Cedar Grove, FL Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Cedar Grove, FL


November 30, 2023 9:10 PM CST (03:10 UTC)
Sunrise 6:19AM   Sunset 4:43PM   Moonrise  8:38PM   Moonset 10:33AM 

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION. Privacy and Cookie policy

Marine Forecasts
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GMZ750 Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Apalachicola Fl Out 20 Nm- 806 Pm Cst Thu Nov 30 2023
.small craft operators should exercise caution...
Rest of tonight..Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with a dominant period of 3 seconds. Protected waters choppy. A slight chance of rain.
Friday..Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period of 6 seconds. Protected waters choppy. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely in the afternoon.
Friday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period of 6 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. Showers likely with a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Saturday..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period of 6 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. Showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..Southwest winds around 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period of 6 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. Showers.
Sunday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 3 feet with a dominant period of 6 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. Showers likely with a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..Northwest winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period of 6 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Showers likely with a slight chance of Thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of showers after midnight.
Monday..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period of 6 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers in the morning.
Monday night..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period of 5 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop.
Tuesday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming northwest in the afternoon. Seas around 2 feet with a dominant period of 5 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop.
Tuesday night..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a moderate chop.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 906 Pm Est Thu Nov 30 2023
Synopsis..
winds will become more southerly and increasing to about 20kts overnight for our offshore western legs as the next frontal system approaches from the west. Small craft advisories remain in effect for the offshore gulf waters west of apalachicola tonight through Friday morning. Chances for showers and Thunderstorms increase Friday afternoon and will continue through the weekend before clearing out following a cold front Sunday night into Monday morning.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Cedar Grove, FL
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Area Discussion for - Tallahassee, FL
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FXUS62 KTAE 010201 AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 901 PM EST Thu Nov 30 2023

New UPDATE, MARINE

UPDATE
Issued at 900 PM EST Thu Nov 30 2023

Adjusted temperatures to start the evening a little cooler but still expected to be warmer than last night with lows only making down to the upper 40s and low 50s due to cloudy skies preventing the radiational cooling events we've experienced over the last couple of nights.

NEAR TERM
(Through Friday)
Issued at 333 PM EST Thu Nov 30 2023

Much warmer overnight low temperatures are expected across the forecast area as surface high pressure moves off to the east.
Easterly flow will bring increasing dewpoints overnight and through Friday ahead of our next period of active weather. Overnight low temperatures will generally range roughly 15 to 20 degrees warmer than Thursday morning values. The only forecast concerns overnight will be patchy fog across south-central GA and the eastern Florida Big Bend as low-level moisture return and cool temperatures keep a potential for fog around.

The warming and moistening trend continues into Friday ahead of our next weather system. A band of elevated southwesterly flow will lift north over the region as a weak frontal boundary lingers over the region. With a steady supply of warm air advection, a broad area of showers and storms will develop by later in the afternoon and evening hours across the western portions of the forecast area. The Storm Prediction Center currently has the western half of the forecast area under a marginal (level 1 of 5) risk for severe weather. The main concerns will be the potential for a few isolated strong/damaging wind gusts and possibly a few tornadoes due to the enhanced low-level shear near the weak frontal boundary. A lack of sufficient instability will keep the overall severe weather threat low, especially given the best kinematics lifting quickly off to the north in the evening hours. Regardless a very isolated severe threat could linger into the early hours of Saturday morning before our next wave arrives and brings more active weather into the rest of the weekend.

SHORT TERM
(Friday night through Saturday night)
Issued at 333 PM EST Thu Nov 30 2023

A warm front pushing north of the region puts us solidly in the warmer sector Friday night. This should keep temperatures quite mild with lows only expected to drop into the middle to upper 60s Friday night into Saturday morning as dew points surge into the 60s area- wide.

