Sunrise 6:35 AM   Sunset 7:57 PM Moonrise 7:29 AM   Moonset 10:03 PM

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AMZ651 Coastal Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl From 20 To 60 Nm Excluding The Territorial Waters Of Bahamas- 401 Pm Edt Fri May 10 2024
Tonight - W sw winds 10 to 15 kt along the coast to W sw 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 25 kt in the gulf stream. Seas 1 to 2 ft. Wave detail: S sw 2 ft at 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Sat - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Wave detail: W sw 2 ft at 3 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A chance of showers. A slight chance of tstms in the afternoon. Sat night - W winds 10 to 15 kt becoming N nw after midnight. Gusts up to 25 kt in the evening. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: W 2 ft at 3 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers. Sun - Along the coast, ne winds 5 to 10 kt becoming E 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. In the gulf stream, N ne winds 5 to 10 kt becoming E in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: N 3 ft at 7 seconds and N nw 2 ft at 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters light chop. A slight chance of showers. Sun night and Mon - E se winds 15 to 20 kt along the coast to E se 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 20 kt in the gulf stream. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: ne 2 ft at 5 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers. Mon night and Tue - S se winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 25 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: E se 3 ft at 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers. A slight chance of tstms. Tue night - S se winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms after midnight. Wed - S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers in the morning. A slight chance of tstms. A chance of showers in the afternoon. Wed night - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms through the night.

AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 401 Pm Edt Fri May 10 2024 - Kmia 100639 Wrksyn
Synopsis -
a moderate to fresh southerly flow across the local waters will gradually turn southwesterly later on today and tonight, and then become westerly on Saturday. This will be in response to a low pressure system moving into the southeast us and sending a front across the florida peninsula. Chances for showers and Thunderstorms will increase over the weekend as the front approaches the local waters.
gulf stream hazards: none.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of may 09, 2024 at 12 utc - .
7 nautical miles southeast of fowey rocks. 12 nautical miles east northeast of port everglades. 3 nautical miles east northeast of lake worth. 6 nautical miles east southeast of jupiter inlet.
this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.

FXUS62 KMFL 101940 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 340 PM EDT Fri May 10 2024

...Very Warm To Hot Conditions Continue Over South Florida This Weekend Into Next Week...

Some Showers And A Few Storms Are Possible Through Next Week

New LONG TERM

SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Saturday)
Issued at 102 PM EDT Fri May 10 2024

Models show mid-level ridging centered across SoFlo gradually been flatten as a shortwave trough and associated sfc low migrate over the SE US. This will keep SoFlo in the warm sector of the system, with warmer than normal low temps continuing tonight. For Saturday, very warm temperatures and southwest to westerly surface flow are expected, with afternoon highs again in the low to mid 90s. Heat index values will hit low 100s. Later in the afternoon and evening, a frontal boundary will slowly begin to push across the area, bringing along chances for showers and thunderstorms.
The best chances will be across the Lake region and Palm Beach County (30-40%), with lower chances of 15-30% across the rest of South Florida. Strong to even severe thunderstorms cannot be ruled out, as sufficient instability (1500+ J/kg MLCAPE and moderate lapse rates), moisture (1.5"+ PWAT), and shear (25-30kts of effective bulk shear) may be in place, especially along the East Coast. The primary hazards with any thunderstorms that may develop would be frequent lightning, gusty winds, and small hail.

LONG TERM
(Saturday night through next Thursday)
Issued at 329 PM EDT Fri May 10 2024

Late This Weekend Into Early Next Week...
High pressure will move back northward from the Florida Straits to the Florida Peninsula late this weekend into early next week.
This will allow for the wind flow to become more east southeast over South Florida allow for the east coast sea breeze to develop and push westward across the region while the west coast sea breeze remains over the western areas. This will allow for some showers and a few thunderstorms to develop each afternoon and evening over the region especially where the sea breezes develop.

The heat will continue over South Florida each day with highs in the mid to upper 90s except lower to mid 90s over the east coast metro areas. Heat indices will be around 100 except for the east coast metro areas where they will be in the mid to upper 90s.

Middle of Next Week...
High will move back southward into the Florida Straits as a through of low pressure moves eastward across the Southeastern United States. This will allow for a southwest steering flow over South Florida pushing the west coast sea breeze eastward across the region while keeping the east coast sea breeze over the east coast metro areas. Isolated to low end chance of showers and a few thunderstorms will continue each afternoon and evening with the best coverage over the NE areas of South Florida.

The heat will also continue during this time with highest in the mid to upper 90s over most areas, except around 90 west coast metro areas each day. There could also be a few isolated areas over the eastern interior areas where it could get up to around 100 degrees. Heat indices will be in the mid to upper 100s over the interior areas with mid 100s over the east coast metro areas and around 100 over the west coast metro areas.

Lows each night will remain the mid 70s over most areas, except upper 70s to near 80 degrees over the east coast metro areas.

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 120 PM EDT Fri May 10 2024

VFR should prevail during the next 24 hours at all terminals.
Winds will become generally SW in the 10-14kts range with gusty periods through 00Z, then becoming light again by 05-06Z.

MARINE
Issued at 103 PM EDT Fri May 10 2024

Moderate to fresh SSW winds will gradually shift W by Saturday as a cold frontal approaches the area. The Atlantic waters will likely reach small craft exercise caution criteria late this evening into tonight. There will be a chance for showers and thunderstorms on Saturday as the frontal boundary moves into the region.

BEACHES
Issued at 103 AM EDT Fri May 10 2024

An elevated risk of rip currents will persist for the Palm Beach coastline for the rest of today. As winds trend more westerly/offshore over the weekend, the risk will decrease over the Atlantic coastline.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 103 PM EDT Fri May 10 2024

A dry air mass will remain in place over the next few days, with minimum relative humidity values around 35 to 40 percent over the interior portions of South Florida. This combined with the generally dry fuels could lead to enhanced fire weather conditions, but winds are forecast to remain below Red Flag criteria.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 75 94 75 90 / 0 20 0 20 West Kendall 73 95 71 92 / 0 20 0 10 Opa-Locka 75 95 74 90 / 0 20 0 20 Homestead 75 94 73 90 / 0 20 0 10 Fort Lauderdale 76 93 75 88 / 10 30 10 20 N Ft Lauderdale 75 94 75 89 / 10 30 10 30 Pembroke Pines 76 96 75 90 / 0 20 0 20 West Palm Beach 74 93 73 89 / 10 40 0 20 Boca Raton 75 95 74 88 / 10 40 10 30 Naples 77 89 72 91 / 10 30 0 0

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...None.
GM...None.

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San Marino Island
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Fri -- 05:34 AM EDT     0.06 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:37 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:29 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 11:28 AM EDT     2.33 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:47 PM EDT     -0.33 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:57 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 11:02 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

San Marino Island, Florida, Tide feet

Miami Harbor Entrance
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:02 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 03:29 AM EDT     -1.69 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 06:02 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 06:37 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:29 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 08:52 AM EDT     1.92 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 12:01 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 03:22 PM EDT     -1.76 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 06:17 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 07:56 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 09:37 PM EDT     2.26 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 11:02 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Miami Harbor Entrance, Florida Current, knots

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