Saturday, August24, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Hollis, AK

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 5:37AMSunset 8:22PM Saturday August 24, 2019 12:54 PM AKDT (20:54 UTC) Moonrise 11:50PMMoonset 3:58PM Illumination 32% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 24 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PKZ036 Clarence Strait- 345 Am Akdt Sat Aug 24 2019
Today..SE wind 20 kt becoming nw 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft, except 6 ft near ocean entrances. Rain early in the morning, then showers in the morning.
Tonight..NW wind 15 kt becoming S late. Seas 3 ft in the evening then 2 ft or less.
Sun..S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
Sun night..SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
Mon..SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
Tue..S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
Wed..SE wind 10 kt becoming nw. Seas 2 ft or less.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Hollis, AK
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location: 55.48, -132.65     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxak67 pajk 241341
afdajk
southeast alaska forecast discussion
national weather service juneau ak
541 am akdt Sat aug 24 2019

Synopsis A low over the southern panhandle pushes inland into
british columbia this morning. Low pressure over the northwest
gulf remains through Sunday. A ridge of high pressure builds over
the eastern gulf this morning and into the panhandle this
afternoon. The ridge strengthens Sunday.

Short term Light to moderate rain fell across the panhandle
overnight and Friday. Amounts have been less than an inch for the
northern half and 2 inches or less for the south. However, the
ketchikan area continues to make strides against the drought. The
area received around 1 to 3 inches of rainfall with local amounts
up to 5 as shortwave energy phased with the surface low overnight.

In fact, ketchikan is now over 2 and a half inches over their
normal august rainfall. Per what we have been preaching, the best
way for ketchikan and the far south to dig out of the drought is
to make up rainfall during the wet time of year. And august
certainly qualifies as daily normal amounts are above one third of
an inch. But we likely need to see this trend run through the rest
of the year.

As the low jumps inland this morning, winds in the low to mid
levels will veer from southwest to westerly across much of the
region. Not only will levels aloft dry, but westerly winds will be
slightly less efficient at maximizing orographics to produce
rainfall. Therefore we feel rainfall amounts will decrease through
the afternoon and showers will decrease in coverage through Sunday
as low level ridging strengthens. With the potential for more
cloud breaks, we did add some patchy fog for most of the panhandle
late Saturday night and Sunday morning. We also warmed
temperatures slightly, just as we cooled temperatures today given
greater rain chances.

Forecast confidence is generally good.

Long term Monday through Saturday night ... A progressive upper
ridge and a 90 kt jet maximum will be situated over the panhandle
at the start of this long term forecast period. Upstream, over the
northwest gulf, an upper low with excellent jet support,
plentiful mid level vorticity and a lot of omega will track inland
vicinity CAPE fairweather Monday night. Model agreement on timing
and heavy nature of the precipitation is good, improved from
Thursday night, but agreement on exactly where the heavies train
will occur is still quite poor. We also increased wind speeds to
small craft in anticipation of an organized front Monday. Should
models come to better consensus, we may consider gales for this
time period in the future.

Rain will transition early Tuesday and end everywhere except for
misty fjords late Tuesday night. The second half of the coming
week is looking mostly dry at this point. Not a lot of sunshine in
the forecast for this timeframe as of yet, so have reduced
daytime highs a couple degrees. Still, highs in the upper 60s will
be above normal for this time of the year.

Aviation With a weakening low crawling across the southern
panhandle and the northern panhandle lying in a col of lower
pressure as well as moist saturated boundary layer, low ceilings
continue to be the issue du jour. We indicate improving ceilings
later today as the low pushes into northern bc and a ridge of high
pressure follows over the inner channels. While this will not
provide big wind, it should enhance mixing sufficiently to raise
ceilings. An increasingly unstable atmosphere tonight, should
limit lowering conditions, but we cannot rule some lower
conditions in a few spots. All wind sheer was removed at 12z
issuance.

Marine Small craft advisories for the inner channels ended
overnight, but due to northwest winds of 25 kt and some high seas
lasting through tonight, they are still posted for much of the
outside waters off the eastern and southeastern gulf coast.

Ajk watches warnings advisories
Public... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory for pkz012-041>043.

Jwa fritsch
visit us at http:

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
LCNA2 - Lincoln Rock, AK 40 mi44 min WSW 14 G 17 57°F 1006.5 hPa54°F
GIXA2 41 mi42 min SSW 2.9 G 8.9 58°F 1006.9 hPa56°F
KECA2 - 9450460 - Ketchikan, AK 55 mi60 min ESE 5.1 G 8 58°F 57°F1009.2 hPa
46145 - Central Dixon Entrance Buoy 78 mi54 min WSW 18 G 21 57°F 54°F7 ft1011.4 hPa (+2.9)

Wind History for Ketchikan, AK
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Klawock - Klawock Airport, AK24 mi2 hrsSW 61.50 miLight Rain Fog/Mist56°F55°F100%1008.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for PAHY

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Last 24hr------------E12E5E65E6
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E7SE8SE8E13--E14E10E14E8
1 day ago--------------------------------------E4--------
2 days ago------------------------------------------------

Tide / Current Tables for Hollis Anchorage, Kasaan Bay, Alaska
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Hollis Anchorage
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:25 AM AKDT     2.89 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:40 AM AKDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:48 AM AKDT     10.48 feet High Tide
Sat -- 01:12 PM AKDT     5.32 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:58 PM AKDT     Moonset
Sat -- 07:49 PM AKDT     13.15 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:03 PM AKDT     Sunset
Sat -- 11:50 PM AKDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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433.14.15.77.69.210.210.59.98.77.25.95.35.66.68.310.111.812.813.112.510.88.6

Tide / Current Tables for Karta Bay, Kasaan Bay, Alaska
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Karta Bay
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:34 AM AKDT     2.69 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:40 AM AKDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:49 AM AKDT     10.78 feet High Tide
Sat -- 01:21 PM AKDT     5.12 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:58 PM AKDT     Moonset
Sat -- 07:50 PM AKDT     13.45 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:03 PM AKDT     Sunset
Sat -- 11:49 PM AKDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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42.92.83.85.57.59.310.510.810.28.97.35.95.25.36.38.110.111.913.113.412.811.28.9

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_P
GOES Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for (16,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Biorka Is., AK
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.