Saturday, July11, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Bay View, WA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:19AMSunset 9:12PM Saturday July 11, 2020 12:51 PM PDT (19:51 UTC) Moonrise 11:43PMMoonset 11:14AM Illumination 62% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 21 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ133 Northern Inland Waters Including The San Juan Islands- 826 Am Pdt Sat Jul 11 2020
Today..S wind to 10 kt becoming sw in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. A slight chance of rain in the morning then a chance of rain in the afternoon.
Tonight..SE wind 5 to 15 kt becoming sw after midnight. Wind waves 2 ft or less. A chance of rain.
Sun..SW wind to 10 kt. Wind waves 1 ft or less. A slight chance of rain.
Sun night..W wind 5 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less.
Mon..NW wind to 10 kt. Wind waves 1 ft or less.
Mon night..SW wind 5 to 15 kt becoming S 10 to 20 kt after midnight. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft.
Tue..S wind to 10 kt becoming sw. Wind waves 2 ft or less.
Wed..SW wind to 10 kt. Wind waves 1 ft or less.
PZZ100 826 Am Pdt Sat Jul 11 2020
Synopsis for the northern and central washington coastal and inland waters..A weak front will move through the coastal waters this afternoon and the inland waters tonight. Onshore flow will increase behind the front. Varying degrees of onshore flow Sunday through Wednesday with high pressure over the coastal waters and lower pressure inland.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bay View, WA
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location: 48.48, -122.53     debug


Area Discussion for - Seattle, WA
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FXUS66 KSEW 111535 AFDSEW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Seattle WA 835 AM PDT Sat Jul 11 2020

SYNOPSIS. Dry weather will persist into this afternoon before a weak cold front brings scattered showers tonight and into Sunday. Generally dry and seasonable weather expected for early next week although some weak systems may allow for scattered showers at times.

SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH MONDAY/. Clouds will increase today as a trough and weak cold front move inland. Showers associated with this front are seen on the coastal radar with showers reaching the coast this afternoon. Expect showers in the interior mainly late this afternoon or early evening. No changes from the previous forecast. 33

Previous discussion . Will see clouds gradually increase throughout the day today as the aforementioned front draws closer but precip looks to generally hold off until late this afternoon and through tonight. Deterministic models continue to show this feature weaken as it moves eastward and most ensemble members remain unenthusiastic with regards to precip chances and amounts . save for the higher elevations where PoPs look to get into the likely category. Some showers will linger into Sunday as the associated upper level low up in Canada is not in much of a hurry to make any eastward progress . but dry conditions are expected to resume by Sunday evening. This dry weather will continue through Monday as an upper level ridge from the Pacific moves over the Pac NW.

Temps today and Sunday will remain fairly mild with highs along the coast in the lower to mid 60s while locations in the interior will sit generally in the lower 70s. As the ridge moves in for Monday . temps look to receive a little bump . in the lower to mid 70s . while coastal highs are expected to generally remain in the lower to mid 60s.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. Previous discussion . Ridging remains in place at least into mid-week although deterministic models flatten out the ridge by Thursday. This does not spell an immediate end to the dry conditions however as neither deterministic model shows any organized system or precip dipping down south enough to impact the CWA Ensembles. however . paint a different picture. While seemingly a majority of members are also dry during this period a sufficient amount of members are wet and wet enough . some proving to be quite significant outliers . that this ends up boosting the mean average As such. there is an increase in PoPs for the second half of the week though really no confidence in such numbers given the absence of any real driving weather system.

Temps for the first part of the long term continue the upward climb started on Monday with interior high temps getting into the mid to upper 70s both days As the ridge flattens. temps moderate slightly down into the mid 70s. Coastal temps remain fairly static during this period . generally in the mid 60s. 18

AVIATION. Southwesterly flow aloft becoming westerly tonight behind front. Light flow in the lower levels becoming onshore and increasing behind the front. Increasing mid and high clouds and then rain developing on the coast this afternoon--spreading into the interior and breaking up in the early evening. Cigs will drop on the coast as the rain arrives this afternoon and cigs will drop later this evening in the interior as the areas of light rain or showers combine with increasing onshore flow to pack the moisture in. Convergence zone developing Sunday morning.

