Hooper Bay, AK Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Hooper Bay, AK


November 28, 2023 10:35 AM AKST (19:35 UTC)
Sunrise 9:35AM   Sunset 3:59PM   Moonrise  12:00AM   Moonset 12:00AM 

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Marine Forecasts
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PKZ802 Dall Point To Kwikpak Pass Out To 15 Nm- 638 Am Akst Tue Nov 28 2023
Today..S winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray.
Tonight..SE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
Wed..E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
Wed night..E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
Thu..NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
Thu night..N winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing spray.
Fri..E winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
Sat..E winds 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Hooper Bay, AK
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Area Discussion for - Fairbanks, AK
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FXAK69 PAFG 281546 AFDAFG

Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fairbanks AK 646 AM AKST Tue Nov 28 2023

SYNOPSIS
A warm southerly flow pattern over Northern Alaska will persist through Thu with temperatures remaining well above normal most areas. There will be periods of snow over the West Coast, Western Interior and Northern Interior through Wed, while the SE Interior will be under dry southerly chinook winds this afternoon into Wed, and the North Slope will be under dry southerly chinook winds late tonight into Wed. Conditions will cool towards normal late this week.

A storm west of the Bering Strait is causing south winds 20 to 30 mph along capes of the West Coast and over St Lawrence Island that will slowly weaken through tonight. This is causing snow showers over the West Coast from Seward Pen north and west that will diminish from the south today. This is also causing sea levels 2-3 ft above normal and elevate surf along the West Coast this morning that will decrease through the day today.

A storm in Bristol Bay will move north over the Southwest Interior this afternoon and then into the Northwest Interior tonight and weaken over NW AK on Wed. This will cause moderate to heavy snow north into the SW Interior this afternoon, moving over the Western Interior late this afternoon into this evening, and then over the NW Interior late tonight. Expect 2-4 inches of snow in about a 6hr period of time with this feature in most areas, but could see 6-7 inches in the Nulato Hills and near Kaltag.

This storm will cause southeast winds 15 mph gusting to 25 mph over the SW Interior this afternoon and over the Western Interior tonight. This will also cause south winds gusting to 70 mph over the Alaska Range this afternoon through Wed morning, and southeast winds gusting to 50 mph near Delta Junction this afternoon through Wed AM. As the storm moves north it will cause south winds gusting to 40 mph over the Brooks Range from midnight tonight through Wed afternoon.

Aloft...
The long wave pattern consists of a deep trough stretching from the North Pole south over the Bering Sea and Eastern Russia with a ridge over Western Canada and Eastern Alaska. This is causing a southerly flow pattern with a series of short wave troughs moving NE and digging into the ridge through the week and eventually pulling the long wave east over Alaska by the end of the week.
This has set up a warm pattern for the next several days with cooling towards normal by the end of the week.

Surface...
A 976 mb low 200 NM west of St Lawrence Island will weaken in place to 990 mb by 3am Wed, and to 997 mb by 3am Thu. A weatehr front stretching SE from this low is causing light snow over the West Coast and Interior north of the Seward Pen and Fairbanks that will diminishin from the south today.

A 988 mb low 300 NM north of Utqiagvik will move to 300 NM north of Barter Island as a 1006 mb low by 3am Wed and then continue east. This will cause patchy light snow and fog along the Arctic Coast today and tonight.

A 992 mb low 200 NM west of Point Hope will weaken slowly in place.

A low in Bristol Bay will move to 100 NM southeast of Kotzebue as a 996 mb low by 3am Wed and to near Utqiagvik as a 1003 mb low by 3am Thu. This will bring moderate to heavy snow over Western Interior today and tonight, and strong winds to the AK Range this afternoon into Wed AM, and to the Brooks Range late tonight into Wed.

DISCUSSION
At 00Z, models initialize well aloft. Models show similar solutions aloft through 3pm Wed, then start to show differences in short wave strength and timing that increase through time. The long wave patterns remain similar into the weekend. Will use a blend of models for features aloft through Thu.

850 mb temperatures range from -8 to -10 with warming to near -4 in the chinook shadow of the Alaska Range this afternoon into tonight and then remaining like that into Thu.

With precipitation, models show similar areal coverage and amounts through Thu. Will use a blend of models for pops and amounts.
Highlights are: Light snow Fairbanks east diminishing from the SW today with less than 1 inch additional snow. Light snow along the West Coast from the Seward Pen north diminishing from the south with less than an additional inch. Moderate to heavy snow spreading into north into the SW Interior this afternoon, moving over the Western Interior late this afternoon into this evening, and then over the NW Interior late tonight. Expect 2-4 inches of snow in about a 6hr period of time with this feature in most areas, but could see 6-7 inches in the Nulato Hills and near Kaltag.

