Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for "Islamorada, Village of Islands ", FL
July 3, 2024 1:41 AM EDT (05:41 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:34 AM Sunset 8:18 PM Moonrise 3:10 AM Moonset 5:32 PM |
GMZ042 Hawk Channel From Ocean Reef To Craig Key Out To The Reef- Hawk Channel From Craig Key To West End Of Seven Mile Bridge Out To The Reef- Hawk Channel From West End Of Seven Mile Bridge To Halfmoon Shoal Out To The Reef- 1044 Pm Edt Tue Jul 2 2024
Overnight - East to southeast winds near 10 knots, increasing to 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet, building to around 2 feet. NEarshore waters a light chop, becoming a light to moderate chop. Isolated showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday - East winds 10 to 15 knots, increasing to near 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet, building to 2 to 3 feet. NEarshore waters a light to moderate chop, becoming a moderate chop. Isolated showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night - East winds 15 to 20 knots, decreasing to near 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. NEarshore waters choppy, becoming a moderate chop. Isolated showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday - East winds near 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. NEarshore waters a moderate chop. Isolated showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday night - East winds near 15 knots, decreasing to 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. NEarshore waters a moderate chop, becoming a light to moderate chop. Isolated showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday - East to southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. NEarshore waters a light to moderate chop. Isolated showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday night - East to southeast winds 10 to 15 knots, decreasing to near 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet, subsiding to 1 to 2 feet. NEarshore waters a light to moderate chop, becoming a light chop. Isolated showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday - East to southeast winds near 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. NEarshore waters a light chop. Isolated showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday night - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. NEarshore waters a light to moderate chop. Isolated showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday and Sunday night - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. NEarshore waters a light to moderate chop. Scattered showers and isolated Thunderstorms.
GMZ005 Synopsis For Keys Coastal Waters From Ocean Reef To Dry Tortugas 1044 Pm Edt Tue Jul 2 2024
Synopsis - High pressure over the western north atlantic will maintain gentle to moderate easterly breezes across the florida keys. Hurricane beryl will remain well south of the florida keys as it continues to march west northwest through the caribbean sea through Thursday. Breezes will briefly freshen Wednesday afternoon through Wednesday night, as beryl makes its closest approach to the keys. As beryl approaches the bay of campeche and the high shifts in the north atlantic, gentle breezes will veer to the southeast over the weekend.
the approximate shoreward edge of the gulf stream as of june 29 - .
54 nm south of dry tortugas light - .on loggerhead key. 32 nm south of cosgrove shoal light - .off the marquesas keys. 25 nm south of sand key light - .off key west. 12 nm south of looe key - .off big pine key. 7 nm south of sombrero key light - .off marathon. 7 nm southeast of alligator reef light - .off islamorada. 5 nm southeast of molasses reef light - .off key largo.
gulf stream information courtesy of the national weather service in key west.
the approximate shoreward edge of the gulf stream as of june 29 - .
54 nm south of dry tortugas light - .on loggerhead key. 32 nm south of cosgrove shoal light - .off the marquesas keys. 25 nm south of sand key light - .off key west. 12 nm south of looe key - .off big pine key. 7 nm south of sombrero key light - .off marathon. 7 nm southeast of alligator reef light - .off islamorada. 5 nm southeast of molasses reef light - .off key largo.
gulf stream information courtesy of the national weather service in key west.
7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near "Islamorada, Village of Islands ", FL
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Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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FXUS62 KMFL 030527 AFDMFL
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 127 AM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024
New AVIATION
UPDATE
Issued at 730 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024
Scattered showers and thunderstorms continue this evening mainly across the interior portions of South Florida. As the evening progresses, convection will gradually diminsh due to the loss of diurnal heating. While most of the land areas will remain dry overnight, additional shower and thunderstorm development cannot be ruled out over the local waters as well as the east coast during this time frame. Low temperatures will remain on the warm side as they will range from the mid 70s across the Lake Okeechobee region to the lower 80s across the east coast metro areas.
SHORT TERM
(Rest of today through Wednesday)
Issued at 1226 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024
Upper-level (H500) ridging will gradually expand further over the southeastern CONUS, allowing for an easterly to southeasterly mean steering flow to prevail across South Florida. Boundary layer (SFC-850 mb) winds from the southeast will remain consistent, leading to the greatest convective coverage over the interior and southwestern portions of the CWFA. However, convection may drift closer to the east coast, particularly where a westward augmentation in the steering flow materializes.
The synoptic pattern is expected to remain intact through Thursday with little deviation over the region. A few subtle low- level inverted troughs could bring a surge of moisture, leading to intermittent rounds of showers and thunderstorms developing at atypical hours, not following the typical diurnal cycle. These could cause nuisance rainfall and potentially localized flooding.
Afternoon high temperatures will generally range from the upper 80s along the immediate east coast to the low 90s, with convective debris limiting higher temperatures. Overnight lows will range from the low 70s to around 80 degrees.
