Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Birch Bay, WA
February 8, 2025 12:04 PM PST (20:04 UTC) Change Location
![]() | Sunrise 7:28 AM Sunset 5:22 PM Moonrise 12:48 PM Moonset 5:35 AM |
PZZ133 Northern Inland Waters Including The San Juan Islands- 250 Am Pst Sat Feb 8 2025
Today - NE wind 5 to 10 kt, backing to nw this afternoon. Waves around 2 ft or less. A chance of rain early this morning, then a chance of showers late this morning.
Tonight - N wind 5 to 10 kt, veering to E after midnight. Waves around 2 ft or less.
Sun - SE wind 5 to 10 kt, backing to N in the afternoon. Waves around 2 ft or less.
Sun night - NE wind 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft or less.
Mon - NE wind 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft or less.
Mon night - NE wind 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft or less.
Tue - NE wind 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft or less.
Tue night - NE wind around 5 kt. Waves around 2 ft or less.
Wed - NE wind around 5 kt. Waves around 2 ft or less.
Wed night - NE wind 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft or less. A chance of snow showers after midnight.
PZZ100 250 Am Pst Sat Feb 8 2025
Synopsis for the northern and central washington coastal and inland waters - A weak surface trough over the coastal waters this morning will shift inland this afternoon. A ridge will rebuild over the offshore waters late today and remain in place into Sunday. Surface ridging over the interior of british columbia will strengthen early in the coming week for modest offshore flow and fraser river outflow. A weakening trough will approach the coastal waters late next week.

NEW! Add second zone forecast
Echo Bay Click for Map Sat -- 04:07 AM PST 9.10 feet High Tide Sat -- 05:34 AM PST Moonset Sat -- 07:30 AM PST Sunrise Sat -- 08:29 AM PST 8.09 feet Low Tide Sat -- 11:53 AM PST 8.79 feet High Tide Sat -- 12:48 PM PST Moonrise Sat -- 05:21 PM PST Sunset Sat -- 08:40 PM PST -0.88 feet Low Tide Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION |   |
Echo Bay, Sucia Island, Washington, Tide feet
12 am |
4.3 |
1 am |
6.1 |
2 am |
7.6 |
3 am |
8.7 |
4 am |
9.1 |
5 am |
9 |
6 am |
8.6 |
7 am |
8.3 |
8 am |
8.1 |
9 am |
8.1 |
10 am |
8.4 |
11 am |
8.7 |
12 pm |
8.8 |
1 pm |
8.6 |
2 pm |
8 |
3 pm |
7 |
4 pm |
5.4 |
5 pm |
3.5 |
6 pm |
1.6 |
7 pm |
0.1 |
8 pm |
-0.7 |
9 pm |
-0.8 |
10 pm |
-0.2 |
11 pm |
1 |
Matia Island Click for MapFlood direction 350° true Ebb direction 206° true Sat -- 12:43 AM PST 1.60 knots Max Flood Sat -- 03:54 AM PST -0.00 knots Slack Sat -- 05:34 AM PST Moonset Sat -- 06:24 AM PST -0.29 knots Max Ebb Sat -- 07:30 AM PST Sunrise Sat -- 09:24 AM PST 0.00 knots Slack Sat -- 10:29 AM PST 0.19 knots Max Flood Sat -- 10:36 AM PST -0.00 knots Slack Sat -- 12:48 PM PST Moonrise Sat -- 05:21 PM PST Sunset Sat -- 05:34 PM PST -2.21 knots Max Ebb Sat -- 10:00 PM PST 0.00 knots Slack Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION |   |
Matia Island, 0.8 mile West of, Washington Current, knots
12 am |
1.5 |
1 am |
1.6 |
2 am |
1.2 |
3 am |
0.6 |
4 am |
-0 |
5 am |
-0.2 |
6 am |
-0.3 |
7 am |
-0.3 |
8 am |
-0.2 |
9 am |
-0.1 |
10 am |
0.1 |
11 am |
-0.1 |
12 pm |
-0.4 |
1 pm |
-0.7 |
2 pm |
-1.1 |
3 pm |
-1.6 |
4 pm |
-1.9 |
5 pm |
-2.2 |
6 pm |
-2.2 |
7 pm |
-1.9 |
8 pm |
-1.4 |
9 pm |
-0.8 |
10 pm |
-0 |
11 pm |
1 |
Area Discussion for Seattle, WA
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FXUS66 KSEW 081816 AFDSEW
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Seattle WA 1016 AM PST Sat Feb 8 2025
UPDATE
Current radar imagery shows a band of snow showers pushing southeast through King and Pierce counties into the Cascades. Expect scattered snow showers to continue across Western Washington this morning. As temperatures gradually warm up above freezing this morning, the snow will transition into rain/snow showers. Scattered rain/snow showers will remain possible throughout the day and should begin to taper off in the late afternoon. Overall, the forecast remains on track. Refer to the previous forecast discussion and updated aviation section below.
