Monday, October14, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
South Miami, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:18AMSunset 6:56PM Monday October 14, 2019 10:05 PM EDT (02:05 UTC) Moonrise 6:45PMMoonset 6:51AM Illumination 98% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ630 Biscayne Bay- 830 Pm Edt Mon Oct 14 2019
Rest of tonight..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters a light chop.
Tuesday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters a light chop.
Tuesday night..Southeast winds 10 knots. Bay waters a light chop.
Wednesday..Southwest winds 10 knots. Bay waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
Wednesday night..West winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters a light chop.
Thursday..West southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers in the morning, then chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Thursday night..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters a light chop. Chance of light showers in the evening, then slight chance of light showers after midnight.
Friday..North northwest winds 5 knots becoming east southeast around 5 knots in the afternoon. Bay waters smooth. Slight chance of light showers in the morning, then chance of light showers in the afternoon.
Friday night..East southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters a light chop. Chance of light showers.
Saturday..East southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters a light chop. Chance of light showers. Slight chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 830 Pm Edt Mon Oct 14 2019
Synopsis.. Ene winds will continue through Tuesday before becoming more southerly by middle of the week before going light and variable late this week, as high pressure weakens over the florida peninsula allowing for a weak frontal boundary to shift southward down the florida peninsula from the southeastern united states. A northeast swell will continue to diminish over the atlantic waters through Tuesday.
Gulf stream hazards.. A northeasterly swell of 2 to 5 feet will slowly diminish through Tuesday and be fully dissipated by middle of this week. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of oct 10, 2019 at 1200 utc... 4 nautical miles east southeast of fowey rocks. 15 nautical miles east northeast of port everglades. 11 nautical miles east southeast of lake worth. 9 nautical miles east northeast of jupiter inlet. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near South Miami, FL
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location: 25.73, -80.24     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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Fxus62 kmfl 142359 aaa
afdmfl
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service miami fl
759 pm edt Mon oct 14 2019

Update
A few showers and may be a thunderstorm will continue to move
westward from the western areas of south florida in the gulf
waters through the evening hours before dissipating overnight.

Therefore, pops will remain in the low end chance 20 to 30 percent
for the western areas of south florida including the gulf waters
through the evening hours before going dry. Rest of south florida
will remain dry tonight, as drier air continues to work into the
region from the atlantic waters. The high risk of rip currents
will also be allowed to expired along the east coast beaches this
evening.

Rest of the forecast looks good and other changes are planned at
this time.

Aviation(00z tafs)
Prevailing dryVFR forecast for the eastern terminals, with low
shra tsra chances for the interior gulf coast (including apf)
during the afternoons evenings. Easterly winds prevail except
along the gulf coast during the afternoon where inland flow should
turn the winds towards the wsw.

Prev discussion (issued 355 pm edt Mon oct 14 2019)

Coastal flood advisory through Tuesday morning east coast
beaches...

Wetter pattern expected late this week into next weekend...

short term...

high pressure will remain over the florida peninsula tonight
into Tuesday, as a stationary front remains over the southeastern
united states. This will allow for the drier air over the western
atlantic waters to work into south florida tonight into Tuesday on
the light easterly wind flow. The pwat values will also fall
from around 1.6 inches this afternoon to 1.2 to 1.4 inches on
Tuesday which is around the 25 percentile range for this time of
year. Therefore, the weather should remain dry over south florida
through Tuesday, except for some showers and a few thunderstorms
this afternoon into early evening hours over the west coast metro
areas where the sea breezes collide.

A weak low will develop along the frontal boundary by the middle
of this week before moving into the western atlantic waters late
this week. This will push the frontal boundary southward down the
florida peninsula and into south florida. Therefore, the steering
flow will become south southwest for the middle to end of this
week over south florida allowing for moisture to work into the
region from the south. Therefore, pops will be on an increase
for the middle of this week and be in the scattered to numerous
range late this week over south florida with the best coverage
over the east coast metro areas.

Temperatures will also be able to get to around 90 degrees over
the interior and east coast metro areas for the middle to end of
the week due to the south southwest steering flow. These highs
will be near the record highs for this time of year over the east
coast metro areas.

Long term...

the long range models are showing a possible low developing in the
southwestern gulf of mexico late this week moving to the north
northeast towards the central gulf coast states. This low should
pull the frontal boundary back northward this weekend allowing for
the steering flow to become more southerly over south florida.

This will allow for the deeper moisture to remain over south
florida this weekend leading to the scattered showers and
thunderstorms each day with the best coverage over the lake
okeechobee region.

Marine...

easterly winds less than 10 knots will become south southwest by
midweek before going light and variable late this week. At the
same time, the northeast swells of 3 to 5 feet this afternoon will
continue to subside tonight into Tuesday and should be gone by
middle of this week. This will allow for the atlantic seas to
subside from 2 to 5 feet tonight to less than 2 feet by middle to
end of the week. The gulf seas will also remain at 2 feet or less
for the week.

Aviation...

generallyVFR conditions are expected through the period with a
few showers possible today. A thunderstorm or two cannot be ruled
out, primarily over southwest florida this afternoon.

