Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Orange Park, FL
July 3, 2024 4:26 PM EDT (20:26 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:28 AM Sunset 8:33 PM Moonrise 3:01 AM Moonset 5:51 PM |
AMZ452 Expires:202407040630;;382081 Fzus52 Kjax 031740 Cwfjax
coastal waters forecast for northeast florida/southeast georgia national weather service jacksonville fl 140 pm edt Wed jul 3 2024
atlantic coastal waters from altamaha sound ga to flagler beach fl out to 60 nm.
seas are provided as a range of the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves, along with the occasional height of the average highest 1/10 of the waves.
amz450-452-454-040630- coastal waters from altamaha sound to fernandina beach fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from fernandina beach to st. Augustine fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from st. Augustine to flagler beach fl out 20 nm- 140 pm edt Wed jul 3 2024
Rest of today - East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: northeast 2 feet at 7 seconds and east 2 feet at 8 seconds. Intracoastal waters light chop. A chance of showers. A slight chance of Thunderstorms late this morning, then a chance of Thunderstorms this afternoon.
Tonight - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming south after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: northeast 2 feet at 7 seconds and southeast 2 feet at 8 seconds. Intracoastal waters light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday - Northeast winds around 5 knots, becoming east in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: northeast 2 feet at 7 seconds and east 2 feet at 8 seconds. Intracoastal waters light chop. A chance of showers. A slight chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then a chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Thursday night - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming south after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: northeast 2 feet at 7 seconds and east 2 feet at 8 seconds. Intracoastal waters light chop.
Friday - Southeast winds around 5 knots, increasing to 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: northeast 2 feet at 6 seconds and east 2 feet at 10 seconds. Intracoastal waters light chop. A slight chance of rain. A slight chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Friday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: east 2 feet at 6 seconds and east 2 feet at 10 seconds. Intracoastal waters light chop.
Saturday through Sunday - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Intracoastal waters light chop. A chance of rain and Thunderstorms.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
coastal waters forecast for northeast florida/southeast georgia national weather service jacksonville fl 140 pm edt Wed jul 3 2024
atlantic coastal waters from altamaha sound ga to flagler beach fl out to 60 nm.
seas are provided as a range of the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves, along with the occasional height of the average highest 1/10 of the waves.
amz450-452-454-040630- coastal waters from altamaha sound to fernandina beach fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from fernandina beach to st. Augustine fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from st. Augustine to flagler beach fl out 20 nm- 140 pm edt Wed jul 3 2024
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
AMZ400 Synopsis For Altamaha Sound Ga To Flagler Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 140 Pm Edt Wed Jul 3 2024
Synopsis -
prevailing winds have shifted to easterly as high pressure building over the mid-atlantic states Wedges down the southeastern seaboard. Showers and Thunderstorms will increase in coverage across our local waters along and south of a stalled frontal boundary through today. The frontal boundary will gradually slide southward dissipate over the local waters by Thursday, with prevailing onshore winds continuing as high pressure weakens off the eastern seaboard. Storm coverage will decrease Friday through Saturday, with prevailing winds then shifting to southwesterly during the weekend ahead of the next slowing frontal boundary approaching from the north.
Gulf stream -
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of jul 02, 2024 at 1200 utc - .
57 nautical miles east of flagler beach. 66 nautical miles east of saint augustine beach. 75 nautical miles east of jacksonville beach. 84 nautical miles east southeast of st simons island.
this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.
prevailing winds have shifted to easterly as high pressure building over the mid-atlantic states Wedges down the southeastern seaboard. Showers and Thunderstorms will increase in coverage across our local waters along and south of a stalled frontal boundary through today. The frontal boundary will gradually slide southward dissipate over the local waters by Thursday, with prevailing onshore winds continuing as high pressure weakens off the eastern seaboard. Storm coverage will decrease Friday through Saturday, with prevailing winds then shifting to southwesterly during the weekend ahead of the next slowing frontal boundary approaching from the north.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of jul 02, 2024 at 1200 utc - .
57 nautical miles east of flagler beach. 66 nautical miles east of saint augustine beach. 75 nautical miles east of jacksonville beach. 84 nautical miles east southeast of st simons island.
this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.
Area Discussion for - Jacksonville, FL
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FXUS62 KJAX 031744 AFDJAX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 144 PM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024
New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
NEAR TERM
Issued at 128 PM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024
For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https:// www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf
Squeeze play between a trough just to our north, the Atlantic sea breeze and Gulf Sea Breeze front this afternoon and evening will lead to scattered to widespread convection over the spine of the FL peninsula and extreme SE GA. Convection is already popping and will be most significant in the Ocala-Gainesville to Lake City areas. Convection should die off between 10 p.m. and midnight.
