Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Norwich, CT

KEY MESSAGES
1) More seasonable temperatures through much of the week with the potential for well above normal temperatures towards the end of the week.

2) A moderate rip current risk continues at the ocean beaches through Monday.

DISCUSSION

KEY MESSAGE 1

Ridging returns for today with a return to more seasonable temperatures with highs in the 70s and dry conditions. With the start of meteorological summer (Monday - June 1st), forecast guidance continues to advertise another series of shortwave disturbances dropping south into New England in the cyclonic flow for the first half of the work week. For now, looking at mainly diurnally driven chances for showers and possibly an isolated thunderstorms for early to mid week. Temperatures are like to remain near normal (lower to middle 70s).

The upper level troughing slides eastward and ridging builds in from the west resulting in a warming trend for the end of the week and next weekend.

KEY MESSAGE 2

The combination of an increasing SW wind and an easterly swell of 3- 4 feet at 10s from departing low pressure will result in a moderate risk for all areas. The moderate risk continues on Monday with an easterly flow picking up to 10 kts combined with a southerly swell.

AVIATION /09Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
High pressure builds in from the north and west through the period. Low pressure approaches eastern terminals from the north tonight.

VFR conditions expected through the TAF period.

Light and variable winds expected through daybreak for most, if not all terminals. A WNW flow sets up this morning, increasing to 10 to around 15 kt, highest for KJFK. Sea breezes move through KJFK, KISP, KBDR, and KGON. Less likely at KLGA, but could briefly move through, then push east, so added a TEMPO group for this possibility.

Gusts to 20 kt look to be more occasional at this time during the afternoon.

...NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...

No unscheduled amendments through 12Z. Occasional gusts expected, but if the become more frequent, amendments are possible.

OUTLOOK FOR 06Z MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

Sunday Night: VFR. Brief MVFR possible for KGON with chance showers.

Monday Night: VFR. MVFR is possible with chance showers for points north and east of the city terminals.

Tuesday: Mainly VFR. Chance of showers, brief MVFR possible mainly north of the city terminals.

Wednesday: Mainly VFR. Slight chance of showers, brief MVFR possible.

Thursday: VFR.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/ www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE
Winds continue to diminish and gusts should remain below SCA levels for much of the day. However, ocean seas have an easterly swell, keeping seas elevated above SCA thresholds through much of Sunday.
Seas may fall to around 4 ft on the ocean late morning and early afternoon, however an increasing SW flow may increase seas back to 5 ft for parts of Sunday afternoon and evening. Have gone ahead and extended the SCA on the ocean though 00z Monday. There is a chance that some 5 ft seas could linger beyond 00z for a few additional hours before finally subsiding 5 ft.

Sub advisory conditions are then expected to follow through Tuesday night. Small craft conditions may return for the end of the week.

Also, with air temperatures rising into the 70s and water temperatures remaining in the upper 50s, a marine weather statement has been issued for cold water safety.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...None.
NJ...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for ANZ350- 353-355.