Sunrise 5:53 AM   Sunset 8:17 PM Moonrise 1:33 AM   Moonset 2:04 PM

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AMZ135 Pamlico Sound- 352 Am Edt Sat Jun 1 2024
Today - N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E early this afternoon, then becoming se late. Waves 1 ft or less. Tonight - S winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Sun - SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft in the afternoon.Sun night - SW winds around 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A slight chance of showers after midnight. Mon - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A slight chance of showers in the morning, then a chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms in the afternoon. Mon night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers. Tue - NW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming ne in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft in the afternoon. Tue night - NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. Wed - E winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Wed night - SE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming S after midnight. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers after midnight.
winds and waves higher in and near tstms.

AMZ100 352 Am Edt Sat Jun 1 2024
Synopsis for eastern north carolina coastal waters - Cooler and drier high pressure builds overhead through the weekend. A backdoor front likely moves through the area late Monday, with high pressure building in behind it from the north through midweek. Thereafter high pressure will reestablish offshore through late next week with increasingly unsettled conditions possible.

FXUS62 KMHX 010713 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 313 AM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024

SYNOPSIS
Cooler and drier high pressure builds overhead through the weekend. A backdoor front likely moves through the area late Monday, with high pressure building in behind it from the north through midweek. Thereafter high pressure will reestablish offshore through late next week with increasingly unsettled conditions possible.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/
As of 3 AM Sat... Latest surface analysis shows calm winds and clear skies across just about all of ENC this morning as surface high pressure remains centered over the region. Great radiational cooling across ENC has resulted in temps in the upper 40s to mid 50s inland with mid to upper 50s found along the OBX. Could still see temps drop another few degrees as good radiational cooling remains in place and the forecast low temps are likely to near record lows this morning...see the CLIMATE section for details.

Otherwise, still not expecting any ground fog development (less than 10% chance) resulting in a rather comfortable and pleasant start to our day.

As we get into today, upper level and surface ridging remain over the Eastern Seaboard resulting in a warm but dry start to meteorological summer. Kept dewpoints slightly below the lowest guidance today given lack of change in the dry airmass overhead. Seabreeze does develop this afternoon which could result in some gusty winds behind it as light and variable winds become S'rly behind the seabreeze at 5-10 mph with a few gusts up around 15-20 mph at times this afternoon.

With increasing low-level heights, temperatures will warm into the low to mid 80s inland, mid to upper 70s along the coast.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM SUNDAY/
As of 3 AM Sat... Upper level and surface ridging do finally push offshore tonight, though winds will be light and variable across the entire region. Skies will remain mo clear to start this evening allowing for another night of good radiational cooling through at least the first half of the night. As the upper level high pushes further offshore, upper level flow will become SW'rly allowing upper level moisture to finally begin to overspread ENC late Sat night. As a result high clouds begin to build in from the south and west likely slowing any temperatures drops after about midnight. High clouds continue to overspread the region towards daybreak with lows getting into the mid to upper 50s inland and mid 60s along the OBX and immediate coast.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
As of 330 AM Sat...Pleasant and below normal conditions continue Sunday. Then conditions become more unsettled Monday ahead of a backdoor cold front which will move through the area Monday night and bring slightly cooler conditions through Wednesday.
Scattered precip chances continue Tuesday, and then increasingly unsettled weather is expected Wednesday through late week as moist southerly flow increases.

Sunday...High pressure continues just offshore Sunday, and our cooler and drier airmass holds on for one more day. Expect highs mostly in the low 80s with some isolated mid 80s possible. Only potential fly in the ointment will be the coverage and thickness of high based clouds, which could produce overcast conditions at times during the day, especially over the coastal plain.

Monday and Tuesday...Moisture will continue to spread into the area early Monday morning from the top down, and may produce some isolated showers through daybreak. Moisture advection continues Monday as PWATs surge above 1.5", and expect a decent coverage (~40%) of showers and thunderstorms with building instability and the development of sea/sound breezes.