SHORT TERM
(Independence Day through Friday night)
Broad surface high stretching across the western Atlantic, Florida and into the Gulf of Mexico will stay in place while ridging aloft centered over the Gulf, builds eastward and overhead through Friday. The overall diurnal convective regime will not change considerably between Thursday and Friday amid the stagnant flow pattern. Storm motion will be slow (<5mph) and driven almost entirely by the sea breeze and subsequent outflow interactions through the afternoon. The Atlantic sea breeze will "win out" each day, focusing the corridor of numerous showers and t'storms inland during the late afternoon and early evening hours.
Convective coverage will be reduced along the coast by Friday as dry air aloft noses in from the Atlantic, but scattered to numerous showers storm are still expected inland, favoring the I-75 corridor.
With deep moisture entrenched across the area, concerns with developing storms will be localized flooding due to hefty rainfall rates (3-5" per hour) and slow movement. The secondary hazard of concern will be strong outflow winds, around 30-50 mph, with a few storms.
Though temperatures will be on par with climo for early July, the risk of heat-related illness will be higher given the holiday and potential for prolonged heat exposure. A "situational" heat advisory may be needed to highlight the risk and amplify messaging for the Independence Day holiday. Heat index values on the Fourth will range from 100-108 and increase toward Advisory levels Friday.
LONG TERM
(Saturday through next Wednesday)
Lingering subsidence beneath stout ridging aloft and a "drier" airmass hanging along the coast will reduce storm coverage a bit Saturday before another slug of deep moisture pooling ahead of a slowing front seeps in from the north. This moisture uptick will reinvigorate convection and numerous afternoon showers are expected beginning Sunday with PoPs of 50-70% each day through the middle of the week. Hot and humid conditions will remain above climo temps and heat index (average heat index is around 101F for JAX) through the period with heat headlines possible each day.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 128 PM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024
Squeeze play between a trough just to our north, the Atlantic sea breeze and Gulf Sea Breeze front this afternoon and evening will lead to scattered to widespread convection over the spine of the FL peninsula and extreme SE GA. Convection is already popping and will be most significant in the KOCF, KVQQ and KGNV areas. Will introduce a TEMPO group for most fields as the convection slides inland past them. Due to the convergence near KGNV will go longer there. Otherwise a TEMPO for fog at Cecil Airport tomorrow morning.
MARINE
Prevailing winds have shifted to easterly as high pressure building over the Mid-Atlantic states wedges down the southeastern seaboard. Showers and thunderstorms will increase in coverage across our local waters along and south of a stalled frontal boundary through today. The frontal boundary will gradually slide southward dissipate over the local waters by Thursday, with prevailing onshore winds continuing as high pressure weakens off the eastern seaboard. Storm coverage will decrease Friday through Saturday, with prevailing winds then shifting to southwesterly during the weekend ahead of the next slowing frontal boundary approaching from the north.
Rip Currents: Surf around 2-3 feet and onset of the Atlantic sea breeze will bring a Moderate risk of rip currents through Independence day.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 92 74 94 74 / 60 20 30 10 SSI 90 79 90 79 / 40 20 20 0 JAX 93 76 93 75 / 60 20 50 10 SGJ 92 77 91 77 / 50 20 50 10 GNV 93 74 92 74 / 80 40 70 10 OCF 94 75 93 75 / 80 40 70 10
JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 144 PM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024
New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
NEAR TERM
Issued at 128 PM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024
For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https:// www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf
Squeeze play between a trough just to our north, the Atlantic sea breeze and Gulf Sea Breeze front this afternoon and evening will lead to scattered to widespread convection over the spine of the FL peninsula and extreme SE GA. Convection is already popping and will be most significant in the Ocala-Gainesville to Lake City areas. Convection should die off between 10 p.m. and midnight.
SHORT TERM
(Independence Day through Friday night)
Broad surface high stretching across the western Atlantic, Florida and into the Gulf of Mexico will stay in place while ridging aloft centered over the Gulf, builds eastward and overhead through Friday. The overall diurnal convective regime will not change considerably between Thursday and Friday amid the stagnant flow pattern. Storm motion will be slow (<5mph) and driven almost entirely by the sea breeze and subsequent outflow interactions through the afternoon. The Atlantic sea breeze will "win out" each day, focusing the corridor of numerous showers and t'storms inland during the late afternoon and early evening hours.
