Isla Vista, CA Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Isla Vista, CA

June 3, 2024 12:53 PM PDT (19:53 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:45 AM   Sunset 8:09 PM
Moonrise 3:31 AM   Moonset 5:28 PM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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PZZ650 East Santa Barbara Channel From Pt. Conception To Pt. Mugu Ca Including Santa Cruz Island- 908 Am Pdt Mon Jun 3 2024

.small craft advisory in effect from 3 pm pdt this afternoon through late tonight - .

Today - SW wind 10 to 15 kt, becoming 10 to 20 kt in the afternoon, except 15 to 25 kt with gusts to 30 kt across western portions. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Wave detail: W 3 ft at 8 seconds.

Tonight - Western portion, W to nw wind 15 to 25 kt with gusts to 30 kt, becoming 5 to 10 kt late. Eastern portion, W wind 10 to 20 kt, becoming se 5 to 10 late. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Wave detail: W 4 ft at 9 seconds and nw 3 ft at 9 seconds. Patchy fog after midnight.

Tue - NE wind 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Wave detail: W 3 ft at 9 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning.

Tue night - SW wind 5 to 10 kt, becoming E after midnight. Seas 3 ft. Wave detail: W 3 ft at 9 seconds. Patchy fog after midnight.

Wed - SE wind 5 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Wave detail: W 3 ft at 9 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning.

Wed night - W wind 5 kt, becoming S after midnight. Seas 3 ft. Wave detail: nw 2 ft at 9 seconds. Patchy fog after midnight.

Thu - SE wind 5 kt, becoming w. Seas 3 ft. Wave detail: nw 3 ft at 12 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning. Patchy fog after midnight.

Fri - SE wind 5 kt, becoming w. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Wave detail: nw 3 ft at 12 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning. Patchy fog after midnight.

PZZ600 908 Am Pdt Mon Jun 3 2024

Synopsis for the southern california coast and santa barbara channel including the channel islands national marine sanctuary and national park - At 15z, or 8 am pdt, a 1028 mb surface high was centered 1000 nm west of point conception. A 1003 mb thermal low was centered just south of las vegas. Widespread steep seas are expected most of the week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Isla Vista, CA
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Area Discussion for - Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA
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FXUS66 KLOX 031634 AFDLOX

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA 934 AM PDT Mon Jun 3 2024

SYNOPSIS
03/522 AM.

A warming trend will establish through Wednesday due to high pressure aloft building in and weakening onshore flow. The warming trend will be most pronounced away the coast. Hot weather will develop across the interior for much of this week with temperatures much above normal for this time of year. Closer to the coast, the warming trend will be moderated due to continued night through morning low clouds and fog and moderate to strong onshore flow.

.SHORT TERM (TDY-WED)...03/858 AM.

***UPDATE***

The marine inversion early this morning ranged from near 1000 ft deep at VBG to near 2700 ft deep at LAX. Low clouds and patchy dense fog covered much of the Central Coast this morning but were already starting to dissipate. S of Point Conception, the low clouds were mostly over the L.A. County coast, vlys and lower coastal slopes. However, the low clouds, which were fairly sparse over VTU County early this morning have expanded some over the coast and vlys before mid morning. The low clouds were also expanding into the eastern portion of the S SBA County coast as well. All the low clouds are expected to clear back to or off the coast by early this afternoon, with some low clouds possibly lingering at the SBA County Central Coast beaches. In addition, there should be a fair amount of hi clouds moving into the forecast area from the N thru this afternoon.

Through this afternoon and evening, strong and gusty NW to N winds will affect the northern VTU County mtns to the I-5 Corridor and into the Antelope Vly and foothills, particularly the west side. Gusts up to 45 to 50 mph will be possible, and Wind Advisories are in effect for these areas. Strong and gusty NW to N winds are also expected to affect SW SBA County this evening, and Wind Advisories are in effect for these areas as well. Elsewhere in the foothills and mtns and along the Central Coast, gusty sub- Advisory level NW to N winds can be expected this afternoon into this evening.

Temps will turn several degrees warmer than yesterday for many areas, with afternoon highs a few degrees above normal for much of SLO/SBA Counties and into the Antelope Vly, but remain a few degrees below normal elsewhere. Highs in the in the inland coast, vlys and lower mtns will range from the mid 70s to mid 80s over SLO/SBA Counties to the 70s to around 80 for VTU/L.A. Counties, except in the upper 80s to lower 90s in the lower mtns and Antelope Vly.

***From Previous Discussion***

West to northwest winds will develop across southwestern Santa Barbara County, through the Interstate 5 Corridor, and down into the western portion of the Antelope Valley through this afternoon.
Then, the winds will turn more northerly and affect the southeastern portion of Santa Barbara County. Wind advisories remain in effect for southwestern Santa Barbara County, the Interstate 5 Corridor, and the western Antelope Valley foothills for portions of today and tonight, but wind advisories were expanded into the northern Ventura County mountains for today and tonight and into the southeastern Santa Barbara County tonight.
There is a moderate to high chance gusty west to northwest winds reaching advisory levels along the Central Coast and into the Santa Ynez Valley, through the backcountry portion of the Santa Barbara County mountains, and across the Antelope Valley floor west of Highway 14.

