Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Orange, TX
July 3, 2024 4:29 AM CDT (09:29 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:17 AM Sunset 8:21 PM Moonrise 2:51 AM Moonset 5:41 PM |
GMZ430 Sabine Lake- 400 Am Cdt Wed Jul 3 2024
Today - Light and variable winds, becoming south 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters light chop. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms.
Tonight - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters light chop.
Thursday - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters light chop.
Friday - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Friday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Saturday - Northwest winds around 5 knots, becoming southeast in the afternoon. Lake waters smooth. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then showers and Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
Saturday night - Southeast winds around 5 knots. Lake waters smooth. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday night - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
GMZ400 400 Am Cdt Wed Jul 3 2024
Synopsis -
nocturnal showers have started developing over coastal waters. This trend will continue through the morning as a weak easterly wave moves inland on the louisiana coastline. A widespread coverage of showers and Thunderstorms can be expected with heavy downpours, gusty winds and lightning in and near Thunderstorms.
weakness aloft is established Thursday and beyond allowing for the return of normal diurnally driven showers and Thunderstorms.
light to occasionally moderate onshore flow and low seas will prevail through the remainder of the work week. Winds and seas will begin to increase late Saturday into Sunday as a pressure gradient begins to tighten over the coastal region.
nocturnal showers have started developing over coastal waters. This trend will continue through the morning as a weak easterly wave moves inland on the louisiana coastline. A widespread coverage of showers and Thunderstorms can be expected with heavy downpours, gusty winds and lightning in and near Thunderstorms.
weakness aloft is established Thursday and beyond allowing for the return of normal diurnally driven showers and Thunderstorms.
light to occasionally moderate onshore flow and low seas will prevail through the remainder of the work week. Winds and seas will begin to increase late Saturday into Sunday as a pressure gradient begins to tighten over the coastal region.
Area Discussion for - Lake Charles, LA
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FXUS64 KLCH 030917 AFDLCH
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 417 AM CDT Wed Jul 3 2024
New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE
SHORT TERM
(Today through Friday night)
Issued at 338 AM CDT Wed Jul 3 2024
Showers have started to develop over coastal waters which will start moving inland in the coming hours. These nocturnal showers preceded a weak easterly wave which is expected to move onshore in eastern Louisiana today. Widespread showers and thunderstorms should spread inland and across much of the area today. Deep tropical-like moisture will accompany convection allowing for efficient warm rainfall processes to take place and thus very heavy downpours. With some stronger storms, gusty winds will be possible but widespread severe weather is not anticipated.
Weakness aloft takes place Thursday allowing for a return of typical diurnal convection.
Friday, expect afternoon showers and storms, but with an added boundary moving down towards the region from the north. This feature may drive rain chances to continue into the overnight hours.
Temperatures today, Thursday and Friday should generally be held in check by area rainfall. Highs along the coast will hover in the low 90s each day while those further inland warm into the mid to upper 90s. Although daytime temps won't be as warm as they have been, afternoon Heat Indices will make a run into the low 100s to around 109F today (especially in northern zones and along the Atchafalaya Basin.) Thus, a Heat Advisory is in effect for these areas today.
Another Heat Advisory is in place for the Holiday Thursday. This Advisory spans from inland Southeast Texas into central Louisiana.
Elsewhere, rainfall should keep Heat Indices from reaching criteria.
11/Calhoun
LONG TERM
(Saturday through Wednesday)
Issued at 338 AM CDT Wed Jul 3 2024
The long term begins Saturday with the area under the influence of troffing over the center of the country while at the sfc, high pressure is forecast to remain centered over the nern Gulf, maintaining a srly low-level flow across the region. In addition, a weak sfc front is progged to be stalling to our north across the ArkLaTex/ArkLaMiss regions. The combo of the limited capping, weak influence of the sfc boundary and good Gulf moisture (mean RH values again have increase to exceeding 70 percent and PWAT values now peak at 2.3 inches) is expected to lead to widespread showers/storms during the daytime. Blended guidance is advertising highest POPs once again over our sern zones, although the highest QPFs are being carried across the nrn 1/2 of the area...and with this in mind, WPC has highlighted the nrn zones in a marginal risk for excessive rainfall on Saturday.
Sunday looks largely like a repeat, although with the frontal boundary likely to lift back nwd somewhat, rain chances drop back a tick to account.
The latest forecast track for TC Beryl from NHC calls for the system to make landfall along the far nrn Mexican coast not too far south of KBRO late Sunday night/early Monday morning. Following this, much of the guidance takes the core of the system nnwwd further into TX.
With a deep serly flow now progged to set up over the wrn Gulf and into the Gulf West region, rain chances over the forecast area begin increasing again to start the new work week. This increasingly wet trends continues into the Tuesday as what's left of the system begins to meander around to our west while a 2ry surge of moisture is progged to encroach the region. It is important to note that confidence remains somewhat low in the eventual path of Beryl and that changes to the forecast track over the coming days are likely...stay tuned.
The good news in the long term is that with all the cloud cover/rainfall being forecast, temperatures are not looking to run as warm as during the days prior. Forecast highs generally top out in the lower 90s each day. Peak heat index values generally look to stay below advisory criteria at this time.