At the surface at 06Z, the NAM verifies 3 mb too strong in the low in the Gulf of Anadyr while other models do well on that feature, and all models verify 2-3 mb too weak on the low near Cold Bay.
The NAM and ECMWF deepen the Cold Bay low more than the GFS this morning, and keep the low deeper as it moves north over the Western Interior this afternoon and tonight. Since this surface low will likely remain deeper than models indicate, favor the NAM/ECMWF solutions at the surface. Will use the NAM for surface winds, particularly along the AK Range where this deeper low will cause stronger winds as shown by the NAM. Highlights are: South winds 15-25 kt over the Northern Bering Sea decreasing this afternoon. Southeast winds 15 gust 25 mph over the SW Interior this afternoon and over the Western Interior tonight. South winds gusting to 70 mph over the Alaska Range this afternoon through Wed morning. Southeast winds gusting to 50 mph near Delta Junction this afternoon through Wed AM. South winds gusting to 40 mph over the Brooks Range from midnight tonight through Wed afternoon.

Coastal Hazard Potential Days 3 and 4...
Water levels along the West Coast are 2-3 feet above normal, but stronger winds and elevate surf remain west of Nome. Winds generally offshore Fri into Sat not significant coastal issued Fri into Sat.

PREV DISCUSSION
/issued 234 PM AKST Mon Nov 27 2023/

SYNOPSIS...

Elevated water levels of 2 to 3 feet above normal high tide remain expected into Tuesday along the West Coast. Moderate to potentially heavy snowfall is expected in the West Interior Tuesday late morning to evening. Very strong southerly winds, gusting 60 to 80 mph, within and immediately north of the Alaska Range are possible Tuesday afternoon to late Tuesday night. Blowing snow may occur on the Parks Highway within the Alaska Range Tuesday afternoon and evening. Temperatures returning to near-normal remain expected starting Saturday night and Sunday daytime.

DISCUSSION...

Upper levels, analysis and model discussion...

A closed low set up over the north-central Bering Sea this morning and remains around 972 mb this afternoon. Models have continued to struggle with the placement of a shortwave currently over Unalaska as it lifts northward tonight over Bristol Bay and enters the Alaskan Peninsula tomorrow morning. There was a notable shift eastward in the overnight 06Z and 12Z deterministic guidance in the main band of possible heavy snowfall for the West Interior. This trend was reversed somewhat with the 18Z guidance as the main band shifted slight back further westward. This ongoing trend keeps high uncertainty in the actual placement of the main band of heavy snowfall, but moderate confidence in moderate snowfall within the Winter Storm Watches. Models have trended even further up in expected wind speeds for Tuesday afternoon and overnight along the and immediately north of the Alaska Range. Gap winds of 70 to 80 mph are entirely possible Tuesday afternoon to early overnight.

Central and Eastern Interior...

A cold front moving northward this afternoon and tonight brings very light snowfall to the area. The more impactful time period is likely to be Tuesday afternoon through Tuesday night over and north of the Alaska Range when a shortwave passing from south to north over the West Interior increases the pressure gradient along the Range.
Southerly gap winds are enhanced as a low-level jet will already be in place from 50-60 knots per high res model guidance. The western AK Range and northward High Wind Watch remains in effect, with an expansion now into the the eastern Range and encompassing Delta Junction. While winds in Delta Junction and immediate surrounding areas likely will not reach Warning criteria, there is still fair confidence for the Watch with a possible upgrade to an Advisory down the road. Gap winds between Isabella Pass and north to Fort Greely could gust to 80 mph tomorrow night. The strongest winds are expected from early Tuesday evening to early Tuesday night. As the shortwave lifts into the western Arctic by Wednesday morning, winds drop off fairly quickly into mid-day so the Watch currently ends in the eastern zones at 6 AM Wed. Blowing snow may occur along the Parks Highway between Summit and Denali Airports Tuesday evening, which could drop visibility down to 1 mile from downstream snow being blown in from the west, even if winds are only 25 to 35 mph along the Highway. A Special Weather Statement has been issued for these blowing snow conditions. Temperatures five to ten degrees above normal persist into mid- week.

West Coast and Western Interior...

