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PMZ021 Southern Gulf Of California- 123 Am Pst Thu Dec 7 2023
Today..NW winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Period 13 seconds.
Tonight..W to nw winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Period 13 seconds.
Fri..Variable winds less than 5 kt. Seas 3 ft or less in se to S swell, subsiding to 3 ft or less in the afternoon. Period 14 seconds.
Fri night..Variable winds less than 5 kt, becoming nw to N 10 kt late. Seas 3 ft or less. Period 12 seconds.
Sat..NW to N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Period 12 seconds.
Sat night..NW to N winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Period 6 seconds.
Sun..NW to N winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in nw swell. Period 7 seconds.
Sun night..NW to N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in nw swell. Period 7 seconds.
Mon..NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in nw swell. Period 7 seconds.
Mon night..NW winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Period 12 seconds.

FXUS64 KMAF 071933 AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 133 PM CST Thu Dec 7 2023

New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM

SHORT TERM
(This afternoon through Friday night)
Issued at 130 PM CST Thu Dec 7 2023

The main story for the short term will be increasing winds for Friday. A large upper level trough moves across the Rockies tonight and into tomorrow morning. Rounding the bottom of that trough will be a 700mb jet with 40-50kt winds stretching west to east across our region. Will upgrade the High Wind Watches over the mountains to warnings as gusts between 70-75mph will be seen. Also adding Wind Advisories to adjacent plains as sustained winds and gusts may make driving difficult during the afternoon on Friday. Patchy blowing dust can be expected with the windy conditions and could briefly reduce visibility on roads.

Lows tonight stay above average in the mid to upper 40s as low level moisture continues to be pulled in from the south. Highs on Friday inch a couple degrees higher as increased downslope winds help warm the afternoon before the approach of a cold front late Friday night into early Saturday morning. Passage of this system and the subsequent front will be dry, so no precipitation of any form expected in the short term.

LONG TERM
(Saturday through Wednesday)
Issued at 130 PM CST Thu Dec 7 2023

The weekend starts off cold and blustery behind a strong cold front.
Northerly winds around 25 mph and temperatures in the 40s/50s will make it feel quite chilly Saturday afternoon. Surface high pressure settles in overnight and along with clear skies and light winds will bring our coldest temperatures of the season so far. Most locations will plummet into the 20s with a few of the colder spots like N. Lea County and the Marfa Plateau down into the teens. After another chilly afternoon Sunday, temperatures moderate early next week as southerly winds return. Highs climb back into the 60s with dry conditions through Tuesday.

Thereafter, things get interesting. An upper trough will dig into the Desert SW by mid week transitioning flow aloft to the southwest across our region. Meanwhile, a weak cold front will slowly ooze into the area Wednesday. Increasing ascent and lift associated with the trough will help generate some beneficial showers. Temperatures look too warm for anything other than liquid precipitation at this time, but this system is still a ways out so things could change.
Nonetheless, temperatures (especially highs) will be below normal due to the clouds and rain.

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1109 AM CST Thu Dec 7 2023

Winds shift to southerly and southwesterly during the day.
Occasional gusts will be possible into the early evening. VFR continues at all terminals. Low clouds possible tomorrow morning, but precluded from mention due to low confidence.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Big Spring 49 76 40 55 / 0 0 0 0 Carlsbad 45 72 37 51 / 0 0 0 0 Dryden 49 80 48 68 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 53 79 45 60 / 0 0 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 45 63 37 49 / 0 0 0 0 Hobbs 44 71 35 50 / 0 0 0 0 Marfa 40 70 37 59 / 0 0 0 0 Midland Intl Airport 48 74 41 55 / 0 0 0 0 Odessa 48 74 42 56 / 0 0 0 0 Wink 44 76 38 57 / 0 0 0 0

MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...High Wind Warning from 6 AM CST /5 AM MST/ to 10 PM CST /9 PM MST/ Friday for Davis Mountains-Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains.

Wind Advisory from 11 AM to 6 PM CST Friday for Davis Mountains Foothills-Eastern Culberson County-Loving-Reeves County Plains.

NM...High Wind Warning from 5 AM to 9 PM MST Friday for Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County.

Wind Advisory from 10 AM to 5 PM MST Friday for Eddy County Plains.

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La Paz
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Thu -- 01:53 AM MST     Moonrise
Thu -- 05:48 AM MST     0.82 meters High Tide
Thu -- 06:51 AM MST     Sunrise
Thu -- 12:44 PM MST     0.23 meters Low Tide
Thu -- 02:00 PM MST     Moonset
Thu -- 05:33 PM MST     Sunset
Thu -- 06:31 PM MST     0.53 meters High Tide
Thu -- 11:24 PM MST     0.33 meters Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

La Paz, Baja California Sur, Mexico (2), Tide feet

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