Friday, September18, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Saxman, AK

Version 3.4
NOTICE
8/26/2020 The 7 day forecast is taking about 5 seconds to load but it will eventually load. NOAA is still working on it.
8/18/2020 NOAA continues to have trouble. Wind guest will occasionally be left off graphs. I am working with NOAA to resolve the issue.
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:12AMSunset 7:43PM Friday September 18, 2020 9:43 AM PDT (16:43 UTC) Moonrise 7:56AMMoonset 7:52PM Illumination 2% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 1 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PKZ036 Clarence Strait- 355 Am Akdt Fri Sep 18 2020
Today..Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. Haze.
Tonight..NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Showers in the evening.
Sat..NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.
Sat night..SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.
Sun..SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
Mon..S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
Tue..SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Saxman, AK
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location: 55.33, -131.63     debug


Area Discussion for -
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FXAK67 PAJK 181527 AFDAJK

Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Juneau AK 606 AM AKDT Fri Sep 18 2020

SHORT TERM. /Through Sat night/ Weakening front slowly approaching the inner channels and southern outer coast this morning. Yakutat has been raining all night, but the rain just got to Gustavus at 5 am, and radar imagery shows that the front edge of the rain as of 5 am extending from Skagway down between Gustavus and Hoonah, and then southward just west of Kruzof Island. The Chilkat Valley and Haines have remained dry so far based on obs and webcams due to rain shadowing by the Chilkat Mountains.

Meanwhile the southern panhandle still has some lingering smoke hanging around the area from Frederick Sound southward. It is enough that visibility has been reduced down to 6 to 8 miles over Prince of Wales Island and Clarence Strait overnight as the smoke has been trapped by a low level inversion at around 1700 feet as seen on the 12z Annette sounding. The smoke should diminish today as the inversion breaks promoting more mixing in the lower atmosphere, and rain moves into the area.

For the next 48 hours, the front will continue its trek across the panhandle from W to E continuing to weaken as it goes. Eastward progress of the rain is a little slower then expected so the forecast was adjusted accordingly. Rain should develop for areas N and W of Frederick Sound this morning, Kake, Petersburg, and Klawock will get in on the act this afternoon, and the southern panhandle will have to wait until tonight. Expected qpf amounts will diminish the farther south you get as well, ranging from around 0.3 to 0.5 inches up north to around 0.1 inches in the southern panhandle.

Not much in the way of winds expected with this front either. It did produce gale force winds out by Cape Suckling last night, but observations farther east have not been that impressive (buoy 46083, Cape Fairweather buoy, has only seen as high as 16 kt so far and the front is nearly right on top of it at the moment). In fact, other than buoy 46083 the highest winds in the area right now are in Northern Lynn Canal, where lowering pressures in the southern Yukon produced some 15 to 20 kt southerly winds overnight. Overall winds are not expected to be much more than that for most areas as the front moves in, and other then the wind shift to westerly post- front there is not much to talk about. Few changes to the wind forecast as a result.

Otherwise, after this front a weak ridge will get shoved E as a new low churns into the central gulf by Sat night. This feature is rather weak and by the end of the short range most of the rain showers and wind associated with it will only have affected the Gulf waters and NE Gulf coast.

LONG TERM. /Sunday through Friday night/ . This long term forecast remains on track with only a few modifications . primarily to the wind field for Tuesday and Tuesday night. A weak front and equally weak low will affect Southeast Alaska Sunday afternoon and overnight. Nothing outrageous in terms of wind apart from some small craft southeasterlies over the eastern Gulf beginning Sunday and lasting through Monday. The bigger story begins Monday night with the arrival of gale force winds over the eastern Gulf and then, heavy rain over much of Southeast Alaska Tuesday night through Wednesday afternoon. As was suspected last night, winds over the Gulf were increased for Tuesday and Tuesday night and strong wind gusts for at least the southern outer coast are looking more and more likely for Tuesday night. Model agreement is still not the best, but the trends are there. Rain will remain with us through at least mid weekend, but winds over the Gulf will subside to 20 kts or less by Thursday afternoon. Autumn is really here now, I think.

AJK Watches/Warnings/Advisories. PUBLIC . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory for PKZ022-042-043-051>053.



EAL/Fritsch

Visit us at http://www.weather.gov/Juneau


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
KECA2 - 9450460 - Ketchikan, AK 0 mi56 min WNW 1 G 1.9 55°F 54°F1012.4 hPa
SLXA2 1 mi40 min NE 1.9 G 2.9 56°F 1009.3 hPa54°F
KEXA2 3 mi31 min SE 2.9 G 4.1 56°F 1010.1 hPa55°F
GIXA2 16 mi31 min E 1.9 G 5.1 57°F 1009.4 hPa56°F
MRYA2 29 mi32 min SSE 1.9 G 5.1 56°F 54°F
LCNA2 - Lincoln Rock, AK 75 mi34 min NNW 5.1 G 7 57°F 1010.8 hPa56°F
46145 - Central Dixon Entrance Buoy 79 mi104 min 57°F 2 ft1013.9 hPa (-0.3)

Wind History for Ketchikan, AK
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Ketchikan, Ketchikan International Airport, AK4 mi51 minE 46.00 miFog/Mist56°F55°F100%1012.4 hPa
Metlakatla, Metlakatla Seaplane Base, AK23 mi48 minSW 39.00 miOvercast56°F55°F97%1012 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for PAKT

Wind History from AKT (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW5NW7CalmNW8CalmSE6E7SE7--SE6SE6SE4SE4SE3SE3SE4CalmW3CalmCalmCalmE7SE4E4
1 day ago--NW4--NW8NW7----NW7--NW4W4----NW4----NW5NW5--NW6--NW4CalmNW3
2 days agoN7N10--NW7NW7NW7N8N5SE5S4--S4--SE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW3--CalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Ketchikan, Alaska
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Ketchikan
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:44 AM AKDT     17.83 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:25 AM AKDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:54 AM AKDT     -2.55 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:57 AM AKDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 02:08 PM AKDT     17.93 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:53 PM AKDT     Sunset
Fri -- 07:51 PM AKDT     Moonset
Fri -- 08:15 PM AKDT     -1.95 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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14.417.217.715.9126.92-1.5-2.5-12.77.712.616.317.91713.89.140-1.9-1.21.76.1

Tide / Current Tables for Ward Cove, Revillagigedo Channel, Alaska
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Ward Cove
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:38 AM AKDT     18.13 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:26 AM AKDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:51 AM AKDT     -2.55 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:57 AM AKDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 02:02 PM AKDT     18.23 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:54 PM AKDT     Sunset
Fri -- 07:52 PM AKDT     Moonset
Fri -- 08:12 PM AKDT     -1.95 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1517.61815.911.86.61.8-1.6-2.5-0.83.18.213.216.818.217.113.78.83.8-0.1-1.9-1.126.6

Weather Map
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wmap_P
GEOS Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Ground Weather Radar Station Biorka Is., AK
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.