Tuesday, July7, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Chokoloskee, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:39AMSunset 8:24PM Tuesday July 7, 2020 8:11 PM EDT (00:11 UTC) Moonrise 9:39PMMoonset 7:53AM Illumination 93% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ657 Expires:202007080815;;477183 Fzus52 Kmfl 071908 Cwfmfl Coastal Waters Forecast For South Florida National Weather Service Miami Fl 308 Pm Edt Tue Jul 7 2020 Atlantic Coastal Waters From Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Out To 60 Nm And Gulf Coastal Waters From East Cape Sable To Chokoloskee Out 20 Nm And Chokoloskee To Bonita Beach Out 60 Nm...including The Waters Of Biscayne Bay And Lake Okeechobee. Seas Are Provided As A Range Of The Average Height Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Waves...along With The Occasional Height Of The Average Highest 10 Percent Of The Waves. Gmz656-657-080815- Coastal Waters From Chokoloskee To Bonita Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From East Cape Sable To Chokoloskee Fl Out 20 Nm- 308 Pm Edt Tue Jul 7 2020
Tonight..Northeast winds 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 5 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday..East northeast winds 5 knots becoming west in the afternoon. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 5 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Wednesday night..North northeast winds 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 5 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Thursday..North winds 5 knots becoming west in the afternoon. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 5 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Thursday night..West winds 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers.
Friday through Sunday..West southwest winds 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 334 Pm Cdt Tue Jul 7 2020
Synopsis..Moderate westerly winds will weaken to a light to moderate westerly wind tonight and persist through the end of the week. Scattered to numerous showers and storms will slowly diminish tonight. Coverage of storms will be isolated to scattered at best for the remainder of the period.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Chokoloskee, FL
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location: 25.8, -81.34     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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FXUS62 KMFL 072333 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 733 PM EDT Tue Jul 7 2020

Aviation. VFR conditions will prevail throughout the forecast period. Scattered showers and thunderstorms over the interior will diminish and winds will decrease as the evening progresses as well. Winds will increase out of the southeast by the middle of tomorrow morning. At KAPF, winds will shift around to the southwest in the afternoon. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop across the interior tomorrow afternoon.

Update. Updated the forecast based on current radar trends. Scattered showers and thunderstorms over the interior will continue to diminish as the evening progresses. Many areas will remain dry and warm overnight with light and variable winds. Low temperatures tonight will range from the lower 70s across the interior sections to around 80 across the east coast metro areas. High pressure will continue to dominate the weather pattern across South Florida for Wednesday. A typical summertime weather pattern will continue as well as the east and west coast sea breezes develop and push inland. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will once again develop along these sea breezes during the afternoon. The greatest chances of showers and thunderstorms will be across the interior sections where the east and west coast sea breezes collide. High temperatures Wednesday will range from around 90 across the east coast to the upper 90s across the interior and heat indices will rise into the triple digits across the region.

Prev Discussion. /issued 219 PM EDT Tue Jul 7 2020/

Short Term .

REST OF TODAY AND WEDNESDAY .

Abundant moisture still remains across the area with both sea breezes moving towards the interior. Convection will develop along the sea breezes and over the the interior. Convection then may move back towards the coast.

Light wind flow will lead to slow storm motion and the potential for heavy downpours with high rainfall rates that may lead to localized ponding of roadways and flooding of low-lying areas. The potential for a strong wind gust is there but should be isolated to the strongest storms.

High pressure develops in the Gulf of Mexico with a little drier air in the mid-levels as the low pressure system in the SE moves offshore and up the eastern seaboard pulling the moisture north with it. With the broad high pressure wind flow remains light with sea breeze typical summertime convection across South Florida. Scattered showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening with heavy rainfall, lightning strikes and gusty winds the primary concerns.

Temperatures continue to be hot and humid low to mid 90s with heat indices in the triple digits up to 105-107.

Long Term .

Thursday through Monday .