A low-level jet (LLJ) at 850mb is forecast to strengthen over southern Alabama, western Georgia, and the Florida Panhandle during the day Saturday. As such, there is ample shear around the region.
However, instability appears to be lacking on guidance at the moment. In other words, another potential high-shear/low-CAPE event is possible during the period. The better environment for storms appears to be over southeastern Alabama, the Florida Panhandle, and into southwestern Georgia Friday night into Saturday. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has maintained a Marginal Risk (level 1 out of 5). Isolated damaging wind gusts are the primary concerns, while a tornado or two cannot be ruled out at this time. The main limiting factors are the lack of upper-level support and relatively low instability thanks to ample cloud cover expected.

Rain, and quite a bit of it, is possible during this period; more information on this in the Hydro section below. Some of the latest Convection Allowing Models (CAMs) continue to advertise a couple of distinct waves of rain. For instance, the 12Z HRRR has the first wave of rain in the period could be coming ashore along the Florida Panhandle before heading into southeastern Alabama Friday night into early Saturday morning. Other CAMs, like the WRF-NSSL, FV- 3, and the experimental RRFS, keep the same batch over the Gulf of Mexico. Due to the potential for locally heavy rain, the Weather Prediction Center (WPC) has maintained a Marginal Risk (Level 1 of 4) for Excessive Rainfall across the western 3/4 of the region through 12Z Saturday. Another wave of rain, which most CAMs agree on based on the 12Z HRRR paintball, is forecast to arrive Saturday morning. Yet another wave of rain is possible later Saturday afternoon into Saturday evening. This warrants some concerns for heavy rainfall producing localized flooding. This has led to WPC issuing a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for Excessive Rain for Saturday into Saturday night for all but the southern FL Big Bend.

As far as temperatures are concerned for Saturday, clouds and a couple waves of rain should keep temperatures in the lower to middle 70s for daytime highs. Another night in the lower to middle 60s is forecast Saturday night.

LONG TERM
(Sunday through Wednesday)
Issued at 333 PM EST Thu Nov 30 2023

With a robust plume of moisture still in place during Sunday afternoon and evening (PWAT >= 1.5"), an additional 0.25" to 0.5" of rain is possible areawide to cap off the weekend. The front should fully clear the region by early Monday morning, with some light shower activity possible through late Monday morning in the front's wake. Temperatures should noticeably cool after the front's passage, with highs decreasing from low-to-mid 70s on Sunday to mid-60s to low-70s on Monday.

The dry air that filters in behind the front on Monday should persist throughout the week, keeping rain chances near-zero through the end of the week. Temperatures gradually decrease throughout the rest of the week, with highs reaching into the low-60s to upper-50s and lows settling into the low-40s to upper-30s by Thursday.

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 706 PM EST Thu Nov 30 2023

The air mass is currently undergoing a rapid transition from dry and stable, to moist and less stable. Just above the surface, southerly low-level flow will increase through tonight, advecting increasing amounts of moisture from the Gulf. The southerly low- level jet will increase enough over ECP and DHN around sunrise to include a mention of low-level wind shear in those TAFs.

As increasingly moist air interacts with the cool nearshore Gulf waters on Friday, low stratus will develop and thicken along the coast during the day, with southerly flow spreading it inland to ECP, TLH, DHN and possibly ABY toward sunset tomorrow. Stratiform rain will spread in from the west late in the TAF period, affecting ECP and DHN, and possibly reaching TLH and ABY during the valid period.

MARINE
Issued at 900 PM EST Thu Nov 30 2023

Winds will become more southerly and increasing to about 20kts overnight for our offshore western legs as the next frontal system approaches from the west. Small Craft Advisories remain in effect for the offshore Gulf waters west of Apalachicola tonight through Friday morning. Chances for showers and thunderstorms increase Friday afternoon and will continue through the weekend before clearing out following a cold front Sunday night into Monday morning.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 333 PM EST Thu Nov 30 2023

Fire weather concerns will be low through the weekend with high chances for wetting rains expected to move in beginning Friday evening and into the weekend. The greatest confidence in these wetting rains will be across southeast Alabama and the Panhandle.
Drier conditions are not likely to arrive until next week.

