Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Pedrick, NJ
June 14, 2024 7:35 AM EDT (11:35 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 5:30 AM Sunset 8:32 PM Moonrise 12:24 PM Moonset 12:22 AM |
ANZ430 Delaware Bay Waters North Of East Point Nj To Slaughter Beach De- 702 Am Edt Fri Jun 14 2024
Today - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 foot or less, then around 2 ft this afternoon. Wave detail: S 1 foot at 3 seconds, becoming se 2 ft at 4 seconds.
Tonight - SE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming N after midnight. Seas around 2 ft in the evening, then 1 foot or less. Wave detail: se 2 ft at 4 seconds, becoming se 1 foot at 4 seconds. Showers and tstms likely in the evening, then showers likely with a chance of tstms after midnight.
Sat - N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 foot or less. Wave detail: N 1 foot at 3 seconds.
Sat night - N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 foot or less. Wave detail: N 1 foot at 3 seconds.
Sun - NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot or less. Wave detail: ne 1 foot at 2 seconds.
Sun night - SE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming S 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 1 foot or less. Wave detail: se 1 foot at 3 seconds.
Mon - S winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot or less, then around 2 ft in the afternoon.
Mon night - S winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas around 2 ft.
Tue - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 foot or less.
Tue night - S winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas around 2 ft in the evening, then 1 foot or less.
winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
ANZ400 702 Am Edt Fri Jun 14 2024
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay - A cold front approaches today and crosses through late afternoon into tonight. High pressure begins to build later tonight and holds a dominate grasp over the region through the weekend. A warm front lifts through Monday, but more surface high pressure looks to control the region through at least the middle of week.
Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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FXUS61 KPHI 141046 AFDPHI
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 646 AM EDT Fri Jun 14 2024
SYNOPSIS
A cold front approaches today and crosses through late afternoon into tonight. High pressure begins to build later tonight and holds a dominate grasp over the region through the weekend. A warm front lifts through Monday, but more surface high pressure looks to control the region through at least the middle of week.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
Friday will start off rather tranquil before a round of thunderstorms arrive for the second half of the day. An upper-level trough is forecast to arrive later today, bringing with it a cold front that will push through from west to east this afternoon and evening. While the parent trough is farther north, the southern portion of it has stronger shortwave energy and is timed during peak heating across our region. Ample instability is forecast to be in place (MUCAPE up to 1500 J/Kg) given air temperatures forecast to be in the 80s with even some lower 90s and dew points in the 60s. The model forecast soundings show a well mixed and warm boundary layer in the afternoon and early evening. This results in an inverted-V profile in the lower levels and thus increasing the downdraft instability (DCAPE). Low-level lapse rates are rather favorable as well, with around 9.0 C/km in the 0-3km layer, moderating to around 6.0 C/km in the 3-6km layer. This all said, the limiting factor is expected to be deep layer shear, with rather weak flow in the low and mid levels and stronger winds in the upper levels. The best shear is also displaced north and west of the region with only about 30-40kt of deep layer shear in place ahead of the frontal passage.
Putting this all together, convection is forecast to develop to our northwest and west and then propagate east and southeastward during the afternoon and evening along and ahead of the cold front. While coverage and timing does vary some among the guidance suite, convection should organize into a few clusters or a broken line as it shifts into and across our area, with this possibly weakening near and especially south and east of I-95. This will depend on the timing as southerly flow ahead of the convection and front will bring some marine influence into portions of the coastal plain.
Locally damaging winds are the main severe weather threat especially with stronger cores aloft (along with some mid level dry air)
enhancing the downdraft/downburst potential. Freezing levels look to be on the higher side, however some hail cannot be ruled out with some stronger updrafts. The precipitable water values are forecast to be approaching 2 inches for a time ahead of the cold front, and therefore high rainfall rates should occur with the strongest convection for a time. The flash flooding risk however looks to be low overall as storms should be on the move, however there is a non- zero risk focused across mostly our northern and western zones. SPC maintains a Slight Risk for severe weather for areas north and west of the I-95 corridor and a Marginal Risk elsewhere.
