Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Miramar Beach, FL
June 1, 2024 5:15 PM CDT (22:15 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 5:43 AM Sunset 7:45 PM Moonrise 2:14 AM Moonset 2:45 PM |
GMZ636 Expires:202406020830;;269974 Fzus54 Kmob 012002 Cwfmob
coastal waters forecast national weather service mobile al 302 pm cdt Sat jun 1 2024
gulf coastal waters okaloosa walton county line to pascagoula out 60 nm
seas are given as significant wave height - .which is the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be more than twice the significant wave height.
gmz635-636-020830- western choctawhatchee bay-eastern choctawhatchee bay- 302 pm cdt Sat jun 1 2024
Tonight - South winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots, diminishing to 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less. A moderate chop. Showers and Thunderstorms likely early this evening, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms late this evening and overnight.
Sunday - South winds around 5 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Smooth. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday night - South winds around 5 knots in the evening, becoming light and variable. Waves 1 foot or less. Smooth.
Monday - East winds around 5 knots, becoming south in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Monday night - Southwest winds around 5 knots in the evening, becoming light and variable. Waves 1 foot or less. Smooth.
Tuesday - Southeast winds around 5 knots, becoming south in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop.
Tuesday night - Southwest winds around 5 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Smooth.
Wednesday - South winds around 5 knots, becoming southwest in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop.
Wednesday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop.
Thursday - West winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday night - West winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
coastal waters forecast national weather service mobile al 302 pm cdt Sat jun 1 2024
gulf coastal waters okaloosa walton county line to pascagoula out 60 nm
seas are given as significant wave height - .which is the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be more than twice the significant wave height.
gmz635-636-020830- western choctawhatchee bay-eastern choctawhatchee bay- 302 pm cdt Sat jun 1 2024
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
GMZ600 302 Pm Cdt Sat Jun 1 2024
Synopsis - A moderate southeasterly flow today is expected to gradually weaken to a light onshore flow by Sunday. This overall pattern is anticipated to continue through midweek. Seas will also begin to subside Sunday and Monday.
Area Discussion for - Tallahassee, FL
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FXUS62 KTAE 012008 AFDTAE
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 408 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024
...New SYNOPSIS, NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER, HYDROLOGY...
SYNOPSIS
Issued at 408 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024
A broad upper trough will cross the Southeast States on Sunday, bringing a high coverage of pop-up afternoon and evening thunderstorms. Weak high pressure will build in over the course of Monday and Tuesday, diminishing the convective coverage to isolated for Tuesday and Wednesday. The tail end of a cold front will brush by on Thursday night and Friday, with an increase to scattered coverage. A drier air mass and elimination of thunder chances will follow next weekend.
NEAR TERM
(Through Sunday)
Issued at 408 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024
A weaker mid and upper level shortwave trough looks to pass through the deep south on Sunday, which will provide the main focus for shower and thunderstorm development across the region. Overall the highest rain chances are around 50-70% across the Tri-state area with deep tropical moisture remaining in place. Thunderstorm development looks to be a more traditional June summer convective day, with storm initiation expected later in the afternoon and evening as the day heats up. PWATs will generally be in the 1.6-1.8 inch range, which is enough to produce extremely efficient rainfall rates across the region. Given these values, there will be a threat for localized flash flooding with thunderstorms that become quasi- stationary over the same areas for extended periods of time. Along with the threat for localized flash flooding, a few storms could produce strong gusty winds with more vigorous downbursts that develop. This will partially be aided by DCAPE values in the 800- 1000 J/Kg range tomorrow. Thunderstorms should quickly diminish within 1-2 hours of sunset Sunday evening.
Look for low temperatures in the morning look to generally fall into the upper 60s areawide. High temperatures look to climb into the mid to upper 80s.
SHORT TERM
(Sunday night through Monday night)
Issued at 408 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024
The broad upper trough that will move across the Southeast States on Sunday will start to exit off to the east on Sunday night. Weak upper ridging will build in from the west on Monday and Monday night. Our 500 mb flow will transition from cyclonic to anti- cyclonic, and weak surface high pressure will develop and drop anchor over the northeast Gulf. Against this backdrop, modest mid- level drying will reduce convective coverage on Monday, compared with Sunday.
LONG TERM
(Tuesday through Friday)
Issued at 408 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024
A drier pattern with isolated afternoon thunderstorms will prevail. The upper pattern will amplify, with a strong upper high developing over the Southern U.S. Rockies and Southern High Plains, resulting in downstream NW flow aloft across the Tri-State area. Meanwhile, a bubble of weak surface high pressure will persist over the northeast Gulf into Thursday. Surface dewpoints will mainly be in the 60s, except low 70s at the coast. The drier mid-level air mass will amount to Precipitable Water (PW) values bouncing around in the marginal 1.4 to 1.6 inch range.
