Sunrise 3:57 AM   Sunset 9:53 PM Moonrise 2:30 AM   Moonset 3:28 PM

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PKZ013 Southern Lynn Canal- 257 Pm Akdt Fri May 31 2024
Tonight - N wind 10 kt becoming se. Seas 2 ft or less. Rain.Sat - SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Sat night - SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Sun - N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Sun night - Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. Mon - SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Tue - S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Wed - S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.

PKZ005
No data

FXAK67 PAJK 312315 AFDAJK

Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Juneau AK 315 PM AKDT Fri May 31 2024

SHORT TERM
Diminishing gale force front currently working its way northward through the panhandle as shown beautifully on satellite. The southern panhandle is currently experiencing periods of heavy rainfall mixed in with the stable moderate rainfall, which will come to an end this evening. Replacing it will be a relatively drier punch of air aloft which will encourage some convective, occasional showers. The rest of the panhandle will follow suit shortly with a conversion from stratiform to convective showers during the overnight period with perhaps even a glimpse of the "night" sky. Unfortunately, look for this relatively drier period to be short-lived as another front is hot on the heels of the current front, looking to arrive Sunday night.
Another round of rain and winds for the panhandle follows.

LONG TERM
/Sunday through Friday/ Long term outlook remains active for the next week as a broad upper trough remains in place over a majority of the state. Upper level low pressure will also be a semi permanent feature in the gulf, leading to periods of wet weather and occasionally stronger systems.

There are two primary systems of note during the end of the weekend and start of next week. The first is a moderately strong trough that will primarily impact the southern panhandle on Sunday. This will bring moderate to locally heavy rains as well as winds of 20 - 30 kt, primarily to the coastal gulf waters and Dixon Entrance/Clarence Strait. Some outflow winds will develop through Icy Strait as the trough rotates through the gulf as well, with winds of 15 to 25 kt with highest expected at Cross Sound.

The second system set to impact SE Alaska has the potential to be more impactful due to it incorporating the remnants of a former tropical system (Tropical Storm Ewiniar). A strong jet will help propel this system towards Haida Gwaii Monday before it begins to recurve northward and northwestward on Tuesday. Unlike the Sunday storm, this one will likely bring moderate to heavy rain to a majority of the panhandle as it transits the gulf. The storm itself is expected to have substantial embedded moisture, while a significant plume of moisture will be primarily aimed further south toward the Pacific Northwest and British Columbia. Similar to the Sunday system, the southern panhandle will likely see the heaviest rainfall and highest totals for this timeframe. However, this system also has the potential to produce high wind gusts of 45 kt or more to Dixon Entrance and southern Prince of Wales Island as it approaches and makes its turn northward. The overall track of this feature and how healthy the storm is will play a major role into how the wind field sets up along the inside passage. At minimum, widespread small craft conditions with winds of 25+ kt can be expected to follow NE of the feature along the outer coast Tuesday and into Wednesday, with modest increases in winds in the inside waters as well with highest winds currently expected near Dixon Entrance. We will be watching this for further developments over the coming weekend.

AVIATION
Rather active aviation weather today with an incoming front for this afternoon and this evening. Rain (reducing vis and ceilings to MVFR) and winds (gusts up to 40 mph at the surface over southern POW island) have been increasing all day across the southern panhandle and outer coast. Pilot reports of turbulence (occasional mod) and one report of low level wind shear have been received from the southern panhandle as well today. Increasing winds and rain for the rest of the panhandle is expected this evening with gusty conditions and MVFR (isolated IFR) vis and ceilings at times this evening. Possible turbulence and low level wind shear (mainly speed sheer) will likely be continue to be observed through this evening. Improving conditions into tomorrow with VFR conditions and lower winds as we will be in between systems. Conditions begin to deteriorate again on Sunday across the south as the next front moves in.

MARINE
A frontal passage continues to bring enhanced winds to the southern panhandle up to Icy Strait. A mainly easterly front, east-west facing channels such as Fredrick Sound, Peril Strait, and Icy Strait will continue to see winds as high as 20 knots with gusts up to 30 knots. Currently, the southern panhandle is seeing the worst of the winds, and they will be dwindling down over the course of the evening and overnight hours. Similarly, for the rest of the inner channels, winds will be on the downward trend through Sunday morning to around 10 knots. The next front arriving Sunday night look to again bring winds up to 20-25 knots in the inner channels with up to 30 knots on the outside waters.

AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Gale Warning for PKZ664-671-672.
Small Craft Advisory for PKZ022-036-053-641>644-651-652-661>663.

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Barlow Cove
Click for Map
Sat -- 02:30 AM AKDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 03:16 AM AKDT     2.34 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:03 AM AKDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:08 AM AKDT     12.07 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:21 PM AKDT     1.76 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:27 PM AKDT     Moonset
Sat -- 09:42 PM AKDT     15.09 feet High Tide
Sat -- 09:53 PM AKDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Barlow Cove, Mansfield Peninsula, Lynn Canal, Alaska, Tide feet

Lincoln Island
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Sat -- 02:30 AM AKDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 03:23 AM AKDT     2.64 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:01 AM AKDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:18 AM AKDT     12.90 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:28 PM AKDT     Moonset
Sat -- 03:28 PM AKDT     2.06 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 09:52 PM AKDT     15.87 feet High Tide
Sat -- 09:54 PM AKDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Lincoln Island, Lynn Canal, Alaska, Tide feet

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