The convection looks to be shifting offshore or weakening during the evening hours with the severe thunderstorm risk ending. Some drier air then starts to arrive from the northwest in the wake of the cold front by later Friday night with at least some partial clearing also starting to arrive. Overnight lows will cool into the upper 50s to mid 60s.
SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
Surface high pressure will dominate over the region for the duration of the short term; a dry and quiet forecast is on tap for the weekend.
Not much to write home about regarding this forecast! Highs mainly in the low to mid 80s for Saturday; highs just a bit warmer for Sunday, by about 1-2 degrees. Very comfortable RHs expected for both days with plenty of sunshine. Overall, a stellar weekend!
A sea-breeze will likely develop on Sunday given the weak synoptic flow in the forecast. This sea-breeze could penetrate well in-land by the late afternoon into evening hours.
LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
Summary...Hot but mainly dry forecast.
The synoptic pattern and evolution is nearly certain for the long term. An upper-level ridge over the eastern CONUS Monday will build to the north with time. By the Wednesday time frame, the strong ridge will look to be centered directly over the northeastern CONUS and will likely stay in place for quite a bit. The ensembles suggest it is not until around the time frame of Friday that the ridge and its associated axis will begin to break down a bit.
Overall, heights will only build over the region with time Monday onwards. We could see heights of 594-600 dam over us for Wednesday.
At the surface level, high pressure centered offshore Monday will move eastward with time as a warm front lifts over the region. Even still, surface high pressure looks to largely control the region through the duration of the term. Though some rounds of shortwave energy may pester the region for much of the week, any precipitation development should be largely suppressed given the pattern.
We are mainly looking at a dry forecast into Thursday with temperatures potentially getting warming each day. High temperatures may touch the low 90s for Monday, but widespread highs in the 90s should be anticipated at this point for Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday. It is still a little too early to really discuss any potential for heat headlines at this point, but the potential will only grow with time as the week progresses.
AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.
Friday...VFR for much of the time, however sub-VFR conditions possible later in the afternoon and evening as showers and thunderstorms move through with a cold front. South to southwest winds around 10 knots, becoming west later in the afternoon at KRDG and KABE. Brief restrictions likely as the line of showers/thunderstorms move through. Some storms could result in variable, gusty winds as well. TEMPO groups added this update to reflect the risk of sub-VFR visibilities from heavy rain and gusty winds from strong thunderstorms. Moderate confidence in impacts from storms. Low confidence in timing.
Friday Night...Restrictions likely (60-70%) as a cold front moves through. Some showers possible behind the initial line of showers/thunderstorms. Westerly winds will become more northerly with the frontal passage, around 5-10 kt. Low confidence.
Outlook...
Saturday through Tuesday...VFR with no significant weather.
MARINE
Through Friday, the conditions are anticipated to remain below Small Craft Advisory criteria. Southerly winds should be the strongest at times across the northern New Jersey coastal waters and possibly up Delaware Bay. However, given much warmer air moving over the cooler waters, mixing should be more limited and since it looks marginal opted to keep the conditions below advisory criteria. Some showers and thunderstorms should arrive late Friday afternoon and Friday night, and some storms could produce locally gusty winds. Winds turn more northerly around 10 kts Friday night behind the frontal passage. Seas linger around 2-4 feet.
Outlook...
Saturday through Tuesday...No marine headlines expected. Fair weather.
Rip Currents...
On Friday, south winds increase to around 15 mph with 20 to 25 mph gusts. The flow will be a bit more onshore for most of New Jersey as opposed to Delaware. Additionally, guidance shows a 2 ft 9-10 second longer period swell from the SE to SSE developing by the afternoon. As a result, there is a MODERATE risk for the development of dangerous rip currents for New Jersey beaches where the coastline is more perpendicular or oblique to the longer period swell. LOW risk for the development of dangerous rip currents for the Delaware beaches. Breaking waves will be around 2 to 3 feet.
