Sunrise 5:12 AM   Sunset 8:22 PM Moonrise 7:50 AM   Moonset 11:35 PM

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ANZ237 Block Island Sound- 404 Pm Edt Sun Jun 9 2024
Tonight - W winds 5 to 10 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt this evening. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Wave detail: S 3 ft at 7 seconds and W 1 foot at 4 seconds. Mon - W winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: sw 3 ft at 6 seconds. Mon night - W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming nw 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: W 2 ft at 5 seconds and se 2 ft at 7 seconds. Tue - NW winds around 5 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: se 2 ft at 7 seconds and W 1 foot at 5 seconds. Tue night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W after midnight. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 7 seconds and sw 1 foot at 3 seconds. Wed and Wed night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: se 2 ft at 8 seconds and S 1 foot at 2 seconds. Thu through Fri - SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Fri night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of showers.
seas are reported as significant wave height, which is the average of the highest third of the waves. Individual wave heights may be more than twice the significant wave height.

ANZ200 404 Pm Edt Sun Jun 9 2024
Synopsis for massachusetts and rhode island coastal waters - Area of showers with 2-6 sm visby will continue to shift offshore through early tonight. SW winds around 15-20 kt to then shift to w/wnw late this afternoon into tonight, with decreasing speeds to around 10-15 kt. Seas around 2-4 ft. Could see another round of lighter rain showers toward early Mon am but not enough to restrict visbys.
winds and seas to remain below sca levels Mon and Mon night with wnw winds around 15-20 kt and seas 3 ft or less.

FXUS61 KOKX 092025 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 425 PM EDT Sun Jun 9 2024

SYNOPSIS
Weak high pressure builds in tonight followed by a weak cold front on Monday. An upper level trough pivots through Tuesday, followed by high pressure for the middle of the week. A cold front approaches Friday and moves through Friday night. High pressure builds in for next weekend.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/
The area remains in a generally NW flow behind the cold front that passed through earlier today. Clouds continue to scatter out resulting in some recovery of temperatures before this evening.
A weak area of surface high pressure will build into the area tonight allowing for continued dry conditions and partly cloudy to mostly clear skies through the night.

Another piece of midlevel energy swings over the area tonight bringing a low chance of isolated showers for northern interior portions of the area tonight, but should mainly just result in some cloud cover which clears by Monday morning. Lows tonight will be in the middle 50s to low 60s.

SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/
The area remains under an upper level trough on Monday with some additional packets of midlevel energy rotating through. By and large much of this energy should result in not much more than some cloud cover as the lower levels should remain fairly dry. A weak surface secondary cold front moves through, reinforcing the drier air advection and allowing for a continued W/NW flow through the day. Highs will be in the 70s. A surface high pressure slowly begins to build into the area from the west as early as Monday night. Lows Monday night will be in the 50s to low 60s near the coast.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/

**Key Points**

*Big warmup for the second half the week, followed by a brief cool down for the weekend.

*Mainly dry conditions through the period.

*A frontal system to impact the area with showers and thunderstorms Friday and Friday night.

An upper trough across the Northeast lifts out on Tuesday briefly followed by shortwave ridging for the middle of the week.
Afterwards, the upper flow flattens out with a fast flow from the Northern Plains into the Northeast. This is short-lived as another upper trough moves into the area to start the weekend.
At the surface, a weak surface trough will be in place on Tuesday, followed by high pressure building in for Wednesday.
The latter of which gives way to an approaching frontal system that is forecast to impact the area late Friday into Friday night. High pressure then returns to start the weekend. This will be a mainly dry period with the exception of the frontal system at the end of the week.

The biggest difference in the global models at this time is with the magnitude of the upper trough swinging across the Great Lakes and Northeast at the end of the week. This will determine the extent and magnitude of the convection associated with the cold front, as well how much we cool down for the weekend. Based on the NBM box and whisker temperature plots, the deterministic is generally at the 25th percentile or lower, especially with respect to high temps. So, this may not be as much of a cool down behind the cold front as suggested by the 2m temps of some of the 12Z operational guidance. Relatively speaking though, it should be noticeable as Thursday and Friday climb well into the 80s and possibly the lower 90s for the interior. The 50th percentile is even warmer for those days, so will have to see where this trends. Generally, stayed between the NBM deterministic and 50th percentile. An onshore flow is another question mark for the end of the week in how much it will limit heating at the coast. Typically at this times of year, coastal locations generally need a decent westerly component to achieve higher temps. At this time, max heat indices are forecast to stay below 95. Temperatures at the onset of the period on Tuesday will be close to normal.

AVIATION /20Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
A weak cold front passes through tonight with high pressure building in from the west Monday.

VFR through the TAF period. W-NW winds gusting to 20 to 25 kt through this afternoon should begin subsiding in the evening to a mainly light W-SW flow around 10 kt. W to NW winds return Monday and remain around 10 kt.

NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...

Timing of gusts subsiding may be off by 1-2 hours.

OUTLOOK FOR 18Z MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

Monday-Thursday: VFR expected.
Friday:VFR with MVFR conditions possible in showers in the afternoon and evening.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/ www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE
There may be an isolated wind gusts up to 25kt over the waters through this evening but will diminish after sunset.

Conditions are expected to remain below SCA through midweek with essentially only up to 2 ft ocean seas. The winds become southerly for the end of the week ahead of an approaching frontal system with marginal small craft conditions possible on the ocean by Thursday night into Friday.

HYDROLOGY
No hydrologic concerns exist through the forecast period.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
For the Atlantic ocean beaches, expect a moderate rip current risk into this evening, lowering to low on Monday for western beaches, then dropping to low on all beaches by Tuesday.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...None.
NJ...None.
MARINE...None.

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Norwich, Thames River, Connecticut, Tide feet

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Sun -- 01:53 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 05:03 AM EDT     -3.33 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 05:15 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:51 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 08:26 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 11:14 AM EDT     2.62 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 02:34 PM EDT     -0.01 knots Slack
Sun -- 05:26 PM EDT     -2.63 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 08:20 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 08:33 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 11:24 PM EDT     2.54 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 11:33 PM EDT     Moonset
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