Sunrise 5:44 AM   Sunset 7:53 PM Moonrise 12:21 PM   Moonset 12:40 AM

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GMZ655 Expires:202406141515;;977517 Fzus54 Kmob 140230 Cwfmob
coastal waters forecast national weather service mobile al 930 pm cdt Thu jun 13 2024
gulf coastal waters okaloosa walton county line to pascagoula out 60 nm
seas are given as significant wave height - .which is the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be more than twice the significant wave height.
gmz650-655-141515- coastal waters from pensacola fl to pascagoula ms out 20 nm- coastal waters from okaloosa walton county line fl to pensacola fl out 20 nm- 930 pm cdt Thu jun 13 2024
Rest of tonight - West winds around 5 knots, becoming north late. Seas around 2 feet late this evening, then 1 foot or less. Wave detail: southeast 1 foot at 6 seconds. Friday - Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast in the afternoon. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: southeast 1 foot at 6 seconds. Friday night - Southwest winds around 5 knots, becoming west after midnight. Seas 1 foot or less. Wave detail: southeast 1 foot at 6 seconds. Saturday - Northeast winds around 5 knots, becoming south in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot or less. Wave detail: southeast 1 foot at 2 seconds and southeast 1 foot at 6 seconds. Saturday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot or less. Wave detail: south 1 foot at 3 seconds and southeast 1 foot at 7 seconds. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight. Sunday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: southeast 2 feet at 3 seconds and south 2 feet at 7 seconds. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Sunday night - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 7 seconds. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Monday - East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: southeast 3 feet at 5 seconds. A chance of Thunderstorms. Showers likely, mainly in the morning. Monday night - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming east 15 to 20 knots after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Wave detail: southeast 4 feet at 6 seconds. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Tuesday - East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet, occasionally to 6 feet. Wave detail: southeast 5 feet at 6 seconds. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Tuesday night - East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 5 feet, occasionally to 6 feet. Wave detail: southeast 5 feet at 7 seconds. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
winds and seas higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ600 930 Pm Cdt Thu Jun 13 2024
Synopsis - A light to occasionally moderate diurnal flow prevails through Saturday, with an offshore flow at night into the morning hours and a mostly onshore flow in the afternoon and early evening hours. A light to moderate southeasterly flow is established by Sunday and strengthens on Monday.

FXUS64 KMOB 132351 AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 651 PM CDT Thu Jun 13 2024

New AVIATION

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 651 PM CDT Thu Jun 13 2024

VFR conditions through the period. Winds primarily light and variable tonight, then southeast to southerly around 5 to 10 knots during the day on Friday. DS/12

PREV DISCUSSION
/issued 345 PM CDT Thu Jun 13 2024/

New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE

NEAR TERM...
(Now through Friday)
Issued at 345 PM CDT Thu Jun 13 2024

Upper ridging continues to build into the forecast area through Friday. Likewise, the heat will continue to increase into Friday with temperatures warming amply into the upper 90's to near 100 in spots. Heat index values should remain in the 100 to 105 range, however a couple spots nearer the coast could get near 107 Friday afternoon. Overnight lows cool into the upper 60's inland and lower to middle 70's nearer the coast. Overall weather conditions should remain calm through Friday, with only an isolated storm or two possible east of the I-65 corridor this afternoon. Dry weather will prevail for the day Friday in all locations. A low risk of rip currents continues into Friday. MM/25

SHORT AND LONG TERM...
(Friday night through Thursday)
Issued at 345 PM CDT Thu Jun 13 2024

It's going to be a hot weekend as upper high pressure over the southern/central Great Plains shifts eastward over our region and a large surface high pressure area across eastern North America shifts eastward with a ridge setting up along the eastern Seaboard to the Gulf of Mexico. It will be especially hot on Saturday with highs in the mid to upper 90s with some locations potentially reaching the century mark. These temps are about 5 to 10 degrees and above normal, and when combined with surface dewpoints in the upper 60 to lower 70s, the highest heat index values should range from 100-105 degrees. Dry conditions are expected Saturday most areas, with only a few afternoon showers and storms possible over a small portion of the western Florida Panhandle and south central Alabama. A Low risk of rip currents is expected through the remainder of the week.

An inverted upper trough sets up over the western Gulf early next week with a 40 percent chance of cyclone formation across the southwest Gulf of Mexico. Tropical depression formation is possible during the early to middle part of next week while it moves slowly westward or west-northwestward. Upper disturbances moving over our region should bring an increase in cloud coverage and rain chances on Sunday, with isolated mainly afternoon showers and storms northern zones with scattered coverage closer to the coast. High temperatures Sunday will be slightly cooler in the low to middle 90s, but when combined with surface dewpoints in the lower to middle 70s, the highest heat index values should again range from 100-105 degrees.

With the influence of the inverted upper trough over the western Gulf, the center of the upper high pressure area over our region is deflected northeastward away from the forecast area and a surface ridge oriented mainly over the southeastern states promotes a moist southeasterly flow over the forecast area. In general, increasing amounts of deep layer moisture gradually work into the forecast area through Tuesday. Maintained the higher rain chances (30-60%) for Monday, with the best chances occurring along a developing sea breeze. Tuesday through Thursday we are primarily expecting a return to isolated afternoon showers and storms northern zones with scattered coverage closer to the coast.
A Moderate risk of rip currents returns early next week. /22

MARINE...
Issued at 345 PM CDT Thu Jun 13 2024

A light to occasionally moderate diurnal flow prevails through Friday, with an offshore flow at night into the morning hours and a mostly onshore flow in the afternoon and early evening hours. A light to moderate southeasterly flow is established by Saturday and strengthens on Sunday as low pressure develops in the southwestern Gulf. Seas are also expected to increase as we head into early next week. BB/03

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Mobile 72 96 74 97 75 93 75 89 / 0 10 0 10 10 40 30 60 Pensacola 75 95 77 95 78 92 77 89 / 0 10 0 10 10 40 30 60 Destin 77 93 79 93 80 91 78 90 / 10 10 0 20 10 40 30 50 Evergreen 71 98 71 98 72 96 72 93 / 0 10 0 10 0 30 20 50 Waynesboro 68 97 70 99 73 97 72 90 / 0 0 0 10 0 20 10 50 Camden 69 97 71 98 73 98 72 92 / 0 0 0 10 0 20 10 40 Crestview 71 99 71 99 72 95 72 94 / 0 10 0 20 0 40 20 50

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.

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Lora Point
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:40 AM CDT     Moonset
Thu -- 03:13 AM CDT     0.24 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:45 AM CDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 12:21 PM CDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 04:16 PM CDT     1.17 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:52 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Lora Point, Escambia Bay, Pensacola Bay, Florida, Tide feet

Pensacola
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:40 AM CDT     Moonset
Thu -- 02:10 AM CDT     0.20 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:46 AM CDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 12:21 PM CDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 03:40 PM CDT     0.97 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:51 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Pensacola, Florida, Tide feet

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