Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Little Silver, NJ
June 3, 2024 7:31 PM EDT (23:31 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 5:25 AM Sunset 8:22 PM Moonrise 3:15 AM Moonset 5:27 PM |
ANZ450 Coastal Waters From Sandy Hook To Manasquan Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- 721 Pm Edt Mon Jun 3 2024
Tonight - S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se after midnight. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 5 seconds and E 1 foot at 9 seconds. Patchy fog late this evening. Areas of dense fog after midnight. Vsby 1 to 3 nm late this evening, decreasing to 1 nm or less.
Tue - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: se 2 ft at 5 seconds and E 1 foot at 9 seconds. Areas of dense fog in the morning, then patchy fog in the afternoon. Vsby 1 nm or less in the morning.
Tue night - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: se 2 ft at 4 seconds and se 1 foot at 8 seconds. Areas of dense fog in the evening, then areas of fog after midnight. Vsby 1 nm or less.
Wed - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 4 seconds and se 1 foot at 8 seconds. Areas of fog in the morning with vsby 1 nm or less.
Wed night - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: se 3 ft at 7 seconds. A chance of showers and tstms in the evening, then showers with a chance of tstms after midnight.
Thu - S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Wave detail: se 4 ft at 7 seconds. Showers, mainly in the morning.
Thu night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of showers.
Fri - W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft. A chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.
Fri night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers and tstms in the evening.
Sat - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers in the afternoon.
Sat night - W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. A chance of showers.
winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
ANZ400 721 Pm Edt Mon Jun 3 2024
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay - Surface high pressure over the area slides offshore by Wednesday and moves out to sea on Thursday. A weak disturbance passes through the region tonight, and then low pressure passes through on Thursday. An upper trough sets up over the northeast for the end of the week and through next weekend.
Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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FXUS61 KPHI 032135 AFDPHI
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 535 PM EDT Mon Jun 3 2024
SYNOPSIS
Surface high pressure over the area slides offshore by Wednesday and moves out to sea on Thursday. A weak disturbance passes through the region tonight, and then low pressure passes through on Thursday. An upper trough sets up over the Northeast for the end of the week and through next weekend.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/
A relatively nice start to the nice week is ongoing as temperatures are in the low to mid 80s under partly cloudy skies. A sea and bay breeze is visible on radar. This will be the focus point for any showers/thunderstorms this afternoon. We have already seen some convective initiation in southern Delaware, and would expect more near the Central and Southern New Jersey coasts later this afternoon. However, expecting storms to remain sub-severe as effective shear is less than 20 kt. Better instability is over the Delmarva peninsula right now as well, which explains why storms have already started to fire up down that way. 19z mesoanalysis shows around 1500-2000 J/kg of SBCAPE over the Delmarva peninsula with around 1000-1500 J/kg over the NJ Coastal Plain. With weak shear however, just expecting to thunderstorms to develop and quickly collapse.
There is some DCAPE, currently around 600-800 J/Kg, so we could see a stronger downburst this afternoon, but not overly concerned this afternoon with convection. Outside of Delmarva and the NJ coastal plain, it will be dry.
For tonight, high pressure begins to slide in from the north, resulting in a weak onshore flow developing. Some patchy fog is expected, mainly in areas near/along the coast. Otherwise, it will be a quiet night with temperatures in the low to mid 60s.
For Tuesday, a ridge axis slides overhead with high pressure in control at the surface. Should be a nice and quiet day overall.
With the weak onshore flow, areas near the coast will stay in the 70s. Elsewhere, expect low to mid 80s.
SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/
Upper level ridge over the area Tuesday night will flatten out on Wednesday. Meanwhile, a nearly vertically stacked area of low pressure over central Canada will dig down into the upper Midwest and Great Lakes. A trough develops out ahead of this, and weak surface low pressure develops over the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast. Scattered showers and thunderstorms develop by Wednesday afternoon, with showers becoming likely late in the day for the eastern shores of Maryland. Dew points rise well into the 60s, so there could be a locally heavy downpour or two in the afternoon.
Low pressure then passes over the area Wednesday night, departing Thursday afternoon. Will carry likely PoPs for the region during this time. There may be enough instability for thunderstorms as well, so will keep chance for thunderstorms.
Highs will be in the lower 80s both Wednesday and Thursday, though Thursday may be a degree or two warmer, depending on when rain ends and skies clear out. But it will be fairly humid with dew points well in the 60s.
LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/
Surface low pressure moves out to sea Thursday evening. A cold front approaches from the northwest as a closed upper low builds down into the Great Lakes, Ohio Valley, and Northeast. This closed low will park over the Northeast through the weekend, possibly starting to depart on Monday.
Several waves of shortwave energy will rotate through the trough. While this timeframe does not look to be a washout, there will be chances for showers and thunderstorms each day.
Best chances for convection will be during the afternoon hours, when peak heating will allow for highest instability.
High temperatures during this period will generally be at or just shy of normal, topping off in the upper 70s to around 80.
Lows will be in the 50s to around 60.
AVIATION /21Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.
Today...Prevailing VFR conditions with scattered clouds. Chance (30%) of a shower/thunderstorm through 00z around KACY/KMIV.
Brief period of sub- VFR conditions possible with a stronger storm. Winds 5 kt or less out of the west/northwest. Moderate confidence.
Tonight...VFR to start though some patchy fog around KMIV/KACY could bring visibility restrictions down to IFR. Fog develops after 06z. Everywhere else should stay VFR though cannot rule out some visibility at KRDG with patchy fog (20% chance). Winds generally light and variable 5 kt or less, though an east/southeast direction will be favored. Moderate confidence overall.
Tuesday...Any restrictions lift back to VFR by 12z-13z. VFR through the day. Winds out of the east around 5 kt. High confidence.
Outlook...
Tuesday night...VFR.
Wednesday through Thursday...Restrictions likely in SHRA/scattered TSRA.
Friday through Saturday...Primarily VFR, but scattered SHRA/TSRA could result in brief restrictions.
MARINE
No marine headlines expected through Tuesday. Winds out of the east/southeast at 10 kt or less with seas around 2 feet. 20-30% chance of showers/thunderstorms this afternoon off the coast of southern NJ and Delaware.
Outlook...
Tuesday night...Sub-SCA conditions. Fair weather.
Wednesday through Thursday...Primarily sub-SCA conditions, though occasional gusts to 25 kt are possible. VSBY restrictions likely in showers, and scattered thunderstorms possible as well.
Friday through Saturday...Sub-SCA conditions. Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly during the daytime hours.
Rip Currents...
A LOW risk for the development of rip currents is in place for Tuesday. Winds will be on onshore, but only around 10 MPH, with 1-2 foot waves and a short to medium period, resulting in the low risk.
For Wednesday, winds increase to 10-15 mph but winds will be less directly onshore. Combined with continuing 1 to 2 foot waves and short to medium period keeps the overall risk for rip current development at LOW.
For specific beach forecasts, visit weather.gov/beach/phi
Rip currents occur often in the vicinities of jetties and piers. Utilize any guarded beaches if venturing out into the water.
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
With the return of sustained onshore flow and the approaching New Moon on Thursday, there is also a return of the threat for tidal flooding for much of our coastal region. The threat will begin with the evening high tide on Tuesday, though primarily spotty minor flooding is expected as the onshore winds will be relatively weak around 10 mph. Cannot completely rule out some widespread minor flooding if winds are a bit stronger. For Wednesday and Thursday, the threat for widespread minor flooding looks to increase as winds strengthen on Wednesday then turn and become shore parallel on Thursday, potentially trapping water along the coast. As of now, no coastal flooding headlines have been issued but we will continue to monitor the coming high tides and make adjustments to the forecast accordingly.
Overall, the threat for tidal flooding appears to be lower along the Chesapeake Bay than elsewhere in the region but by the early morning high tide Thursday, water levels may also approach spotty minor.
PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 535 PM EDT Mon Jun 3 2024
SYNOPSIS
Surface high pressure over the area slides offshore by Wednesday and moves out to sea on Thursday. A weak disturbance passes through the region tonight, and then low pressure passes through on Thursday. An upper trough sets up over the Northeast for the end of the week and through next weekend.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/
A relatively nice start to the nice week is ongoing as temperatures are in the low to mid 80s under partly cloudy skies. A sea and bay breeze is visible on radar. This will be the focus point for any showers/thunderstorms this afternoon. We have already seen some convective initiation in southern Delaware, and would expect more near the Central and Southern New Jersey coasts later this afternoon. However, expecting storms to remain sub-severe as effective shear is less than 20 kt. Better instability is over the Delmarva peninsula right now as well, which explains why storms have already started to fire up down that way. 19z mesoanalysis shows around 1500-2000 J/kg of SBCAPE over the Delmarva peninsula with around 1000-1500 J/kg over the NJ Coastal Plain. With weak shear however, just expecting to thunderstorms to develop and quickly collapse.
