"Islamorada, Village of Islands ", FL Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for "Islamorada, Village of Islands ", FL

June 18, 2024 6:38 PM EDT (22:38 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:30 AM   Sunset 8:16 PM
Moonrise 4:19 PM   Moonset 2:36 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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GMZ042 Hawk Channel From Ocean Reef To Craig Key Out To The Reef- Hawk Channel From Craig Key To West End Of Seven Mile Bridge Out To The Reef- Hawk Channel From West End Of Seven Mile Bridge To Halfmoon Shoal Out To The Reef- 419 Pm Edt Tue Jun 18 2024

.small craft advisory in effect - .

Tonight - East winds near 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet, occasionally to 6 feet. NEarshore waters rough. Scattered showers and isolated Thunderstorms.

Wednesday - East winds near 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet, occasionally to 6 feet. NEarshore waters rough. Scattered showers and isolated Thunderstorms.

Wednesday night - East winds near 20 knots, decreasing to 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet, occasionally to 6 feet. NEarshore waters rough, becoming choppy. Scattered showers and isolated Thunderstorms.

Thursday - East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet, except 4 to 5 feet, occasionally to 6 feet west of cosgrove shoal light. NEarshore waters choppy. Scattered showers and isolated Thunderstorms.

Thursday night - East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. NEarshore waters choppy. Scattered showers and isolated Thunderstorms.

Friday - East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. NEarshore waters choppy. Scattered showers and isolated Thunderstorms.

Friday night - East to southeast winds 15 to 20 knots, decreasing to near 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. NEarshore waters choppy, becoming a moderate chop. Scattered showers and isolated Thunderstorms.

Saturday - East winds near 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. NEarshore waters a moderate chop. Scattered showers and isolated Thunderstorms.

Saturday night - East to southeast winds decreasing to 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. NEarshore waters becoming a light to moderate chop. Scattered showers and isolated Thunderstorms.

Sunday - East to southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet, subsiding to around 2 feet. NEarshore waters a light to moderate chop. Scattered showers and isolated Thunderstorms.

Sunday night - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots, decreasing to near 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. NEarshore waters a light to moderate chop, becoming a light chop. Scattered showers and isolated Thunderstorms.

GMZ005 Synopsis For Keys Coastal Waters From Ocean Reef To Dry Tortugas 419 Pm Edt Tue Jun 18 2024

Synopsis - Strong surface high pressure centered off the new england coast working in tandem with falling pressures over the yucatan peninsula and the bay of campeche is expected to result in moderate to fresh breezes tonight through late week. An area of low pressure may develop mid week a few hundred miles north of the central bahamas towards mid week and move towards the southeast coast. This may result in a slackening of breezes, but confidence is decreasing in the development of this system.
the approximate shoreward edge of the gulf stream as of june 12 - .
66 nm south of dry tortugas light - .on loggerhead key. 24 nm south of cosgrove shoal light - .off the marquesas keys. 17 nm south of sand key light - .off key west. 28 nm south of looe key - .off big pine key. 8 nm south of sombrero key light - .off marathon. 4 nm south of alligator reef light - .off islamorada. 2 nm south of molasses reef light - .off key largo.
gulf stream information courtesy of the national weather service in key west.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near "Islamorada, Village of Islands ", FL
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Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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FXUS62 KMFL 181903 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 303 PM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024

New LONG TERM

SHORT TERM
(Rest of today through Wednesday)
Issued at 1245 PM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024

South Florida remains situated in a region of weak synoptic ascent as expansive mid-level ridging remains entrenched across the region and the western Atlantic waters. At the surface, an expansive ridge of high pressure continues to advect into the region resulting in breezy to gusty easterlies prevailing across South Florida. Drier air over the western Atlantic continues to pivot in, resulting in relatively low rain chances in the forecast for today. Mesoanalysis indicates a north to south PWAT/CAPE gradient across the region with the most conducive values for convection to the south of our region over the Florida Keys. Miami (KMIA) ACARS data from 16:20 UTC shows the large column of dry air from 925mb up quite nicely. Any shower activity that may develop today will be relatively shallow in vertical extent with limited convective scope. Given the breezy easterly flow, temperatures will be quite comfortable along the immediate east coast with high temperatures in the middle 80s.
Elsewhere, temperatures in the upper 80s to low 90s are forecast for the majority of the region with the exception of the inland locales of the Gulf coast metro area that could reach the middle 90s.

With the continued advection of easterly flow across the region, a higher concentration of moisture will pivot into South Florida as the surface ridge remains in firm control. The higher moisture content will result in slightly increased rain chances across the region with high temperatures a little cooler given an increase in cloud cover and convection.

