Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for North Key Largo, FL

LONG TERM
(Saturday night through Thursday)
Issued at 303 AM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024

From Sunday into early next week, mid-level ridging over the Carribean will send increased moisture over South FL, while broad troughing persists to the north. The moisture pinned over the area will support scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms each day through the middle of the week. PWAT values will be well above normal (around 2-2.25"), so periods of heavy rain may be possible with rain chances maximized during the afternoon hours each day.

A strong upper level low positioned over the Northeast during the beginning to middle of the week may develop a strong enough cold front to sweep across South Florida by the middle to end of the week, which may bring a cooler and drier stretch of weather.
Uncertainty is high with this scenario as it sits near the end of the long term period, so we will have to see if guidance continues to show the boundary sweeping through the area, or if this one will once again stall out over Lake Okeechobee like most tend to do this time of year. If this boundary does pass through the area, we could be seeing dewpoints drop into the upper 50s to low 60s which would be a refreshing change.

AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 130 AM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024

VFR conditions will prevail throughout the forecast period.
Northwest winds overnight will gradually become northeast on Friday morning across all terminals. These winds will then increase to around 10 to 15 kts in the afternoon with gusts between 20 and 25 kts during this time frame. Scattered showers will be possible across the east coast terminals throughout the day and they could spread over to KAPF in the afternoon.

MARINE
Issued at 303 AM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024

Hazardous marine conditions will continue across the Atlantic waters today as the remnants of Milton pushes further off to the east. While winds and seas will continue to subside through the morning hours across the Gulf waters, seas will continue to remain dangerously high across the Atlantic waters as swell on the back side of Milton opposes the Gulf Stream. Expect these seas to peak today and mostly subside by the end of the weekend.

BEACHES
Issued at 303 AM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024

Hazardous beach conditions will continue across the Atlantic Coast beaches as a high risk of rip currents remains in place. A strong northeasterly swell from the remnants of Milton will pass through the Atlantic waters today and tonight leading to very high surf heights across Palm beach County where a High Surf Advisory is in effect. This swell will bring breaking waves between 8 to 13 feet in the surf zone in the Palm Beach waters. Surf conditions should gradually subside over the upcoming weekend.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 87 76 85 76 / 20 20 30 30 West Kendall 87 74 87 74 / 20 20 30 30 Opa-Locka 87 75 86 75 / 20 20 30 30 Homestead 86 76 86 75 / 20 20 30 30 Fort Lauderdale 86 76 84 75 / 30 20 30 30 N Ft Lauderdale 86 76 85 75 / 30 20 30 30 Pembroke Pines 87 76 87 76 / 30 20 30 30 West Palm Beach 85 76 85 75 / 30 20 20 30 Boca Raton 86 76 86 75 / 30 20 20 30 Naples 86 72 87 73 / 10 10 20 10

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Saturday evening for FLZ168-172- 173.

High Surf Advisory until 8 AM EDT Saturday for FLZ168.

AM...Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM EDT Saturday for AMZ650-651-670- 671.

GM...Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM EDT this morning for GMZ656-657- 676.