There is some DCAPE, currently around 600-800 J/Kg, so we could see a stronger downburst this afternoon, but not overly concerned this afternoon with convection. Outside of Delmarva and the NJ coastal plain, it will be dry.
For tonight, high pressure begins to slide in from the north, resulting in a weak onshore flow developing. Some patchy fog is expected, mainly in areas near/along the coast. Otherwise, it will be a quiet night with temperatures in the low to mid 60s.
For Tuesday, a ridge axis slides overhead with high pressure in control at the surface. Should be a nice and quiet day overall.
With the weak onshore flow, areas near the coast will stay in the 70s. Elsewhere, expect low to mid 80s.
SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/
Upper level ridge over the area Tuesday night will flatten out on Wednesday. Meanwhile, a nearly vertically stacked area of low pressure over central Canada will dig down into the upper Midwest and Great Lakes. A trough develops out ahead of this, and weak surface low pressure develops over the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast. Scattered showers and thunderstorms develop by Wednesday afternoon, with showers becoming likely late in the day for the eastern shores of Maryland. Dew points rise well into the 60s, so there could be a locally heavy downpour or two in the afternoon.
Low pressure then passes over the area Wednesday night, departing Thursday afternoon. Will carry likely PoPs for the region during this time. There may be enough instability for thunderstorms as well, so will keep chance for thunderstorms.
Highs will be in the lower 80s both Wednesday and Thursday, though Thursday may be a degree or two warmer, depending on when rain ends and skies clear out. But it will be fairly humid with dew points well in the 60s.
LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/
Surface low pressure moves out to sea Thursday evening. A cold front approaches from the northwest as a closed upper low builds down into the Great Lakes, Ohio Valley, and Northeast. This closed low will park over the Northeast through the weekend, possibly starting to depart on Monday.
Several waves of shortwave energy will rotate through the trough. While this timeframe does not look to be a washout, there will be chances for showers and thunderstorms each day.
Best chances for convection will be during the afternoon hours, when peak heating will allow for highest instability.
High temperatures during this period will generally be at or just shy of normal, topping off in the upper 70s to around 80.
Lows will be in the 50s to around 60.
AVIATION /21Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.
Today...Prevailing VFR conditions with scattered clouds. Chance (30%) of a shower/thunderstorm through 00z around KACY/KMIV.
Brief period of sub- VFR conditions possible with a stronger storm. Winds 5 kt or less out of the west/northwest. Moderate confidence.
Tonight...VFR to start though some patchy fog around KMIV/KACY could bring visibility restrictions down to IFR. Fog develops after 06z. Everywhere else should stay VFR though cannot rule out some visibility at KRDG with patchy fog (20% chance). Winds generally light and variable 5 kt or less, though an east/southeast direction will be favored. Moderate confidence overall.
Tuesday...Any restrictions lift back to VFR by 12z-13z. VFR through the day. Winds out of the east around 5 kt. High confidence.
Outlook...
Tuesday night...VFR.
Wednesday through Thursday...Restrictions likely in SHRA/scattered TSRA.
Friday through Saturday...Primarily VFR, but scattered SHRA/TSRA could result in brief restrictions.
MARINE
No marine headlines expected through Tuesday. Winds out of the east/southeast at 10 kt or less with seas around 2 feet. 20-30% chance of showers/thunderstorms this afternoon off the coast of southern NJ and Delaware.
Outlook...
Tuesday night...Sub-SCA conditions. Fair weather.
Wednesday through Thursday...Primarily sub-SCA conditions, though occasional gusts to 25 kt are possible. VSBY restrictions likely in showers, and scattered thunderstorms possible as well.
Friday through Saturday...Sub-SCA conditions. Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly during the daytime hours.
Rip Currents...
A LOW risk for the development of rip currents is in place for Tuesday. Winds will be on onshore, but only around 10 MPH, with 1-2 foot waves and a short to medium period, resulting in the low risk.
For Wednesday, winds increase to 10-15 mph but winds will be less directly onshore. Combined with continuing 1 to 2 foot waves and short to medium period keeps the overall risk for rip current development at LOW.
For specific beach forecasts, visit weather.gov/beach/phi
Rip currents occur often in the vicinities of jetties and piers. Utilize any guarded beaches if venturing out into the water.
