Sunrise 5:57 AM   Sunset 8:27 PM Moonrise 2:23 AM   Moonset 5:46 PM

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AMZ135 Pamlico Sound- 358 Pm Edt Wed Jul 3 2024
Tonight - SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S late. Waves 1 ft or less. Thu - SW winds around 5 kt, becoming S 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft in the afternoon.Thu night - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. Fri - SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming S 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Waves around 2 ft. Fri night - S winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Sat - SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Sat night - S winds around 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt, becoming sw 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Sun - S winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. A chance of showers. A chance of tstms in the afternoon. Sun night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. A chance of showers and tstms. Mon - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. A chance of showers. Mon night - S winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
winds and waves higher in and near tstms.

AMZ100 358 Pm Edt Wed Jul 3 2024
Synopsis for eastern north carolina coastal waters - High pressure will push offshore tonight and then remain centered off the coast through this weekend. Oppressive heat and humidity return this weekend as well as chances for showers and Thunderstorms.

FXUS62 KMHX 031941 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 341 PM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure will push offshore tonight and then remain centered off the coast through this weekend. Oppressive heat and humidity return this weekend as well as chances for showers and thunderstorms.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
As of 330 PM Wed...A warm and pleasant day overall across ENC as temps have gotten into the mid to upper 80s and dewpoints have remained in the upper 50s to mid 60s this afternoon. E'rly winds today have become more SE'rly and breezy behind a weak seabreeze this afternoon but minimal impact from the seabreeze is expected. Widespread diurnal Cu still persists across much of ENC with even some isolated shower activity noted in mainland Hyde County this afternoon. Coverage is too isolated to include any mentionable PoP's but wouldn't be surprised if a sprinkle or two hung around for the next few hours before dissipating with the loss of daytime heating.

Otherwise, high pressure will continue to shift offshore overnight allowing winds to remain light and skies to become mostly clear. Weak lee troughing develops further inland as a weak cold front shifts across the Ohio River Valley, and winds will veer to a southerly direction overnight allowing Tds to slowly rise. Still, given the light winds inland and mostly clear skies, another round of effective radiational cooling will result in one final evening of relatively mild lows in the mid to upper 60s. Along the immediate coast, temperatures hover around 70.

SHORT TERM /THURSDAY/
As of 330 PM Wed... High pressure becomes centered offshore on Thursday allowing for south to southwesterly winds at 5-10 mph persist across ENC. With the southerly winds in place, dewpoints will continue to creep up as weak moisture return continues as well. Diurnal cumulus field will develop once again in the late morning to early afternoon and overspread the entire CWA until the seabreeze can develop and push the cloud field further inland. Otherwise with increasing low level thicknesses temps will be slightly warmer on Thurs getting into the low to mid 90s inland and into the mid 80s along the OBX.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/
As of 245 AM Wed...

KEY MESSAGES:

- Oppressive heat and humidity returns late week and this weekend

Our most impactful weather likely occurs at the end of the week and into the weekend as oppressive heat and humidity sets up across the Southeast once again. Upper ridging will remain overhead into next weekend as any upper level troughs struggle to dig S'wards. At the surface, high pressure ridging will continue to push further offshore through the end of the week allowing SSW and deeper moisture to return to the area.

Temps will grad warm late week into the weekend allowing for oppressive heat and humidity to return. High temps will soar into the mid to upper 90s inland, upper 80s to low 90s for the beaches, combined with dewpoints climbing back up into the 70s.
This could to heat index values peaking at 105-110 deg. A cold front will approach the area this weekend and early next week, but will likely stall or dissipate west of the area. This boundary will likely do little, except to possibly aid in shower/tstm development. Will continue a mostly dry forecast through Thu, with climo mostly diurnally driven seabreeze pops Fri into next week. Will continue to cap pops at chance.

AVIATION /19Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
SHORT TERM /through 18Z Thu/...
As of 330 PM Wed... Primarily VFR conditions and light winds are forecast across the CWA through the period. Ongoing SE'rly winds at 5-10 kts will eventually become S'rly tonight as high pressure ridging pushes offshore. With light winds and mo clear skies forecast there is a low end <10% chance of seeing some radiational fog especially across OAJ/EWN, though given the lower confidence in this occuring have kept fog out of the TAF forecast for now and will monitor trends for tonight. Otherwise light S'rly winds will continue through tomorrow with a return of the diurnal Cu deck at 5-7 kft tomorrow as well.

LONG TERM /Thursday night through Monday/...
As of 245 AM Wed... Pred VFR conditions expected through the period. Sct diurnal shower/tstm chances return this weekend.

MARINE
SHORT TERM /through Thursday/...
As of 345 PM Wed... No significant changes to the forecast as pleasant boating conditions continue over area waters as high pressure, centered off the coast, extends southward over the Carolinas. Ongoing 5 to 15 kt SE'rly breezes and 2 to 4 ft seas will continue to persist over our waters through tonight with winds and seas changing little through Thursday.

LONG TERM /Thursday night through Monday/...
As of 245 AM Wed...Mostly benign boating conditions are forecast for the period. Light and variable winds to start off Thu, becoming SSE 5-15 kt in the afternoon. Typical summertime pattern late week into the weekend, with SSW winds 10-20 kt, strongest during the late afternoon and evening. Seas generally 2-4 ft through the period, with potential for 5 ft across the outer waters Fri night. May continue to see longer period swells from very distant Hurricane Beryl through Fri, though should have little impact on wave heights.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...None.
MARINE...None.

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Ocracoke
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Wed -- 01:02 AM EDT     0.08 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 03:23 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 05:54 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:00 AM EDT     0.78 feet High Tide
Wed -- 12:22 PM EDT     0.01 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:43 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 06:46 PM EDT     1.23 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:22 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Ocracoke, Ocracoke Island, North Carolina, Tide feet

Ocracoke
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Wed -- 12:55 AM EDT     0.00 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 03:23 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 05:54 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:21 AM EDT     0.92 feet High Tide
Wed -- 12:39 PM EDT     -0.01 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:43 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 06:51 PM EDT     1.26 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:22 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Ocracoke, Ocracoke Island, North Carolina (2), Tide feet

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