Friday, December13, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Van Buren, ME

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 10:07AMSunset 2:34PM Friday December 13, 2019 5:31 AM -03 (08:31 UTC) Moonrise 4:30PMMoonset 11:38AM Illumination 97% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Van Buren, ME
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location: 62.5, -42.96     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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FXUS61 KCAR 130603 AFDCAR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Caribou ME 103 AM EST Fri Dec 13 2019

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will move southeast of the region overnight. A warm front will lift north of the area Friday. Low pressure will lift north across Maine Saturday. A cold front will cross the region Sunday. High pressure will build toward the region later Monday. Low pressure will cross the region Tuesday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/. 1 AM Update . Temperatures at this hour have fallen into the single digits below zero across the northern valleys. Across central and Downeast areas, temperatures were in the mid to upper teens, as there was some thicker high clouds there. Temperatures across the north should begin to level off later this morning as cloud cover thickens. We could see a little light snow shower activity across the St. John Valley later this morning but little if any accumulation is expected.

Just made minor tweaks to hourly temperatures, dew points and cloud cover, otherwise no significant changes to overnight forecast elements.

Previous Discussion . The disturbance passing to the north of Maine will bring the chance for brief snow showers in the Crown of Maine through the early morning hours Friday, but little more than a dusting can be expected.

Continual exit of the high will increase return flow rates, as well as moisture advection ahead of an approaching system forming over the Mid-Atlantic states Friday. Precip will be advancing towards the region later Friday, with snow showers in central Maine and rain towards Downeast. There may be a small period of freezing drizzle in the western higher elevations, but currently not forecasting headline worthy amounts.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/. A warm front will move north of the region Friday night while low pressure intensifies along the Mid-Atlantic coast. Expect rising temperatures Friday night with warm advection. Moisture also begins to expand north in advance of the Mid-Atlantic low with increasing precipitation chances. Across Downeast areas, expect a rain/snow mix early Friday night which will transition to rain overnight. Snow will transition to a snow/rain mix across central portions of the forecast area, with mostly snow across northern areas. The low will lift across western New England Saturday. Precipitation will remain in the form of rain Downeast Saturday. Snow will transition to rain across the remainder of the region through Saturday morning into the afternoon. Total snow accumulations through early Saturday, before the transition to rain, will generally range from 1 to 2 inches across the north and mountains with the greater totals across the Saint John Valley and higher terrain areas. Snow totals diminish southward across the forecast area with less than an inch expected across Downeast areas. A low level jet will transport abundant moisture across the region Saturday, with the heavier rains across Downeast areas. The low will track to northern Maine Saturday night drawing a strong cold front across Quebec province. Precipitation will remain in the form of rain Saturday night. The intensifying low will track toward Labrador Sunday drawing the cold front across the region through the morning into the afternoon. The heavier precipitation will exit across the Maritimes in advance of the cold front. Precipitation will remain in the form of rain in advance of the cold front, then transition to snow or snow showers following the cold front. Strong gusty southwest/west winds will develop in the wake of the cold front. Temperatures will be at above normal levels Saturday, then remain at above normal levels Sunday in advance of the cold front. Temperatures will fall following the cold front.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/. Snow showers could linger across the north and mountains Sunday night. Otherwise, expect mostly cloudy skies north with decreasing clouds Downeast Sunday night. Expect decreasing clouds north, mostly sunny Downeast Monday. High pressure will build toward the region later Monday. The tight pressure gradient between the intense Labrador low and building high pressure will support strong gusty west winds Monday, with winds decreasing late. Low pressure should affect the region Tuesday. However, the track of the low remains uncertain. Precipitation chances/types/amounts will be dependent on the eventual track. The low should exit across the Maritimes Wednesday. Generally expect partly/mostly cloudy skies Wednesday with a chance of snow showers. High pressure should build toward the region Thursday with mostly/partly cloudy skies north, partly cloudy/mostly sunny skies Downeast. Temperatures will be at below normal levels Monday through Thursday.

AVIATION /06Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. NEAR TERM: 1 AM Update . VFR conditions expected, except brief MVFR is possible in any scattered snow showers vcnty KFVE.

SHORT TERM: Friday night . Conditions lowering to IFR/LIFR levels with snow north, a snow/rain mix across central areas and snow changing to rain Downeast.

Saturday . IFR/LIFR. Snow or a wintry mix transitioning to rain north, with rain Downeast.

Sunday . IFR/LIFR early. MVFR/IFR during the afternoon, then VFR/MVFR late. Rain early. Precipitation transitioning to snow or snow showers following a cold front. Strong gusty southwest/west winds following the cold front.

Monday . VFR/MVFR early, then VFR. Strong gusty west winds.

Monday night . VFR with decreasing winds.

Tuesday . Potential low pressure, though the track remains uncertain. Precipitation chances/types and conditions dependent on the eventual track.

MARINE. NEAR TERM: Conditions will remain below small craft advisory levels overnight. An increasing southerly wind fetch will again build waves Friday afternoon and evening towards 5 feet, with winds close to SCA criteria before again falling Friday evening.

SHORT TERM: Small craft advisory conditions Friday night through Saturday night, with gusts possibly approaching gale levels later Saturday. Gale force winds developing Sunday. Visibilities reduced in rain Friday night into Sunday.

CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. ME . None. MARINE . None.



Near Term . Duda Short Term . Norcross Long Term . Norcross Aviation . Duda/Norcross Marine . Duda/Norcross


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NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.