KSEA . Increasing mid and high clouds then cigs drop this evening as the front and light rain arrive.

MARINE. A weak front will move through the coastal waters this afternoon and the inland waters tonight. Onshore flow will increase behind the front. Varying degrees of onshore flow Sunday through Wednesday with high pressure over the coastal waters and lower pressure inland. Small craft advisory westerlies expected each evening in the Central and East Entrance of the Strait of Juan de Fuca.

HYDROLOGY. The daily hydrology discussion has ended until the start of the next rainy season; it will only be updated as needed until then.

SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. WA . None. PZ . Small Craft Advisory from 11 PM this evening to 5 AM PDT Sunday for Central U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca-East Entrance U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca.



www.weather.gov/seattle


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PBFW1 - Padilla Bay Reserve, WA 3 mi81 min WSW 2.9 64°F 1019 hPa54°F
SISW1 - Smith Island, WA 19 mi21 min S 8 G 8.9 56°F 1019.6 hPa49°F
FRDW1 - 9449880 - Friday Harbor, WA 26 mi75 min SW 1 G 1.9 58°F 51°F1018.9 hPa
PTWW1 - 9444900 - Port Townsend, WA 28 mi51 min NE 2.9 G 4.1 56°F 53°F1020.1 hPa (+0.4)
CHYW1 - 9449424 - Cherry Point, WA 29 mi51 min 1019 hPa (-0.0)
CPMW1 29 mi51 min S 7 G 8 56°F
CPNW1 29 mi63 min S 6 G 7 56°F
46088 - New Dungeness, WA (Hein Bank) 36 mi31 min SW 5.8 G 7.8 53°F 51°F1 ft1019.3 hPa51°F
46125 40 mi34 min 56°F 1018.5 hPa52°F

Wind History for Friday Harbor, WA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Burlington/Mount Vernon, Skagit Regional Airport, WA6 mi56 minVar 49.00 miPartly Cloudy68°F53°F60%1019.3 hPa
Whidbey Island Naval Air Station - Ault Field, WA10 mi55 minWSW 610.00 miMostly Cloudy62°F48°F62%1020.5 hPa
Bellingham, Bellingham International Airport, WA21 mi58 minS 710.00 miOvercast62°F51°F67%1019.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBVS

Wind History from BVS (wind in knots)
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S6NW7CalmSW6CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS7CalmS4S5
1 day agoS5S8SW8SW5SW6S6S4SW4CalmCalmS4SE4CalmS3SE4S4S4S4S5SE5S5S4S6
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Tide / Current Tables for Swinomish Channel Entrance, Padilla Bay, Washington
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Swinomish Channel Entrance
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:24 AM PDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 05:21 AM PDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 05:50 AM PDT     4.05 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 09:25 AM PDT     5.06 feet High Tide
Sat -- 12:14 PM PDT     Moonset
Sat -- 04:13 PM PDT     1.59 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 09:09 PM PDT     Sunset
Sat -- 11:06 PM PDT     8.19 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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7.976.15.24.54.14.14.34.7554.74.13.32.51.91.61.82.53.85.26.77.78.2

Tide / Current Tables for Guemes Channel, West entrance of, Washington Current
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Guemes Channel
Click for MapFlood direction 95 true
Ebb direction 255 true

Sat -- 12:24 AM PDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 02:06 AM PDT     -1.90 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 05:21 AM PDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 06:41 AM PDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 07:09 AM PDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 07:11 AM PDT     0.11 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 12:14 PM PDT     Moonset
Sat -- 01:12 PM PDT     -1.50 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 04:52 PM PDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 07:28 PM PDT     1.30 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 09:10 PM PDT     Sunset
Sat -- 10:00 PM PDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-1.4-1.7-1.9-1.8-1.5-1-0.40.1-0-0.4-0.8-1.2-1.4-1.5-1.4-1.1-0.50.10.71.21.20.70-0.6

Weather Map
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wmap_P
GEOS Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Seattle, WA (15,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Seattle/Tacoma, WA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.