Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Tavernier, FL
February 19, 2025 2:31 AM EST (07:31 UTC) Change Location
![]() | Sunrise 6:51 AM Sunset 6:19 PM Moonrise 12:00 AM Moonset 10:42 AM |
GMZ042 Hawk Channel From Ocean Reef To Craig Key Out To The Reef- Hawk Channel From Craig Key To West End Of Seven Mile Bridge Out To The Reef- Hawk Channel From West End Of Seven Mile Bridge To Halfmoon Shoal Out To The Reef- 1024 Pm Est Tue Feb 18 2025
Overnight - Northeast to east winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east to southeast after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 feet. NEarshore waters smooth to a light chop.
Wednesday - Southeast winds near 10 knots, becoming south 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. NEarshore waters a light chop, becoming smooth to a light chop.
Wednesday night - Variable winds near 5 knots, becoming west 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas around 1 foot. NEarshore waters smooth, becoming smooth to a light chop. Isolated showers.
Thursday - West to northwest winds near 10 knots, becoming northwest to north 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Seas around 1 foot. West of cosgrove shoal light, seas around 1 foot, building to 2 to 3 feet. NEarshore waters a light chop, becoming choppy. Isolated showers.
Thursday night - North to northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet, except 3 to 5 feet, occasionally to 6 feet west of cosgrove shoal light. NEarshore waters choppy. Isolated showers.
Friday - Northeast winds near 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet, except 4 to 5 feet, occasionally to 6 feet west of cosgrove shoal light. NEarshore waters rough. Isolated showers.
Friday night - Northeast to east winds near 20 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet, except 4 to 5 feet, occasionally to 6 feet west of cosgrove shoal light. NEarshore waters rough. Isolated showers.
Saturday - East winds near 20 knots, decreasing to 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet, except 4 to 5 feet, occasionally to 6 feet west of cosgrove shoal light. NEarshore waters rough, becoming choppy. Isolated showers.
Saturday night - East winds decreasing to 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. NEarshore waters becoming a light to moderate chop. Isolated showers.
Sunday - East winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming northeast to east near 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. NEarshore waters a light to moderate chop, becoming a light chop. Scattered showers.
Sunday night - North to northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. NEarshore waters smooth to a light chop. Scattered showers.
GMZ005 Synopsis For Keys Coastal Waters From Ocean Reef To Dry Tortugas 1024 Pm Est Tue Feb 18 2025
Synopsis - Light and variable breezes will veer to the east to southeast late tonight. Light to gentle breezes will veer around the compass Wednesday through Thursday morning. A cold front is expected to move through the keys coastal waters on Thursday, followed by moderate to fresh breezes through Friday night. In the wake of the front, strong surface high pressure will traverse across the eastern united states Saturday and Saturday night, maintaining moderate to fresh easterly breezes.
the approximate shoreward edge of the gulf stream as of february 12 - .
11 nm south of dry tortugas light - .on loggerhead key. 6 nm south of cosgrove shoal light - .off the marquesas keys. 4 nm south of sand key light - .off key west. 9 nm south of looe key - .off big pine key. 9 nm south of sombrero key light - .off marathon. 11 nm southeast of alligator reef light - .off islamorada. 10 nm southeast of molasses reef light - .off key largo. 7 nm east of carysfort reef light - .off ocean reef.
gulf stream information courtesy of the national weather service in key west based on products from the real time ocean forecast system and nasa sport.
the approximate shoreward edge of the gulf stream as of february 12 - .
11 nm south of dry tortugas light - .on loggerhead key. 6 nm south of cosgrove shoal light - .off the marquesas keys. 4 nm south of sand key light - .off key west. 9 nm south of looe key - .off big pine key. 9 nm south of sombrero key light - .off marathon. 11 nm southeast of alligator reef light - .off islamorada. 10 nm southeast of molasses reef light - .off key largo. 7 nm east of carysfort reef light - .off ocean reef.
gulf stream information courtesy of the national weather service in key west based on products from the real time ocean forecast system and nasa sport.

