Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Tangier, VA
June 15, 2024 2:44 AM EDT (06:44 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 5:36 AM Sunset 8:29 PM Moonrise 1:26 PM Moonset 12:45 AM |
ANZ630 Chesapeake Bay From Smith Point To Windmill Point Va- 132 Am Edt Sat Jun 15 2024
Tonight - S winds 10 kt, becoming ne, then becoming N 10 to 15 kt late. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers and tstms until early morning, then a slight chance of showers and tstms late.
Sat - N winds 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Sat night - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Sun - NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot.
Sun night - SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Mon - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Mon night - S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Tue - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Tue night - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Wed - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Wed night - SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
winds and waves higher in and near tstms.
winds and waves higher in and near tstms.
ANZ600 132 Am Edt Sat Jun 15 2024
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay, currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers -
a cold front pushes south across the early this morning, with high pressure building toward the area during the remainder of the weekend. This high will shift offshore early next week.
a cold front pushes south across the early this morning, with high pressure building toward the area during the remainder of the weekend. This high will shift offshore early next week.
FXUS61 KAKQ 150220 AFDAKQ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 1020 PM EDT Fri Jun 14 2024
SYNOPSIS
A cold front will push through the region tonight with a few showers and storms possible. Dry with seasonable temperatures over the weekend, followed by a very warm to hot and mainly dry pattern next week.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/
As of 1015 PM EDT Friday...
Key Messages:
- A few showers and storms will be possible tonight.
A weak cold front crosses the area tonight. A few showers and thunderstorms have developed this evening, most notably over portions of the Northern Neck and Virginia Eastern Shore which brought some beneficial rainfall (~0.50" to up to 1.00" in isolated spots). Meanwhile, a weakening line of showers and a few rumbles of thunder is entering northern portions of Louisa County. This activity will likely continue to weaken as it heads east. Any remaining showers or storms diminish/move off the coast around or shortly after midnight. Low temperatures tonight will generally range from the mid to upper 60s (lower 70s far SE).
SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY/
As of 220 PM EDT Friday...
Key Messages:
- Dry weather and lower temperatures (seasonable) return for Saturday into Sunday.
Cooler on Saturday with pleasant/tolerable humidity values behind the front. Highs rise into the mid to upper 80s but dew points mix out into the 50s to low 60s during the afternoon.
A mostly sunny sky will prevail with northerly winds continuing through the afternoon. Could be a bit breezy, especially near the coast in the morning. Continued dry and pleasant Saturday night with lows dropping into the upper 50s to low 60s.
Surface high pressure to the north will move offshore on Sunday as an upper ridge builds NE. High temps will be a degree or two above what we will see on Saturday with highs in the upper 80s inland with low to mid 80s near the coast. Dew points remain comfortable in the upper 50s to low 60s. Low temps Sunday night in the low/mid 60s inland with upper 60s likely for coastal locations.
For Monday, a 595dm upper ridge centers itself over the mid- Atlantic region while sfc high pressure offshore brings SW flow to the area. This will allow for temperatures to rise above normal with continued dry conditions. Highs will be in low 90s inland with 80s along the coast.
LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/
As of 220 PM EDT Friday...
Key Messages:
- Hot and dry weather returns next week, likely persisting through the end of the forecast period.
Models continue to depict an upper level ridge building across the eastern 1/3 of the CONUS next week. Global models have come into decent agreement showing the center of the upper ridge orienting just N and NW of the local area by the middle of next week. The ECMWF continues to be the most bullish with upper heights but the GFS/GEM and their ensembles generally agree that a period of hot temperatures will occur across the area next week. With the core of the upper ridge displaced to the N, will maintain some degree of onshore flow across the area. Highs should be into the low-mid 90s well inland, but will tend to stay in the upper 80s to lower 90s closer to the coast. The continental origin of the ridge will likely mitigate heat indices. The current forecast has heat indices through midweek right around the actual air temperatures, generally in the low to mid 90s. An inverted upper trough moves westward underneath the upper ridge late week which could trigger a few storms over our southern CWA Overnight lows slowly creep up through the week and range from the upper 60s to lower 70s.
AVIATION /02Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
As of 745 PM EDT Friday...