SYNOPSIS
Upper level trough over Western Washington today moving southeast tonight. Snow levels remaining near the surface this morning. Narrow high amplitude ridge off the British Columbia coast tonight into Sunday with drier northwesterly flow aloft.
Another upper level trough swinging through Monday from the north. With the over land trajectory of this feature little moisture will be associated with it. Dry northwesterly flow aloft continuing into Wednesday. Pattern breaks down late next week with a weather system possibly moving into the area by Friday.
Temperatures remaining below normal through the period.
SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH MONDAY/
Upper level trough axis moving through early this morning. Satellite imagery not showing much precipitation behind the trough axis but as long as the trough is in the vicinity will keep a chance of showers in the forecast. Snow levels will remain near the surface this morning then lift a couple hundred feet in the afternoon. Snow accumulations will be less than an inch. Highs mostly in the upper 30s.
High amplitude, but narrow, upper level ridge building offshore tonight with the ridge extending all the way into Alaska. Some residual showers lingering around in the evening but for the most part it looks like a dry period. Cloud cover will keep lows mostly in the mid 20s to lower 30s.
Upper level ridge remaining in place with dry northwesterly flow aloft over the area Sunday. Light flow in the lower levels combined with low level moisture will keep skies mostly cloudy.
Highs remaining cool, a couple of degrees either side of 40.
Ridge hanging in there Sunday night. Upper level trough along the backside of the ridge moving down over the area Monday. This feature will have an over land track through British Columbia so there will be little in the way of moisture with it. There is a chance it will mix things up enough Monday for some sunshine.
With the northerly flow aloft the air mass will remain cool with highs once again near 40. A little less cloud cover Sunday night will allow lows drop into the 20s with upper teens possible in the colder locations. If the forecast holds look for another round of cold weather advisories for Sunday night/early Monday morning.
LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
Models in good agreement Tuesday and Wednesday with the narrow high amplitude ridge remaining offshore extending well to the north and dry northerly flow aloft over the area. Tuesday and Wednesday morning have a good chance of being the coldest mornings so far this season with the cold air mass overhead, clearing skies and light winds. Lows in the teens and lower 20s. Even with sunshine highs will only be in the mid 30s to lower 40s.
Confidence in Thursday and Friday very low. Model solutions are very inconsistent and the ensembles are not much help. There is a general consensus that the chances for precipitation increase especially Friday but how the pattern evolves is up for debate.
The ECMWF solutions bring another cool upper level trough and an accompanying shortwave down the British Columbia coast Friday.
The GFS solutions have a negatively tilted front arriving from the southwest. Both solutions have a wide variety of results depending on timing and track of the features. The forecast right now is a broad brush chance of rain or snow with low snow levels, around 500 feet. Doubt this forecast survives more than a run or two before changing. Felton
LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
Models in good agreement Tuesday and Wednesday with the narrow high amplitude ridge remaining offshore extending well to the north and dry northerly flow aloft over the area. Tuesday and Wednesday morning have a good chance of being the coldest mornings so far this season with the cold air mass overhead, clearing skies and light winds. Lows in the teens and lower 20s. Even with sunshine highs will only be in the mid 30s to lower 40s.
Confidence in Thursday and Friday very low. Model solutions are very inconsistent and the ensembles are not much help. There is a general consensus that the chances for precipitation increase especially Friday but how the pattern evolves is up for debate.