HYDROLOGY
Issued at 333 PM EST Thu Nov 30 2023

Wetter weather is on the way for the first weekend of December Latest forecast amounts have come down slightly but are still in the general 1" to 4" range with higher amounts possible in the Florida Panhandle and southeastern Alabama. Localized flooding is possible, especially in urban, low-lying, and poor drainage areas. Locations that experience heavy rain rates in a short period of time or training convection are also vulnerable, which current models suggest would be along the coast of the Florida Panhandle.

Flash Flood Guidance (FFG) shows that between 2.5" to 4" in 1 hr would be needed to induce flash flooding, 3" to 5" in 3 hrs, and 4" to 6" in 6 hrs. Given the ongoing, but slightly improving thanks to last weekend's rain, drought, and low to very low local river levels, significant flooding is not anticipated.

Drier weather looks to return early next week.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 52 74 66 74 / 10 40 60 80 Panama City 53 75 68 75 / 10 80 80 90 Dothan 49 73 65 72 / 20 80 90 90 Albany 47 74 64 73 / 10 50 80 90 Valdosta 49 79 64 76 / 0 30 50 70 Cross City 52 80 64 79 / 10 10 30 40 Apalachicola 58 72 69 74 / 10 50 70 80

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk from 1 AM EST /midnight CST/ Friday through late Friday night for FLZ108-112-114-115.

GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 9 AM CST Friday for GMZ770-772.


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL 3 mi71 min E 7G8.9 64°F
PCBF1 14 mi71 min E 8G11 57°F 64°F30.07
APCF1 - 8728690 - Apalachicola, FL 46 mi71 min E 6G8 59°F 61°F30.07
APXF1 - Apalachicola Reserve, FL 48 mi71 min E 2.9 56°F 30.1247°F

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Wind History for Panama City, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KPAM TYNDALL AFB,FL 8 sm15 minE 0510 smOvercast59°F48°F67%30.08
KECP NORTHWEST FLORIDA BEACHES INTL,FL 16 sm17 mincalm10 smOvercast52°F43°F71%30.09

Wind History from PAM
(wind in knots)


Tide / Current for Panama City, St. Andrew Bay, Florida
   
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Panama City
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Thu -- 06:20 AM CST     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:33 AM CST     Moonset
Thu -- 10:30 AM CST     -0.47 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:42 PM CST     Sunset
Thu -- 07:38 PM CST     Moonrise
Thu -- 11:49 PM CST     1.64 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Panama City, St. Andrew Bay, Florida, Tide feet
12
am
1.7
1
am
1.6
2
am
1.4
3
am
1.1
4
am
0.8
5
am
0.5
6
am
0.2
7
am
-0.1
8
am
-0.3
9
am
-0.4
10
am
-0.5
11
am
-0.5
12
pm
-0.4
1
pm
-0.3
2
pm
-0.2
3
pm
0
4
pm
0.2
5
pm
0.4
6
pm
0.7
7
pm
0.9
8
pm
1.2
9
pm
1.4
10
pm
1.5
11
pm
1.6



Tide / Current for Channel entrance, St. Andrew Bay, Florida
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Channel entrance
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Thu -- 06:20 AM CST     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:12 AM CST     -0.46 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 09:33 AM CST     Moonset
Thu -- 04:42 PM CST     Sunset
Thu -- 07:38 PM CST     Moonrise
Thu -- 11:01 PM CST     1.59 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Channel entrance, St. Andrew Bay, Florida, Tide feet
12
am
1.5
1
am
1.3
2
am
1.1
3
am
0.8
4
am
0.5
5
am
0.2
6
am
-0.1
7
am
-0.3
8
am
-0.4
9
am
-0.5
10
am
-0.4
11
am
-0.4
12
pm
-0.3
1
pm
-0.1
2
pm
0
3
pm
0.2
4
pm
0.4
5
pm
0.7
6
pm
0.9
7
pm
1.1
8
pm
1.3
9
pm
1.5
10
pm
1.6
11
pm
1.6




Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of southeast   
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Northwest Florida,



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