From late Thursday through Saturday, the northwest flow aloft will try to push a cold front into the Southeast States. It looks like the tail end of the front could brush by the forecast area. The forecast acknowledges this with a modest increase to scattered coverage of thunderstorms. Ensemble means only increase PW values a little in advance of the front, so scattered coverage should do it for now.
After the front brushes by, a drier air mass should arrive.
Surface dewpoints should more squarely fall into the 60s, with 50s possible over AL/GA. Though ensemble plumes show a large range of possible PW values next weekend, the ensemble mean dries into the 1.0 to 1.2 inch range. This would lead to convective shutdown next weekend.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 408 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024
Moderate showers with occasional rumbles of thunder recently ended at DHN and ECP. ABY and TLH look to remain dry enough that only vicinity showers on the eastern edge of the precipitation shield will impact those two terminals. VLD looks to remain dry through the period. Both ABY and TLH look to remain VFR through the period, with showers and thunderstorms likely developing at all terminals tomorrow afternoon. With low confidence at this time, it is too soon to include in the TAF lines. The MVFR to LIFR conditions at ECP should similarly diminish in the next couple of hours as heavy to moderate rain comes to an end. VFR conditions will remain through the TAF period for ECP.
MARINE
Issued at 408 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024
Earlier today, Buoy 42036 observed 7-foot wave heights with a southeasterly wave direction. The buoy is down to observing 5-foot wave heights, but those higher waves will take into this evening to traverse the northeast Gulf waters. In general, winds and seas will be on a decreasing trend from now through Sunday afternoon, but there will take until Monday for the churned-up Gulf waters to fully respond to the improving weather.
From CWF synopsis...Through Sunday morning, strong surface high pressure east of the Carolinas will support moderate to fresh southeast breezes. By Sunday afternoon, a small bubble of high pressure will develop over the northeast Gulf and persist through Thursday morning, supporting only light and gentle breezes. The small high pressure center will move south of the waters on Thursday, and a weak cold front will enter northern Mississippi and Alabama. So look for a freshening westerly breeze on Thursday afternoon.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 408 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024
Dispersions look to lower across the region the next couple of days, with fair to good afternoon values forecast. This is partially due to slightly lower mixing heights expected both Sunday and Monday. Transport winds look to remain predominantly southerly to southeasterly becoming southwesterly by Monday evening. Overall there are no fire weather concerns the next couple of days; however, there is a 60-80 percent chance for showers and thunderstorms across the region on Sunday. These chances look to lower on Monday and Tuesday as upper level ridging settles into the region.
HYDROLOGY
Issued at 408 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024
Looking ahead to Sunday, a more typical summerlike scattering of afternoon thunderstorms is expected, yielding large areas with no rain, dotted with pockets that get a quick few inches of rain.
These small pockets of heavy rain will be vulnerable to short- duration runoff issues, especially in urban areas and poor drainage areas. However, this kind of rainfall pattern will not lead to river flooding.
Beyond Sunday, the chances for heavy rainfall greatly diminish, so no new flooding is expected into next weekend.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 70 86 68 91 / 20 70 20 40 Panama City 70 86 72 87 / 40 40 20 20 Dothan 67 86 68 88 / 50 60 20 20 Albany 68 86 67 89 / 20 70 30 30 Valdosta 70 87 67 90 / 10 60 30 40 Cross City 68 89 67 91 / 20 60 20 40 Apalachicola 74 83 73 85 / 30 50 20 20
TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Sunday morning for FLZ108-112-114- 115.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for GMZ750-752- 770-772.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 408 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024
...New SYNOPSIS, NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER, HYDROLOGY...
SYNOPSIS
Issued at 408 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024
A broad upper trough will cross the Southeast States on Sunday, bringing a high coverage of pop-up afternoon and evening thunderstorms. Weak high pressure will build in over the course of Monday and Tuesday, diminishing the convective coverage to isolated for Tuesday and Wednesday. The tail end of a cold front will brush by on Thursday night and Friday, with an increase to scattered coverage. A drier air mass and elimination of thunder chances will follow next weekend.