Winds turn offshore for Saturday, with a LOW risk for rip currents everywhere.
For specific beach forecasts, visit weather.gov/beach/phi
PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 646 AM EDT Fri Jun 14 2024
SYNOPSIS
A cold front approaches today and crosses through late afternoon into tonight. High pressure begins to build later tonight and holds a dominate grasp over the region through the weekend. A warm front lifts through Monday, but more surface high pressure looks to control the region through at least the middle of week.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
Friday will start off rather tranquil before a round of thunderstorms arrive for the second half of the day. An upper-level trough is forecast to arrive later today, bringing with it a cold front that will push through from west to east this afternoon and evening. While the parent trough is farther north, the southern portion of it has stronger shortwave energy and is timed during peak heating across our region. Ample instability is forecast to be in place (MUCAPE up to 1500 J/Kg) given air temperatures forecast to be in the 80s with even some lower 90s and dew points in the 60s. The model forecast soundings show a well mixed and warm boundary layer in the afternoon and early evening. This results in an inverted-V profile in the lower levels and thus increasing the downdraft instability (DCAPE). Low-level lapse rates are rather favorable as well, with around 9.0 C/km in the 0-3km layer, moderating to around 6.0 C/km in the 3-6km layer. This all said, the limiting factor is expected to be deep layer shear, with rather weak flow in the low and mid levels and stronger winds in the upper levels. The best shear is also displaced north and west of the region with only about 30-40kt of deep layer shear in place ahead of the frontal passage.
Putting this all together, convection is forecast to develop to our northwest and west and then propagate east and southeastward during the afternoon and evening along and ahead of the cold front. While coverage and timing does vary some among the guidance suite, convection should organize into a few clusters or a broken line as it shifts into and across our area, with this possibly weakening near and especially south and east of I-95. This will depend on the timing as southerly flow ahead of the convection and front will bring some marine influence into portions of the coastal plain.
Locally damaging winds are the main severe weather threat especially with stronger cores aloft (along with some mid level dry air)
enhancing the downdraft/downburst potential. Freezing levels look to be on the higher side, however some hail cannot be ruled out with some stronger updrafts. The precipitable water values are forecast to be approaching 2 inches for a time ahead of the cold front, and therefore high rainfall rates should occur with the strongest convection for a time. The flash flooding risk however looks to be low overall as storms should be on the move, however there is a non- zero risk focused across mostly our northern and western zones. SPC maintains a Slight Risk for severe weather for areas north and west of the I-95 corridor and a Marginal Risk elsewhere.
The convection looks to be shifting offshore or weakening during the evening hours with the severe thunderstorm risk ending. Some drier air then starts to arrive from the northwest in the wake of the cold front by later Friday night with at least some partial clearing also starting to arrive. Overnight lows will cool into the upper 50s to mid 60s.
SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
Surface high pressure will dominate over the region for the duration of the short term; a dry and quiet forecast is on tap for the weekend.
Not much to write home about regarding this forecast! Highs mainly in the low to mid 80s for Saturday; highs just a bit warmer for Sunday, by about 1-2 degrees. Very comfortable RHs expected for both days with plenty of sunshine. Overall, a stellar weekend!
A sea-breeze will likely develop on Sunday given the weak synoptic flow in the forecast. This sea-breeze could penetrate well in-land by the late afternoon into evening hours.
LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
Summary...Hot but mainly dry forecast.
The synoptic pattern and evolution is nearly certain for the long term. An upper-level ridge over the eastern CONUS Monday will build to the north with time. By the Wednesday time frame, the strong ridge will look to be centered directly over the northeastern CONUS and will likely stay in place for quite a bit. The ensembles suggest it is not until around the time frame of Friday that the ridge and its associated axis will begin to break down a bit.