LONG TERM
(Wednesday night through next Monday)
Issued at 250 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024
The broad mid-level ridge will persist as the dominant synoptic feature over South Florida for most of the week. At the surface, South Florida will lie on the periphery of a high-pressure area centered in the western Atlantic. This will maintain an east to southeasterly wind flow through the mid and latter portions of the week. Enough moisture will continue to advect into the region, with model soundings indicating moderately favorable precipitable water (PWAT) values. Consequently, showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop each afternoon and evening as sea breezes move inland and interact. The prevailing east to southeasterly wind flow will cause most convective activity to initiate near the east coast metro areas in the early afternoon, gradually shifting towards the interior and west coast later in the afternoon and into the early evening. The primary hazard will be the potential for localized flooding due to heavy downpours, as storm motion will remain slow.
Temperatures throughout the week will remain warm, with high temperatures reaching the lower 90s across most areas. Heat index values may range between 105 and 110 during the late morning and afternoon hours. However, these values are unlikely to persist long enough to meet advisory criteria due to the higher chances of showers and thunderstorms. Continuous monitoring will be necessary as the week progresses.
Some tropical moisture will advect around the southern periphery of the Bermuda High and approach South Florida this weekend, slightly increasing rain chances across the area. The typical diurnal summertime storm pattern will persist, with most convection concentrating along the sea breezes in the afternoon and evening, while overnight storms will predominantly occur over the local waters. The increased cloud cover and higher rain chances will moderate temperatures, keeping them closer to normal and mitigating any extreme heat, providing a sense of relief.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 125 AM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024
Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms will be possible near the east coast terminals through the early afternoon, with the threat of storms then shifting towards KAPF later this afternoon.
Winds will generally be easterly around 10 to 15kts during the day, except at KAPF where a shift to the W-NW is anticipated this afternoon (outside of any convective outflows).
MARINE
Issued at 1226 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024
Light to moderate ESE flow and low seas will prevail through much of the week. Scattered storms over the Gulf Stream are expected each morning, eventually developing over the Gulf waters in the
BEACHES
Issued at 1226 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024
The risk of rip currents will increase heading into Wed/Thu time
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 91 80 91 80 / 30 20 30 10 West Kendall 91 79 92 77 / 30 20 30 10 Opa-Locka 92 80 92 80 / 30 20 30 10 Homestead 90 80 90 80 / 30 30 30 10 Fort Lauderdale 89 80 89 80 / 30 20 30 10 N Ft Lauderdale 90 81 90 80 / 30 20 30 10 Pembroke Pines 93 80 93 80 / 30 20 30 10 West Palm Beach 91 80 91 79 / 30 20 30 10 Boca Raton 91 80 91 80 / 30 20 30 10 Naples 93 78 94 79 / 60 50 60 20
MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...None.
GM...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 127 AM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024
New AVIATION
UPDATE
Issued at 730 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024
Scattered showers and thunderstorms continue this evening mainly across the interior portions of South Florida. As the evening progresses, convection will gradually diminsh due to the loss of diurnal heating. While most of the land areas will remain dry overnight, additional shower and thunderstorm development cannot be ruled out over the local waters as well as the east coast during this time frame. Low temperatures will remain on the warm side as they will range from the mid 70s across the Lake Okeechobee region to the lower 80s across the east coast metro areas.
SHORT TERM
(Rest of today through Wednesday)
Issued at 1226 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024
Upper-level (H500) ridging will gradually expand further over the southeastern CONUS, allowing for an easterly to southeasterly mean steering flow to prevail across South Florida. Boundary layer (SFC-850 mb) winds from the southeast will remain consistent, leading to the greatest convective coverage over the interior and southwestern portions of the CWFA. However, convection may drift closer to the east coast, particularly where a westward augmentation in the steering flow materializes.
The synoptic pattern is expected to remain intact through Thursday with little deviation over the region. A few subtle low- level inverted troughs could bring a surge of moisture, leading to intermittent rounds of showers and thunderstorms developing at atypical hours, not following the typical diurnal cycle. These could cause nuisance rainfall and potentially localized flooding.
Afternoon high temperatures will generally range from the upper 80s along the immediate east coast to the low 90s, with convective debris limiting higher temperatures. Overnight lows will range from the low 70s to around 80 degrees.
LONG TERM
(Wednesday night through next Monday)
Issued at 250 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024
The broad mid-level ridge will persist as the dominant synoptic feature over South Florida for most of the week. At the surface, South Florida will lie on the periphery of a high-pressure area centered in the western Atlantic. This will maintain an east to southeasterly wind flow through the mid and latter portions of the week. Enough moisture will continue to advect into the region, with model soundings indicating moderately favorable precipitable water (PWAT) values. Consequently, showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop each afternoon and evening as sea breezes move inland and interact. The prevailing east to southeasterly wind flow will cause most convective activity to initiate near the east coast metro areas in the early afternoon, gradually shifting towards the interior and west coast later in the afternoon and into the early evening. The primary hazard will be the potential for localized flooding due to heavy downpours, as storm motion will remain slow.
