Sunrise 5:39 AM   Sunset 7:41 PM Moonrise 2:43 AM   Moonset 3:49 PM

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GMZ750 Expires:202406021930;;294935 Fzus52 Ktae 020639 Cwftae
coastal waters forecast for florida national weather service tallahassee fl 239 am edt Sun jun 2 2024
gulf coastal waters from the mouth of the suwannee river to okaloosa-walton county line out to 60 nm.
seas are provided as a range of the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves - .along with the occasional height of the average highest 1/10 of the waves.
gmz730-750-752-755-765-770-772-775-021930- apalachee bay or coastal waters from keaton beach to ochlockonee river fl out to 20 nm- coastal waters from mexico beach to okaloosa walton county line fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from mexico beach to apalachicola fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from ochlockonee river to apalachicola fl out to 20 nm- coastal waters from suwannee river to keaton beach fl out 20 nm- waters from mexico beach to okaloosa walton county line fl from 20 to 60 nm- waters from apalachicola to mexico beach fl from 20 to 60 nm- waters from suwannee river to apalachicola fl from 20 to 60 nm- 239 am edt Sun jun 2 2024 /139 am cdt Sun jun 2 2024/
Today - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming south 5 to 10 knots late. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: southeast 3 feet at 6 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Tonight - South winds around 5 knots, becoming southeast after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: southeast 2 feet at 6 seconds. Protected waters smooth. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Monday - Southeast winds around 5 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: southeast 2 feet at 5 seconds. Protected waters smooth. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Monday night - Southwest winds around 5 knots, becoming southeast after midnight. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: south 1 foot at 5 seconds. Protected waters smooth. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening. Tuesday - Southeast winds around 5 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Wave detail: south 1 foot at 5 seconds and south 1 foot at 6 seconds. Protected waters smooth. Tuesday night - Southwest winds around 5 knots, becoming east after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less. Wave detail: southeast 1 foot at 4 seconds and south 1 foot at 7 seconds. Protected waters smooth. Wednesday - Southeast winds around 5 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Protected waters smooth. Wednesday night - West winds around 5 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Protected waters smooth. Thursday - West winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less, then around 2 feet in the afternoon. Protected waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Thursday night - West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Protected waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 239 Am Edt Sun Jun 2 2024
Synopsis -
scattered showers and Thunderstorms are expected this morning over the nearshore waters and in apalachee bay. Chances decrease this afternoon as storms move inland. A similar pattern is expected Monday, but with less coverage. Generally light winds are southeasterly winds are expected through mid-week as high pressure sets up over the western atlantic. Winds will become more southwesterly to westerly late in the week as a cold front approaches the area. Seas will generally be 1 to 3 feet for the next several days.

FXUS62 KTAE 020724 AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 324 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024

New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER, HYDROLOGY

NEAR TERM
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 322 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024

Convection has developed in the northeast Gulf at this early morning hour in an area of convergent bands and deeper moisture. CAMs have this area more or less continuing into the morning hours and developing onshore ahead of the arrival of another shortwave trough with associated lift and instability. This combination will lead to a healthy chance for showers and storms through the day, first in coastal sections this morning then inland areas this afternoon.
PWATs will be on the order of 1.8 inches with shear on the low side so severe weather chances are low but some chance for localized flooding could occur if training or slower storm movements take place. DCAPE values today suggest some possibility of gusty to strong winds in a any stronger storms.

Inland convection will wane after sunset but residual/redevelopment of marine convection appears plausible overnight while there remains some influence of troughing aloft. Highs today will range through the 80s and lows tonight will fall into the upper 60s.

SHORT TERM
(Monday through Tuesday night)
Issued at 322 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024

Our pattern becomes more typical for summer with a diurnally-driven sea breeze circulation. Monday will have rain chances focused more over the Apalachicola River basin and near the Suwannee River. These will be the favored convergence zones with the Forgotten & Emerald Coast sea breezes as well as the Nature and Atlantic Coast sea breezes amidst the southeasterly flow. Given the presence of mid- level dry air, DCAPE values will climb to 900-1100 J/kg within an unstable environment with 15-20 kt deep layer shear.
Thus, some storms Monday afternoon could become strong to maybe severe with strong downburst winds possible.

Tuesday's rain chances will be lower as mid-level ridging noses in across the Southeast. However, if storms can develop Tuesday afternoon, these could be strong to possibly severe as well with inverted-V profiles shown on area soundings as well as some mid- level dry air. This could lead to another day of strong downbursts given DCAPE >1000 J/kg and plenty of instability.

Highs Monday and Tuesday will be in the lower 90s with lows in the lower 70s.

LONG TERM
(Wednesday through Saturday)
Issued at 322 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024

Another shortwave dives southeastward across the southeast US Wednesday night into Thursday, helping boost our rain chances for Thursday. Rain chances are highest across the northern parts of our area (up to 40%) and lower near the coast. Large-scale troughing overtakes the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast US late in the week, but we'll generally be under the influence of a building ridge from Texas. This will help squash rain chances down to around 20% for the entire area. The heat will build as a result mid to late week with highs widespread in the mid- 90s. With dewpoints in the lower 70s, heat index values will climb to the 100-105 range area- wide. Lows will be in the lower to middle 70s.

AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 131 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024

VFR to MVFR will prevail overnight with generally VFR during the Sunday outside of convection. Isolated to scattered showers and storms are expected to develop late morning into the afternoon hours across a majority of the area and have VCTS at all sites beginning at 18Z through 01Z. Winds will be southeasterly during the day becoming variable to calm after sunset.

MARINE
Issued at 322 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected this morning over the nearshore waters and in Apalachee Bay. Chances decrease this afternoon as storms move inland. A similar pattern is expected Monday, but with less coverage. Generally light winds are southeasterly winds are expected through mid-week as high pressure sets up over the western Atlantic. Winds will become more southwesterly to westerly late in the week as a cold front approaches the area. Seas will generally be 1 to 3 feet for the next several days.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 322 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024

Another mid level disturbance will approach the region today bringing additional moisture and instability which will lead to a good chance for scattered showers and storms through the region today and tonight. Coastal sections have the better chances this morning then transitioning to inland areas this afternoon.
Dispersions, mixing heights, and transport winds all look favorable the next few days. Outside of convection, no hazardous fire weather conditions are anticipated.

HYDROLOGY
Issued at 322 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024

Some localized heavy downpours are possible in the storms over the next few days, but coverage will generally be spotty enough to avoid widespread flood concerns. However, slow-moving or training storms could result in localized flood issues in urban or poor-drainage areas. This also will not have an impact on area rivers.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 87 69 89 71 / 60 20 40 10 Panama City 85 71 87 73 / 50 20 30 10 Dothan 85 67 88 70 / 60 20 30 10 Albany 87 67 89 70 / 60 30 30 20 Valdosta 88 68 91 70 / 40 30 40 20 Cross City 89 68 91 69 / 40 20 40 10 Apalachicola 84 73 85 74 / 50 20 20 10

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Monday morning for FLZ108-112-114- 115.

GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.

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Parker
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Sun -- 02:43 AM CDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:41 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:46 AM CDT     1.35 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:48 PM CDT     Moonset
Sun -- 07:40 PM CDT     Sunset
Sun -- 07:50 PM CDT     0.04 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Parker, St. Andrew Bay, Florida, Tide feet

Channel entrance
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Sun -- 02:44 AM CDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:41 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:20 AM CDT     1.12 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:48 PM CDT     Moonset
Sun -- 05:26 PM CDT     0.04 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:40 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Channel entrance, St. Andrew Bay, Florida, Tide feet

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