Overall, heights will only build over the region with time Monday onwards. We could see heights of 594-600 dam over us for Wednesday.
At the surface level, high pressure centered offshore Monday will move eastward with time as a warm front lifts over the region. Even still, surface high pressure looks to largely control the region through the duration of the term. Though some rounds of shortwave energy may pester the region for much of the week, any precipitation development should be largely suppressed given the pattern.
We are mainly looking at a dry forecast into Thursday with temperatures potentially getting warming each day. High temperatures may touch the low 90s for Monday, but widespread highs in the 90s should be anticipated at this point for Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday. It is still a little too early to really discuss any potential for heat headlines at this point, but the potential will only grow with time as the week progresses.
AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.
Friday...VFR for much of the time, however sub-VFR conditions possible later in the afternoon and evening as showers and thunderstorms move through with a cold front. South to southwest winds around 10 knots, becoming west later in the afternoon at KRDG and KABE. Brief restrictions likely as the line of showers/thunderstorms move through. Some storms could result in variable, gusty winds as well. TEMPO groups added this update to reflect the risk of sub-VFR visibilities from heavy rain and gusty winds from strong thunderstorms. Moderate confidence in impacts from storms. Low confidence in timing.
Friday Night...Restrictions likely (60-70%) as a cold front moves through. Some showers possible behind the initial line of showers/thunderstorms. Westerly winds will become more northerly with the frontal passage, around 5-10 kt. Low confidence.
Outlook...
Saturday through Tuesday...VFR with no significant weather.
MARINE
Through Friday, the conditions are anticipated to remain below Small Craft Advisory criteria. Southerly winds should be the strongest at times across the northern New Jersey coastal waters and possibly up Delaware Bay. However, given much warmer air moving over the cooler waters, mixing should be more limited and since it looks marginal opted to keep the conditions below advisory criteria. Some showers and thunderstorms should arrive late Friday afternoon and Friday night, and some storms could produce locally gusty winds. Winds turn more northerly around 10 kts Friday night behind the frontal passage. Seas linger around 2-4 feet.
Outlook...
Saturday through Tuesday...No marine headlines expected. Fair weather.
Rip Currents...
On Friday, south winds increase to around 15 mph with 20 to 25 mph gusts. The flow will be a bit more onshore for most of New Jersey as opposed to Delaware. Additionally, guidance shows a 2 ft 9-10 second longer period swell from the SE to SSE developing by the afternoon. As a result, there is a MODERATE risk for the development of dangerous rip currents for New Jersey beaches where the coastline is more perpendicular or oblique to the longer period swell. LOW risk for the development of dangerous rip currents for the Delaware beaches. Breaking waves will be around 2 to 3 feet.
Winds turn offshore for Saturday, with a LOW risk for rip currents everywhere.
