South Point, TX Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for South Point, TX

June 14, 2024 5:46 AM CST (11:46 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:16 AM   Sunset 6:05 PM
Moonrise 12:58 PM   Moonset 12:41 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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PMZ028 Oaxaca E Of Puerto Angel Within 300 Nm Offshore Including The Gulf Of Tehuantepec- 213 Am Pdt Fri Jun 14 2024

Today - W winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in S to sw swell. Period 15 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated tstms through the day.

Tonight - W winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in sw swell. Period 14 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated tstms through the night.

Sat - W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in sw swell. Period 15 seconds. Numerous showers and scattered tstms through the day.

Sat night - W winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in S to sw swell. Period 16 seconds. Numerous showers and scattered tstms.

Sun - W winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in S to sw swell. Period 15 seconds.

Sun night - W winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in S to sw swell. Period 14 seconds.

Mon - W winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in S to sw swell. Period 12 seconds.

Mon night - SW to W winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft in S to sw swell. Period 12 seconds.

Tue - SW to W winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft in S to sw swell. Period 8 seconds.

Tue night - SW to W winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft in sw swell. Period 8 seconds.

PMZ005
No data


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near South Point, TX
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Area Discussion for - Brownsville, TX
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FXUS64 KBRO 141121 AAA AFDBRO

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Brownsville TX 621 AM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024

New AVIATION

SHORT TERM
(Today through Saturday)
Issued at 327 AM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024

With the mid-level ridge in place over Deep South Texas and the Rio Grande Valley, hot and largely rain free conditions are expected for most of the short term forecast period. It is possible that a seabreeze could bring in some showers and thunderstorms this afternoon, but confidence is very low that could happen. However, tomorrow, there is a a better chance that the seabreeze could see isolated showers and thunderstorms could appear as it moves inland.

As for the temperatures, the highs are expected to be in the range of the upper 90s for most of the region, while parts of Zapata and Starr are in the triple digits for today and tomorrow. The heat indices are largely expected to be in the range of 105-110 degrees this afternoon and tomorrow. Although a short period of 111 is possible, a Heat Advisory is not likely at this time. The overnight lows for tonight are expected to be in the range upper 70s to low 80s.

LONG TERM
(Saturday Night through Thursday)
Issued at 327 AM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024

This portion of the total forecast is highly dependent on the future development and movement of a tropical system that may develop in the Bay of Campeche around Tuesday. At a minimum, deep tropical moisture, featuring precipitable water values between 2 and nearly 3 inches, will flux into the BRO CWFA from the Bay of Campeche and the western Gulf of Mexico. This will result in a steadily-increasing chance of showers and thunderstorms, with initially isolated to scattered convection over the eastern portion of Deep South Texas and the Rio Grande Valley gradually transitioning to scattered to numerous activity across the whole of the area by the end of the long term period. With the exception of the northern halves of Brooks County, Jim Hogg County, and Zapata County, where no drought exists, the latest drought map indicates Abnormally Dry to Moderate Drought conditions over the remainder of the inland portion of the BRO CWFA. Aforementioned substantial rains, if they materialize, will have the possibility of ending any and all drought within the region by the time of their conclusion.

Temperature-wise, above normal daytime highs, not surprisingly, will be cooled to below normal levels courtesy of increased cloud cover and the significant chances for showers and thunderstorms.
Although heat indices may result in a SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT Sunday through Tuesday, a HEAT ADVISORY is not forecast for any of those days, with heat indices continuing to decline on Wednesday and Thursday.

Additionally, with elevated seas anticipated along the Lower Texas Coast (please see the MARINE section below), an elevated risk of rip currents (MODERATE or HIGH), COASTAL FLOOD products (ADVISORY or WARNING), and HIGH SURF products (ADVISORY or WARNING) are likely to be needed at the local beaches, possibly commencing on Monday or Tuesday.

Finally, some model guidance suggests that a more organized tropical system will move across the Yucatan Peninsula around June 21st and approach the mouth of the Rio Grande River around June 23rd. Given the amount of time yet to pass, nothing definite is laid in stone, so will simply have to monitor this concern as the second week of June becomes the third.

AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 617 AM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024

VFR conditions are expected to hold through the TAF cycle at all TAF sites. Mostly light easterly winds for the TAF sites, except for MFE, which could see some gusty winds later on. Some isolated showers are possible along the seabreeze, however confidence is not high enough to include in the TAF package.

MARINE
(Today through Saturday)
Issued at 327 AM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024

Favorable conditions are expected to persist through Saturday, as a weak pressure gradient allows for light to moderate winds and low to moderate seas. Some isolated showers and thunderstorms are possible through Saturday, and locally elevated seas and winds are possible with these showers and thunderstorms.

(Saturday Night through Thursday)
This portion of the marine forecast is highly dependent on the future development and movement of a tropical system that may develop in the Bay of Campeche around Tuesday. If model guidance is to believed, Small Craft Advisory conditions, at a minimum, are possible along the Lower Texas Coast beginning Monday night, especially for the Gulf of Mexico waters from 0 to 60 nautical miles offshore. Mariners are advised to monitor the Coastal Waters Forecast through the next several days.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BROWNSVILLE 95 80 95 80 / 20 10 30 20 HARLINGEN 97 75 97 75 / 10 0 30 10 MCALLEN 99 78 99 78 / 10 0 20 10 RIO GRANDE CITY 99 78 99 77 / 0 0 10 0 SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 88 83 88 82 / 20 10 30 30 BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 93 80 92 79 / 20 10 30 20

BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None.
GM...None.




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Brownsville, TX,




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