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
With the return of sustained onshore flow and the approaching New Moon on Thursday, there is also a return of the threat for tidal flooding for much of our coastal region. The threat will begin with the evening high tide on Tuesday, though primarily spotty minor flooding is expected as the onshore winds will be relatively weak around 10 mph. Cannot completely rule out some widespread minor flooding if winds are a bit stronger. For Wednesday and Thursday, the threat for widespread minor flooding looks to increase as winds strengthen on Wednesday then turn and become shore parallel on Thursday, potentially trapping water along the coast. As of now, no coastal flooding headlines have been issued but we will continue to monitor the coming high tides and make adjustments to the forecast accordingly.
Overall, the threat for tidal flooding appears to be lower along the Chesapeake Bay than elsewhere in the region but by the early morning high tide Thursday, water levels may also approach spotty minor.
PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ | 9 mi | 43 min | SE 6G | 78°F | 66°F | 29.89 | ||
| 44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor | 17 mi | 31 min | S 5.8G | 69°F | 66°F | 29.89 | 67°F | |
| MHRN6 | 23 mi | 43 min | SE 7G | |||||
| ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ | 23 mi | 43 min | S 12G | 80°F | 29.88 | |||
| BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY | 26 mi | 43 min | 81°F | 65°F | 29.83 | |||
| KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY | 36 mi | 43 min | NNE 2.9G | 76°F | 63°F | 29.89 | ||
| 44022 - Execution Rocks | 41 mi | 31 min | E 1.9 | 74°F | 29.86 | 63°F | ||
| 44091 | 41 mi | 35 min | 67°F | 2 ft | ||||
| NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA | 41 mi | 43 min | NE 1G | 83°F | 73°F | 29.89 | ||
| 44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY | 45 mi | 31 min | S 3.9G | 68°F | 67°F | 29.90 | 66°F | |
| BDRN4 - 8539094 - Burlington, Delaware River, NJ | 48 mi | 55 min | ENE 2.9G | 29.86 |
toggle option: (graph/table)
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KBLM MONMOUTH EXECUTIVE,NJ | 11 sm | 35 min | SSE 04 | A Few Clouds | 79°F | 64°F | 61% | 29.91 | ||
| KLDJ LINDEN,NJ | 23 sm | 1.6 hrs | SSE 07 | 10 sm | Overcast | 84°F | 52°F | 33% | 29.87 |
Tide / Current for Gooseneck Point, bridge, Shrewsbury River, New Jersey
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Gooseneck Point, bridge, Shrewsbury River, New Jersey, Tide feet
The Narrows
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:20 AM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 03:14 AM EDT Moonrise
Mon -- 04:53 AM EDT 1.56 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 05:26 AM EDT Sunrise
Mon -- 07:38 AM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 10:52 AM EDT -2.15 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 02:21 PM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 05:17 PM EDT 2.15 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 05:27 PM EDT Moonset
Mon -- 08:21 PM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 08:22 PM EDT Sunset
Mon -- 11:33 PM EDT -2.31 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:20 AM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 03:14 AM EDT Moonrise
Mon -- 04:53 AM EDT 1.56 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 05:26 AM EDT Sunrise
Mon -- 07:38 AM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 10:52 AM EDT -2.15 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 02:21 PM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 05:17 PM EDT 2.15 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 05:27 PM EDT Moonset
Mon -- 08:21 PM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 08:22 PM EDT Sunset
Mon -- 11:33 PM EDT -2.31 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
The Narrows, Midchannel, New York Harbor, New York Current, knots
| 12 am |
| -1.8 |
| 1 am |
| -1.2 |
| 2 am |
| -0.4 |
| 3 am |
| 0.7 |
| 4 am |
| 1.4 |
| 5 am |
| 1.6 |
| 6 am |
| 1.4 |
| 7 am |
| 0.7 |
| 8 am |
| -0.4 |
| 9 am |
| -1.3 |
| 10 am |
| -1.9 |
| 11 am |
| -2.1 |
| 12 pm |
| -1.8 |
| 1 pm |
| -1.2 |
| 2 pm |
| -0.4 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 4 pm |
| 1.7 |
| 5 pm |
| 2.1 |
| 6 pm |
| 2.1 |
| 7 pm |
| 1.5 |
| 8 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 9 pm |
| -0.7 |
| 10 pm |
| -1.7 |
| 11 pm |
| -2.2 |
Philadelphia, PA,
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