Manele, HI Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Manele, HI

May 8, 2024 8:25 PM HST (06:25 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:54 AM   Sunset 7:00 PM
Moonrise 6:17 AM   Moonset 8:04 PM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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Marine Forecasts
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PHZ118 Maui County Leeward Waters- 331 Pm Hst Wed May 8 2024

Tonight - East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Wave detail: east southeast 3 feet at 5 seconds. Isolated showers.

Thursday - East southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Wave detail: south 3 feet at 17 seconds. Isolated showers.

Thursday night - East winds 7 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Wave detail: south 3 feet at 16 seconds. Scattered showers.

Friday - Winds variable less than 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Wave detail: south 3 feet at 15 seconds. Scattered showers with a chance of Thunderstorms.

Friday night - Winds variable less than 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Wave detail: north northwest 3 feet at 10 seconds and south 3 feet at 15 seconds. Scattered showers with a chance of Thunderstorms.

Saturday - Winds variable less than 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Scattered showers with a chance of Thunderstorms.

Saturday night - East northeast winds 7 to 10 knots in the evening, becoming variable less than 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Isolated showers.

Sunday - East northeast winds 7 to 10 knots. Seas to 3 feet. Isolated showers.

Monday - East winds 7 to 10 knots, becoming 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Seas to 3 feet. Isolated showers.
winds and seas higher in and near tstms.

PHZ100 331 Pm Hst Wed May 8 2024

Synopsis for hawaiian coastal waters - Moderate to locally fresh trade winds will steadily decline as a surface trough strengthens north of kauai. The trough will expand over the islands by Friday, disrupting the winds and bringing a threat of strong Thunderstorms into Saturday. Easterly trade winds will slowly rebuild Sunday and Monday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Manele, HI
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Area Discussion for - Honolulu, HI
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FXHW60 PHFO 090133 AFDHFO

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Honolulu HI 333 PM HST Wed May 8 2024

SYNOPSIS
Light to moderate trades will persist over the eastern islands through Thursday, while lighter trades and leeward land and sea breezes prevail over the western islands. Showers will favor windward slopes and coasts at night and interior and leeward areas each afternoon. Thunderstorms are possible Friday and Saturday as an upper disturbance moves through. Conditions should improve Sunday through early next week.

DISCUSSION
High pressure far north of the main Hawaiian Islands drives light to moderate trades across local waters this afternoon. Satellite loop shows broken to overcast low clouds have spread westward since this morning to cover mauka and leeward areas, while adjacent waters have scattered low clouds to clear skies. Latest soundings depict seasonal amounts of PW, between 1.2 and 1.4 inches of PW, and a neutral to slightly unstable airmass.
Subsidence inversions are rising and weakening, setting up conditions which would allow showers to spread and shower-bearing clouds to build higher. Radar shows scattered light to moderate showers beneath cloud cover.

A front far northwest of the islands will shift southeastward over the next couple of days, eventually weakening into a broad trough across the islands on Friday. Trades will ease over the next few days in response. Expect light to moderate trade winds over the eastern islands tonight and Thursday, while lighter trades allow development of land and sea breezes across leeward areas of the western islands. Through Thursday, expect showers to favor windward and mauka areas overnight and during the morning, then transition over to interior and leeward areas each afternoon into the early evening. As the boundary layer flow becomes light and variable Thursday night, most showers should remain offshore.
Models show trades will decrease further on Friday, allowing for sea breeze development statewide. Trades may strengthen over the weekend as the broad trough gradually weakens. By early next week, another front northwest of the state will cause surface flow to veer to southeasterlies across the western islands while trade flow persists across the eastern islands.

