Chokoloskee, FL Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Chokoloskee, FL


December 4, 2023 12:46 AM EST (05:46 UTC)
Sunrise 6:58AM   Sunset 5:35PM   Moonrise  12:00AM   Moonset 12:36PM 

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION. Privacy and Cookie policy

Marine Forecasts
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GMZ657 Expires:202312041600;;861762 Fzus52 Kmfl 040301 Cwfmfl
coastal waters forecast for florida national weather service miami fl 1000 pm est Sun dec 3 2023
atlantic coastal waters from jupiter inlet to ocean reef out to 60 nm and gulf coastal waters from east cape sable to chokoloskee out 20 nm and chokoloskee to bonita beach out 60 nm...including the waters of biscayne bay and lake okeechobee.
seas are provided as a range of the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves...along with the occasional height of the average highest 10 percent of the waves.
gmz656-657-041600- coastal waters from chokoloskee to bonita beach fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from east cape sable to chokoloskee fl out 20 nm- 1000 pm est Sun dec 3 2023
.dense fog advisory in effect until 9 am est Monday...
Rest of tonight..W winds 5 kt becoming S after midnight. Seas 0 to 1 ft. Period 3 seconds. Bay and inland waters smooth. Areas of dense fog.
Mon..SW winds 5 kt becoming W nw in the afternoon. Seas 0 to 1 ft. Period 4 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Areas of dense fog in the morning.
Mon night..N nw winds 5 to 10 kt nearshore and N 10 to 15 kt offshore. Seas less than 2 ft nearshore and 1 to 2 ft offshore. Period 4 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Tue..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Period 5 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Tue night..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 20 kt nearshore and N 15 to 20 kt with gusts to around 25 kt offshore. Seas 2 ft or less nearshore and 2 to 3 ft offshore. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Wed..N nw winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 20 kt nearshore and N nw 15 to 20 kt with gusts to around 25 kt offshore. Seas 2 ft or less nearshore and 2 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft offshore. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Wed night..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 20 kt nearshore and N ne 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 25 kt offshore. Seas 2 ft or less nearshore and 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft offshore. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Thu and Thu night..E ne winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 20 kt. Seas 2 ft or less nearshore and 2 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft offshore. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Fri..E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas less than 2 ft nearshore and 1 to 2 ft offshore. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Fri night..E winds around 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.

GMZ600 856 Pm Cst Sun Dec 3 2023
Synopsis..A light to moderate offshore flow continues through the middle of the week in the wake of a cold front. Moderate to strong offshore flow may develop Wednesday before turning easterly and relaxing by the end of the week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Chokoloskee, FL
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Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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FXUS62 KMFL 032352 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 652 PM EST Sun Dec 3 2023

New UPDATE, AVIATION

UPDATE
Issued at 628 PM EST Sun Dec 3 2023

Few changes made to the forecast this cycle. Patchy marine fog along the Gulf Coast have begun advecting over portions of coastal Collier tonight, resulting in lowered visibilities. Conditions will continue to deteriorate for much of South Florida as the fog bank moves inland and radiation fog develops/expands across much of the area. We will continue to monitor observations overnight, but fog statements/advisories will probably be needed as conditions evolve.

SHORT TERM
(Rest of today through Monday)
Issued at 1207 PM EST Sun Dec 3 2023

A warm Sunday continues across South Florida as we remain in the warm sector of an approaching front associated with a surface low advecting eastward across the southeastern United States. Aloft, a expansive mid-level trough continues to propagate eastward today with a combined subtropical and polar jetstream across the southeastern United States including the central and northern portions of the Florida Peninsula. Southwesterly surface winds across the region combined with relatively modest cloud cover (in the form of horizontal convective rolls of cumulus) will result in well-above average temperatures approaching or breaking near-record high temperatures for the date. Highs in the middle 80s are forecast for the majority of the area with two notable exceptions: low 80s along the immediate Gulf coast thanks to cooler shelf waters and the potential of a few inland spots to reach the upper 80s as well.
Factoring in the ample moisture and feels-like temperatures (heat indices) will reach the lower to mid 90s across much of the area this afternoon. These values are quite toasty for an early December day in South Florida and are a direct result of southwesterly flow and plentiful warm air advection across the region. Mesoscale models hint at the potential of a sea-breeze boundary developing along the immediate east coast of South Florida but failing to make much discernible progression inland. The meager convergent boundary may provide just enough ascent for a few showers to develop along the boundary during the afternoon hours before diurnal heating is lost.