The period begins with a surface low, potentially with subtropical characteristics, deepening off the Carolinas. As the low slowly lifts northward through the first half of the weekend, southwesterly to southerly flow will remain in place, keeping ample low-level moisture across South Florida. This is noted in forecast soundings with PWAT values averaging 2 inches through the remainder of the period. With weak surface flow and sufficient insolation, diurnally, mesoscale driven convection will be possible with the development of both the Atlantic and Gulf sea breezes. Coverage should be focused mainly across the interior and Lake Okeechobee region, where these boundaries collide, with a secondary focus across the east coast metro, where spreading outflow boundaries provide locally enhanced lifting.

Large scale troughing then gradually builds across the Eastern CONUS aloft through the weekend, bringing additional forcing for ascent for the latter half of the period. Therefore, convective coverage could become more numerous across the area into early next week.

Overall, the extended period will be characterized by a wet and fairly unsettled pattern, with scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms each day. The primary weather hazard each afternoon should be heavy rainfall with localized flooding owing to slow storm motions, especially across the east coast metro, where wet, antecedent conditions exist. Although very isolated, a low end damaging wind gust can't be ruled out from precipitation loading.

Daytime temperatures will remain above normal with highs well into the 90s away from the coasts, and afternoon heat index readings in the 100-108 degree range. Overnight temperatures will afford little in the way of recovery from the heat with the presence of lower tropospheric moisture in place.

Marine . Generally benign boating conditions across the South Florida waters over the next several days. There is a chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms each day which could bring locally higher winds and seas in and around any convection.

Aviation (18z TAF cycle) . Showers and storms along the east coast sea breeze this afternoon with additional activity over the interior and east coast metro. VCTS for all terminals, MVFR/IFR cigs and vis are possible in any storms that move over terminals will handle with TEMPOS and amendments. Convection diminishes after sunset with light winds overnight.

Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs. West Palm Beach 78 93 77 94 / 30 50 20 50 Fort Lauderdale 80 91 80 92 / 30 40 20 50 Miami 79 93 80 93 / 20 50 10 50 Naples 77 93 78 93 / 20 30 10 30

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. AM . None. GM . None.

Update . 55/CWC Aviation . 55/CWC


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
WPLF1 - Watson Place, FL 8 mi192 min 88°F
CNBF1 - Cannon Bay, FL 11 mi192 min 96°F
LMRF1 - Lostmans River, FL 19 mi192 min 89°F
WIWF1 - Willy Willy, FL 22 mi192 min 88°F
RKXF1 - Rookery Bay Reserve, FL 26 mi87 min NW 4.1 89°F 1017 hPa76°F
BDVF1 - Broad River, FL 29 mi192 min 87°F
HREF1 30 mi192 min 86°F
GBIF1 - Gunboat Island, FL 33 mi192 min 88°F
SREF1 33 mi192 min 90°F
CANF1 - Cane Patch, FL 34 mi192 min 83°F
NPSF1 - 8725110 - Naples, FL 34 mi54 min NW 7 G 8 92°F1017.5 hPa
NRRF1 39 mi192 min 86°F
LRIF1 43 mi192 min 90°F

Wind History for Naples, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Naples, Naples Municipal Airport, FL33 mi79 minW 810.00 miFair88°F75°F68%1016 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KAPF

Wind History from APF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE4SE5SE5SE3E3E3E5E3E4CalmCalmE4SE5CalmS55W8SW8SW9SW10W10W10W8NW5
1 day agoN4NE3NE8SE9SE10SE5E3CalmE6E5E3SE10E5SE4SE8SE4SE8S8S11S8S5CalmSW3SE5
2 days agoW8W5CalmW4W3CalmCalmSE3CalmCalmS5SE4SE35SW9SW9
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Tide / Current Tables for Chokoloskee, Florida
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Chokoloskee
Click for Map
Tue -- 05:09 AM EDT     3.01 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:40 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:52 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 11:01 AM EDT     0.90 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:08 PM EDT     3.68 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:20 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 10:38 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.20.2122.732.92.521.410.91.11.82.63.33.73.63.22.721.30.60.1

Tide / Current Tables for Pavilion Key, Florida
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Pavilion Key
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:58 AM EDT     4.02 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:40 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:53 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 09:11 AM EDT     1.16 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 02:57 PM EDT     4.92 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:20 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 10:25 PM EDT     -0.16 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 10:38 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.923.13.843.732.21.51.21.322.93.94.74.94.74.13.22.11.10.3-0.1-0.1

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.