Sunrise 5:43 AM   Sunset 7:46 PM Moonrise 2:47 AM   Moonset 3:53 PM

  Print   HELP   Reset   Save   Recall  New

GMZ635 Western Choctawhatchee Bay-eastern Choctawhatchee Bay- 300 Pm Cdt Sun Jun 2 2024
Tonight - South winds around 5 knots early this evening, becoming light and variable. Waves 1 foot or less. Smooth. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms until early morning, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms late. Monday - East winds around 5 knots, becoming south in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Monday night - Southwest winds around 5 knots in the evening, becoming light and variable. Waves 1 foot or less. Smooth.Tuesday - Southeast winds around 5 knots, becoming south in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Tuesday night - South winds around 5 knots in the evening, becoming light and variable. Waves 1 foot or less. Smooth.Wednesday - Southeast winds around 5 knots, becoming south in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Wednesday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight. Thursday - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Thursday night - West winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight. Friday - West winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Friday night - West winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming northwest after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ600 300 Pm Cdt Sun Jun 2 2024
Synopsis - A light onshore flow prevails through midweek and then shifts westerly late in the week.

FXUS64 KMOB 022105 AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 405 PM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024

New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE

NEAR TERM
(Now through Monday)
Issued at 405 PM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024

Northwest flow aloft prevails through Monday as an upper ridge momentarily builds over the western Gulf region and an upper shortwave lifts east-northeastward from the southern Great Plains reaching the mid/lower MS River regions by late Monday evening. With surface ridging off our our east, a light southerly surface wind will persist, thus maintaining low-level Gulf moisture through the period. Expect Isolated to scattered showers and storms early this evening to dissipate with loss of daytime heating, with any lingering storms become focused offshore over the marine waters overnight. Low temperatures tonight fall into the middle 60s and lower 70s with patchy fog development expected north of I-10. With high temperatures Monday climbing into the mid 80s, isolated to scattered showers and storms area forecast near the coast to start off the day that will spread inland. With the approach of the upper shortwave, convective coverage will increase to scattered by early to mid afternoon. Weak shear and moderate instability suggests storms should again be more typical pulse-type summertime storms, with potential for brief heavy rainfall, gusty winds, and frequent lightning. A High risk of rip currents remains in place through tonight, becoming a moderate risk for Monday. /22

LONG TERM
(Monday night through Sunday)
Issued at 405 PM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024

Daily chances for showers and storms will continue through most of the upcoming week. A westerly to northwesterly flow aloft towards the beginning of the period becomes more northwesterly during the middle to latter part of this week as the local area becomes positioned in between an upper ridge to our west and a digging upper trough over the north and eastern US. Several shortwaves are expected to move within this west to northwesterly flow through the period which will aid in the development of isolated to scattered showers and storms each day. Timing still remains a challenge with regards to when the best coverage of storms will develop as this largely depends on when the shortwaves pass overhead. It is possible that we could also see an MCS develop and push through the area during middle part of the week given the northwesterly flow aloft. Down at the surface, high pressure remains in place over the western Atlantic and eastern Gulf with a light onshore flow continually ushering in warm, moist air off the Gulf waters. Later in the week and into the early part of the weekend, a late season cold front is expected to approach and push into the area. NBM rain chances have increased in this afternoon's forecast with most areas now seeing isolated to scattered PoPs on Friday, but there is still quite a bit of uncertainty with the timing of the frontal passage among global guidance. As we draw closer to this event, rain chances will likely continue to trend upwards given the better moisture and forcing along the front.

Temperatures will be hot this week with highs generally in the upper 80s and lower 90s. Lows will be mild with temperatures falling into the upper 60s and 70s most nights. /14

MARINE
Issued at 405 PM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024

No significant marine impacts expected throughout the week as a light onshore flow prevails through midweek and then shifts westerly late in the week. /22

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Mobile 71 87 71 87 72 89 73 89 / 20 40 10 30 10 20 20 40 Pensacola 73 85 74 87 75 87 75 88 / 30 40 10 30 10 20 20 50 Destin 74 85 75 87 75 87 76 87 / 30 40 10 30 10 20 20 40 Evergreen 66 88 68 89 68 91 70 91 / 40 40 10 40 10 20 30 50 Waynesboro 67 88 69 89 70 91 70 91 / 20 40 20 40 10 20 30 40 Camden 66 87 68 88 68 90 70 89 / 30 40 20 40 10 20 40 50 Crestview 66 88 67 90 67 91 70 91 / 20 40 10 30 10 20 20 50

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...High Rip Current Risk through late tonight for ALZ265-266.

FL...High Rip Current Risk through late tonight for FLZ202-204-206.

MS...None.
GM...None.

toggle option: (graph/table)

East Pass (Destin)
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:47 AM CDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:44 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:24 AM CDT     0.52 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:52 PM CDT     Moonset
Sun -- 07:44 PM CDT     Sunset
Sun -- 08:48 PM CDT     0.02 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

East Pass (Destin), Choctawhatchee Bay, Florida, Tide feet

Harris
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:48 AM CDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:45 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:28 AM CDT     1.24 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:53 PM CDT     Moonset
Sun -- 07:45 PM CDT     Sunset
Sun -- 10:19 PM CDT     0.04 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Harris, The Narrows, Choctawhatchee Bay, Florida, Tide feet

Full Color Weather Map

Link to Loop


Other links: GEOS-West     Contential US     Full GOES-East

Northwest Florida,