A weak front will be advancing southward across the area through this evening into the early overnight hours. This front will touch off isolated to widely scattered showers and storms, especially from just north of KRIC over to KSBY from now through ~06z. Included VCTS at SBY where confidence is highest.
Primarily VFR CIGs at all sites, but cannot rule out a brief period of MVFR (mainly at SBY, ORF, PHF) after 06z until ~12z as hinted at by a few high-res models. Overall confidence in sub- VFR CIGs is low. Mainly SKC skies/VFR conditions are then expected through the remainder of the forecast period. Winds will be light from the S-SE through this evening before the frontal passage causes winds to shift around out of the N early Saturday morning.
Outlook: Winds will average 10 kt or less with VFR conditions and mostly clear skies Sunday into early next week as high pressure gradually shifts off the coast.
MARINE
As of 855 PM EDT Friday...
Key Messages:
- A cold front will cross the waters tonight. Northerly winds behind the front are expected to gust to around 20 kt (some brief gusts close to 25 kt are possible on the Bay) for a few hours Saturday morning.
- Sub-advisory conditions are expected through the remainder of the weekend into early next week.
There was a brief jump in winds this evening over the lower Bay to around 15 to 20 kt, but winds are slowly decreasing and will remain around 10 to 15 kt ahead of the cold front. The cold front is forecast to cross the waters early Saturday morning, allowing winds to turn northerly. There will be a brief surge behind this front with the strongest of the winds expected to occur from between sunrise Saturday through early afternoon with gusts to around 20 kt for a few hours (a few gusts to near 25 kt are possible based on some of the high res guidance.
Sub- SCA conditions are expected Sat aftn- Sun with NE to E winds around 10 kt as high pressure builds southward into the Mid-Atlantic states. Southwest winds late Sunday and Sunday night could approach 15 kt as the pressure gradient tightens with the high remaining to our north. Winds remain S-SE at 10 - 15 kt for the early part of next week with the ridge of high pressure anchored in place.
Seas generally 2-3 ft over the ocean with 1-3 ft waves on the bay through the period, although seas will briefly build to 4 ft by mid to late Saturday morning behind the cold front.
CLIMATE
Record highs are not expected Friday, but are listed below for reference as RIC could be close:
- RIC: 99 (1926)
- ORF: 97 (1945)
- SBY: 97 (1945)
- ECG: 98 (1944)
AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MD...None.
NC...None.
VA...None.
MARINE...None.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 1020 PM EDT Fri Jun 14 2024
SYNOPSIS
A cold front will push through the region tonight with a few showers and storms possible. Dry with seasonable temperatures over the weekend, followed by a very warm to hot and mainly dry pattern next week.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/
As of 1015 PM EDT Friday...
Key Messages:
- A few showers and storms will be possible tonight.
A weak cold front crosses the area tonight. A few showers and thunderstorms have developed this evening, most notably over portions of the Northern Neck and Virginia Eastern Shore which brought some beneficial rainfall (~0.50" to up to 1.00" in isolated spots). Meanwhile, a weakening line of showers and a few rumbles of thunder is entering northern portions of Louisa County. This activity will likely continue to weaken as it heads east. Any remaining showers or storms diminish/move off the coast around or shortly after midnight. Low temperatures tonight will generally range from the mid to upper 60s (lower 70s far SE).
SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY/
As of 220 PM EDT Friday...
Key Messages:
- Dry weather and lower temperatures (seasonable) return for Saturday into Sunday.
Cooler on Saturday with pleasant/tolerable humidity values behind the front. Highs rise into the mid to upper 80s but dew points mix out into the 50s to low 60s during the afternoon.
A mostly sunny sky will prevail with northerly winds continuing through the afternoon. Could be a bit breezy, especially near the coast in the morning. Continued dry and pleasant Saturday night with lows dropping into the upper 50s to low 60s.
Surface high pressure to the north will move offshore on Sunday as an upper ridge builds NE. High temps will be a degree or two above what we will see on Saturday with highs in the upper 80s inland with low to mid 80s near the coast. Dew points remain comfortable in the upper 50s to low 60s. Low temps Sunday night in the low/mid 60s inland with upper 60s likely for coastal locations.
For Monday, a 595dm upper ridge centers itself over the mid- Atlantic region while sfc high pressure offshore brings SW flow to the area. This will allow for temperatures to rise above normal with continued dry conditions. Highs will be in low 90s inland with 80s along the coast.
LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/
As of 220 PM EDT Friday...
Key Messages:
- Hot and dry weather returns next week, likely persisting through the end of the forecast period.
Models continue to depict an upper level ridge building across the eastern 1/3 of the CONUS next week. Global models have come into decent agreement showing the center of the upper ridge orienting just N and NW of the local area by the middle of next week. The ECMWF continues to be the most bullish with upper heights but the GFS/GEM and their ensembles generally agree that a period of hot temperatures will occur across the area next week. With the core of the upper ridge displaced to the N, will maintain some degree of onshore flow across the area. Highs should be into the low-mid 90s well inland, but will tend to stay in the upper 80s to lower 90s closer to the coast. The continental origin of the ridge will likely mitigate heat indices. The current forecast has heat indices through midweek right around the actual air temperatures, generally in the low to mid 90s. An inverted upper trough moves westward underneath the upper ridge late week which could trigger a few storms over our southern CWA Overnight lows slowly creep up through the week and range from the upper 60s to lower 70s.
AVIATION /02Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
As of 745 PM EDT Friday...
A weak front will be advancing southward across the area through this evening into the early overnight hours. This front will touch off isolated to widely scattered showers and storms, especially from just north of KRIC over to KSBY from now through ~06z. Included VCTS at SBY where confidence is highest.
Primarily VFR CIGs at all sites, but cannot rule out a brief period of MVFR (mainly at SBY, ORF, PHF) after 06z until ~12z as hinted at by a few high-res models. Overall confidence in sub- VFR CIGs is low. Mainly SKC skies/VFR conditions are then expected through the remainder of the forecast period. Winds will be light from the S-SE through this evening before the frontal passage causes winds to shift around out of the N early Saturday morning.
Outlook: Winds will average 10 kt or less with VFR conditions and mostly clear skies Sunday into early next week as high pressure gradually shifts off the coast.
MARINE
As of 855 PM EDT Friday...
Key Messages:
- A cold front will cross the waters tonight. Northerly winds behind the front are expected to gust to around 20 kt (some brief gusts close to 25 kt are possible on the Bay) for a few hours Saturday morning.
- Sub-advisory conditions are expected through the remainder of the weekend into early next week.
There was a brief jump in winds this evening over the lower Bay to around 15 to 20 kt, but winds are slowly decreasing and will remain around 10 to 15 kt ahead of the cold front. The cold front is forecast to cross the waters early Saturday morning, allowing winds to turn northerly. There will be a brief surge behind this front with the strongest of the winds expected to occur from between sunrise Saturday through early afternoon with gusts to around 20 kt for a few hours (a few gusts to near 25 kt are possible based on some of the high res guidance.
Sub- SCA conditions are expected Sat aftn- Sun with NE to E winds around 10 kt as high pressure builds southward into the Mid-Atlantic states. Southwest winds late Sunday and Sunday night could approach 15 kt as the pressure gradient tightens with the high remaining to our north. Winds remain S-SE at 10 - 15 kt for the early part of next week with the ridge of high pressure anchored in place.
Seas generally 2-3 ft over the ocean with 1-3 ft waves on the bay through the period, although seas will briefly build to 4 ft by mid to late Saturday morning behind the cold front.
CLIMATE
Record highs are not expected Friday, but are listed below for reference as RIC could be close:
- RIC: 99 (1926)
- ORF: 97 (1945)
- SBY: 97 (1945)
- ECG: 98 (1944)
AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MD...None.
NC...None.
VA...None.
