Sunrise 6:13 AM   Sunset 7:45 PM Moonrise 1:53 AM   Moonset 2:23 PM

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PMZ021 Southern Gulf Of California- 1231 Pm Pdt Fri May 31 2024
Tonight - Variable winds less than 5 kt, becoming S to sw 10 kt late. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Period 16 seconds. Sat - Variable winds less than 5 kt, becoming S to sw 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Period 16 seconds. Sat night - S to sw winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Period 15 seconds. Sun - S winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Period 15 seconds. Sun night - S winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Period 13 seconds. Mon - SE to S winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Period 12 seconds. Mon night - S winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Period 12 seconds. Tue - S winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Period 13 seconds. Tue night - S to sw winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Period 13 seconds. Wed - S to sw winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Period 13 seconds. Wed night - SW winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Period 12 seconds.

PMZ005
No data

FXUS64 KMAF 010848 AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 348 AM CDT Sat Jun 1 2024

New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM

SHORT TERM
(Today through Sunday afternoon)
Issued at 314 AM CDT Sat Jun 1 2024

Convection is only now winding down as radar shows the last storm dissipating near Big Spring. Outflow from this convection has spread across the entire Permian Basin bringing in a more stable and cool airmass. However this may not do much good for preventing severe weather this afternoon as models show moisture pushing west against the mountains ahead of the cooler air. The moist air will outrun the cooler and more stable air allowing for afternoon heating and an approaching disturbance will destabilize the atmosphere causing severe storms to develop in the mountains and progress east. The storms should begin weakening with sunset which should occur around the time they reach the Pecos River valley and diminish in strength as they push east into the central and eastern Permian Basin. So the main threat today will be in areas that have not had much severe weather, or even rainfall, so far this year. Strong winds and hail will be the main threats and our western CWA is under a SLIGHT risk by SPC.

Zonal flow pushes dry air east and the dryline sets up in the western Permian Basin on Sunday. Highest rain chances will be in the eastern Basin where a few storms could again become severe though coverage should be less than that seen the past couple of days. Warmer temperatures are expected behind the dryline tomorrow though highs should be near normal for this time of year.

Hennig

LONG TERM
(Sunday night through Friday)
Issued at 314 AM CDT Sat Jun 1 2024

Zonal flow is expected the early part of next week and this time of year that means very hot and dry weather. Highs Monday through Wednesday are expected to top off above the century mark for many locations, with upper 90s seen elsewhere. A western U.S. ridge amplifies late in the week which may allow for a weak cold front to sneak into West Texas and eastern New Mexico. Not only should we see a break in the hot temperatures but there may also be a return of rain chances as the front provides moisture and a source of surface convergence to help create lift.

Hennig

AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1223 AM CDT Sat Jun 1 2024

Ongoing TS near HOB is moving south towards MAF. It is not expected to reach the terminal but will closely monitor. MVFR CIGs are expected to develop for about 6 hours near 12Z and dissipating before 18Z at most sites. TS is possible again near CNM/PEQ where VCTS is in the TAFs and these storms could approach the other sites as well.

Hennig

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Big Spring 92 68 93 72 / 10 30 20 10 Carlsbad 94 64 101 67 / 30 20 10 0 Dryden 93 71 97 74 / 20 30 10 0 Fort Stockton 94 68 100 70 / 40 30 20 0 Guadalupe Pass 87 64 92 67 / 30 20 0 0 Hobbs 91 63 97 63 / 20 20 10 0 Marfa 94 57 96 58 / 40 30 10 0 Midland Intl Airport 91 68 94 71 / 20 30 10 0 Odessa 92 69 95 72 / 20 30 10 0 Wink 96 69 102 68 / 30 20 10 0

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None.
NM...None.

La Paz
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Sat -- 01:53 AM MST     Moonrise
Sat -- 05:13 AM MST     0.59 meters High Tide
Sat -- 05:33 AM MST     Sunrise
Sat -- 10:55 AM MST     0.21 meters Low Tide
Sat -- 02:23 PM MST     Moonset
Sat -- 05:41 PM MST     0.97 meters High Tide
Sat -- 07:05 PM MST     Sunset
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La Paz, Baja California Sur, Mexico (2), Tide feet

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