Big Pine Key, FL Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Big Pine Key, FL

June 13, 2024 5:58 AM EDT (09:58 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:36 AM   Sunset 8:18 PM
Moonrise 12:01 PM   Moonset 12:11 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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GMZ035 Expires:202406131430;;932669 Fzus52 Kkey 130829 Cwfkey
coastal waters forecast for the florida keys national weather service key west fl 429 am edt Thu jun 13 2024
florida bay, hawk channel and straits of florida from ocean reef to south of dry tortugas, and the extreme southeastern gulf of mexico, including the florida keys national marine sanctuary
seas are given as significant wave height, which is the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be more than twice the significant wave height.
wave detail will include details about the period and direction of origin for the highest energy waves. Long-period swells coming from a different direction than the wind would be included in the wave detail.
gmz032-035-131430- bayside and gulf side from craig key to west end of seven mile bridge- gulf of mexico from west end of seven mile bridge to halfmoon shoal out to 5 fathoms- 429 am edt Thu jun 13 2024

.small craft should exercise caution until winds decrease - .

Today - South winds 15 to 20 knots, decreasing to near 10 knots. Seas 1 to 3 feet, subsiding to 1 to 2 feet. West of the marquesas keys, seas 2 to 3 feet, subsiding to around 2 feet. NEarshore waters choppy, becoming a light chop. Numerous showers and scattered Thunderstorms.

Tonight - Southeast to south winds 5 to 10 knots, increasing to near 10 knots. Seas subsiding to around 1 foot. NEarshore waters smooth to a light chop, becoming a light chop. Widespread showers and scattered Thunderstorms.

Friday - South winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming south to southwest 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 1 foot. NEarshore waters a light to moderate chop, becoming smooth to a light chop. Numerous showers and scattered Thunderstorms.

Friday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast. Seas 1 foot or less. NEarshore waters smooth to a light chop. Scattered showers and isolated Thunderstorms.

Saturday - East to southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot or less. NEarshore waters smooth to a light chop. Scattered showers and isolated Thunderstorms.

Saturday night - East winds near 10 knots, increasing to 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 foot or less, building to 1 to 2 feet. NEarshore waters a light chop, becoming a light to moderate chop. Scattered showers and isolated Thunderstorms.

Sunday - East winds 10 to 15 knots, increasing to near 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. NEarshore waters a light to moderate chop, becoming a moderate chop. Scattered showers and isolated Thunderstorms.

Sunday night - East winds near 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet, except building to 2 to 3 feet west of the marquesas keys. NEarshore waters a moderate chop. Scattered showers and isolated Thunderstorms.

Monday and Monday night - East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet, except 3 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet west of the marquesas keys. NEarshore waters choppy. Scattered showers and isolated Thunderstorms.

GMZ005 Synopsis For Keys Coastal Waters From Ocean Reef To Dry Tortugas 429 Am Edt Thu Jun 13 2024

Synopsis - The pattern for the remainder of the week will feature weak high pressure over the western north atlantic and a frontal boundary stalled over northern florida. However, the main weather maker will be a large cyclonic system centered over central america. Mainly moderate breezes and an extended period of unsettled weather featuring Thundery squalls will persist today through Friday night. Rain and Thunder chances will decrease gradually starting Saturday. Breezes will freshen by Saturday night, with moderate to fresh easterly breezes expected for late in the weekend into early next week.
the approximate shoreward edge of the gulf stream as of june 12, 2024 - .
66 nm south of dry tortugas light - .on loggerhead key. 24 nm south of cosgrove shoal light - .off the marquesas keys. 17 nm south of sand key light - .off key west. 28 nm south of looe key - .off big pine key. 8 nm south of sombrero key light - .off marathon. 4 nm south of alligator reef light - .off islamorada. 2 nm south of molasses reef light - .off key largo.
gulf stream information courtesy of the national weather service in key west.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Big Pine Key, FL
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Area Discussion for - Key West, FL
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FXUS62 KKEY 130902 AFDKEY

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Key West FL 502 AM EDT Thu Jun 13 2024

New DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION

DISCUSSION
Issued at 502 AM EDT Thu Jun 13 2024

After quite an active evening last night, most storms within the Florida Keys forecast area, aside from a cluster of stronger storms in the Straits of Florida, have weakened to stratiform rain. Impressive rainfall totals ranged from just over an inch in Key West to an astounding nearly 10 inches in portions of the Upper Keys. Winds are proving to be tricky once again this morning, with marine observation platforms along the Reef measuring sustained winds of 18 to 25 knots. The higher end of that is still within areas of rainfall, but will continue to keep an eye on it once the rainfall moves out of that area. These winds are much higher than initially forecast, so had to make last minute adjustments to the wind forecast. These over-achieving winds should come as no surprise since they have been higher than expected around this time for the past few days, as guidance has not had a good handle on this pre-dawn wind surge. Winds should come down by later this morning.