The ECMWF solutions bring another cool upper level trough and an accompanying shortwave down the British Columbia coast Friday.
The GFS solutions have a negatively tilted front arriving from the southwest. Both solutions have a wide variety of results depending on timing and track of the features. The forecast right now is a broad brush chance of rain or snow with low snow levels, around 500 feet. Doubt this forecast survives more than a run or two before changing. Felton
AVIATION
A weak upper trough continues to slide across the region today with increasingly northwest flow through the day. Weak surface winds continue but a cluster of light snow near I-90 will drift southward through the morning with local IFR ceilings and visibility in snow. Otherwise, expect mostly lower VFR to MVFR ceilings for most locations through the day with occasional light rain or rain/snow showers bringing brief lower conditions.
Predominantly VFR ceilings late afternoon and evening, but with light winds and air mass stabilizing, expect ceilings to lower mostly to MVFR range.
KSEA...Snow/rain showers will remain with a mix of IFR and MVFR through the morning. With marginal thermal profile, accumulating snow should be minimal but expect falling snow to reduce visibility at times. Ceilings trending closer to 3000 ft this afternoon as showers wind down. Surface winds light/variable through the day, with predominant direction likely to be northerly this afternoon around 6 kt. Expect return to lower MVFR ceilings overnight with widespread lower stratus.
MARINE
A weak surface trough over the coastal waters this morning will shift inland this afternoon. A ridge will rebuild over the offshore waters late today and remain in place into Sunday.
Surface ridging over the interior of British Columbia will strengthen early in the coming week for modest offshore flow and Fraser River outflow. A weakening trough will approach the coastal waters late next week. 27
HYDROLOGY
No river flooding in the next 7 days.
SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WA...None.
PZ...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Seattle WA 1016 AM PST Sat Feb 8 2025
UPDATE
Current radar imagery shows a band of snow showers pushing southeast through King and Pierce counties into the Cascades. Expect scattered snow showers to continue across Western Washington this morning. As temperatures gradually warm up above freezing this morning, the snow will transition into rain/snow showers. Scattered rain/snow showers will remain possible throughout the day and should begin to taper off in the late afternoon. Overall, the forecast remains on track. Refer to the previous forecast discussion and updated aviation section below.
SYNOPSIS
Upper level trough over Western Washington today moving southeast tonight. Snow levels remaining near the surface this morning. Narrow high amplitude ridge off the British Columbia coast tonight into Sunday with drier northwesterly flow aloft.
Another upper level trough swinging through Monday from the north. With the over land trajectory of this feature little moisture will be associated with it. Dry northwesterly flow aloft continuing into Wednesday. Pattern breaks down late next week with a weather system possibly moving into the area by Friday.
Temperatures remaining below normal through the period.
SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH MONDAY/
Upper level trough axis moving through early this morning. Satellite imagery not showing much precipitation behind the trough axis but as long as the trough is in the vicinity will keep a chance of showers in the forecast. Snow levels will remain near the surface this morning then lift a couple hundred feet in the afternoon. Snow accumulations will be less than an inch. Highs mostly in the upper 30s.
High amplitude, but narrow, upper level ridge building offshore tonight with the ridge extending all the way into Alaska. Some residual showers lingering around in the evening but for the most part it looks like a dry period. Cloud cover will keep lows mostly in the mid 20s to lower 30s.
Upper level ridge remaining in place with dry northwesterly flow aloft over the area Sunday. Light flow in the lower levels combined with low level moisture will keep skies mostly cloudy.
Highs remaining cool, a couple of degrees either side of 40.
Ridge hanging in there Sunday night. Upper level trough along the backside of the ridge moving down over the area Monday. This feature will have an over land track through British Columbia so there will be little in the way of moisture with it. There is a chance it will mix things up enough Monday for some sunshine.
With the northerly flow aloft the air mass will remain cool with highs once again near 40. A little less cloud cover Sunday night will allow lows drop into the 20s with upper teens possible in the colder locations. If the forecast holds look for another round of cold weather advisories for Sunday night/early Monday morning.
LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
Models in good agreement Tuesday and Wednesday with the narrow high amplitude ridge remaining offshore extending well to the north and dry northerly flow aloft over the area. Tuesday and Wednesday morning have a good chance of being the coldest mornings so far this season with the cold air mass overhead, clearing skies and light winds. Lows in the teens and lower 20s. Even with sunshine highs will only be in the mid 30s to lower 40s.
Confidence in Thursday and Friday very low. Model solutions are very inconsistent and the ensembles are not much help. There is a general consensus that the chances for precipitation increase especially Friday but how the pattern evolves is up for debate.
The ECMWF solutions bring another cool upper level trough and an accompanying shortwave down the British Columbia coast Friday.
The GFS solutions have a negatively tilted front arriving from the southwest. Both solutions have a wide variety of results depending on timing and track of the features. The forecast right now is a broad brush chance of rain or snow with low snow levels, around 500 feet. Doubt this forecast survives more than a run or two before changing. Felton
LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
Models in good agreement Tuesday and Wednesday with the narrow high amplitude ridge remaining offshore extending well to the north and dry northerly flow aloft over the area. Tuesday and Wednesday morning have a good chance of being the coldest mornings so far this season with the cold air mass overhead, clearing skies and light winds. Lows in the teens and lower 20s. Even with sunshine highs will only be in the mid 30s to lower 40s.
Confidence in Thursday and Friday very low. Model solutions are very inconsistent and the ensembles are not much help. There is a general consensus that the chances for precipitation increase especially Friday but how the pattern evolves is up for debate.
The ECMWF solutions bring another cool upper level trough and an accompanying shortwave down the British Columbia coast Friday.
The GFS solutions have a negatively tilted front arriving from the southwest. Both solutions have a wide variety of results depending on timing and track of the features. The forecast right now is a broad brush chance of rain or snow with low snow levels, around 500 feet. Doubt this forecast survives more than a run or two before changing. Felton
AVIATION
A weak upper trough continues to slide across the region today with increasingly northwest flow through the day. Weak surface winds continue but a cluster of light snow near I-90 will drift southward through the morning with local IFR ceilings and visibility in snow. Otherwise, expect mostly lower VFR to MVFR ceilings for most locations through the day with occasional light rain or rain/snow showers bringing brief lower conditions.
Predominantly VFR ceilings late afternoon and evening, but with light winds and air mass stabilizing, expect ceilings to lower mostly to MVFR range.
KSEA...Snow/rain showers will remain with a mix of IFR and MVFR through the morning. With marginal thermal profile, accumulating snow should be minimal but expect falling snow to reduce visibility at times. Ceilings trending closer to 3000 ft this afternoon as showers wind down. Surface winds light/variable through the day, with predominant direction likely to be northerly this afternoon around 6 kt. Expect return to lower MVFR ceilings overnight with widespread lower stratus.
MARINE
A weak surface trough over the coastal waters this morning will shift inland this afternoon. A ridge will rebuild over the offshore waters late today and remain in place into Sunday.
Surface ridging over the interior of British Columbia will strengthen early in the coming week for modest offshore flow and Fraser River outflow. A weakening trough will approach the coastal waters late next week. 27
HYDROLOGY
No river flooding in the next 7 days.
SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WA...None.
PZ...None.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air | Water | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
CHYW1 - 9449424 - Cherry Point, WA | 11 mi | 64 min | 30.36 | |||||
CPMW1 | 11 mi | 46 min | 37°F | |||||
CPNW1 | 11 mi | 46 min | 36°F | |||||
FRDW1 - 9449880 - Friday Harbor, WA | 15 mi | 88 min | NE 6G | 38°F | 46°F | 30.37 | ||
PBFW1 - Padilla Bay Reserve, WA | 30 mi | 94 min | 0 | 36°F | 30.33 | 30°F | ||
SISW1 - Smith Island, WA | 30 mi | 34 min | E 1.9G | 38°F | 30.37 | 31°F | ||
46088 - New Dungeness, WA (Hein Bank) | 32 mi | 34 min | NNE 3.9G | 39°F | 46°F | 30.36 | 32°F | |
PTWW1 - 9444900 - Port Townsend, WA | 45 mi | 46 min | 39°F | 46°F |
Wind History for Cherry Point South Dock, WA
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(wind in knots)GEOS Local Image of Pacific Northwest
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