MARINE...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air | Water | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| 44042 - Potomac, MD | 15 mi | 75 min | NNW 3.9G | 74°F | 77°F | |||
| LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA | 17 mi | 75 min | N 7G | 75°F | 79°F | 29.88 | ||
| 44058 - Stingray Point, VA | 19 mi | 69 min | SSW 5.8G | 75°F | 78°F | 1 ft | ||
| RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA | 24 mi | 75 min | S 14G | 29.91 | ||||
| PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD | 26 mi | 75 min | NE 11G | |||||
| BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD | 28 mi | 75 min | NNE 8.9G | 72°F | 80°F | 29.89 | ||
| WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA | 33 mi | 75 min | WSW 5.1G | 73°F | 80°F | 29.84 | ||
| SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD | 35 mi | 75 min | N 8G | 71°F | 76°F | 29.90 | ||
| YRSV2 - Chesapeake Bay,VA | 39 mi | 75 min | 0 | 72°F | 29.89 | 69°F | ||
| COVM2 - 8577018 - Cove Point LNG Pier, MD | 40 mi | 75 min | NNE 9.9G | 71°F | 29.91 | |||
| 44072 | 44 mi | 63 min | SSW 5.8G | 74°F | 1 ft | |||
| YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA | 45 mi | 75 min | W 4.1G | 74°F | 78°F | 29.88 | ||
| 44089 | 48 mi | 79 min | 71°F | 2 ft | ||||
| KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA | 48 mi | 75 min | S 9.9G | 75°F | 76°F | 29.90 |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KNUI
NEW Forecast page for KNUI
toggle option: (graph/table)
NEW Forecast page for KNUI
Wind History graph: NUI
(wind in knots)Fleet Point
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:43 AM EDT 0.23 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 01:19 AM EDT First Quarter
Fri -- 01:24 AM EDT Moonset
Fri -- 05:42 AM EDT Sunrise
Fri -- 06:32 AM EDT 0.90 feet High Tide
Fri -- 12:59 PM EDT 0.18 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 01:28 PM EDT Moonrise
Fri -- 07:10 PM EDT 0.97 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:28 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:43 AM EDT 0.23 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 01:19 AM EDT First Quarter
Fri -- 01:24 AM EDT Moonset
Fri -- 05:42 AM EDT Sunrise
Fri -- 06:32 AM EDT 0.90 feet High Tide
Fri -- 12:59 PM EDT 0.18 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 01:28 PM EDT Moonrise
Fri -- 07:10 PM EDT 0.97 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:28 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Fleet Point, Chesapeake Bay, Virginia, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 0.3 |
| 1 am |
| 0.2 |
| 2 am |
| 0.3 |
| 3 am |
| 0.5 |
| 4 am |
| 0.6 |
| 5 am |
| 0.8 |
| 6 am |
| 0.9 |
| 7 am |
| 0.9 |
| 8 am |
| 0.8 |
| 9 am |
| 0.7 |
| 10 am |
| 0.5 |
| 11 am |
| 0.3 |
| 12 pm |
| 0.2 |
| 1 pm |
| 0.2 |
| 2 pm |
| 0.2 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 6 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 7 pm |
| 1 |
| 8 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 9 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 11 pm |
| 0.5 |
Glebe Point
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:05 AM EDT 0.28 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 01:19 AM EDT First Quarter
Fri -- 01:25 AM EDT Moonset
Fri -- 05:42 AM EDT Sunrise
Fri -- 06:49 AM EDT 1.07 feet High Tide
Fri -- 01:22 PM EDT 0.21 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 01:28 PM EDT Moonrise
Fri -- 07:27 PM EDT 1.16 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:29 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:05 AM EDT 0.28 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 01:19 AM EDT First Quarter
Fri -- 01:25 AM EDT Moonset
Fri -- 05:42 AM EDT Sunrise
Fri -- 06:49 AM EDT 1.07 feet High Tide
Fri -- 01:22 PM EDT 0.21 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 01:28 PM EDT Moonrise
Fri -- 07:27 PM EDT 1.16 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:29 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Glebe Point, Great Wicomico River, Chesapeake Bay, Virginia, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 0.3 |
| 1 am |
| 0.3 |
| 2 am |
| 0.3 |
| 3 am |
| 0.5 |
| 4 am |
| 0.7 |
| 5 am |
| 0.9 |
| 6 am |
| 1 |
| 7 am |
| 1.1 |
| 8 am |
| 1 |
| 9 am |
| 0.9 |
| 10 am |
| 0.7 |
| 11 am |
| 0.5 |
| 12 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 1 pm |
| 0.2 |
| 2 pm |
| 0.2 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 6 pm |
| 1 |
| 7 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 8 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 9 pm |
| 1 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 11 pm |
| 0.7 |
Dover AFB, DE,
NOTICE: Some pages have affiliate links to Amazon. As an Amazon Associate, I earn from qualifying purchases. Please read website Cookie, Privacy, and Disclamers by clicking HERE. To contact me click HERE. For my YouTube page click HERE