Tuesday, July14, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Fisher Island, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:37AMSunset 8:15PM Tuesday July 14, 2020 3:12 AM EDT (07:12 UTC) Moonrise 12:53AMMoonset 1:57PM Illumination 36% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 24 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ651 Coastal Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl From 20 To 60 Nm Excluding The Territorial Waters Of Bahamas- 900 Pm Edt Mon Jul 13 2020
Rest of tonight..West southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Period 0 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers through the night.
Tuesday..West winds 5 knots becoming south in the afternoon. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 3 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers. Slight chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tuesday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west southwest after midnight. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 0 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop.
Wednesday..North northeast winds around 5 knots becoming east northeast in the afternoon. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 0 seconds increasing to 2 seconds in the afternoon. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Wednesday night..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers in the evening, then chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms after midnight.
Thursday and Thursday night..East winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts to around 20 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Showers likely and chance of Thunderstorms.
Friday and Friday night..East southeast winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts to around 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Thunderstorms likely. Showers likely. Chance of Thunderstorms after midnight.
Saturday..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Showers likely and chance of Thunderstorms.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 900 Pm Edt Mon Jul 13 2020
Synopsis.. Southwesterly winds will continue across the atlantic and gulf coastal waters through early portions of this week before veering out of the northeast to east by the end of the week. Wave heights will generally remain at 3 feet or less across the local waters during this time frame. Scattered showers and Thunderstorms are possible each day. Winds and waves could be locally higher in and around any showers and Thunderstorms.
Gulf stream hazards..Winds and waves could be locally higher in and around showers and Thunderstorms. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of jul 11, 2020 at 1200 utc... 6 nautical miles east southeast of fowey rocks. 12 nautical miles southeast of port everglades. 7 nautical miles east of lake worth. 7 nautical miles east southeast of jupiter inlet. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fisher Island, FL
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location: 25.77, -80.15     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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FXUS62 KMFL 140523 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 123 AM EDT Tue Jul 14 2020

Aviation. VFR conditions will prevail throughout the forecast period. Light and variable winds will pick up out of the southwest late Tuesday morning. Along the east coast terminals, the east coast sea breeze will shift the winds around to the south southeast Tuesday afternoon. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible across all terminals mainly during the afternoon. Brief periods of MVFR or IFR are possible in and around showers and thunderstorms.

Prev Discussion. /issued 730 PM EDT Mon Jul 13 2020/

.00z Aviation Update.

Aviation . VFR conditions expected through this cycle. Limited convection this evening will likely not impact the local terminals. Overnight and early Tuesday should be mostly rainfree. Winds will begin to transition to a more southerly or southeasterly direction with time with the exception being APF where the Gulf breeze will keep winds westerly. More T'storms on Tuesday will be possible. Limited coverage will keep VCs and PROB groups for now.

Prev Discussion . /issued 343 PM EDT Mon Jul 13 2020/

Short Term (Rest of Today and Tuesday) . Scattered showers and thunderstorms are developing across South Florida this afternoon. Additional convection is continuing to develop along outflow boundaries. Southwesterly flow will continue to focus the bulk of the convection over the interior and east coast. The main impacts being heavy rainfall, lightning and an isolated strong wind gust possible. Hi-res model guidance has much of the activity moving offshore and diminishing by early evening hours with only a few lingering remnant boundaries and storms remaining.

As we move into tomorrow a little drier airmass and some SAL over South Florida will limit the overall coverage across the region. Scattered convection will once again be possible as both the Gulf coast and the east coast seabreeze look to develop. The east coast seabreeze, at least with latest hi-res guidance looks to be able to push a littler further inland away from the coast then previous days. Overall impacts remain the same across South Florida with typical summer afternoon thunderstorms.

High temperatures tomorrow will be in the low to mid 90s with triple digit heat indices continuing across South Florida.

Long Term (Tuesday Night through Monday) . High pressure aloft will begin to spread across southern portions of the United States, eventually merging with the western Atlantic Subtropical Ridge (aka Bermuda High). Drier air in the mid levels and some subsidence will keep convective coverage somewhat limited through midweek. This will quickly change as the remainder of the week evolves. The strong well defined ridge to our north will help with a strong easterly flow from the Caribbean through the Gulf of Mexico. A series of disturbances will begin to move through the region starting as early as Thursday. With each passing wave of tropical moisture, diurnally driven showers and T'storms will be enhanced respectively.

