Sunrise 6:33 AM   Sunset 8:25 PM Moonrise 12:55 PM   Moonset 12:45 AM

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GMZ856 Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Englewood Fl Out 20 Nm- 351 Am Edt Fri Jun 14 2024
Today - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: southwest 2 feet at 5 seconds. Bay and inland waters light chop. Showers and Thunderstorms likely early this morning, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms late this morning and early afternoon. Showers and Thunderstorms likely late. Tonight - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 6 seconds. Bay and inland waters light chop. Showers and Thunderstorms likely. Saturday - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 6 seconds. Bay and inland waters light chop. Showers with Thunderstorms likely. Saturday night - South winds around 5 knots, becoming southeast after midnight. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: southwest 2 feet at 6 seconds. Bay and inland waters smooth. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Sunday - East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: southwest 2 feet at 6 seconds and east 1 foot at 2 seconds. Bay and inland waters light chop. Showers likely. A slight chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then a chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Sunday night - East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: east 2 feet at 3 seconds and southwest 1 foot at 5 seconds. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A chance of Thunderstorms. Showers likely, mainly in the evening. Monday - East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A chance of Thunderstorms. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely in the afternoon. Monday night - East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy. Showers and Thunderstorms likely. Tuesday - East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then showers with Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
winds and seas higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 351 Am Edt Fri Jun 14 2024
Synopsis -
scattered to numerous showers and Thunderstorms continue to be possible at nearly anytime across coastal waters, especially in swfl. A more typical summertime pattern sets up over the weekend and continues into next week as winds shift from wsw to ese. While hazardous waves and seas will remain possible in the vicinity of storms, light winds and seas are expected away from any storms.

FXUS62 KTBW 140751 AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL Issued by National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 351 AM EDT Fri Jun 14 2024

New DISCUSSION

DISCUSSION
Issued at 331 AM EDT Fri Jun 14 2024

Other than a few showers currently offshore radar is currently quite across the inland areas. CAMs still indicate showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop inland late morning into the afternoon. However it should be noted that the HRRR is the driest of the guidance with initiation later in the day. The heaviest rainfall is still forecast Charlotte and Lee Counties and will keep current Flood Watch going.

Over the next couple days, a transition will take place as the trough axis is replaced by an upper-level ridge. As this happens, winds will shift from a WSW to eventually an ESE pattern, with more typical diurnal convection settling in for at least a few days. Some drier air could even make this convection more isolated in nature, at least initially. Overall, though, more typical summertime conditions return and last into next week.



AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 127 AM EDT Fri Jun 14 2024

Showers are beginning to develop across central terminals, primarily PGD and SRQ. This trend will continue with a further development of showers and the return of high IFR to low MVFR ceilings across all terminals through the early morning hours.
After the mid morning, daytime heating combined with ample moisture should allow thunderstorms to begin developing, especially across SWFL. Convection is anticipated to be on and off through the afternoon and early evening hours. However, some guidance tries to keep it over southern terminals into the night.
Vicinity showers were kept into the late night hours in line with this guidance and forecaster thinking. MVFR/IFR conditions along with erratic and gusty winds are possible near storms. South to southwest winds prevail.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 93 78 90 79 / 60 60 60 30 FMY 89 77 88 76 / 70 70 70 30 GIF 94 75 92 76 / 60 50 70 30 SRQ 93 78 90 77 / 50 60 60 30 BKV 95 72 94 73 / 50 50 60 40 SPG 93 81 90 81 / 50 60 60 30

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...Flood Watch through this evening for Coastal Charlotte-Coastal Lee-Inland Charlotte-Inland Lee.

Gulf waters...None.

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El Jobean
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Fri -- 01:19 AM EDT     First Quarter
Fri -- 01:44 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 04:46 AM EDT     0.39 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:34 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 11:12 AM EDT     1.43 feet High Tide
Fri -- 01:54 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 05:14 PM EDT     0.89 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:24 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 10:31 PM EDT     1.39 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

El Jobean, Myakka River, Florida, Tide feet

Boca Grande Pass
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Fri -- 01:19 AM EDT     First Quarter
Fri -- 01:44 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 02:46 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 05:58 AM EDT     1.86 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 06:35 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:48 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 01:14 PM EDT     -0.81 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 01:54 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 03:30 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 05:58 PM EDT     0.85 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 08:23 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 09:30 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Boca Grande Pass, Charlotte Harbor, Florida Current, knots

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