Temperatures throughout the week will remain warm, with high temperatures reaching the lower 90s across most areas. Heat index values may range between 105 and 110 during the late morning and afternoon hours. However, these values are unlikely to persist long enough to meet advisory criteria due to the higher chances of showers and thunderstorms. Continuous monitoring will be necessary as the week progresses.
Some tropical moisture will advect around the southern periphery of the Bermuda High and approach South Florida this weekend, slightly increasing rain chances across the area. The typical diurnal summertime storm pattern will persist, with most convection concentrating along the sea breezes in the afternoon and evening, while overnight storms will predominantly occur over the local waters. The increased cloud cover and higher rain chances will moderate temperatures, keeping them closer to normal and mitigating any extreme heat, providing a sense of relief.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 125 AM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024
Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms will be possible near the east coast terminals through the early afternoon, with the threat of storms then shifting towards KAPF later this afternoon.
Winds will generally be easterly around 10 to 15kts during the day, except at KAPF where a shift to the W-NW is anticipated this afternoon (outside of any convective outflows).
MARINE
Issued at 1226 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024
Light to moderate ESE flow and low seas will prevail through much of the week. Scattered storms over the Gulf Stream are expected each morning, eventually developing over the Gulf waters in the
BEACHES
Issued at 1226 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024
The risk of rip currents will increase heading into Wed/Thu time
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 91 80 91 80 / 30 20 30 10 West Kendall 91 79 92 77 / 30 20 30 10 Opa-Locka 92 80 92 80 / 30 20 30 10 Homestead 90 80 90 80 / 30 30 30 10 Fort Lauderdale 89 80 89 80 / 30 20 30 10 N Ft Lauderdale 90 81 90 80 / 30 20 30 10 Pembroke Pines 93 80 93 80 / 30 20 30 10 West Palm Beach 91 80 91 79 / 30 20 30 10 Boca Raton 91 80 91 80 / 30 20 30 10 Naples 93 78 94 79 / 60 50 60 20
MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...None.
GM...None.
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Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KMTH
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Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KMTH
Wind History graph: MTH
(wind in knots)Tide / Current for Tavernier Creek, Hwy. 1 bridge, Hawk Channel, Florida
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Tavernier Creek
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Tue -- 12:39 AM EDT 0.14 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 03:22 AM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 06:28 AM EDT 1.30 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:36 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 12:59 PM EDT -0.18 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:26 PM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 07:23 PM EDT 1.42 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:15 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:39 AM EDT 0.14 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 03:22 AM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 06:28 AM EDT 1.30 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:36 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 12:59 PM EDT -0.18 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:26 PM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 07:23 PM EDT 1.42 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:15 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Tavernier Creek, Hwy. 1 bridge, Hawk Channel, Florida, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 0.2 |
| 1 am |
| 0.1 |
| 2 am |
| 0.3 |
| 3 am |
| 0.5 |
| 4 am |
| 0.8 |
| 5 am |
| 1.1 |
| 6 am |
| 1.3 |
| 7 am |
| 1.3 |
| 8 am |
| 1.1 |
| 9 am |
| 0.8 |
| 10 am |
| 0.5 |
| 11 am |
| 0.1 |
| 12 pm |
| -0.1 |
| 1 pm |
| -0.2 |
| 2 pm |
| -0.1 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.2 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 6 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 7 pm |
| 1.4 |
| 8 pm |
| 1.4 |
| 9 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 11 pm |
| 0.6 |
Long Key
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:53 AM EDT -0.93 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 03:23 AM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 03:52 AM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 06:37 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 06:44 AM EDT 0.73 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 09:15 AM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 12:44 PM EDT -1.48 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 04:10 PM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 05:27 PM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 07:46 PM EDT 1.44 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 08:16 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 11:00 PM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:53 AM EDT -0.93 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 03:23 AM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 03:52 AM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 06:37 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 06:44 AM EDT 0.73 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 09:15 AM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 12:44 PM EDT -1.48 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 04:10 PM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 05:27 PM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 07:46 PM EDT 1.44 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 08:16 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 11:00 PM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Long Key, east of drawbridge, Florida Current, knots
| 12 am |
| -0.8 |
| 1 am |
| -0.9 |
| 2 am |
| -0.8 |
| 3 am |
| -0.4 |
| 4 am |
| 0.1 |
| 5 am |
| 0.5 |
| 6 am |
| 0.7 |
| 7 am |
| 0.7 |
| 8 am |
| 0.6 |
| 9 am |
| 0.1 |
| 10 am |
| -0.5 |
| 11 am |
| -1 |
| 12 pm |
| -1.4 |
| 1 pm |
| -1.5 |
| 2 pm |
| -1.3 |
| 3 pm |
| -0.8 |
| 4 pm |
| -0.1 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 6 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 7 pm |
| 1.4 |
| 8 pm |
| 1.4 |
| 9 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 11 pm |
| 0 |
Miami, FL,
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