A backdoor cold front will move through the forecast area overnight Monday into Tuesday morning and bring a more stable and slightly cooler airmass to the coast. Onshore flow will keep coastal areas mostly in the 70s, but further inland temps will climb into the low to mid 80s, and encourage some scattered afternoon thunderstorm development.

Wednesday through Friday...Moisture looks to quickly surge back into the forecast area Wednesday as the high pressure to the north breaks down. Southerly flow will return late in the day, and will then continue through late week as high pressure rebuilds offshore. Continued moisture advection will bring PWATs up to 1.5-2" late next week, and there is a signal for unsettled conditions ahead of a potent upper level trough. Temperatures will climb to near normal with highs in the mid to upper 80s each day, and lows mostly in the 60s to low 70s.

AVIATION /07Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
SHORT TERM /through Saturday night/...
As of 1255 AM Sat... Expecting VFR conditions and light winds through the TAF period across ENC as high pressure builds overhead this evening and on Saturday. A few minor things to note in the aviation forecast. The first is the very low (less than 10%) chance for some steam/ground fog. If fog were to occur it would likely be between 09-12Z and at the EWN/PGV terminals given their proximity to the nearby rivers. However, given the very low threat have kept any fog mention out of the TAFs and will continue to monitor trends tonight. The second will be the potential for some gusty S'rly winds (around 15 kts) behind the seabreeze Sat afternoon. Will likely hold off on any specific mention of the seabreeze in the TAFs on this update but will plan to include some mention of gusty S'rly winds (~15 kts) at the TAF sites on the morning update. Finally as upper level moisture finally begins to stream in from the S and W Sat evening, expect some high clouds to build in Sat night though with ceilings above 15 kft no impact is expected from the incoming high clouds.

LONG TERM /Sunday through Wednesday/...
As of 330 AM Sat...Mostly VFR conditions are expected Sunday with high pressure overhead. More unsettled conditions are possible Monday through Wednesday which could bring some periods of sub-VFR conditions to the terminals.

MARINE
SHORT TERM /Through Saturday night/...
As of 3 AM Sat... Rather benign boating conditions are forecast through tonight across our waters as high pressure ridging which is currently overhead slowly slides offshore. This will keep things dry across our waters while NW to NE'rly winds at 5-10 kts gradually shift to an E to SE'rly direction at about 5-15 kts this afternoon. Winds become more S'rly tonight persisting at about 5-10 kts. Current observed seas of 2-3 feet will remain steady through tonight, with seas nearshore remaining slightly lower, around 1 to 2 feet.

LONG TERM /Sunday through Wednesday/...
As of 330 AM Sat...Good boating conditions expected through the period. High pressure continues over the waters Sunday and Monday, and then a backdoor front moves through early Tuesday and keep light onshore flow into Wednesday.

Winds will be mostly S 5-15 kts Sunday, and then turn to the SSW Monday at 10-15 kts. Backdoor front moves through the waters early Tuesday with winds becoming NNE behind it at 5-15 kts.
Flow then become E to SE Wednesday at 5-15 kts. Seas will be mostly 2-3 ft through the period.

CLIMATE
Record Low temps for June 1, Saturday.

LOCATION TEMP/YEAR New Bern 48/1966 (KEWN ASOS)
Cape Hatteras 50/1966 (KHSE ASOS)
Greenville 45/1930 (COOP - Not KPGV AWOS)
Morehead City 48/1984 (COOP - Not KMRH ASOS)
Kinston 42/1984 (COOP - Not KISO AWOS)
Jacksonville 50/1966 (NCA ASOS)

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...None.
MARINE...None.

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Ocracoke
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Sat -- 02:32 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 03:21 AM EDT     0.97 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:50 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:54 AM EDT     0.03 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:04 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 04:08 PM EDT     1.09 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:13 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 11:02 PM EDT     0.11 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Ocracoke, Ocracoke Island, North Carolina, Tide feet

Hatteras Inlet
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Sat -- 02:31 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 03:29 AM EDT     2.12 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:49 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:41 AM EDT     0.16 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:02 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 04:07 PM EDT     2.39 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:12 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 10:29 PM EDT     0.21 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Hatteras Inlet, North Carolina, Tide feet

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