For specific beach forecasts, visit weather.gov/beach/phi
PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air | Water | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| MRCP1 - 8540433 - Marcus Hook, PA | 3 mi | 47 min | 72°F | 75°F | 29.88 | |||
| DELD1 - 8551762 - Delaware City, DE | 16 mi | 47 min | SSE 2.9G | 74°F | 29.90 | |||
| RDYD1 - 8551910 - Reedy Point, DE | 17 mi | 47 min | 73°F | 76°F | 29.89 | |||
| PHBP1 - 8545240 - Philadelphia, PA | 18 mi | 47 min | 75°F | 75°F | 29.88 | |||
| BDSP1 | 23 mi | 47 min | 72°F | 75°F | 29.90 | |||
| CHCM2 - 8573927 - Chesapeake City, MD | 27 mi | 47 min | SW 1.9G | 72°F | 78°F | 29.90 | ||
| SJSN4 - 8537121 - Ship John Shoal, NJ | 31 mi | 47 min | S 12G | 73°F | 29.91 | |||
| BDRN4 - 8539094 - Burlington, Delaware River, NJ | 36 mi | 59 min | S 4.1G | 69°F | 75°F | 29.89 | ||
| NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA | 43 mi | 47 min | S 4.1G | 70°F | 74°F | 29.91 |
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Wind History graph: ILG
(wind in knots)Pedricktown
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:19 AM EDT First Quarter
Fri -- 01:22 AM EDT Moonset
Fri -- 02:05 AM EDT 0.90 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:32 AM EDT Sunrise
Fri -- 08:03 AM EDT 4.06 feet High Tide
Fri -- 01:24 PM EDT Moonrise
Fri -- 02:40 PM EDT 0.65 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:31 PM EDT Sunset
Fri -- 08:44 PM EDT 4.01 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:19 AM EDT First Quarter
Fri -- 01:22 AM EDT Moonset
Fri -- 02:05 AM EDT 0.90 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:32 AM EDT Sunrise
Fri -- 08:03 AM EDT 4.06 feet High Tide
Fri -- 01:24 PM EDT Moonrise
Fri -- 02:40 PM EDT 0.65 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:31 PM EDT Sunset
Fri -- 08:44 PM EDT 4.01 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Pedricktown, Oldmans Creek, New Jersey, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 1.5 |
| 1 am |
| 1.1 |
| 2 am |
| 0.9 |
| 3 am |
| 1.1 |
| 4 am |
| 1.9 |
| 5 am |
| 2.7 |
| 6 am |
| 3.4 |
| 7 am |
| 3.9 |
| 8 am |
| 4.1 |
| 9 am |
| 3.8 |
| 10 am |
| 3.2 |
| 11 am |
| 2.4 |
| 12 pm |
| 1.7 |
| 1 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 2 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 4 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 5 pm |
| 2 |
| 6 pm |
| 2.8 |
| 7 pm |
| 3.4 |
| 8 pm |
| 3.9 |
| 9 pm |
| 4 |
| 10 pm |
| 3.6 |
| 11 pm |
| 2.9 |
Philadelphia
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:19 AM EDT First Quarter
Fri -- 01:21 AM EDT Moonset
Fri -- 03:23 AM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 05:06 AM EDT 1.12 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 05:31 AM EDT Sunrise
Fri -- 08:38 AM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 11:57 AM EDT -1.49 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 01:23 PM EDT Moonrise
Fri -- 04:06 PM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 05:43 PM EDT 0.98 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 08:30 PM EDT Sunset
Fri -- 09:19 PM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:19 AM EDT First Quarter
Fri -- 01:21 AM EDT Moonset
Fri -- 03:23 AM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 05:06 AM EDT 1.12 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 05:31 AM EDT Sunrise
Fri -- 08:38 AM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 11:57 AM EDT -1.49 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 01:23 PM EDT Moonrise
Fri -- 04:06 PM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 05:43 PM EDT 0.98 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 08:30 PM EDT Sunset
Fri -- 09:19 PM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Philadelphia, Pennsylvania Current, knots
| 12 am |
| -1.4 |
| 1 am |
| -1.2 |
| 2 am |
| -0.9 |
| 3 am |
| -0.3 |
| 4 am |
| 0.6 |
| 5 am |
| 1.1 |
| 6 am |
| 0.9 |
| 7 am |
| 0.7 |
| 8 am |
| 0.4 |
| 9 am |
| -0.3 |
| 10 am |
| -1 |
| 11 am |
| -1.4 |
| 12 pm |
| -1.5 |
| 1 pm |
| -1.4 |
| 2 pm |
| -1.2 |
| 3 pm |
| -0.9 |
| 4 pm |
| -0.1 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 6 pm |
| 1 |
| 7 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 8 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 9 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 10 pm |
| -0.6 |
| 11 pm |
| -1.2 |
Philadelphia, PA,
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