Troughing to the north of the area will send quite a bit of middle and high level cloudiness over the area through Tuesday. The forecast keep a partly to mostly cloudy stance outside of the marine layer depth due to the amount of cloudiness pushing south.
Adding confidence to the scenario, a look of infrared imagery indicates a decent amount of cloudiness moving south this morning across northern California.

Despite a thinning marine layer depth due to the ridge and the northerly surface pressure gradient in place this morning, there is a still a threat of a drizzle. Local 3-km WRF solutions maintain a favorable flow pattern this morning and Tuesday morning with weak omega values through the mixed layer. As far as this morning, though rare, there have been times where ridging aloft will clamp down on the dense marine air mass and will squeeze out drizzle. As we move into Tuesday morning, the drizzle makes more sense conceptually as the dynamics with the trough will lift the low cloud deck and squeeze out drizzle.

High pressure should start to take control of the pattern on Tuesday as the trough vacates the region and retreats south of the U.S. border off the coast of Baja California. High pressure aloft will build into the region, weakening onshore flow, and thinning the marine layer depth. The air mass will heat up outside of the depth of marine layer. A significant warming trend is forecast for the interior portions of the area between Tuesday and Wednesday, but the warming trend is more muted along the coast.
Still, there is a moderate chance that low clouds and fog could get wiped out along the Central Coast between Tuesday and Wednesday as enough offshore flow could develop. South of Point Conception, confidence remains high that the marine influence will remain wedged in and keep the warming trend moderated. Low clouds and fog could continue to linger into the afternoon hours each day, keeping the beaches shrouded in cloud cover.

Due to the hot weather forecast early in the month of June, the climate normals are much lower. An excessive heat watch remains in effect for Wednesday and Wednesday evening for the interior portions of the area, such as the interior San Luis Obispo County valleys, and the Antelope Valley and adjacent foothill areas.
Forecast highs are poised to be close to 15-20 degrees above normal for this time of year on Wednesday.

.LONG TERM (THU-SUN)...03/521 AM.

A hot weather pattern will continue well away from the coast into Thursday, and possibly into Friday. The forecast ensembles are warming temperatures for Thursday and Friday. On Wednesday, NBM solutions now give a greater chance of 100 and 105 degree high temperatures for KPMD, KWJF, and KPRB. There is a greater than 95 percent chance of high temperatures reaching 100 degrees out in the Antelope Valley and a greater than 75 percent chance of KPRB reaching 100 degrees on Wednesday. On Thursday, a greater than 85 percent chance exists for the Antelope Valley. With the ensembles trending warmer, the excessive heat watch on Wednesday and Wednesday evening was extended into Thursday evening.

A southeast flow pattern still develops for late week and could bring an early start to the monsoon in southern California. While low confidence exists at this point, the pattern recognition could come into play for late week or even into the upcoming weekend as the trough moving to the south will lift back across the area.
Southeast flow aloft will increase and could pipe subtropical moisture into the region for late week or over the weekend. Forecast ensemble members have backed off precipitation for Thursday and Friday, but it remains a non-zero chance given the pattern. There are a handful of EPS ensemble members giving precipitation for KPMD and KGXA for Friday through Sunday with NBM solutions giving a 5 percent chance of rain for Wrightwood-Big Pines on Friday and through the weekend.

AVIATION
03/1316Z.

At 12Z at KLAX, the marine layer was 3000 ft deep. The top of the inversion was at 4300 feet with a temperature of 19 deg C.

Another deep marine layer, but the cloud field was not as solid as it has been. However, clouds were filling in, and by sunrise, clouds should be widespread in all coastal and valley areas with the exception of the portions of southern SBA County, portions of the valleys of VTU County, and the Cuyama Valley. Clouds were also pushing into the coastal slopes. Conditions were mostly MVFR across L.A. County, (except IFR to VLIFR in the foothills), and IFR to VLIFR from Ventura County northward. Expect skies to clear by late morning in the valleys, and by early afternoon across the coastal plain. Clouds may still linger at some beaches today.
Expect a shallower marine layer tonight, with clouds likely confined to coastal and lower valley areas. Conds will be IFR to LIFR, except low LIFR in coastal and some lower valley areas of L.A. and VTU Counties.

KLAX...Moderate confidence in the 12Z TAF. There is a 20% chance that cigs will scatter out as early as 19Z. There is a 20% chance that cigs will not return until at least 06Z. There is a 20% chance of an east wind component of 7-8 kt from 09Z-16Z Tue.