NEW! Add second zone forecast
Molasses Reef Click for Map Tue -- 05:52 AM EST 0.24 feet Low Tide Tue -- 06:53 AM EST Sunrise Tue -- 10:08 AM EST Moonset Tue -- 11:54 AM EST 1.82 feet High Tide Tue -- 06:12 PM EST -0.00 feet Low Tide Tue -- 06:17 PM EST Sunset Tue -- 11:44 PM EST Moonrise Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION |   |
Molasses Reef, Florida, Tide feet
12 am |
1.9 |
1 am |
1.7 |
2 am |
1.4 |
3 am |
1 |
4 am |
0.6 |
5 am |
0.3 |
6 am |
0.2 |
7 am |
0.4 |
8 am |
0.7 |
9 am |
1.1 |
10 am |
1.5 |
11 am |
1.7 |
12 pm |
1.8 |
1 pm |
1.7 |
2 pm |
1.4 |
3 pm |
0.9 |
4 pm |
0.5 |
5 pm |
0.2 |
6 pm |
0 |
7 pm |
0.1 |
8 pm |
0.3 |
9 pm |
0.7 |
10 pm |
1.2 |
11 pm |
1.5 |
Long Key Click for Map Tue -- 03:19 AM EST -0.00 knots Slack Tue -- 06:04 AM EST -0.93 knots Max Ebb Tue -- 06:54 AM EST Sunrise Tue -- 09:14 AM EST 0.00 knots Slack Tue -- 10:09 AM EST Moonset Tue -- 11:51 AM EST 0.76 knots Max Flood Tue -- 02:54 PM EST -0.00 knots Slack Tue -- 06:16 PM EST -1.11 knots Max Ebb Tue -- 06:19 PM EST Sunset Tue -- 09:40 PM EST 0.00 knots Slack Tue -- 11:45 PM EST Moonrise Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION |   |
Long Key, east of drawbridge, Florida Current, knots
12 am |
1 |
1 am |
0.8 |
2 am |
0.5 |
3 am |
0.1 |
4 am |
-0.3 |
5 am |
-0.8 |
6 am |
-0.9 |
7 am |
-0.8 |
8 am |
-0.5 |
9 am |
-0.1 |
10 am |
0.3 |
11 am |
0.7 |
12 pm |
0.8 |
1 pm |
0.6 |
2 pm |
0.3 |
3 pm |
-0 |
4 pm |
-0.5 |
5 pm |
-0.9 |
6 pm |
-1.1 |
7 pm |
-1 |
8 pm |
-0.7 |
9 pm |
-0.3 |
10 pm |
0.2 |
11 pm |
0.6 |
Area Discussion for Miami-South Florida, FL
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FXUS62 KMFL 190646 AFDMFL
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 146 AM EST Wed Feb 19 2025
New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE, BEACHES
SHORT TERM
(Today through Thursday)
Issued at 140 AM EST Wed Feb 19 2025
What's left of a frontal boundary that provided all the shower activity yesterday is slowly moving off to the east before it completely diffuses. With light winds and plenty of low level moisture in place, patchy to areas of fog is expected early this morning over interior South FL but may impact portions of the metro as well. Will be monitoring closely to see if any headlines will be needed.
Attention today turns to a system that will be moving across the NE Gulf of America. Winds ahead of this system will veer to the south and eventually southwest resulting in near record warmth. It will feel quite humid too for this time of year with dewpoints reaching the upper 60s to lower 70s. It will be dry for much of the day with afternoon high temps in the middle 80s, with some upper 80s possible over interior South FL.
As the system crosses north-central FL, it will drag a cold front across the peninsula. A broken line of weakening showers will approach the area from the NW during the evening hours, with continued weakening overnight. The frontal boundary will clear South FL Thursday morning bringing cooler and drier conditions for the second half of Thursday. Afternoon highs on Thursday will range from the low to mid 70s along and north of Alligator Alley, to around 80 over the far southern peninsula.
LONG TERM
(Thursday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 140 AM EST Wed Feb 19 2025
Pleasant weather returns to South FL for Friday and Saturday as high pressure builds in from the north. Below normal temps are expected for both days. Unsettled weather returns late in the weekend into early next week as a system forming in the western Gulf moves closer to the area, however there are plenty of disagreements in the global models regarding timing and intensity of rainfall. Won't stray too far from the NBM this far out, which shows a chance of showers on Sunday and Monday and drier conditions returning for Tuesday of next week. Temperatures Sunday into early next week look to be normal to slightly below normal for both high and low temps, with highs generally in the low to middle 70s, and lows in the 50s/60s.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1213 AM EST Wed Feb 19 2025
Mainly VFR conditions will prevail throughout the forecast period.
Scattered shower activity will continue to diminish the rest of the night with most of the activity offshore at this point. As winds become light and variable the remainder of tonight, areas of fog will be possible overnight across the interior and west coast. The highest chances for visibility reductions will be at KAPF overnight and early morning.
MARINE
Issued at 140 AM EST Wed Feb 19 2025
Gentle to moderate south to southwest breeze expected today.
Frontal boundary crosses the area waters late tonight into early Thursday which may result in hazardous northerly winds and elevated seas through at least mid day Friday before benign marine conditions return for the upcoming weekend.
