Bay View, WA Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Bay View, WA


December 3, 2023 2:17 AM PST (10:17 UTC)
Sunrise 7:41AM   Sunset 4:18PM   Moonrise  10:29PM   Moonset 12:40PM 

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION. Privacy and Cookie policy

Marine Forecasts
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PZZ133 Northern Inland Waters Including The San Juan Islands- 232 Pm Pst Sat Dec 2 2023
.small craft advisory in effect through Sunday afternoon...
Tonight..S wind 10 to 20 kt becoming se 15 to 25 kt after midnight. Wind waves 2 to 4 ft. A chance of rain in the evening then rain likely after midnight.
Sun..S wind 20 to 30 kt. Wind waves 3 to 5 ft. Rain.
Sun night..SW wind 5 to 15 kt becoming se after midnight. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft. Rain.
Mon..E wind 5 to 15 kt rising to 15 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less building to 2 to 4 ft in the afternoon.
Mon night..SE wind 20 to 30 kt rising to 25 to 35 kt after midnight. Wind waves 4 to 6 ft.
Tue..S wind 15 to 25 kt becoming se 5 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 3 to 5 ft subsiding to 1 ft or less in the afternoon.
Tue night..SE wind to 10 kt. Wind waves 1 ft or less.
Wed..S wind to 10 kt. Wind waves 1 ft or less.
Thu..E wind to 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less.

PZZ100 232 Pm Pst Sat Dec 2 2023
Synopsis for the northern and central washington coastal and inland waters..A series of frontal systems will make their way across the waters through Tuesday. Windy conditions are expected across all waters at times into next week. Seas will remain above 10 feet into next week and could approach 20 feet Tuesday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bay View, WA
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Area Discussion for - Seattle, WA
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FXUS66 KSEW 030428 AFDSEW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Seattle WA 824 PM PST Sat Dec 2 2023

SYNOPSIS
Scattered showers will gradually taper off overnight for a brief lull in activity. A series of weather systems will impact the region over the next week, bringing heavy precipitation and an increased risk of river flooding across western Washington. Another brief break in the active weather will be possible late week, before yet another system approaches the region over the weekend.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/
Latest radar continues to show some scattered activity, but overall the trend in precip is certainly down from earlier. Remnants of a Puget Sound Convergence Zone that had been keeping some decent snowfall rates over the central Cascades of Snohomish and King counties remain, but not producing nearly the precip it had been earlier in the evening.
Should this downward trend persist, might be safe to wrap up current Winter Storm Warning there, following cancellations for the northern and southern Cascades earlier in the evening. Also worth noting, as snow levels continue to rise during the overnight and through the day Sunday, rain falling on already present snow in the southern two- thirds of the Cascades will result in heightened avalanche danger.
That said, in partnership with NWAC, an Avalanche Warning remains in place through 6 PM PST Sunday.

Remainder of forecast remains on track. For additional forecast details, please refer to the Previous Discussion section below. 18

From Previous Discussion...Latest radar shows scattered shower activity continuing across western Washington this afternoon, with the heaviest band of precipitation currently located along US-2. A Winter Storm Warning remains in effect for the Cascades as a few bands of heavier precipitation may still drop a couple inches of snow through the evening hours. Meanwhile, the Winter Storm Warning for the Olympics has been cancelled this afternoon with only light additional accumulations expected through this evening. Overall, hi- res guidance has showers gradually tapering areawide through this evening for a brief lull in the weather tonight.

The first of 2 atmospheric river systems will move through the region on Sunday, bringing warmer conditions and widespread rain to western Washington. Snow levels are expected to rapidly rise to around 6000-7000 feet by late morning and will bring moderate to heavy rain at times. Even though the majority of the moisture transport will be to the south, there will still be heightened hydrological impacts with rain on top of fresh snow (in the mountains) which will result in enhanced flows and sharp rises on local area rivers. See the hydrology section below for more details. The burn scar landslide/debris flow threat will increase on Sunday as well and the Northwest Avalanche Center continues to highlight the threat for very dangerous avalanche conditions developing.