With very light southwesterly winds at the surface, clear skies, abundant low-level moisture, and the development of a nocturnal inversion in a stratified nocturnal environment, favorable conditions exist for an abundant and widespread fog event across South Florida late tonight into Monday morning. Dense marine fog is forecast to develop this evening across the nearshore Gulf waters as a warm light southwesterly wind moves over the cooler nearshore shelf waters. With the development of the inversion once the sun sets this evening and ample moisture, saturation in the low-levels of the boundary layer will help the fog advect inland across the Gulf coast metro initially before pushing further inland across the rest of South Florida. The greatest abundance and density of fog will reside over the Gulf coast metro area and inland South Florida, although fog in general is forecast for the majority of the area.
With reduced visibilities (less than a mile) potentially lasting for a few hours into the Monday morning commute, Dense Fog Advisories may be needed for much of South Florida accordingly. Regardless, be sure to give yourself extra time on the road tomorrow morning if you encounter dense fog and reduced visibilities on your commute. Model guidance indicates the stout nocturnal inversion remaining for a few hours after sunrise, so fog may be slow to disperse in the areas where it is concentrated the highest.

With the continued advection of the mid-level trough across the northeastern United States, synoptic forcing will allow for the surface low associated with the frontal boundary to advect into the western Atlantic waters and the frontal boundary to sweep southward across the Florida Peninsula. While moisture remains meager with the frontal boundary, a few isolated showers along the boundary cannot be ruled out given that the frontal passage is currently forecast after peak diurnal heating with warm temperatures and ample low level moisture. Increasing southwesterly to westerly surface winds out ahead of the approaching cold front boundary will eventually mix out the fog and allow for another warm day across the region on Monday. High temperatures will remain several degrees above average with forecast temperatures in the low to mid 80s. Winds behind the frontal passage will swing to a northwesterly direction with a drier continental airmass beginning to filter into the region. This will usher in a period of cooler and tranquil weather to begin the extended period.

LONG TERM
(Monday night through next Saturday)
Issued at 132 PM EST Sun Dec 3 2023

Monday's surface cold front will have cleared the area by Tuesday, resulting in lower dewpoints and somewhat lower temperatures compared to Monday. Highs will range from the upper 70s in the northern half of the area to the low-mid 80s over southern portions of the area. The 850mb boundary will likely hang up over southern portions of the area keeping cloud cover around and preventing, more substantial cooling but expect any precipitation to generally form south of the area closer to the surface boundary.
A reinforcing front arrives on Wednesday bringing a brief shot of cool and very dry air to South Florida. High temperatures on Wednesday will only be in the low to mid 70s, while dewpoints will mix down into the 30s and 40s. Wednesday night/Thursday morning looks to be the coolest night of the period with lows dipping down to the mid 40s near the Lake and mid 50s closer to the east coast metro.

The high to our north shifts east Thursday into the late week which will veer the winds more easterly and the marine influence will moderate dewpoints and overnight lows, with lows generally ranging from the mid 50s near the Lake to the mid 60s near the east coast metro by Friday morning. The airmass (850 temps 10th percentile or less) will remain cool though so daytime highs will remain mild on Thursday (i.e. generally in the mid 70s) with some slight warming to the mid to upper 70s expected by Friday. By Saturday the high will have shifted well into the Atlantic, which will result in continued warm advection and highs returning above seasonal normals (i.e. back to the 80s).

Generally dry conditions will prevail through the extended period, although Friday into Saturday a weak southern stream wave combined with modest coastal convergence may be enough to spark some isolated showers near the east coast.

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 628 PM EST Sun Dec 3 2023

Dense fog development tonight will result in sub-VFR vis/cig conditions for several of the terminals. KAPF will see conditions deteriorate starting 00Z as dense marine fog advects over the area, with IFR/LIFR conditions possible between 07Z-15Z. East Coast sites could also see periods of MVFR/IFR conditions between 09Z-15Z as fog expands over the interior. Light/variable winds overnight become WSW between 5-10 kts tomorrow.