Beach forecast...

northeast swells in the atlantic waters are still leading to
above normal high tides of around 1 foot today. The above normal
high tides will continue tonight before slowly decreasing on
Tuesday and should be gone by mid week. Therefore, the coastal
flood advisory will continue for the east coast beaches of south
florida through Tuesday morning.

The beach patrols along the east coast beaches of south florida
reported a moderate rip current risk today. The threat of rip
currents will slowly decrease through the middle of the week, as
the northeast swells decreases. Therefore, the high risk of rip
currents will be allowed to expired this evening for the east
coast beaches of south florida.

Preliminary point temps pops...

west palm beach 73 87 72 90 0 10 0 20
fort lauderdale 75 85 73 90 0 10 0 20
miami 74 87 73 91 0 0 0 20
naples 73 88 74 86 30 0 0 20

Preliminary point temps pops
West palm beach 73 87 72 90 0 10 0 20
fort lauderdale 75 85 73 90 0 10 0 20
miami 74 87 73 91 0 0 0 20
naples 73 88 74 86 30 0 0 20

Mfl watches warnings advisories
Fl... Coastal flood advisory until noon edt Tuesday for
flz168-172-173.

Am... None.

Gm... None.

Update... Bnb
aviation... Spm
tonight Tuesday and marine beaches... Bnb
Tuesday night through early next week... Bnb


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
VAKF1 - 8723214 - Virginia Key, FL 4 mi54 min NE 11 G 14 82°F 84°F1016.9 hPa
FWYF1 - Fowey Rocks, FL 12 mi66 min E 14 G 15 81°F 82°F1017 hPa (+0.4)
PEGF1 25 mi54 min 81°F 1017.5 hPa
MDKF1 32 mi126 min 82°F
HCEF1 - Highway Creek, FL 35 mi126 min 85°F
LSNF1 - Long Sound, FL 36 mi126 min 84°F
LBSF1 - Little Blackwater, FL 37 mi186 min 83°F
THRF1 37 mi186 min 84°F
JBYF1 38 mi126 min 85°F
TCVF1 - Trout Cove, FL 39 mi186 min 85°F
BWSF1 - Blackwater Sound, FL 40 mi186 min 84°F
DKKF1 - Duck Key, FL 40 mi186 min 83°F
TRRF1 - Taylor River, FL 42 mi126 min 90°F
BDVF1 - Broad River, FL 43 mi126 min 82°F
CANF1 - Cane Patch, FL 43 mi126 min 82°F
TPEF1 - Tarpon Bay East, FL 44 mi186 min 83°F
LMDF1 - Little Madeira, FL 44 mi126 min 85°F
WIWF1 - Willy Willy, FL 44 mi126 min 83°F
NRRF1 45 mi126 min 84°F
LRIF1 46 mi126 min 84°F
TBYF1 47 mi126 min 85°F
BNKF1 - Butternut Key, FL 47 mi126 min 84°F
HREF1 48 mi126 min 82°F
GBIF1 - Gunboat Island, FL 48 mi126 min 82°F
GBTF1 - Garfield Bight, FL 49 mi126 min 86°F

Wind History for Virginia Key, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Miami, Miami International Airport, FL7 mi73 minENE 910.00 miA Few Clouds81°F68°F65%1017 hPa
Miami, Kendall-Tamiami Executive Airport, FL11 mi73 minE 610.00 miFair78°F70°F76%1016.8 hPa
Miami, Opa Locka Airport, FL13 mi73 minE 710.00 miFair79°F69°F72%1017.2 hPa
Homestead Air Reserve Base, FL19 mi70 minENE 610.00 miFair80°F70°F73%1016.9 hPa
Hollywood, North Perry Airport, FL19 mi73 minENE 610.00 miFair80°F68°F67%1017.5 hPa
Fort Lauderdale/Hollywood International Airport, FL24 mi73 minE 1110.00 miA Few Clouds80°F69°F69%1016.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMIA

Wind History from MIA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE8E7E4E5E7E5E4CalmN4NE34E10E9E8E7SE10E10E12E12E12E10E10E9E11
1 day agoE14
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E8E11E8E10E7E6E6E7E10SE12SE11E8E13E12SE10E10E10E11E10E12E12E10
2 days agoNE9NE8NE8NE10E15
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Tide / Current Tables for Dinner Key Marina, Florida
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Dinner Key Marina
Click for Map
Mon -- 04:54 AM EDT     0.40 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:19 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:51 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 10:34 AM EDT     2.57 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:16 PM EDT     0.56 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:54 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 07:44 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 10:41 PM EDT     2.47 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.11.71.20.80.50.40.61.11.62.22.52.62.421.51.10.70.60.611.522.42.5

Tide / Current Tables for Miami Harbor Entrance, Florida Current
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Miami Harbor Entrance
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:03 AM EDT     -1.44 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 04:37 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 07:18 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:31 AM EDT     2.04 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 07:50 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 10:53 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 02:21 PM EDT     -1.41 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 05:03 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 06:54 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 07:31 PM EDT     1.84 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 07:44 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 11:01 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-1.1-1.4-1.4-1.3-0.70.51.6221.81-0.1-0.9-1.3-1.4-1.4-1-0.11.11.81.81.61.10

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (22,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.