Monday, January20, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Buckland, AK

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 9:44AMSunset 4:36PM Monday January 20, 2020 9:47 AM AKST (18:47 UTC) Moonrise 7:00AMMoonset 11:50AM Illumination 20% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 25 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PKZ215 Kotzebue Sound- 342 Am Akst Mon Jan 20 2020
Today..E winds 20 kt. Blowing snow.
Tonight..E winds 20 kt.
Tue..E winds 15 kt.
Tue night..E winds 15 kt.
Wed..SW winds 10 kt.
Wed night..SW winds 10 kt.
Thu..NW winds 10 kt.
Fri..NW winds 15 kt.
PKZ200 Norton Sound- 342 Am Akst Mon Jan 20 2020
Today..SE winds 15 kt.
Tonight..E winds 10 kt.
Tue..E winds 10 kt.
Tue night..SW winds 10 kt.
Wed..SW winds 10 kt.
Wed night..SW winds 10 kt.
Thu..N winds 10 kt.
Fri..N winds 15 kt.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Buckland, AK
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location: 66.13, -161.87     debug


Area Discussion for -
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FXAK69 PAFG 201210 AFDAFG

Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fairbanks AK 310 AM AKST Mon Jan 20 2020

Synopsis . Mostly clear across the state again this morning. A band of stratus over the Arctic Coast continues to produce a few flurries, and some patchy fog, but very localized. A decaying front moving onto the West Coast this morning will bring some snow showers to St Lawrence Island, the Bering Strait Coast, and the Lower Yukon Delta this morning and into the Western Interior later today. The front will push east into the Western Interior this afternoon bringing some flurries or light snow to those areas and will continue to weaken over the Central Interior tonight and Wednesday. The clouds and flurries associated with this front will bring a brief warm up to the Central and Eastern Interior tonight and Wednesday before another cold airmass moves back in over the interior by late in the week.

DISCUSSION. Models . Good run to run continuity continues with the 20/00Z solutions initializing well against the 00z surface analysis and the 20/06z model solutions verifying well against the 06z surface analysis. Solutions remain in good agreement to around 72 hours before we see changes that may impact the forecast. Surface highs in the Upper Tanana Valley and Upper Yukon Flats continue to initialize about 5 mb high than the solutions, while the lows to the west are about 2 mb weaker than the solutions. Temperatures continue to be a challenge with local cloud or lack there of playing havoc on temperature forecasts. Will continue to make some minor adjustments locally to the temperatures to match with current temperatures and trends.

Aloft at 500 mb, a strong and deep longwave trough centered over the eastern Bering Sea will slowly nudge south and east through the middle of the week and will be centered along a Wrangel Island to Fairbanks line Wednesday and along a Point Barrow to Anchorage line Thursday and Friday. An upper level ridge will remain over the Yukon through the period. A second upper level ridge will build north and east into the Central Bering Sea beginning Wednesday and will continue to build through the weekend. A cold airmass will spill south and east out of Siberia into Alaska beginning Wednesday and will continue through the weekend. 850 mb temperatures at Fairbanks will fall from around 15 below on Wednesday to around 20 below on Friday and will drop to around 25 below by Saturday. A deep upper level low both at 500 mb as well as 700 mb and 850 mb will move north into the northern Gulf of Alaska near Yakutat on Friday and will bring significant moisture north and west into the Eastern and Central Interior which will overrun the deep arctic airmass that will be in place over the Eastern and Central Interior. The overunning will produce snow over the Central and Eastern Interior with perhaps heavy snow developing along a deformation zone that will set up north and west of Fairbanks on Friday and Saturday. Will need to monitor for significant snow potential over the Central and Eastern Interior Friday and next weekend.

Arctic Coast and Brooks Range . Some stratus, flurries, and patchy dense fog along the Central coast, otherwise mostly clear. Winds will be swinging around from south to northeast as the trough of low pressure moves offshore, then dissipates with high pressure over the northeast pushing back to the southwest. Low pressure will build east over the Arctic Plain tonight and Tuesday, then lift northeast offshore Tuesday evening.

West Coast and Western Interior . A weak front continues to push on shore and into the Western Interior and will bring some flurries or light snow to into the Norton Sound and Chukchi Sea/Kotzebue Sound Region today. Expect gusty winds along the coast along with scattered snow showers and light winds to prevail inland. Temperatures will warm slightly with the cloud and light snow.

Central and Eastern Interior . Mostly clear continues with a few high clouds moving through. Temperatures warming slightly today. The Tanana Valley Jet has weekend overnight but is expected to pick up again later today with 15 to 30 mph winds expected. The remainder of the area will have light and variable winds through Tuesday. Snow Tuesday night and Wednesday is expected to accumulate around 1 inch over the Central and Eastern Interior.

Extended forecast for days 4 to 7 . Cold air moving back in from the northwest will push temperatures down. A decaying front will be exiting the forecast area to the northeast, but an easterly wave will be pushing west an north spreading moisture into the southeast Interior and eventually the Central Interior late Thursday and Friday setting up an overrunning snow event for much of the Central and Eastern Interior. At this time computer models continue to indicate that the heaviest snow is expected to fall along and south of a line from Old Crow to Fort Yukon to Tanana and north of a Eagle to Fairbanks to Lake Minchumina line with a deformation zone expected to set up over this area. Strong and gusty northeast winds are expected over the highway summits over the Interior and combined with falling snow will likely produce limited visibilities in blowing and drifting snow as well as low wind chill values especially over the Interior highway summits. Snow will diminish slowly on Saturday and will bring cooler temperatures for the weekend.

Coastal Hazard Potential Days 3 and 4 . None.

AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. Brisk Wind Advisory for PKZ210-PKZ220.

CCC JAN 20


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Buckland, Buckland Airport, AK41 mi52 minSSW 410.00 miOvercast-2°F-9°F72%999.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for PABL

Wind History from ABL (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS6SE3SE7S94SE16S9S9S7SE9S5S7S7S8S7S5S5S9S6Calm--S12S7S4
1 day agoS9S12S6E19
G26
SE15
G22
--S9S9S10S8S10S11S10S10S9S10S10S8S8--S9S7S8S7
2 days agoE19
G24
E18E15E7SE16SE34SW4SE3SE10SE11SE14
G19
SE12SE8SE11S7--E14SE65E14
G19
SE7S3E16
G22

Tide / Current Tables for Kiwalik, Kotzebue Sound, Alaska
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Kiwalik
Click for Map
Mon -- 04:49 AM AKST     1.75 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:00 AM AKST     Moonrise
Mon -- 09:34 AM AKST     0.84 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 11:26 AM AKST     Sunrise
Mon -- 12:50 PM AKST     Moonset
Mon -- 04:18 PM AKST     2.74 feet High Tide
Mon -- 04:30 PM AKST     Sunset
Mon -- 11:24 PM AKST     0.06 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.50.81.21.51.71.71.61.41.10.90.911.31.72.22.62.72.72.41.91.30.70.30.1

Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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wmap_P
GEOS Local Image of Alaska    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Ground Weather Radar Station Nome, AK
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.