BEACHES
Issued at 140 AM EST Wed Feb 19 2025
An elevated rip current risk will remain for the Atlantic beaches on Wednesday. The risk for the Gulf coast beaches increases on Thursday in the wake of a frontal passage. Conditions for the Gulf coast beaches improves on Friday, however an elevated risk will remain for the Atlantic beaches through the upcoming weekend.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 84 69 80 59 / 0 0 10 10 West Kendall 86 66 81 58 / 0 0 10 10 Opa-Locka 85 67 80 59 / 0 0 10 10 Homestead 84 68 81 59 / 0 0 10 10 Fort Lauderdale 83 68 78 59 / 10 10 10 10 N Ft Lauderdale 84 67 78 59 / 10 10 10 0 Pembroke Pines 87 69 82 59 / 0 0 10 10 West Palm Beach 85 65 76 57 / 10 10 10 0 Boca Raton 84 67 77 58 / 10 10 10 0 Naples 81 66 75 51 / 10 20 10 0
MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...None.
GM...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 146 AM EST Wed Feb 19 2025
New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE, BEACHES
SHORT TERM
(Today through Thursday)
Issued at 140 AM EST Wed Feb 19 2025
What's left of a frontal boundary that provided all the shower activity yesterday is slowly moving off to the east before it completely diffuses. With light winds and plenty of low level moisture in place, patchy to areas of fog is expected early this morning over interior South FL but may impact portions of the metro as well. Will be monitoring closely to see if any headlines will be needed.
Attention today turns to a system that will be moving across the NE Gulf of America. Winds ahead of this system will veer to the south and eventually southwest resulting in near record warmth. It will feel quite humid too for this time of year with dewpoints reaching the upper 60s to lower 70s. It will be dry for much of the day with afternoon high temps in the middle 80s, with some upper 80s possible over interior South FL.
As the system crosses north-central FL, it will drag a cold front across the peninsula. A broken line of weakening showers will approach the area from the NW during the evening hours, with continued weakening overnight. The frontal boundary will clear South FL Thursday morning bringing cooler and drier conditions for the second half of Thursday. Afternoon highs on Thursday will range from the low to mid 70s along and north of Alligator Alley, to around 80 over the far southern peninsula.
LONG TERM
(Thursday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 140 AM EST Wed Feb 19 2025
Pleasant weather returns to South FL for Friday and Saturday as high pressure builds in from the north. Below normal temps are expected for both days. Unsettled weather returns late in the weekend into early next week as a system forming in the western Gulf moves closer to the area, however there are plenty of disagreements in the global models regarding timing and intensity of rainfall. Won't stray too far from the NBM this far out, which shows a chance of showers on Sunday and Monday and drier conditions returning for Tuesday of next week. Temperatures Sunday into early next week look to be normal to slightly below normal for both high and low temps, with highs generally in the low to middle 70s, and lows in the 50s/60s.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1213 AM EST Wed Feb 19 2025
Mainly VFR conditions will prevail throughout the forecast period.
Scattered shower activity will continue to diminish the rest of the night with most of the activity offshore at this point. As winds become light and variable the remainder of tonight, areas of fog will be possible overnight across the interior and west coast. The highest chances for visibility reductions will be at KAPF overnight and early morning.
MARINE
Issued at 140 AM EST Wed Feb 19 2025
Gentle to moderate south to southwest breeze expected today.
Frontal boundary crosses the area waters late tonight into early Thursday which may result in hazardous northerly winds and elevated seas through at least mid day Friday before benign marine conditions return for the upcoming weekend.
BEACHES
Issued at 140 AM EST Wed Feb 19 2025
An elevated rip current risk will remain for the Atlantic beaches on Wednesday. The risk for the Gulf coast beaches increases on Thursday in the wake of a frontal passage. Conditions for the Gulf coast beaches improves on Friday, however an elevated risk will remain for the Atlantic beaches through the upcoming weekend.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 84 69 80 59 / 0 0 10 10 West Kendall 86 66 81 58 / 0 0 10 10 Opa-Locka 85 67 80 59 / 0 0 10 10 Homestead 84 68 81 59 / 0 0 10 10 Fort Lauderdale 83 68 78 59 / 10 10 10 10 N Ft Lauderdale 84 67 78 59 / 10 10 10 0 Pembroke Pines 87 69 82 59 / 0 0 10 10 West Palm Beach 85 65 76 57 / 10 10 10 0 Boca Raton 84 67 77 58 / 10 10 10 0 Naples 81 66 75 51 / 10 20 10 0
MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...None.
GM...None.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air | Water | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
LONF1 - Long Key, FL | 28 mi | 32 min | ESE 7 | 76°F | 29.98 | 70°F | ||
BBSF1 | 32 mi | 182 min | 78°F | |||||
BBNF1 | 41 mi | 182 min | 79°F | |||||
VCAF1 - 8723970 - Vaca Key, FL | 44 mi | 44 min | 80°F |
Wind History for Vaca Key, FL
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Airport Reports
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KHST
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KHST
Wind History Graph: HST
(wind in knots)GEOS Local Image of Southeast
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Miami, FL,

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