25
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1131 PM CDT Tue Jul 2 2024
Not much has changed in the thinking when it comes to the aviation forecast. Early convection has dissipated and with mainly a stable atmosphere now, expect VFR conditions with light and variable winds to go along with mainly high level clouds through the night.
On Wednesday, a weak trough is expected to move to the west across southern Louisiana into southeast Texas, and this will work with daytime heating to initiate showers and thunderstorms by 03/18z, especially for the southern terminals. Therefore, will place PROB30 groups for KARA/KLFT/KLCH/KBPT from 03/18z to 03/24z.
Further north for KAEX, will just mention VCTS.
Rua
MARINE
Issued at 338 AM CDT Wed Jul 3 2024
Nocturnal showers have started developing over coastal waters.
This trend will continue through the morning as a weak easterly wave moves inland on the Louisiana coastline. A widespread coverage of showers and thunderstorms can be expected with heavy downpours, gusty winds and lightning in and near thunderstorms.
Weakness aloft is established Thursday and beyond allowing for the return of normal diurnally driven showers and thunderstorms.
Light to occassionally moderate onshore flow and low seas will prevail through the remainder of the work week. Winds and seas will begin to increase late Saturday into Sunday as a pressure gradient begins to tighten over the coastal region.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AEX 97 76 95 76 / 40 10 30 10 LCH 91 80 91 78 / 70 10 50 0 LFT 94 80 94 78 / 80 10 60 0 BPT 94 79 94 78 / 60 10 30 0
LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...Heat Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 7 PM CDT this evening for LAZ027>029-032-033-044-045-055-152-153.
Heat Advisory from 11 AM to 7 PM CDT Thursday for LAZ027>029.
TX...Heat Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 7 PM CDT this evening for TXZ180-201-259-260.
Heat Advisory from 11 AM to 7 PM CDT Thursday for TXZ180-201-259- 260.
GM...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 417 AM CDT Wed Jul 3 2024
New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE
SHORT TERM
(Today through Friday night)
Issued at 338 AM CDT Wed Jul 3 2024
Showers have started to develop over coastal waters which will start moving inland in the coming hours. These nocturnal showers preceded a weak easterly wave which is expected to move onshore in eastern Louisiana today. Widespread showers and thunderstorms should spread inland and across much of the area today. Deep tropical-like moisture will accompany convection allowing for efficient warm rainfall processes to take place and thus very heavy downpours. With some stronger storms, gusty winds will be possible but widespread severe weather is not anticipated.
Weakness aloft takes place Thursday allowing for a return of typical diurnal convection.
Friday, expect afternoon showers and storms, but with an added boundary moving down towards the region from the north. This feature may drive rain chances to continue into the overnight hours.
Temperatures today, Thursday and Friday should generally be held in check by area rainfall. Highs along the coast will hover in the low 90s each day while those further inland warm into the mid to upper 90s. Although daytime temps won't be as warm as they have been, afternoon Heat Indices will make a run into the low 100s to around 109F today (especially in northern zones and along the Atchafalaya Basin.) Thus, a Heat Advisory is in effect for these areas today.
Another Heat Advisory is in place for the Holiday Thursday. This Advisory spans from inland Southeast Texas into central Louisiana.
Elsewhere, rainfall should keep Heat Indices from reaching criteria.
11/Calhoun
LONG TERM
(Saturday through Wednesday)
Issued at 338 AM CDT Wed Jul 3 2024
The long term begins Saturday with the area under the influence of troffing over the center of the country while at the sfc, high pressure is forecast to remain centered over the nern Gulf, maintaining a srly low-level flow across the region. In addition, a weak sfc front is progged to be stalling to our north across the ArkLaTex/ArkLaMiss regions. The combo of the limited capping, weak influence of the sfc boundary and good Gulf moisture (mean RH values again have increase to exceeding 70 percent and PWAT values now peak at 2.3 inches) is expected to lead to widespread showers/storms during the daytime. Blended guidance is advertising highest POPs once again over our sern zones, although the highest QPFs are being carried across the nrn 1/2 of the area...and with this in mind, WPC has highlighted the nrn zones in a marginal risk for excessive rainfall on Saturday.
Sunday looks largely like a repeat, although with the frontal boundary likely to lift back nwd somewhat, rain chances drop back a tick to account.
The latest forecast track for TC Beryl from NHC calls for the system to make landfall along the far nrn Mexican coast not too far south of KBRO late Sunday night/early Monday morning. Following this, much of the guidance takes the core of the system nnwwd further into TX.
With a deep serly flow now progged to set up over the wrn Gulf and into the Gulf West region, rain chances over the forecast area begin increasing again to start the new work week. This increasingly wet trends continues into the Tuesday as what's left of the system begins to meander around to our west while a 2ry surge of moisture is progged to encroach the region. It is important to note that confidence remains somewhat low in the eventual path of Beryl and that changes to the forecast track over the coming days are likely...stay tuned.
The good news in the long term is that with all the cloud cover/rainfall being forecast, temperatures are not looking to run as warm as during the days prior. Forecast highs generally top out in the lower 90s each day. Peak heat index values generally look to stay below advisory criteria at this time.