Rain will linger into Monday, before a stronger, wetter atmospheric river moves into western Washington Monday afternoon into Tuesday.
With snow levels generally hovering between 7000-9000 feet, expect this system to bring another round of widespread rainfall to the area and for it to be moderate to heavy at times. This may lead to minor nuisance flooding of poor drainage areas and could create difficult commute conditions at times. The forecast, however, will remain sensitive to slight changes in QPF, so it will be important to closely monitor the trends over the next few days. Additional rainfall will continue to lead to sharp rises on the area's elevated rivers, with multiple rivers likely to approach flood stage. Winds will also increase area-wide on Monday evening into Tuesday, with wind gusts 25-40 mph possible across the area at times. Highest gusts will be along the Pacific Coast and for areas from Whidbey Island northward. Large waves along the coast will build towards 20 feet on Tuesday and may run up further on area beaches at times.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
From Previous Discussion...Latest guidance continues to suggest another weaker system moving through the area Wednesday into Thursday. Snow levels look to start out between 5000-6000 feet on Wednesday, but look to drop back down to pass level by Thursday - which may account for light snow accumulations. Precipitation looks to linger into Friday, before a shortwave ridge moves into the area by Friday evening. This currently looks to provide a brief break in the active pattern, before another system arrives over the weekend. There remains uncertainty in the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance on the track and timing of the system late week, so will need to monitor how this trends over the coming days. 14

AVIATION
Northwest flow aloft tonight into early Sunday as weak ridging W WA. This will become more zonal as Sunday morning progresses and will generally remain that way for the remainder of the day...however, a minor shortwave disturbance may alter the direction briefly during the afternoon. Surface winds will remain generally south to southeasterly overnight and early Sunday morning, becoming more south to southwesterly late in the morning or early in the afternoon.

Generally VFR conditions in place over the majority of W WA this evening with only one spot near Port Townsend reporting IFR conditions. These VFR conditions are expected to remain in place overnight. Conditions will erode throughout Sunday morning as the next system brings another batch of rainfall to the area. Widespread MVFR conditions expected by late morning/early afternoon although locations more prone to lower cigs will see IFR conditions from time to time, especially under heavier rainfall. Cigs do look like they'll nudge upward somewhat in the late afternoon/early evening with many locations returning to low-end VFR, although locations that lean more toward lower cigs may find some difficulty getting out of MVFR conditions.

KSEA...VFR ceilings holding into Sunday morning. Then, MVFR cigs look to return 12-14z Sunday as widespread rainfall returns.
Southerly winds 4-8 kts becoming Southwesterly Sunday afternoon and increasing to 10-15 kt with gusts near 20 kt. 18

MARINE
A series of frontal systems will make their way through the coastal waters from Sunday through Thursday. Winds over the area waters in a bit of a lull at current, however forecast expects a return to SCA wind speeds for most waters save for Puget Sound. As such, will leave inherited headlines alone this evening. Gusty winds may approach gale force for a short period in the East and Central Strait of Juan de Fuca Sunday evening, but will keep SCAs in place at this time, waiting for the full suite of 00Z model data to come in before making any decisions. Another round of gusty winds expected Monday into Tuesday, likely reaching gale force for the coastal waters, the East Strait and into Admiralty Inlet with SCA conditions expected for the remainder of the area waters.

Seas 15 to 17 feet at 14 s will subside Sunday but remain above 10 feet. A peak to 15 to 18 ft again is expected early Monday, then topping out Tuesday to around 20 ft at 18 to 20 s before slowly ramping down into the end of the week.

LH/18

HYDROLOGY
From Previous Discussion...A series of weather systems will move through Western Washington through Tuesday bringing multiple rounds of rain. A Flood Watch remains in effect for the area through late Wednesday night. While snow continues to fall in the mountains this afternoon, warmer and wetter systems will move into the area Sunday through Tuesday. Snow levels will rise rapidly to 5000 to 7000 feet Sunday morning. Snow levels will then continue to rise peaking generally around 8500 to 9500 feet Monday night.
Rainfall totals in the mountains for Sunday through early Wednesday generally range from 10 inches in the higher elevations of the Olympics and Cascades, 5-8 inches for the foothills, 2-4 inches for the interior lowlands, and 4-6 inches for the coast. The combination of heavy precipitation and rising snow levels will most likely result in river flooding on many rivers across western Washington.
Rises on the Skokomish River will be possible with the first system on Sunday. Other rivers currently look to reach flood stage on Tuesday. Moderate flooding is possible on some of the bigger rivers like the Snoqualmie, Snohomish and Skagit as well as the lower reaches of the Chehalis beginning Tuesday. While flooding looks likely across the region, there remains a degree of uncertainty in the scope and extent due to timing of the snow to rain switchover in the high elevations and uncertainty in the locations of the heaviest bands of precipitation. It will be important to stay up to date on the latest forecast developments over the weekend.

In addition to the river flooding, burn scars in the Cascades will have to be monitored with the heavy precipitation forecast. Elevated risks of landslide and debris flows will also be possible next week. 14/Felton

SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WA...Flood Watch through late Wednesday night for Admiralty Inlet Area-Bellevue and Vicinity-Bremerton and Vicinity-Central Coast-East Puget Sound Lowlands-Eastern Strait of Juan de Fuca-Everett and Vicinity-Hood Canal Area-Lower Chehalis Valley Area-North Coast-Olympics-San Juan County-Seattle and Vicinity-Southwest Interior-Tacoma Area-West Slopes North Cascades and Passes-West Slopes North Central Cascades and Passes-West Slopes South Central Cascades and Passes-Western Skagit County-Western Strait of Juan De Fuca- Western Whatcom County.