A front lifting northward this afternoon is located from Kotzebue Sound to the central Alaska Range and bringing scattered light rain/snow mix to the immediate coastline of the West Coast and snow to the West Interior. A few locations in the West Interior may see a quick inch or two of snowfall tonight into Tuesday morning, but impactful snowfall is not expected for the next 18 hours. A quick moving shortwave lifts northward from the Alaska Peninsula Tuesday early morning. This will be a time when a quick 3 to 6 inches, locally up to 7 inches, may fall for the Lower Kuskowim Valley, including west of McGrath, and the central and lower Yukon River valleys throughout the West Interior. Winter Storm Watches remain in effect for the Lower/Central Yukon River zones and was expanded into the Kuskowin Valley zone, including McGrath, for that potential of moderate to locally heavy snowfall by Tuesday night. Winds also quickly increase and may gust to 45 mph in McGrath, to create blowing snow and limited visibility concerns. Strong winds are also possible in the southwestern Alaska Range Tuesday late morning to Tuesday night, with a High Wind Watch remaining in effect.

Ongoing strong southerly winds 25 to 35 knots are expected to continue to build water levels against the southwest Seward Peninsula Coast, Bering Strait Coastlines, the south side of St Lawrence Island and possibly the Yukon Delta. Ensemble guidance still shows the most likely elevated water levels from 2 to 3 feet lasting into Tuesday. Those water levels through Tuesday afternoon recede Tuesday night and return to near-normal by Wednesday evening.

North Slope and Brooks Range...

Ongoing freezing fog along the eastern half of the Arctic Ocean tapers this evening as onshore to shore parallel flow veers offshore across the entire Coast tonight. The next few days will feature multiple chances of light snowfall. The incoming cold front from the south first brings very light snowfall to the central and western North Slope region tonight. South to southwest flow continues into tomorrow ahead of an advancing shortwave through the West Interior.
The western Brooks Range and northwest Arctic Coast may see a few inches of snowfall late Tuesday night into early Wednesday morning.
As a low deepens over the West Interior Thursday morning, another weak shortwave rotates through the mean easterly trough rotates northwestward and could bring another chance of very light snow.

Extended Forecast Days 4-7...

Still warm, southerly air advects into the Interior Thursday PM and Friday. This will lead to temperatures remaining 5 to 10 degrees above normal. Easterly off-shore flow over the West Coast leads to drier conditions, except the Yukon Delta where a low pressure over the southeast Bering keeps shore-parallel moisture in the southwest coastlines. Colder air slides into the Interior Saturday night from east to west and then spreads at or slightly below normal temperatures areawide into early next week. Expect at or below zero temperatures beginning Saturday night and carrying forward.

Coastal Hazard Potential Days 3 and 4...None.

AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AK...Winter Storm Watch for AKZ829.
Winter Storm Watch for AKZ830-852.
High Wind Watch for AKZ837-849.
High Wind Watch for AKZ847-851.
PK...Small Craft Advisory for PKZ806-807-850-856.
Small Craft Advisory for PKZ811.
Brisk Wind Advisory for PKZ812.
Brisk Wind Advisory for PKZ813.
Gale Warning for PKZ851.
Small Craft Advisory for PKZ853-858.


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
PACZ CAPE ROMANZOF LRRS,AK 3 sm40 minSE 1210 smClear28°F23°F80%29.35

Wind History from ACZ
(wind in knots)


Tide / Current for Cape Romanzof, Bering Sea, Alaska
   
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Cape Romanzof, Bering Sea, Alaska, Tide feet



Tide / Current for Kokechik Bay, Cape Romanzof, Alaska
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Kokechik Bay
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Tue -- 01:38 AM AKST     5.07 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:06 AM AKST     -1.12 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 10:47 AM AKST     Sunrise
Tue -- 02:28 PM AKST     Moonset
Tue -- 03:16 PM AKST     7.37 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:03 PM AKST     Moonrise
Tue -- 04:55 PM AKST     Sunset
Tue -- 09:21 PM AKST     2.48 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Kokechik Bay, Cape Romanzof, Alaska, Tide feet
12
am
4.5
1
am
5
2
am
5
3
am
4.5
4
am
3.4
5
am
2.1
6
am
0.6
7
am
-0.6
8
am
-1.1
9
am
-0.8
10
am
0.4
11
am
2.1
12
pm
3.9
1
pm
5.6
2
pm
6.8
3
pm
7.3
4
pm
7.2
5
pm
6.5
6
pm
5.4
7
pm
4.2
8
pm
3.1
9
pm
2.5
10
pm
2.6
11
pm
3.1




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