25
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1131 PM CDT Tue Jul 2 2024
Not much has changed in the thinking when it comes to the aviation forecast. Early convection has dissipated and with mainly a stable atmosphere now, expect VFR conditions with light and variable winds to go along with mainly high level clouds through the night.
On Wednesday, a weak trough is expected to move to the west across southern Louisiana into southeast Texas, and this will work with daytime heating to initiate showers and thunderstorms by 03/18z, especially for the southern terminals. Therefore, will place PROB30 groups for KARA/KLFT/KLCH/KBPT from 03/18z to 03/24z.
Further north for KAEX, will just mention VCTS.
Rua
MARINE
Issued at 338 AM CDT Wed Jul 3 2024
Nocturnal showers have started developing over coastal waters.
This trend will continue through the morning as a weak easterly wave moves inland on the Louisiana coastline. A widespread coverage of showers and thunderstorms can be expected with heavy downpours, gusty winds and lightning in and near thunderstorms.
Weakness aloft is established Thursday and beyond allowing for the return of normal diurnally driven showers and thunderstorms.
Light to occassionally moderate onshore flow and low seas will prevail through the remainder of the work week. Winds and seas will begin to increase late Saturday into Sunday as a pressure gradient begins to tighten over the coastal region.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AEX 97 76 95 76 / 40 10 30 10 LCH 91 80 91 78 / 70 10 50 0 LFT 94 80 94 78 / 80 10 60 0 BPT 94 79 94 78 / 60 10 30 0
LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...Heat Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 7 PM CDT this evening for LAZ027>029-032-033-044-045-055-152-153.
Heat Advisory from 11 AM to 7 PM CDT Thursday for LAZ027>029.
TX...Heat Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 7 PM CDT this evening for TXZ180-201-259-260.
Heat Advisory from 11 AM to 7 PM CDT Thursday for TXZ180-201-259- 260.
GM...None.
toggle option: (graph/table)
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KORG
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KORG
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Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KORG
Wind History graph: ORG
(wind in knots)Mesquite Point
Click for Map
Wed -- 03:53 AM CDT Moonrise
Wed -- 05:43 AM CDT 1.50 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:19 AM CDT Sunrise
Wed -- 06:40 PM CDT Moonset
Wed -- 08:20 PM CDT Sunset
Wed -- 08:51 PM CDT -0.67 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Wed -- 03:53 AM CDT Moonrise
Wed -- 05:43 AM CDT 1.50 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:19 AM CDT Sunrise
Wed -- 06:40 PM CDT Moonset
Wed -- 08:20 PM CDT Sunset
Wed -- 08:51 PM CDT -0.67 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Mesquite Point, Sabine Pass, Texas, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 0.3 |
| 1 am |
| 0.6 |
| 2 am |
| 1 |
| 3 am |
| 1.2 |
| 4 am |
| 1.4 |
| 5 am |
| 1.5 |
| 6 am |
| 1.5 |
| 7 am |
| 1.5 |
| 8 am |
| 1.4 |
| 9 am |
| 1.4 |
| 10 am |
| 1.3 |
| 11 am |
| 1.3 |
| 12 pm |
| 1.3 |
| 1 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 2 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.2 |
| 6 pm |
| -0.1 |
| 7 pm |
| -0.4 |
| 8 pm |
| -0.6 |
| 9 pm |
| -0.7 |
| 10 pm |
| -0.6 |
| 11 pm |
| -0.4 |
Sabine Pass
Click for Map
Wed -- 03:53 AM CDT Moonrise
Wed -- 04:05 AM CDT 1.84 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:19 AM CDT Sunrise
Wed -- 10:08 AM CDT 1.44 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 11:26 AM CDT 1.44 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:40 PM CDT Moonset
Wed -- 08:19 PM CDT Sunset
Wed -- 08:27 PM CDT -0.50 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Wed -- 03:53 AM CDT Moonrise
Wed -- 04:05 AM CDT 1.84 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:19 AM CDT Sunrise
Wed -- 10:08 AM CDT 1.44 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 11:26 AM CDT 1.44 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:40 PM CDT Moonset
Wed -- 08:19 PM CDT Sunset
Wed -- 08:27 PM CDT -0.50 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sabine Pass, North, Texas, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 0.9 |
| 1 am |
| 1.3 |
| 2 am |
| 1.6 |
| 3 am |
| 1.8 |
| 4 am |
| 1.8 |
| 5 am |
| 1.8 |
| 6 am |
| 1.7 |
| 7 am |
| 1.6 |
| 8 am |
| 1.5 |
| 9 am |
| 1.5 |
| 10 am |
| 1.4 |
| 11 am |
| 1.4 |
| 12 pm |
| 1.4 |
| 1 pm |
| 1.4 |
| 2 pm |
| 1.3 |
| 3 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 6 pm |
| 0.1 |
| 7 pm |
| -0.3 |
| 8 pm |
| -0.5 |
| 9 pm |
| -0.5 |
| 10 pm |
| -0.3 |
| 11 pm |
| 0.1 |
Lake Charles, LA,
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