SE5S4S5SE4
1 day agoSE3E3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW4NW7NW9NW10W9NW9NW6W8W8W5SW4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoS44S3CalmCalmCalmCalmSW8S86
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Tide / Current Tables for La Conner, Washington
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La Conner
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:05 AM PDT     9.27 feet High Tide
Wed -- 01:40 AM PDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 05:25 AM PDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:49 AM PDT     1.20 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 03:54 PM PDT     7.84 feet High Tide
Wed -- 04:33 PM PDT     Moonset
Wed -- 08:32 PM PDT     6.44 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 09:06 PM PDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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8.99.398.275.53.82.31.41.21.72.84.35.877.67.87.77.36.86.56.56.97.6

Tide / Current Tables for Deception Pass, Washington Current
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Deception Pass
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:41 AM PDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 02:43 AM PDT     -6.50 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 05:25 AM PDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:27 AM PDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 09:20 AM PDT     5.00 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 01:03 PM PDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 03:21 PM PDT     -5.26 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 04:34 PM PDT     Moonset
Wed -- 06:48 PM PDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 09:06 PM PDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:26 PM PDT     4.12 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-3.1-5.1-6.3-6.5-5.9-4.8-32.24.14.94.84.230.5-4.2-5.2-5.1-4.3-3.20.93443

Weather Map
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wmap_P
GEOS Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Seattle, WA (5,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Seattle/Tacoma, WA
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.