LONG TERM
(Wednesday night through Monday)
Issued at 349 AM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024

The primary feature to watch for in the latter half of the week continues to be a disturbance several hundred miles east of the Bahamas associated with a surface trough. The latest tropical outlook (06Z) by the National Hurricane Center indicates this feature has a low end chance (20%) of developing tropical characteristics over the next 7 days. We continue to keep an eye on potential development of the surface low. Regardless, there will be a surge of moisture into South Florida late this week bringing higher chances of daily showers and scattered thunderstorms in the extended forecast (50-70%). The ensembles forecast a rise in PWATs, with a majority of members pushing 2"+, starting Thursday into the weekend. Therefore, formation of a tropical disturbance or not, we have an active, wet week and weekend ahead of us with the potential for rainfall and thunderstorms across South Florida. Due to the substantial rainfall last week, the ground is heavily saturated and urban areas sensitive to heavy rain. While the forecast QPF values are relatively low, any quick, heavy showers may lead to flooding in areas recently impacted.

With the persistent easterly flow, temperatures will be seasonal for the remainder of the week and weekend. High temperatures will be in the upper 80s to low 90s regionwide. Overnight lows will drop into the 70s for a majority of South FL, other than the east coast which will keep to the low 80s.

LONG TERM
(Wednesday night through next Monday)
Issued at 302 PM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024

Mid-upper level ridging dominates the eastern seaboard to open the long term period. This feature will continue to build westward into the central United States heading into the weekend. As a result, easterly flow will continue across South Florida for the end of the week and through the weekend. PWATs will remain around 1.5-1.7" on Thursday and Friday so thinking less convective coverage each afternoon as the slightly drier air persists, although the area will not remain completely dry. Heading into the weekend, the middle atmosphere could moisten a bit again with modeled PWATs approaching 2"-2.1" and more numerous activity is expected. and With easterly flow, it is likely to see weaker showers impacting the east coast areas in the morning with more widespread rainfall affecting the rest of South Florida during the afternoon. At this time, both the GFS and EURO have backed off just a touch on the moisture potential for the weekend and am comfortable at holding POPs between 50-70%. These ma need to be adjusted as conditions become clearer closer to the weekend.

Early next week, an upper level low will come barreling across the Great Lakes region as overall high pressure over the eastern CONUS breaks down, and is nudged back eastward. This will lead to the development of a more southeasterly to southerly flow across the area for the Monday afternoon through Wednesday time period as another weak frontal boundary stalls across the SE CONUS. Models are hinting at another moisture surge towards the end of the period with the return of southerly flow , but this is too far out to speculate much at this time - just something we will keep an eye on through the remainder of this week.

Temperatures through this long term period will be fairly consistent. Afternoon highs are expected to top out in the upper 80s to low 90s each day and overnight lows dipping into the mid- upper 70s.

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1245 PM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024

Breezy easterly flow continues across South Florida this afternoon with mostly VFR conditions expected outside of isolated shower activity. Have removed VCSH out of most of the east coast terminal sites given the current environment. That being said, if an isolated shower does impact a terminal, a brief bout of MVFR cigs could be realized.

MARINE
Issued at 1245 PM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024

Expect moderate to breezy easterly winds to prevail through mid week, along with seas up to 7 feet over the Atlantic waters, and up to 5 feet over the Gulf. A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect for the Atlantic and Biscayne Bay waters through until at least Wednesday morning. Some slight decrease in the E-SE winds for the end of the week is expected to lead to lower seas to end the week.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms will periodically affect the local waters, becoming more numerous through the remainder of the work week.

BEACHES
Issued at 1245 PM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024

Continued easterly winds will keep a high risk of rip currents across all the Atlantic beaches during the rest of the work week.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 79 88 78 88 / 30 40 50 50 West Kendall 78 88 77 90 / 30 50 50 50 Opa-Locka 79 88 78 89 / 30 40 50 50 Homestead 80 87 79 88 / 30 50 50 50 Fort Lauderdale 80 86 79 86 / 40 40 50 50 N Ft Lauderdale 80 87 79 88 / 40 40 50 50 Pembroke Pines 80 90 79 91 / 30 40 50 50 West Palm Beach 78 87 77 88 / 40 50 50 50 Boca Raton 79 88 78 88 / 40 40 50 50 Naples 77 92 76 93 / 10 50 30 50

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Thursday evening for FLZ168-172- 173.

AM...Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT Wednesday for AMZ630.

Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT Thursday for AMZ650-651-670- 671.