KBUR...Moderate confidence in the 12Z TAF. There is a 20-30% chance that cigs will scatter out as early as 17Z. There is a 20% chance that tonight will remain clear.

MARINE
03/917 AM.

In the outer waters, Small Craft Advisory (SCA) level NW winds are expected to increase to Gale Force levels this afternoon (90% chance), then continue thru late tonight. SCA conds are expected late tonight thru Tue (90% chance). There is a 30-40% chance of Gale Force wind gusts late Tue afternoon and evening across the northern zone (PZZ670) and northwest portion of the central zone (PZZ673), and a 20-30% chance late Wed afternoon and evening for the northwest portion of PZZ670. Winds are expected to drop below advisory levels in the southern zone (PZZ676) late Tue afternoon or eve, across PZZ673 Wed, and across PZZ670 late Wed night. SCA level winds are not expected Thu/Fri, but there is a 50% chance of SCA level seas in northern areas Thu.

In the inner waters N of Pt Sal, steep seas were near advisory levels this morning, and SCA level NW winds are expected (80% chance) this afternoon/evening. Winds and seas will likely drop below SCA levels late tonight/Tue morning, but are likely again (70% chance) Tue afternoon/eve. SCA conds are not expected late Tue night thru Fri.

In the southern inner waters, SCA level winds are likely (60-70% chance) in the western third or so of the SBA Channel this afternoon thru late tonight. Otherwise, SCA conds are not expected across the inner waters S of Pt. Conception thru Fri. SE winds will develop late each night and morning thru Wed or Thu, with isolated winds around 15 knots thru passages and channels, and between islands.

Steep and choppy seas will likely affect the outer waters thru at least Wed night, with choppy seas spreading into western portion of the SBA Channel and the southern inner waters at times.

There is a chance of dense fog in the waters from Point Mugu northward late tonight thru Thu, mainly during the late night thru morning hours.

LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...Excessive Heat Watch now in effect from Wednesday morning through Thursday evening for zones 344-381>383. (See LAXNPWLOX).
Wind Advisory remains in effect from 3 PM this afternoon to 3 AM PDT Tuesday for zones 349-351. (See LAXNPWLOX).
Wind Advisory in effect from 6 PM this evening to 3 AM PDT Tuesday for zones 350-352. (See LAXNPWLOX).
Wind Advisory remains in effect until 3 AM PDT Tuesday for zones 377-378-381. (See LAXNPWLOX).
PZ...Small Craft Advisory in effect until 3 AM PDT Tuesday for zone 645. (See LAXMWWLOX).
Small Craft Advisory in effect from 3 PM this afternoon to 3 AM PDT Tuesday for zone 650. (See LAXMWWLOX).
Small Craft Advisory in effect until noon PDT today for zones 670-673-676. (See LAXMWWLOX).
Gale Warning in effect until 3 AM PDT Tuesday for zones 670-673-676. (See LAXMWWLOX).




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
NTBC1 - Santa Barbara, CA - 9411340 8 mi78 min S 1.9G4.1 61°F 29.93
46053 - E. SANTA BARBARA - 12NM Southwest of Santa Barbara, CA 11 mi44 min SW 9.7G12 57°F 57°F29.8855°F
46054 - SANTA BARBARA W 38 NM West of Santa Barbara, CA 34 mi44 min NW 21G29 55°F 54°F29.8954°F
46251 46 mi58 min 60°F 60°F4 ft
46218 - Harvest, CA (071) 49 mi28 min 53°F7 ft


Wind History for Santa Barbara, CA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KSBA SANTA BARBARA MUNI,CA 2 sm60 minSSW 0610 smPartly Cloudy64°F57°F77%29.91
KIZA SANTA YNEZ,CA 19 sm18 minWSW 119 smClear73°F59°F61%29.89
Link to 5 minute data for KSBA


Wind History from SBA
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for Santa Barbara, Pacific Ocean, California
   
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Santa Barbara, Pacific Ocean, California, Tide feet


Tide / Current for Gaviota, California
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Gaviota
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Mon -- 02:34 AM PDT     -0.29 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 03:32 AM PDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 05:48 AM PDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:43 AM PDT     3.62 feet High Tide
Mon -- 01:46 PM PDT     1.32 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:29 PM PDT     Moonset
Mon -- 08:09 PM PDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:15 PM PDT     6.13 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Gaviota, California, Tide feet
12
am
1.5
1
am
0.4
2
am
-0.2
3
am
-0.2
4
am
0.3
5
am
1.1
6
am
2.1
7
am
3
8
am
3.5
9
am
3.6
10
am
3.3
11
am
2.7
12
pm
2
1
pm
1.5
2
pm
1.3
3
pm
1.7
4
pm
2.5
5
pm
3.6
6
pm
4.7
7
pm
5.7
8
pm
6.1
9
pm
5.9
10
pm
5.1
11
pm
3.9


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of Southwest   
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Los Angeles, CA,




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