Marine Forecasts

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Saxman, AK

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Area Discussion for -

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Fxak67 pajk 202300 afdajk southeast alaska forecast discussion national weather service juneau ak 300 pm akdt Tue aug 20 2019 Short term Tuesday through Thursday night confidence is moderate and slowly increasing on the track of a gale force low headed toward the southern panhandle this evening and thus wind directions speeds for much of the southern panhandle. The 12z runs of the ECMWF and the canadian and the 18z runs of the GFS and nam have nudged the track of the low to the south and east bringing it over northern portions of haida gwaii through the dixon entrance then over misty fjords. For the rest of this afternoon and into tonight, rain, heavy at times, will continue to slowly move north through the panhandle. The rain shield is expected to stay east of a line from juneau to sitka before making its way into canada tomorrow. Heaviest precipitation totals are expected to be in the southern panhandle where an additional 1-1.5" of rain is expected with amounts greatly decreasing towards the north. Juneau to sitka will be right on the line of where the precip ends, there may be a fine line between areas that pick up a little rainfall and areas who stay high and dry. Also, since there is a history of instability with the colder, stratospheric portion of the storm west of the system, there is a slight chance of thunder this evening for marine zone 41 and western prince of wales tonight. Have not made too many changes to winds today. Gale force winds are expected this evening for marine zone 41 just off the coast of prince of wales and in clarence strait as well. Have winds in clarence strait subsiding tonight and going below small craft levels by Wednesday morning. Gusty winds over 40 mph are are possible around ketchikan through late this evening. Tranquil weather continues across the northern panhandle. Bumped up temperatures and lowered dew point and rh values for today across the north as many areas have had enough breaks in the clouds to warm up into the 60s.

A wetter weather pattern will continue for the rest of the week as another storm system is expected to impact southeast alaskan Thursday. Rain will begin to push east into canada on Wednesday as the current storm system weakens and moves out of the area. Some scattered showers will still remain across the panhandle Wednesday afternoon and evening as onshore flow begins to increase ahead of the next storm system in the gulf. Models have much better agreement with the system moving in for Thursday than they did with the storm system from yesterday and today. An area of low pressure will make its way eastward across the central gulf on Thursday pushing a front closer to the region. Rain will overspread much of the panhandle Thursday afternoon and evening and continue into the nighttime hours. Long term Friday through Tuesday night more typical late summer or early fall pattern looks to set up from late week onward. Strengthening and more zonal pacific jet will guide storms into the gulf of alaska with several rounds of mostly beneficial rainfall likely through the weekend. Operational guidance is in decent agreement that a stronger storm system will impact the panhandle on Thursday with heavier rainfall and gale force winds over the outside waters at least. Depending on the track of any surface waves, breezy to windy conditions are likely over the inside waters Thursday into Friday as well. Temperatures should be cooler with the cloud cover and expected rainfall with only minor diurnal fluctuations. Given the progressive zonal upper flow, details in any one system are difficult to hammer out at this time range. Confidence in a much wetter pattern is high however as we turn the corner from summer into a more fall-like pattern. Ajk watches warnings advisories Public... Strong wind until 1 am akdt Wednesday for akz028. Marine... Gale warning for pkz036-041. Small craft advisory for pkz033-042-043. Cm del visit us at http:

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
KECA2 - 9450460 - Ketchikan, AK	0 mi	59 min	E 8 G 15	59°F	58°F		997.7 hPa
SLXA2	1 mi	40 min	ESE 20 G 41	61°F			994.4 hPa	53°F
KEXA2	3 mi	41 min	E 17 G 34	56°F			996.8 hPa	52°F
GIXA2	16 mi	41 min	E 2.9 G 7	57°F			995.6 hPa	56°F
MRYA2	29 mi	41 min	E 2.9 G 6	57°F				55°F
LCNA2 - Lincoln Rock, AK	75 mi	43 min	ESE 8.9 G 16	58°F			996.2 hPa	54°F
46145 - Central Dixon Entrance Buoy	79 mi	53 min	ESE 33 G 41	57°F	54°F	12 ft	990.4 hPa (-2.6)

Wind History for Ketchikan, AK

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NE4 G8

SE14 G24

SE18 G23

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E8 G17

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NW19 G24

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NW10 G13

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W5 G8

SE9 G12

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Ketchikan, Ketchikan International Airport, AK	4 mi	2 hrs	SE 17 G 29	3.00 mi	Light Rain Fog/Mist	57°F	55°F	93%	998.9 hPa
Annette Island Airport, AK	20 mi	2 hrs	ESE 10 G 27	3.00 mi	Heavy Rain Fog/Mist	57°F	55°F	96%	998.3 hPa
Metlakatla, Metlakatla Seaplane Base, AK	23 mi	2 hrs	E 9 G 17	6.00 mi	Rain Fog/Mist	58°F	54°F	87%	998 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for PAKT

Wind History from AKT (wind in knots)

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E22 G30

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SE21 G30

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Calm

S4

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Tide / Current Tables for Ketchikan, Alaska

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Tide / Current Tables for Ward Cove, Revillagigedo Channel, Alaska

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Weather Map and Satellite Images

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GOES Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

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Wind Forecast for (0,6,7,8)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Biorka Is., AK

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