MARINE
Issued at 1207 PM EST Sun Dec 3 2023

Dense marine fog is possible across the nearshore Gulf waters late tonight into the first half of Monday morning. In addition, isolated showers remain possible over the area waters as a frontal boundary approaches the region today and Monday. Gentle to moderate southerly winds will round out the weekend with winds gradually shifting out of the northwest by late Monday. Winds will then increase and turn northerly behind a series of quick moving cold fronts next week, though dry conditions will again prevail through much of the upcoming week.

BEACHES
Issued at 1207 PM EST Sun Dec 3 2023

A moderate risk of rip currents will continue for Palm Beach county beaches today.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 71 85 69 82 / 10 10 0 0 West Kendall 68 85 66 82 / 0 10 0 10 Opa-Locka 71 85 69 82 / 10 10 0 0 Homestead 71 85 69 82 / 0 0 0 10 Fort Lauderdale 71 85 69 81 / 10 10 10 0 N Ft Lauderdale 71 85 68 81 / 10 10 0 0 Pembroke Pines 70 85 68 82 / 10 10 0 0 West Palm Beach 69 84 66 80 / 10 10 0 0 Boca Raton 71 85 67 81 / 10 10 10 0 Naples 71 80 63 78 / 0 20 0 0

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...None.
GM...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM EST Monday for GMZ656-657.


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
WPLF1 - Watson Place, FL 8 mi166 min 78°F
CNBF1 - Cannon Bay, FL 11 mi166 min 80°F
LMRF1 - Lostmans River, FL 19 mi166 min 77°F
WIWF1 - Willy Willy, FL 22 mi166 min 78°F
RKXF1 - Rookery Bay Reserve, FL 26 mi61 min SW 1.9 72°F 30.0471°F
BDVF1 - Broad River, FL 29 mi166 min 77°F
HREF1 30 mi166 min 75°F
GBIF1 - Gunboat Island, FL 33 mi166 min 75°F
SREF1 33 mi166 min 77°F
CANF1 - Cane Patch, FL 34 mi166 min 77°F
TPEF1 - Tarpon Bay East, FL 34 mi166 min 77°F
NRRF1 39 mi166 min 79°F

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Wind History for No Ports station near this location
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No data


Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KMKY MARCO ISLAND EXECUTIVE,FL 22 sm24 minS 031/4 smOvercast Fog 72°F72°F100%30.01

Wind History from APF
(wind in knots)


Tide / Current for Chokoloskee, Florida
   
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Chokoloskee
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Sun -- 12:03 AM EST     0.88 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:42 AM EST     2.68 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:56 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 12:04 PM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 01:17 PM EST     0.24 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:33 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 07:13 PM EST     2.30 feet High Tide
Sun -- 11:19 PM EST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Chokoloskee, Florida, Tide feet
12
am
0.9
1
am
1.1
2
am
1.5
3
am
2.1
4
am
2.6
5
am
2.7
6
am
2.5
7
am
2.3
8
am
1.9
9
am
1.4
10
am
1
11
am
0.6
12
pm
0.4
1
pm
0.2
2
pm
0.3
3
pm
0.6
4
pm
1.1
5
pm
1.7
6
pm
2.1
7
pm
2.3
8
pm
2.2
9
pm
2
10
pm
1.7
11
pm
1.3



Tide / Current for Pavilion Key, Florida
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Pavilion Key
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Sun -- 03:30 AM EST     3.58 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:56 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 11:27 AM EST     0.31 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 12:04 PM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 05:34 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 06:02 PM EST     3.07 feet High Tide
Sun -- 11:19 PM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 11:22 PM EST     1.13 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Pavilion Key, Florida, Tide feet
12
am
1.7
1
am
2.4
2
am
3.1
3
am
3.5
4
am
3.5
5
am
3.3
6
am
2.8
7
am
2.2
8
am
1.6
9
am
1
10
am
0.6
11
am
0.3
12
pm
0.4
1
pm
0.7
2
pm
1.2
3
pm
1.9
4
pm
2.5
5
pm
2.9
6
pm
3.1
7
pm
2.9
8
pm
2.5
9
pm
1.9
10
pm
1.4
11
pm
1.2




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