NEAR TERM
(Through Sunday)
Issued at 408 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024
A weaker mid and upper level shortwave trough looks to pass through the deep south on Sunday, which will provide the main focus for shower and thunderstorm development across the region. Overall the highest rain chances are around 50-70% across the Tri-state area with deep tropical moisture remaining in place. Thunderstorm development looks to be a more traditional June summer convective day, with storm initiation expected later in the afternoon and evening as the day heats up. PWATs will generally be in the 1.6-1.8 inch range, which is enough to produce extremely efficient rainfall rates across the region. Given these values, there will be a threat for localized flash flooding with thunderstorms that become quasi- stationary over the same areas for extended periods of time. Along with the threat for localized flash flooding, a few storms could produce strong gusty winds with more vigorous downbursts that develop. This will partially be aided by DCAPE values in the 800- 1000 J/Kg range tomorrow. Thunderstorms should quickly diminish within 1-2 hours of sunset Sunday evening.
Look for low temperatures in the morning look to generally fall into the upper 60s areawide. High temperatures look to climb into the mid to upper 80s.
SHORT TERM
(Sunday night through Monday night)
Issued at 408 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024
The broad upper trough that will move across the Southeast States on Sunday will start to exit off to the east on Sunday night. Weak upper ridging will build in from the west on Monday and Monday night. Our 500 mb flow will transition from cyclonic to anti- cyclonic, and weak surface high pressure will develop and drop anchor over the northeast Gulf. Against this backdrop, modest mid- level drying will reduce convective coverage on Monday, compared with Sunday.
LONG TERM
(Tuesday through Friday)
Issued at 408 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024
A drier pattern with isolated afternoon thunderstorms will prevail. The upper pattern will amplify, with a strong upper high developing over the Southern U.S. Rockies and Southern High Plains, resulting in downstream NW flow aloft across the Tri-State area. Meanwhile, a bubble of weak surface high pressure will persist over the northeast Gulf into Thursday. Surface dewpoints will mainly be in the 60s, except low 70s at the coast. The drier mid-level air mass will amount to Precipitable Water (PW) values bouncing around in the marginal 1.4 to 1.6 inch range.
From late Thursday through Saturday, the northwest flow aloft will try to push a cold front into the Southeast States. It looks like the tail end of the front could brush by the forecast area. The forecast acknowledges this with a modest increase to scattered coverage of thunderstorms. Ensemble means only increase PW values a little in advance of the front, so scattered coverage should do it for now.
After the front brushes by, a drier air mass should arrive.
Surface dewpoints should more squarely fall into the 60s, with 50s possible over AL/GA. Though ensemble plumes show a large range of possible PW values next weekend, the ensemble mean dries into the 1.0 to 1.2 inch range. This would lead to convective shutdown next weekend.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 408 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024
Moderate showers with occasional rumbles of thunder recently ended at DHN and ECP. ABY and TLH look to remain dry enough that only vicinity showers on the eastern edge of the precipitation shield will impact those two terminals. VLD looks to remain dry through the period. Both ABY and TLH look to remain VFR through the period, with showers and thunderstorms likely developing at all terminals tomorrow afternoon. With low confidence at this time, it is too soon to include in the TAF lines. The MVFR to LIFR conditions at ECP should similarly diminish in the next couple of hours as heavy to moderate rain comes to an end. VFR conditions will remain through the TAF period for ECP.
MARINE
Issued at 408 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024
Earlier today, Buoy 42036 observed 7-foot wave heights with a southeasterly wave direction. The buoy is down to observing 5-foot wave heights, but those higher waves will take into this evening to traverse the northeast Gulf waters. In general, winds and seas will be on a decreasing trend from now through Sunday afternoon, but there will take until Monday for the churned-up Gulf waters to fully respond to the improving weather.
From CWF synopsis...Through Sunday morning, strong surface high pressure east of the Carolinas will support moderate to fresh southeast breezes. By Sunday afternoon, a small bubble of high pressure will develop over the northeast Gulf and persist through Thursday morning, supporting only light and gentle breezes. The small high pressure center will move south of the waters on Thursday, and a weak cold front will enter northern Mississippi and Alabama. So look for a freshening westerly breeze on Thursday afternoon.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 408 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024
Dispersions look to lower across the region the next couple of days, with fair to good afternoon values forecast. This is partially due to slightly lower mixing heights expected both Sunday and Monday. Transport winds look to remain predominantly southerly to southeasterly becoming southwesterly by Monday evening. Overall there are no fire weather concerns the next couple of days; however, there is a 60-80 percent chance for showers and thunderstorms across the region on Sunday. These chances look to lower on Monday and Tuesday as upper level ridging settles into the region.
HYDROLOGY
Issued at 408 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024
Looking ahead to Sunday, a more typical summerlike scattering of afternoon thunderstorms is expected, yielding large areas with no rain, dotted with pockets that get a quick few inches of rain.
These small pockets of heavy rain will be vulnerable to short- duration runoff issues, especially in urban areas and poor drainage areas. However, this kind of rainfall pattern will not lead to river flooding.
