Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Sabana Eneas, PR

SHORT TERM
Tonight through Wednesday...

Stable and breezy to windy conditions prevailed throughout the morning. Sunny skies with no rain prevailed across the western and southwestern sections of PR before some shallow afternoon convection affected the westernmost portions. Embedded in the trades, occasional quick passing showers affected the northern, eastern interior, northeast, and southeast PR and the USVI. Once again, maximum temperatures reached the low to mid-80s along coastal areas (except in the upper 80s or low 90s in southwestern to south-central PR and St Croix) to the upper 70s across mountains and valleys.

Tonight, expect a continuation of today's weather pattern, with mostly clear skies and pleasant temperatures, with the arrival of occasional cloudy conditions and showery weather. The mid-to-upper ridging pattern will extend the stable weather pattern throughout the Short Term Period. Regardless of this pattern, a robust high pressure anchored across the Central Atlantic will promote breezy to locally windy easterlies through at least Wednesday. The sustained winds will range from 15 to 25 mph with higher gusts. These winds will bring clouds and showers, as explained at the beginning of the paragraph, each day, particularly affecting windward locations.

Although we are not anticipating widespread flooding, showery weather with brief periods of moderate to locally heavy rain will occasionally affect the islands. This is especially true on Tuesday afternoon and early Wednesday morning and afternoon when trade wind perturbations will quickly arrive embedded in the easterlies. Low- level wind convergence over the islands' windward locations will enhance the showery weather.

Seasonal temperatures are expected during the short-term period.
Maximum temperatures will range from mid 80s to upper 80s in lower elevations while higher terrains can expect mid 70s to low 80s.

LONG TERM
Thursday through Monday...

A deep layered ridge will continue to move slowly eastward from the central to the eastern Tropical Atlantic through the long-term period. This will promote moderate to locally fresh trades across the eastern Caribbean and occasionally bring remnants of old frontal boundaries across the local area, resulting in passing showers primarily in the windward areas of the islands. Limited shower activity is expected over western Puerto Rico. However, the overall coverage and intensity of showers could increase on Thursday and Sunday.

Global model guidance suggests that a weak upper-level low or trough will develop over the central Caribbean on Thursday and merge with a stronger upper-level trough over the western Atlantic during the weekend. This scenario will likely support increased shower activity on Thursday with the arrival of the remnants of an old frontal boundary from the east and later in the weekend as a front over the western Atlantic approaches the region and a pre- frontal trough develops near the islands.

Normal to above-normal temperatures are expected to prevail throughout most of the long-term period, particularly in the coastal and lower elevations of the islands. Daytime highs will range from the mid to upper 80s and low 90s in coastal and urban areas, while the mountains will experience highs in the mid to upper 70s. Minimum temperatures will range from the low 60s in the higher elevations to the mid and upper 70s in the lower elevations of the islands.



AVIATION
(18z TAFs)

Breezy trade winds will prevail under VFR conditions. Winds will range between 15 and 20 kt with gusts around 30 kt or higher.
SHRA/+SHRA embedded in the trade will sometimes move across terminals and bring brief MVFR conditions, especially early Tuesday afternoon (after 21/16z). Wind direction will be predominantly from the E/ENE but under sea breeze variations (thru 20/22z and after 21/13z) and land breeze (between 20/23z-21/12z).



MARINE

A high pressure building across the central Atlantic will support moderate to fresh easterlies for the next several days. Stronger winds are expected through tomorrow, Tuesday, across the Caribbean waters and local passages. Choppy wind-driven to hazardous seas for small craft will continue across portions of most offshore waters and passages. A fading northeasterly swell is also present tonight, promoting confused seas in some areas. Small craft advisory conditions are likely to continue through the end of the workweek.



BEACH FORECAST

A high risk of rip currents is now in effect northern Puerto Rico, Culebra, and St Croix, and will persist through at least late Wednesday night. Life-threatening rip currents are still possible elsewhere.



SJU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PR...High Rip Current Risk through late Wednesday night for PRZ001- 002-005-008-012.

VI...High Rip Current Risk through late Wednesday night for VIZ002.

AM...Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM AST Friday for AMZ711.

Small Craft Advisory from 6 PM Tuesday to 6 PM AST Wednesday for AMZ712-716-726.

Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM AST Thursday for AMZ723.

Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM AST Wednesday for AMZ733-741.