Models show an upper low will move across the chain Friday through Saturday. Associated cold air aloft will destabilize our airmass and introduce the possibility of thunderstorms. At this time, predicted PW does not appear to be high enough to fuel a widespread heavy rain threat. However, brief heavy downpours associated with possible thunderstorms would cause minor flooding impacts. We will monitor model depictions over the next few days and issue appropriate watches if needed. Models also depict a potential for severe thunderstorms, with steep lapse rates, high CAPE, and strong bulk shear. If these conditions were to develop, stronger thunderstorms would be capable of producing hail and strong gusty winds. High resolution models covering our domain will be available within the next 24 hours. Expect a return of a hybrid trade wind pattern by Saturday night, featuring windward and mauka showers at night, followed by interior and leeward showers during the afternoon and early evening hours.

AVIATION
Light to moderate trades will persist through Thursday with day time sea breezes and night time land breezes expected over select leeward areas. Scattered showers will continue to favor windward and mauka areas and we are expecting an uptick of showers late tonight into Thursday morning as a band of moisture approaches from the east. As this moisture band moves in, MVFR conditions will be possible for windward and mountain areas with VFR conditions prevailing across leeward areas tonight through Thursday morning. A disturbance aloft will begin to approach the state late Thursday, which could enhance shower activity Thursday afternoon.

No AIRMETs are in effect at this time. AIRMET Sierra will be possible late tonight into Thursday for windward and mountain areas as a band of moisture moves in. A subtropical jet passing just south of the state may bring light to moderate turbulence between FL300 to FL350 around the Big Island through tonight.

MARINE
Moderate to locally fresh trade winds will continue to decline as a strengthen surface trough north of Kauai weakens the local pressure gradient. The trough will strengthen and expand over the islands Thursday night and Friday and linger into the weekend, disrupting the local winds. A strong disturbance aloft moving overhead will bring a threat for strong to severe thunderstorms mainly Friday into Saturday. These thunderstorms will have the potential to produce dangerous wind gusts, hail, and frequent lightning. Moderate east to southeast trade winds will gradually rebuild Sunday or Monday.

A long-lived south swell will affect the islands during the next several days. Low, long-period forerunners of 19 to 21 seconds have started to arrive at the local buoys this afternoon and will build over the area tonight. South shore surf is expected to rise near, or possibly to, the High Surf Advisory level of 10 feet during the peak of the swell Thursday afternoon through Friday. We have held off on issuing an advisory for now but will be watching the buoys closely tonight. This long-lived swell will gradually decline Saturday through Monday, with a small pulse of south- southwest expected to follow early next week.

The current northwest swell will continue to decrease to tiny conditions tomorrow, followed by a reinforcing short-period north-northwest swell this weekend. Surf along east facing shores will be well below May average through much of the week, as local trade winds remain suppressed into the weekend. Only a small increase is due Sunday or Monday.

HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
51213 32 mi60 min 79°F3 ft
OOUH1 - 1612340 - Honolulu, HI 46 mi68 min ENE 6G8.9 75°F 78°F29.97
51211 47 mi86 min 77°F2 ft


Wind History for Honolulu, HI
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
PHNY35 sm29 minNE 1410 smClear66°F63°F88%30.02
Link to 5 minute data for PHNY


Wind History from HNY
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for Kaumalapau, Lanai Island, Hawaii
   
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Kaumalapau
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Wed -- 03:43 AM HST     0.84 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:53 AM HST     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:14 AM HST     Moonrise
Wed -- 09:24 AM HST     -0.42 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 04:53 PM HST     2.45 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:55 PM HST     Sunset
Wed -- 08:02 PM HST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Kaumalapau, Lanai Island, Hawaii, Tide feet
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Tide / Current for Kolo, Molokai Island, Hawaii
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Kolo
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Wed -- 03:46 AM HST     0.64 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:53 AM HST     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:15 AM HST     Moonrise
Wed -- 09:22 AM HST     -0.42 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 04:56 PM HST     2.25 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:56 PM HST     Sunset
Wed -- 08:03 PM HST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Kolo, Molokai Island, Hawaii, Tide feet
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of Hawaii   
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Molokai/Honolulu,HI





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