Mystic, CT Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
L-36.com
Top   Marine   7-Day   NWS   Buoy   Airport   Tide   Map   GEOS   Radar  

Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Mystic, CT

June 5, 2024 8:34 PM EDT (00:34 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:14 AM   Sunset 8:20 PM
Moonrise 4:08 AM   Moonset 7:55 PM 
  Print   HELP   Reset   Save   Recall  New
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      HIDE   Help
ANZ237 Block Island Sound- 705 Pm Edt Wed Jun 5 2024

Tonight - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: sw 2 ft at 4 seconds and E 1 foot at 8 seconds. Areas of fog after midnight. A chance of showers with isolated tstms after midnight. Some tstms may produce heavy rainfall after midnight with vsby 1 nm or less.

Thu - S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Wave detail: se 3 ft at 7 seconds. Areas of fog. Showers with a chance of tstms in the morning. Some tstms may produce heavy rainfall in the morning. Vsby 1 nm or less, increasing to 1 to 3 nm in the afternoon.

Thu night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the evening. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Wave detail: S 4 ft at 7 seconds and E 1 foot at 8 seconds. Areas of fog. A chance of showers. Vsby 1 nm or less, increasing to 1 to 3 nm after midnight.

Fri - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Wave detail: S 4 ft at 8 seconds and sw 1 foot at 3 seconds. Areas of fog in the morning with vsby 1 to 3 nm.

Fri night through Sat night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Wave detail: S 4 ft at 8 seconds and sw 2 ft at 3 seconds.

Sun through Mon night - W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: S 3 ft at 7 seconds and W 1 foot at 3 seconds.
winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
seas are reported as significant wave height, which is the average of the highest third of the waves. Individual wave heights may be more than twice the significant wave height.

ANZ200 705 Pm Edt Wed Jun 5 2024

Synopsis for massachusetts and rhode island coastal waters - High pres moves S of the waters today. A frontal systems lifts into and through much of southern new england late tonight through Thu. We remain unsettled late the week through the weekend with a broad low overhead. This may linger into early next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Mystic, CT
   Hourly   EDIT   Help   Map   HIDE
NEW! Add second zone forecast


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
      HIDE   Help   
NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS61 KOKX 060005 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 805 PM EDT Wed Jun 5 2024

SYNOPSIS
A warm front approaches from the south tonight and lifts north of the area Thursday morning. A cold frontal passage will follow Thursday night. A broad area of low pressure meanders nearby over southeast Canada Friday and into early next week. High pressure follow for the middle of next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/
An approaching warm front over the Mid Atlantic states early this evening will move across the area late tonight into Thursday morning. A moisture-laden airmass with PWAT around 2 inches with modest thermal forcing will produce widespread showers with embedded thunderstorms. Latest CAMs show much of the activity moving into western portions of the area around or just after midnight. Rainfall rates will generally be less than 0.25"/hr with localized higher amounts up to an inch/hr with stronger embedded convection. Main impacts look to be minor nuisance flooding, primarily in urban areas. Severe weather is not a threat overnight. The bulk of the rainfall falls with the warm front. There is also the potential for fog overnight, especially at the coast as higher dew point air moves across the cooler nearshore waters. However, confidence is low with SST in the mid 60s and the fact that it did not occur last night. Prefer to see a larger difference between the SST and dew points.

Rain associated with the warm front exits far eastern LI and SE CT by late morning. The forecast area will dry out for the remainder of the morning into the early afternoon before convection develops along and ahead of an approaching pre- frontal trough. Airmass destabilizes in the warm sector with the potential for CAPE values increasing to 1000-2000 J/KG north and west of NYC by early afternoon, then shifting eastward through the evening hours. The severe weather threat is low with mid level winds around 30 kt, and CAPEs more typical of heavy rain with slower updrafts. That being the case, should we be able to achieve potential CAPEs in excess of 2000 J/KG, this may be enough for a marginal severe weather. SPC has the forecast area under a Marginal Risk with the exception of eastern LI and SE CT. While rainfall will be heavy with any showers and thunderstorms, storm motion will be west at 25 to 30 kt. This should limit the flood threat to mainly the minor nuisance poor drainage variety, but isolated flash flooding can't be completely ruled out. The threat ends by late evening Thursday.

Overnight lows will be in the 60s to around 70, which is above normal by about 10 degrees. For highs on Thursday, went with the warmer NBM guidance in the warm sector with highs in the low to mid 80s from NYC and points north and west, and in the 70s to around 80 elsewhere. It will be coolest along the immediate south shore of LI.

SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/
Any lingering convection ends by late Thursday evening for eastern LI/SE CT. An upper low over the eastern Great Lakes drops into the Northeast during this time with the potential for scattered showers Friday afternoon for the interior. It will also be a bit cooler on Friday with the exception of coastal locations that will be able to warm up to 75 to 80 due to a more westerly flow. WSW winds on Friday may also gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
A relatively unsettled period this weekend into early next week with an upper low cutting off and meandering over the Great Lakes region and southeast Canada much of the time, with multiple vorticies rotating around it that may periodically enhance rain chances locally.

The broad low nearby likely instigates diurnal shower activity with varying coverage each day, especially inland. As the cold pool moves aloft, also can't rule out the possibility of thunderstorms with added instability. Global guidance continues to offer differing solutions with any potential vorticies however and this will need to be resolved for further clarity on when rain chances will be highest.

Temperatures, while hampered by cloud cover and rain at times, should still manage to get into the 70s and lower 80s most afternoons, or about typical for this time of year. For now, continued to cap PoPs at 50%, otherwise, national blend was followed with subtle adjustments.

After Tuesday, global guidance varies. They agree on the meandering low finally pushing out into the open Atlantic. They disagree on what happens afterwards with some of the guidance hinting at a ridging pattern taking hold, while others bring in another trough from the west.

AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
A warm front approaches tonight, lifting north of the region Thursday morning, followed by a cold front Thursday evening.

Conditions likely decline to IFR or lower tonight with showers developing. Embedded thunder can't be ruled out overnight into Thursday morning, but chances are too low to include at this time. Steadiest of the showers exits by mid morning Thursday, but improvement may take until late morning or early afternoon.
Another round of showers and thunderstorms is then possible Thursday afternoon. Higher confidence in thunder for this period and included a PROB30 for TSRA.

Southerly flow persists into Thursday, speeds around 10 kt.
There may be occasional gusts to around 20 kt through around 02Z, especially for some of the city terminals.

...NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...

Amendments likely due to changing flight categories. A thunderstorm cannot be ruled out overnight, especially with the steadier rainfall between 06Z and 12Z Thursday.

Timing of flight category declines and SHRA late this evening may be off by a few hours.

OUTLOOK FOR 00Z FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

Thursday Night: Mainly VFR. MVFR or lower possible in showers and thunderstorms early Thursday evening.

Friday: Mainly VFR. Chance of showers and thunderstorms for KSWF.

Saturday-Monday: Chance of MVFR in showers.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/ www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE
Fog may become an issue overnight as high dew point air moves across the waters. However, with water temps on the ocean in the mid 60s this did not happen last night. Confidence is low at this time.

SCA has been issued for the ocean waters for Thursday and Thursday night for marginal Southerly gusts 20-25kt and seas building to 4 to 6 ft. Seas around 5 ft may linger into Friday.

Conditions are expected to remain below SCA levels through the weekend into Monday.

HYDROLOGY
Rainfall amounts of 0.50 to 1.00" with localized higher amounts are expected overnight into Thursday morning. Minor nuisance poor drainage flooding will be the primary threat especially in urban and low lying areas. The flooding potential will be limited due to the expected speed of the showers and thunderstorms which with a progressive pattern aloft, should be a relatively faster steering flow.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
Have extended the ongoing Coastal Flood Advisory for coastal Fairfield, Westchester, and S Nassau counties for this evening into the Thu evening high tide cycle, and added the tidal waterways of NE NJ to the coastal flood statement for this evening's high tide cycle. Elevated astronomical high tides associated with the new moon combined with onshore flow will continue to support water levels touching or just surpassing minor flood benchmarks in these areas.

It is uncertain whether the Fri evening high tide cycle will also be impacted, as multiple high tide cycle surge events such as this can sometimes last longer than model forecasts.

There remains a moderate rip current risk on the ocean beaches through Friday due to building seas and a strengthening southerly flow. There is a chance this will need to be elevated to a high risk.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...Coastal Flood Advisory until 2 AM EDT Thursday for CTZ009.
Coastal Flood Advisory from 11 PM Thursday to 3 AM EDT Friday for CTZ009.
NY...Coastal Flood Advisory until 2 AM EDT Thursday for NYZ071.
Coastal Flood Advisory from 11 PM Thursday to 3 AM EDT Friday for NYZ071.
Coastal Flood Advisory until 10 PM EDT this evening for NYZ179.
Coastal Flood Advisory from 8 PM to 11 PM EDT Thursday for NYZ179.
NJ...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 6 AM Thursday to 6 AM EDT Friday for ANZ350-353-355.




Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       HIDE   Help
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
LDLC3 - New London Ledge CT - Ledge Light Weather 6 mi49 min S 15G16 66°F
NLHC3 7 mi46 min 67°F 66°F29.83
MTKN6 - 8510560 - Montauk, NY 20 mi46 min 67°F 61°F29.79
QPTR1 - 8454049 - Quonset Point, RI 34 mi46 min SW 13G17 69°F 29.83
PDVR1 35 mi46 min SSW 6G12 71°F 29.8265°F
NWPR1 - 8452660 - Newport, RI 36 mi46 min SSW 8G9.9 63°F 62°F29.84
NAXR1 - Narragansett Bay Reserve, RI 39 mi109 min W 4.1 69°F 29.8364°F
PTCR1 - 8452951 - Potter Cove, Prudence Island, RI 39 mi46 min WSW 4.1G8 69°F 29.85
PRUR1 40 mi46 min 66°F 65°F
CPTR1 - 8452944 - Conimicut Light, RI 42 mi46 min S 11G14 70°F 69°F29.83
FOXR1 - 8454000 - Providence, RI 44 mi46 min SSW 12G17 74°F 63°F29.83
PVDR1 44 mi46 min SW 9.9G14 73°F 29.8365°F
BLTM3 - 8447387 - Borden Flats Light at Fall River, MA 49 mi46 min SSW 9.9G12 70°F 29.82
FRXM3 49 mi46 min 71°F 65°F


Wind History for Quonset Point, RI
(wind in knots)    EDIT      HIDE   Help
toggle option: (graph/table)



Airport Reports
    EDIT      HIDE   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KGON GROTONNEW LONDON,CT 4 sm22 minS 0810 smMostly Cloudy64°F64°F100%29.83
KWST WESTERLY STATE,RI 9 sm41 minSSW 0710 smA Few Clouds68°F63°F83%29.84
KMTP MONTAUK,NY 18 sm40 minSSW 04--70°F64°F83%29.85
KBID BLOCK ISLAND STATE,RI 24 sm17 minSSW 1010 smPartly Cloudy64°F63°F94%29.84
Link to 5 minute data for KGON


Wind History graph: GON
(wind in knots)
toggle option: (graph/table)


Tide / Current for Noank, Mystic River entrance, Connecticut
   
EDIT   Weekend mode (on/off)   HIDE   Help
Noank
Click for Map
Wed -- 03:10 AM EDT     -0.15 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 04:08 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 05:15 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:47 AM EDT     2.28 feet High Tide
Wed -- 03:03 PM EDT     0.18 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:54 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 08:18 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:00 PM EDT     3.31 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Noank, Mystic River entrance, Connecticut, Tide feet
12
am
1.5
1
am
0.8
2
am
0.2
3
am
-0.1
4
am
0
5
am
0.6
6
am
1.2
7
am
1.8
8
am
2.2
9
am
2.3
10
am
2.1
11
am
1.7
12
pm
1.3
1
pm
0.8
2
pm
0.4
3
pm
0.2
4
pm
0.4
5
pm
1.1
6
pm
1.9
7
pm
2.6
8
pm
3.1
9
pm
3.3
10
pm
3.1
11
pm
2.7


Tide / Current for The Race, Long Island Sound, New York Current
   EDIT      HIDE   Help
The Race
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:52 AM EDT     -3.87 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 04:08 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 05:16 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 05:16 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 08:06 AM EDT     3.06 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 11:20 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 02:13 PM EDT     -3.15 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 05:18 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 07:54 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 08:17 PM EDT     3.28 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 08:18 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 11:32 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

The Race, Long Island Sound, New York Current, knots
12
am
-2.2
1
am
-3.5
2
am
-3.9
3
am
-3.3
4
am
-2.1
5
am
-0.5
6
am
1.2
7
am
2.6
8
am
3.1
9
am
2.8
10
am
1.9
11
am
0.6
12
pm
-1.1
1
pm
-2.5
2
pm
-3.1
3
pm
-2.9
4
pm
-1.9
5
pm
-0.5
6
pm
1.2
7
pm
2.6
8
pm
3.3
9
pm
3.1
10
pm
2.3
11
pm
0.9


Weather Map
      HIDE   Help


GEOS Local Image of north east   
EDIT   HIDE



Boston, MA,




NOTICE: Some pages have affiliate links to Amazon. As an Amazon Associate, I earn from qualifying purchases. Please read website Cookie, Privacy, and Disclamers by clicking HERE. To contact me click HERE. For my YouTube page click HERE