Convective coverage will be reduced along the coast by Friday as dry air aloft noses in from the Atlantic, but scattered to numerous showers storm are still expected inland, favoring the I-75 corridor.
With deep moisture entrenched across the area, concerns with developing storms will be localized flooding due to hefty rainfall rates (3-5" per hour) and slow movement. The secondary hazard of concern will be strong outflow winds, around 30-50 mph, with a few storms.
Though temperatures will be on par with climo for early July, the risk of heat-related illness will be higher given the holiday and potential for prolonged heat exposure. A "situational" heat advisory may be needed to highlight the risk and amplify messaging for the Independence Day holiday. Heat index values on the Fourth will range from 100-108 and increase toward Advisory levels Friday.
LONG TERM
(Saturday through next Wednesday)
Lingering subsidence beneath stout ridging aloft and a "drier" airmass hanging along the coast will reduce storm coverage a bit Saturday before another slug of deep moisture pooling ahead of a slowing front seeps in from the north. This moisture uptick will reinvigorate convection and numerous afternoon showers are expected beginning Sunday with PoPs of 50-70% each day through the middle of the week. Hot and humid conditions will remain above climo temps and heat index (average heat index is around 101F for JAX) through the period with heat headlines possible each day.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 128 PM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024
Squeeze play between a trough just to our north, the Atlantic sea breeze and Gulf Sea Breeze front this afternoon and evening will lead to scattered to widespread convection over the spine of the FL peninsula and extreme SE GA. Convection is already popping and will be most significant in the KOCF, KVQQ and KGNV areas. Will introduce a TEMPO group for most fields as the convection slides inland past them. Due to the convergence near KGNV will go longer there. Otherwise a TEMPO for fog at Cecil Airport tomorrow morning.
MARINE
Prevailing winds have shifted to easterly as high pressure building over the Mid-Atlantic states wedges down the southeastern seaboard. Showers and thunderstorms will increase in coverage across our local waters along and south of a stalled frontal boundary through today. The frontal boundary will gradually slide southward dissipate over the local waters by Thursday, with prevailing onshore winds continuing as high pressure weakens off the eastern seaboard. Storm coverage will decrease Friday through Saturday, with prevailing winds then shifting to southwesterly during the weekend ahead of the next slowing frontal boundary approaching from the north.
Rip Currents: Surf around 2-3 feet and onset of the Atlantic sea breeze will bring a Moderate risk of rip currents through Independence day.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 92 74 94 74 / 60 20 30 10 SSI 90 79 90 79 / 40 20 20 0 JAX 93 76 93 75 / 60 20 50 10 SGJ 92 77 91 77 / 50 20 50 10 GNV 93 74 92 74 / 80 40 70 10 OCF 94 75 93 75 / 80 40 70 10
JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air | Water | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| BKBF1 | 3 mi | 56 min | E 12G | 86°F | 30.05 | |||
| JXUF1 | 9 mi | 56 min | 91°F | |||||
| NFDF1 | 11 mi | 56 min | ENE 12G | 88°F | 30.06 | 85°F | ||
| DMSF1 | 12 mi | 56 min | 87°F | |||||
| BLIF1 | 13 mi | 56 min | E 9.9G | 89°F | 30.08 | 80°F | ||
| LTJF1 | 16 mi | 56 min | 88°F | 79°F | ||||
| MYPF1 - 8720218 - Mayport (Bar Pilots Dock), FL | 17 mi | 56 min | E 9.9G | 86°F | 87°F | 30.09 | ||
| FRDF1 - 8720030 - Fernandina Beach, FL | 32 mi | 56 min | E 6G | 91°F | 86°F | 30.07 | ||
| SAUF1 - St. Augustine, FL | 34 mi | 86 min | 12G | 85°F | 84°F | 30.08 | 85°F | |
| 41117 | 36 mi | 60 min | 86°F | 3 ft | ||||
| 41112 - Offshore Fernandina Beach, FL (132) | 38 mi | 56 min | 85°F | 86°F | 3 ft | |||
| KBMG1 | 38 mi | 56 min | 87°F | 30.09 | ||||
| GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL | 47 mi | 101 min | ESE 7 | 87°F | 30.12 | 79°F |