Beyond Sunday, the chances for heavy rainfall greatly diminish, so no new flooding is expected into next weekend.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 70 86 68 91 / 20 70 20 40 Panama City 70 86 72 87 / 40 40 20 20 Dothan 67 86 68 88 / 50 60 20 20 Albany 68 86 67 89 / 20 70 30 30 Valdosta 70 87 67 90 / 10 60 30 40 Cross City 68 89 67 91 / 20 60 20 40 Apalachicola 74 83 73 85 / 30 50 20 20
TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Sunday morning for FLZ108-112-114- 115.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for GMZ750-752- 770-772.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| PCBF1 | 16 mi | 45 min | ESE 7G | 73°F | 80°F | 30.04 | ||
| PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL | 28 mi | 45 min | E 6G | 81°F |
toggle option: (graph/table)
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KDTS DESTIN EXECUTIVE,FL | 18 sm | 22 min | SE 11G21 | 10 sm | A Few Clouds | 77°F | 70°F | 78% | 30.04 | |
| KECP NORTHWEST FLORIDA BEACHES INTL,FL | 20 sm | 22 min | ESE 03 | 10 sm | Clear | 73°F | 70°F | 89% | 30.05 | |
| KVPS EGLIN AFB/DESTINFT WALTON BEACH,FL | 23 sm | 20 min | ESE 13 | 10 sm | Overcast | 77°F | 68°F | 74% | 30.04 |
Tide / Current for West Bay Creek, West Bay, St. Andrew Bay, Florida
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West Bay Creek
Click for Map
Sat -- 02:13 AM CDT Moonrise
Sat -- 02:55 AM CDT 0.55 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:42 AM CDT Sunrise
Sat -- 10:00 AM CDT 1.01 feet High Tide
Sat -- 02:43 PM CDT Moonset
Sat -- 07:40 PM CDT Sunset
Sat -- 09:04 PM CDT 0.46 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sat -- 02:13 AM CDT Moonrise
Sat -- 02:55 AM CDT 0.55 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:42 AM CDT Sunrise
Sat -- 10:00 AM CDT 1.01 feet High Tide
Sat -- 02:43 PM CDT Moonset
Sat -- 07:40 PM CDT Sunset
Sat -- 09:04 PM CDT 0.46 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
West Bay Creek, West Bay, St. Andrew Bay, Florida, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 0.6 |
| 1 am |
| 0.6 |
| 2 am |
| 0.6 |
| 3 am |
| 0.5 |
| 4 am |
| 0.6 |
| 5 am |
| 0.6 |
| 6 am |
| 0.7 |
| 7 am |
| 0.8 |
| 8 am |
| 0.9 |
| 9 am |
| 1 |
| 10 am |
| 1 |
| 11 am |
| 1 |
| 12 pm |
| 1 |
| 1 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 2 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 6 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 7 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 8 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 9 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 11 pm |
| 0.5 |
Panama City Beach
Click for Map
Sat -- 02:13 AM CDT Moonrise
Sat -- 05:42 AM CDT Sunrise
Sat -- 07:35 AM CDT 0.93 feet High Tide
Sat -- 01:27 PM CDT 0.53 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:43 PM CDT 0.54 feet High Tide
Sat -- 02:43 PM CDT Moonset
Sat -- 05:06 PM CDT 0.50 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:40 PM CDT Sunset
Sat -- 08:25 PM CDT 0.66 feet High Tide
Sat -- 10:52 PM CDT 0.58 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sat -- 02:13 AM CDT Moonrise
Sat -- 05:42 AM CDT Sunrise
Sat -- 07:35 AM CDT 0.93 feet High Tide
Sat -- 01:27 PM CDT 0.53 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:43 PM CDT 0.54 feet High Tide
Sat -- 02:43 PM CDT Moonset
Sat -- 05:06 PM CDT 0.50 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:40 PM CDT Sunset
Sat -- 08:25 PM CDT 0.66 feet High Tide
Sat -- 10:52 PM CDT 0.58 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Panama City Beach, Florida, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 0.4 |
| 1 am |
| 0.5 |
| 2 am |
| 0.6 |
| 3 am |
| 0.7 |
| 4 am |
| 0.7 |
| 5 am |
| 0.8 |
| 6 am |
| 0.8 |
| 7 am |
| 0.9 |
| 8 am |
| 0.9 |
| 9 am |
| 0.8 |
| 10 am |
| 0.7 |
| 11 am |
| 0.6 |
| 12 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 1 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 2 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 6 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 7 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 8 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 9 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 11 pm |
| 0.6 |
Northwest Florida,
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