GM...Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM EDT Wednesday for GMZ656-657-676.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
BNKF1 - Butternut Key, FL 6 mi99 min 86°F
BOBF1 - Bob Allen, FL 8 mi99 min 86°F
WRBF1 - Whipray Basin, FL 12 mi99 min12 88°F
BWSF1 - Blackwater Sound, FL 13 mi99 min 86°F
DKKF1 - Duck Key, FL 13 mi99 min 85°F
LMDF1 - Little Madeira, FL 13 mi99 min 86°F
PKYF1 - Peterson Key, FL 13 mi99 min 85°F
JBYF1 15 mi99 min 86°F
TBYF1 15 mi99 min 89°F
TCVF1 - Trout Cove, FL 15 mi99 min 87°F
LBSF1 - Little Blackwater, FL 16 mi99 min 86°F
LRKF1 - Little Rabbit Key, FL 16 mi99 min 86°F
THRF1 16 mi99 min 86°F
TRRF1 - Taylor River, FL 16 mi99 min 86°F
LSNF1 - Long Sound, FL 17 mi99 min 87°F
MNBF1 17 mi99 min 85°F
BKYF1 18 mi99 min 86°F
GBTF1 - Garfield Bight, FL 18 mi99 min 88°F
HCEF1 - Highway Creek, FL 18 mi99 min 87°F
JKYF1 - Johnson Key, FL 20 mi99 min 89°F
LONF1 - Long Key, FL 21 mi39 minE 17G20 84°F 29.8377°F
MDKF1 21 mi99 min 87°F
MUKF1 - Murray Key, FL 23 mi99 min 89°F
WWEF1 27 mi159 min 85°F
LRIF1 28 mi99 min 87°F
NRRF1 31 mi99 min 84°F
CWAF1 33 mi159 min 87°F
BBSF1 34 mi99 min 84°F
CANF1 - Cane Patch, FL 36 mi99 min 85°F
TPEF1 - Tarpon Bay East, FL 36 mi99 min 85°F
GBIF1 - Gunboat Island, FL 37 mi99 min 86°F
VCAF1 - 8723970 - Vaca Key, FL 37 mi51 minE 12G19 85°F 87°F
BSKF1 38 mi159 min 93°F
SREF1 39 mi99 min 86°F
SMKF1 - Sombrero Key, FL 40 mi39 min 29.82
BDVF1 - Broad River, FL 41 mi99 min 85°F
HREF1 41 mi99 min 85°F
BBNF1 43 mi99 min 87°F
WIWF1 - Willy Willy, FL 49 mi99 min 88°F


Wind History for Vaca Key, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KMTH33 sm45 minE 1610 smA Few Clouds88°F77°F70%29.86
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KMTH
   
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Wind History graph: MTH
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for Tavernier Creek, Hwy. 1 bridge, Hawk Channel, Florida
   
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Tavernier Creek
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Tue -- 01:01 AM EDT     0.27 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 03:36 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 06:32 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 06:44 AM EDT     1.16 feet High Tide
Tue -- 01:13 PM EDT     -0.01 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:18 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 07:36 PM EDT     1.29 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:14 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Tavernier Creek, Hwy. 1 bridge, Hawk Channel, Florida, Tide feet
12
am
0.3
1
am
0.3
2
am
0.3
3
am
0.5
4
am
0.7
5
am
1
6
am
1.1
7
am
1.2
8
am
1.1
9
am
0.9
10
am
0.6
11
am
0.3
12
pm
0.1
1
pm
-0
2
pm
0
3
pm
0.2
4
pm
0.5
5
pm
0.8
6
pm
1.1
7
pm
1.3
8
pm
1.3
9
pm
1.2
10
pm
0.9
11
pm
0.7


Tide / Current for Long Key, east of drawbridge, Florida Current
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Long Key
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:02 AM EDT     -0.89 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 03:37 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 04:12 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 06:33 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 06:51 AM EDT     0.65 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 09:37 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 12:53 PM EDT     -1.25 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 04:17 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 05:19 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 07:41 PM EDT     1.21 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 08:14 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 11:02 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Long Key, east of drawbridge, Florida Current, knots
12
am
-0.8
1
am
-0.9
2
am
-0.8
3
am
-0.5
4
am
-0.1
5
am
0.3
6
am
0.6
7
am
0.6
8
am
0.5
9
am
0.3
10
am
-0.2
11
am
-0.7
12
pm
-1.1
1
pm
-1.2
2
pm
-1.1
3
pm
-0.7
4
pm
-0.2
5
pm
0.4
6
pm
0.9
7
pm
1.2
8
pm
1.2
9
pm
1
10
pm
0.6
11
pm
0


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GEOS Local Image of southeast   
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Miami, FL,




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