toggle option: (graph/table)
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Air | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KNIP JACKSONVILLE NAS (TOWERS FLD),FL | 1 sm | 33 min | ESE 13 | 10 sm | Mostly Cloudy | 90°F | 79°F | 71% | 30.05 | |
| KHEG HERLONG RECREATIONAL,FL | 7 sm | 11 min | E 11G16 | 10 sm | A Few Clouds | 93°F | 77°F | 60% | 30.06 | |
| KCRG JACKSONVILLE EXECUTIVE AT CRAIG,FL | 11 sm | 33 min | E 10 | 10 sm | A Few Clouds | 90°F | 75°F | 63% | 30.06 | |
| KVQQ CECIL,FL | 11 sm | 36 min | NE 08 | 10 sm | Mostly Cloudy | 99°F | 70°F | 40% | 30.04 | |
| KJAX JACKSONVILLE INTL,FL | 17 sm | 30 min | ENE 12G17 | 10 sm | Mostly Cloudy | 91°F | 75°F | 59% | 30.04 | |
| KNRB MAYPORT NS (ADM DAVID L MCDONALD FIELD),FL | 17 sm | 34 min | ESE 12 | 10 sm | Mostly Cloudy | 93°F | 77°F | 60% | 30.06 |
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KNIP
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KNIP
toggle option: (graph/table)
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KNIP
Wind History graph: NIP
(wind in knots)Piney Point
Click for Map
Wed -- 04:01 AM EDT Moonrise
Wed -- 04:05 AM EDT 5.77 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:29 AM EDT Sunrise
Wed -- 09:29 AM EDT 6.52 feet High Tide
Wed -- 04:21 PM EDT 5.55 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:51 PM EDT Moonset
Wed -- 08:32 PM EDT Sunset
Wed -- 10:21 PM EDT 6.59 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Wed -- 04:01 AM EDT Moonrise
Wed -- 04:05 AM EDT 5.77 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:29 AM EDT Sunrise
Wed -- 09:29 AM EDT 6.52 feet High Tide
Wed -- 04:21 PM EDT 5.55 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:51 PM EDT Moonset
Wed -- 08:32 PM EDT Sunset
Wed -- 10:21 PM EDT 6.59 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Piney Point, St. Johns River, Florida, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 6.2 |
| 1 am |
| 6 |
| 2 am |
| 5.9 |
| 3 am |
| 5.8 |
| 4 am |
| 5.8 |
| 5 am |
| 5.8 |
| 6 am |
| 6.1 |
| 7 am |
| 6.3 |
| 8 am |
| 6.4 |
| 9 am |
| 6.5 |
| 10 am |
| 6.5 |
| 11 am |
| 6.4 |
| 12 pm |
| 6.1 |
| 1 pm |
| 5.9 |
| 2 pm |
| 5.7 |
| 3 pm |
| 5.6 |
| 4 pm |
| 5.6 |
| 5 pm |
| 5.6 |
| 6 pm |
| 5.8 |
| 7 pm |
| 6.1 |
| 8 pm |
| 6.3 |
| 9 pm |
| 6.5 |
| 10 pm |
| 6.6 |
| 11 pm |
| 6.6 |
St. Johns River Entrance
Click for Map
Wed -- 03:23 AM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 03:59 AM EDT Moonrise
Wed -- 05:58 AM EDT 1.58 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 06:28 AM EDT Sunrise
Wed -- 08:41 AM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 11:36 AM EDT -2.12 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 03:06 PM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 06:10 PM EDT 2.67 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 06:50 PM EDT Moonset
Wed -- 08:31 PM EDT Sunset
Wed -- 09:26 PM EDT -0.01 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Wed -- 03:23 AM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 03:59 AM EDT Moonrise
Wed -- 05:58 AM EDT 1.58 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 06:28 AM EDT Sunrise
Wed -- 08:41 AM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 11:36 AM EDT -2.12 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 03:06 PM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 06:10 PM EDT 2.67 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 06:50 PM EDT Moonset
Wed -- 08:31 PM EDT Sunset
Wed -- 09:26 PM EDT -0.01 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
St. Johns River Entrance, Florida Current, knots
| 12 am |
| -2.2 |
| 1 am |
| -2 |
| 2 am |
| -1.4 |
| 3 am |
| -0.4 |
| 4 am |
| 0.6 |
| 5 am |
| 1.4 |
| 6 am |
| 1.6 |
| 7 am |
| 1.4 |
| 8 am |
| 0.8 |
| 9 am |
| -0.4 |
| 10 am |
| -1.5 |
| 11 am |
| -2.1 |
| 12 pm |
| -2.1 |
| 1 pm |
| -1.8 |
| 2 pm |
| -1.2 |
| 3 pm |
| -0.1 |
| 4 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 5 pm |
| 2.2 |
| 6 pm |
| 2.7 |
| 7 pm |
| 2.5 |
| 8 pm |
| 1.9 |
| 9 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 10 pm |
| -0.8 |
| 11 pm |
| -1.8 |
Jacksonville, FL,
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