Winter Storm Warning until 4 AM PST Sunday for West Slopes North Central Cascades and Passes.

PZ...Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM PST Monday for Coastal Waters From Cape Flattery To James Island 10 To 60 Nm-Coastal Waters From Cape Flattery To James Island Out 10 Nm-Coastal Waters From James Island To Point Grenville 10 To 60 Nm- Coastal Waters From James Island To Point Grenville Out 10 Nm-Coastal Waters From Point Grenville To Cape Shoalwater 10 To 60 Nm-Coastal Waters From Point Grenville To Cape Shoalwater Out 10 Nm-Grays Harbor Bar-West Entrance U.S.
Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca.

Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM PST Sunday for Admiralty Inlet- Central U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca-East Entrance U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca-Northern Inland Waters Including The San Juan Islands.

Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM PST this evening for Puget Sound and Hood Canal.

Small Craft Advisory from 10 AM to 5 PM PST Sunday for Puget Sound and Hood Canal.


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
PBFW1 - Padilla Bay Reserve, WA 3 mi48 min ESE 8 44°F 29.8338°F
SISW1 - Smith Island, WA 19 mi38 min SE 16G19 47°F 29.8346°F
FRDW1 - 9449880 - Friday Harbor, WA 26 mi42 min E 9.9G12 47°F 49°F29.85
PTWW1 - 9444900 - Port Townsend, WA 28 mi48 min ESE 12G14 47°F 49°F29.85
CHYW1 - 9449424 - Cherry Point, WA 29 mi48 min 29.84
CPMW1 29 mi48 min ESE 6G8 46°F
CPNW1 29 mi48 min E 6G8 46°F
46088 - New Dungeness, WA (Hein Bank) 36 mi38 min SE 12G16 47°F 49°F29.8443°F

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Wind History for Friday Harbor, WA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KBVS SKAGIT RGNL,WA 6 sm22 minENE 0710 smOvercast43°F43°F100%29.86
KNUW WHIDBEY ISLAND NAS /AULT FIELD/,WA 11 sm24 minE 1110 smOvercast45°F39°F81%29.84
KBLI BELLINGHAM INTL,WA 21 sm24 minNE 0610 smMostly Cloudy41°F37°F87%29.84

Wind History from BVS
(wind in knots)


Tide / Current for Swinomish Channel Entrance, Padilla Bay, Washington
   
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Swinomish Channel Entrance
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Sun -- 02:31 AM PST     0.01 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:43 AM PST     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:29 AM PST     8.96 feet High Tide
Sun -- 12:40 PM PST     Moonset
Sun -- 04:16 PM PST     Sunset
Sun -- 06:43 PM PST     5.78 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:45 PM PST     5.79 feet High Tide
Sun -- 10:29 PM PST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Swinomish Channel Entrance, Padilla Bay, Washington, Tide feet
12
am
1.8
1
am
0.7
2
am
0.1
3
am
0.1
4
am
0.8
5
am
2.1
6
am
3.7
7
am
5.4
8
am
7
9
am
8.2
10
am
8.9
11
am
8.9
12
pm
8.5
1
pm
7.9
2
pm
7.3
3
pm
6.7
4
pm
6.2
5
pm
5.9
6
pm
5.8
7
pm
5.8
8
pm
5.7
9
pm
5.4
10
pm
4.9
11
pm
4



Tide / Current for Guemes Channel, West entrance of, Washington Current
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Guemes Channel
Click for MapFlood direction 95 true
Ebb direction 255 true

Sun -- 03:24 AM PST     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 06:06 AM PST     1.48 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 07:43 AM PST     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:25 AM PST     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 12:40 PM PST     Moonset
Sun -- 01:42 PM PST     -1.35 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 04:16 PM PST     Sunset
Sun -- 05:12 PM PST     -0.29 knots Min Ebb
Sun -- 10:29 PM PST     Moonrise
Sun -- 11:31 PM PST     -1.77 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Guemes Channel, West entrance of, Washington Current, knots
12
am
-2.1
1
am
-1.7
2
am
-1.1
3
am
-0.3
4
am
0.4
5
am
1.1
6
am
1.5
7
am
1.3
8
am
0.8
9
am
0.3
10
am
-0.3
11
am
-0.7
12
pm
-1.1
1
pm
-1.3
2
pm
-1.3
3
pm
-1.2
4
pm
-0.8
5
pm
-0.3
6
pm
-0.4
7
pm
-0.7
8
pm
-1.1
9
pm
-1.4
10
pm
-1.6
11
pm
-1.8




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