Going into the upcoming weekend, conditions appear to be trending wetter. Late in the week a TUTT will develop and traverse through the area bringing an uptick in rain chances. As this feature moves west into the gulf, the GFS pings a fairly interesting mid level feature across the region. A modest gyre-like feature develops over Cuba, the FL Straits, and western Gulf with very modest vorts rotating around this feature. The ECM doesn't have this feature, but does have the aforementioned TUTT in relative close proximity. Regardless, either solution looks to keep the train of tropical moisture over our region through the remainder of the long term period with heavy rain possible. As for temperatures continued to drop modestly across the board this weekend and early next week as confidence in rain/cloud cover continues to gradually increase.

Marine . South/southwesterly winds over the local South Florida waters with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Heavy rainfall with gusty and erratic winds are possible in or near any showers and thunderstorms. Easterly wind flow will return later this week with increased tropical moisture and rain chances.

Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs. West Palm Beach 92 78 91 77 / 30 20 50 20 Fort Lauderdale 92 79 91 79 / 30 20 40 20 Miami 93 79 93 79 / 30 20 40 20 Naples 91 78 93 77 / 30 10 30 10

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. AM . None. GM . None.

Aviation . 55/CWC


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
VAKF1 - 8723214 - Virginia Key, FL 3 mi84 min 89°F
FWYF1 - Fowey Rocks, FL 13 mi72 min W 9.9 G 11 84°F 85°F1016.6 hPa (+0.0)
MDKF1 36 mi72 min 91°F
HCEF1 - Highway Creek, FL 39 mi72 min 89°F
MNBF1 39 mi72 min 90°F
LSNF1 - Long Sound, FL 40 mi72 min 89°F
LBSF1 - Little Blackwater, FL 41 mi132 min 87°F
THRF1 41 mi132 min 88°F
JBYF1 43 mi72 min 88°F
BWSF1 - Blackwater Sound, FL 44 mi132 min 88°F
TCVF1 - Trout Cove, FL 44 mi132 min 88°F
DKKF1 - Duck Key, FL 45 mi132 min 87°F
TRRF1 - Taylor River, FL 47 mi72 min 90°F
LMDF1 - Little Madeira, FL 48 mi72 min 88°F
CANF1 - Cane Patch, FL 48 mi72 min 84°F
BDVF1 - Broad River, FL 49 mi72 min 83°F
WIWF1 - Willy Willy, FL 49 mi72 min 88°F

Wind History for Virginia Key, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Miami, Miami International Airport, FL8 mi79 minSW 310.00 miPartly Cloudy84°F77°F80%1016.2 hPa
Miami, Opa Locka Airport, FL12 mi79 minW 310.00 miFair80°F75°F85%1016.3 hPa
Hollywood, North Perry Airport, FL17 mi79 minW 410.00 miFair0°F0°F%1016.7 hPa
Fort Lauderdale/Hollywood International Airport, FL21 mi19 minN 010.00 miA Few Clouds81°F78°F91%1015.3 hPa
Homestead Air Reserve Base, FL23 mi76 minSSW 310.00 miFair80°F76°F91%1016.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMIA

Wind History from MIA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS4S3SW3S4SW6SW6S9SW9W9W11W9W10NW6W6
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Tide / Current Tables for Miami, Causeway (east end), Florida
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Miami
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:52 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 04:56 AM EDT     1.65 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:38 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 11:14 AM EDT     0.19 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 02:56 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 05:46 PM EDT     1.68 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:14 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 11:42 PM EDT     0.47 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.60.81.11.41.61.71.61.310.60.30.20.20.40.81.11.41.61.71.61.310.70.5

Tide / Current Tables for Miami Harbor Entrance, Florida Current
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Miami Harbor Entrance
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:15 AM EDT     1.32 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 01:52 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 05:05 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 06:38 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:18 AM EDT     -1.01 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 11:29 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 02:04 PM EDT     1.48 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 02:38 PM EDT     1.47 knots Min Flood
Tue -- 02:56 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 03:04 PM EDT     1.47 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 05:57 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 08:14 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 09:59 PM EDT     -0.88 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 11:57 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.91.31.31.20.90.1-0.6-0.9-1-1-0.9-0.40.51.31.51.51.40.8-0-0.5-0.7-0.8-0.9-0.7

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.