The synoptic pattern will change little over the next day or so.
The main features that have caused well above normal rainfall over the past few days continue to be a stalled frontal boundary draped over Northern Florida, broad troughing in the Gulf of Mexico, and a low level ridge axis extending through the Bahamas into our area. Models do suggest that the frontal boundary may dip a little farther southward today, which could put us in a similar, if not better, environment for a similar heavy rainfall event that we saw last night. The next 12 hours will likely be a repeat of the same pattern we have seen the past few days, with a lull in shower activity in the morning, followed by the re-ignition of convection later this afternoon into this evening. The Flood Watch was extended through early tomorrow morning, with an additional 2-4 inches possible, with locally higher amounts within areas of training storms. High temperatures today and tomorrow will peak in the mid to upper 80s, depending on the extent of cloud cover this morning. Dew points will be in the upper 70s to near 80 degrees, so another sticky day is on tap outside of any rainfall.

By Friday night into Saturday, we will finally break out of this rainy pattern as high pressure will build across the Northeast and shift out into the western North Atlantic. This high will shove the deep tropical moisture that we are currently entrenched in to the west, and drive in a drier airmass. Rain chances will quickly drop down to just above normal, as will thunder chances.
High temperatures will return to near 90 degrees, and lows are only expected to drop into the lower 80s each night as cloud coverage decreases. By Sunday night, the pressure gradient will tighten across the region, which will allow for breezy conditions to prevail through the end of the extended forecast.

MARINE
Issued at 502 AM EDT Thu Jun 13 2024

There are no watches, warnings, or advisories in effect for the Florida Keys coastal waters. From synopsis, the pattern for the remainder of the week will feature weak high pressure over the western North Atlantic and a frontal boundary stalled over northern Florida. However, the main weather maker will be a large cyclonic system centered over Central America. Mainly moderate breezes and an extended period of unsettled weather featuring thundery squalls will persist today through Friday night. Rain and thunder chances will decrease gradually starting Saturday.
Breezes will freshen by Saturday night, with moderate to fresh easterly breezes expected for late in the weekend into early next week.

AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 502 AM EDT Thu Jun 13 2024

VFR conditions will return at EYW and MTH for the morning hours and early afternoon. TEMPO MVFR CIGS may still occur at the terminals from nearby light showers. VCSH was listed for the entire TAF period because while there is higher confidence that redevelopment of heavy showers and thunderstorms will occur late in the afternoon, the exact time said storms will impact the terminals is very uncertain.
MVFR to IFR conditions are possible in the evening hours. Prevailing near surface winds will be southerly near 10 knots with occasional gusts of 15 knots with higher gusts near showers.

CLIMATE
On this day in Keys weather history, in 1900 the daily record rainfall of 5.04" was recorded in Key West. Rainfall records for Key West date back to 1871.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Key West 88 78 88 80 / 70 80 70 40 Marathon 88 78 88 80 / 70 80 70 40

KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...Flood Watch for FLZ076>078.

GM...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
VCAF1 - 8723970 - Vaca Key, FL 16 mi59 minSSE 7G12 79°F 85°F
SMKF1 - Sombrero Key, FL 17 mi39 min 29.85
KYWF1 - 8724580 - Key West, FL 24 mi59 minSE 15G20 80°F 87°F29.89
LONF1 - Long Key, FL 30 mi39 minSSE 17G20 81°F 29.8476°F
SANF1 - Sand Key, FL 31 mi39 minS 20G22 80°F 29.8775°F
JKYF1 - Johnson Key, FL 35 mi119 min 83°F
LRKF1 - Little Rabbit Key, FL 36 mi119 min 82°F
MUKF1 - Murray Key, FL 36 mi119 min 80°F
42095 37 mi59 min 81°F 85°F2 ft
PKYF1 - Peterson Key, FL 37 mi119 min 84°F
BSKF1 39 mi179 min 80°F
BKYF1 41 mi119 min 83°F
WRBF1 - Whipray Basin, FL 43 mi119 min6 83°F
WWEF1 43 mi179 min 82°F
BOBF1 - Bob Allen, FL 44 mi119 min 82°F
CWAF1 44 mi179 min 84°F
GBTF1 - Garfield Bight, FL 44 mi119 min 80°F
SREF1 46 mi119 min 83°F
LRIF1 47 mi119 min 82°F
TBYF1 47 mi119 min 83°F
GBIF1 - Gunboat Island, FL 49 mi119 min 80°F


Wind History for Vaca Key, FL
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Airport Reports
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Tide / Current for Howe Key, south end, Harbor Channel, Florida
   
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Howe Key
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Thu -- 01:11 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 02:25 AM EDT     0.11 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:36 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:48 AM EDT     0.81 feet High Tide
Thu -- 01:00 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 02:15 PM EDT     0.38 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:10 PM EDT     0.97 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:15 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Howe Key, south end, Harbor Channel, Florida, Tide feet
12
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0.7


Tide / Current for No Name Key (northeast of), Florida Current
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No Name Key (northeast of)
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:11 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 02:46 AM EDT     0.47 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 05:19 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 06:35 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:00 AM EDT     -0.66 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 12:07 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 01:00 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 03:19 PM EDT     0.38 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 05:36 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 08:15 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 08:22 PM EDT     -0.66 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

No Name Key (northeast of), Florida Current, knots
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-0.3


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of gulf of mexico   
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Key West, FL,




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