Friday, September20, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Indian Creek, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:07AMSunset 7:21PM Friday September 20, 2019 4:31 PM EDT (20:31 UTC) Moonrise 10:42PMMoonset 11:39AM Illumination 58% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 21 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ651 Coastal Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl From 20 To 60 Nm Excluding The Territorial Waters Of Bahamas- 419 Pm Edt Fri Sep 20 2019
.small craft advisory in effect through Sunday evening...
Tonight..East northeast winds 15 to 25 knots along the coast to east northeast 20 to 25 knots in the gulf stream. Seas 6 to 8 feet with occasional seas to 10 feet. Period 7 seconds. Intracoastal waters rough in exposed areas. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday..East northeast winds 15 to 20 knots along the coast to east northeast 20 to 25 knots in the gulf stream. Seas 5 to 7 feet with occasional seas to 9 feet. Period 6 seconds. Intracoastal waters rough in exposed areas. Showers likely and chance of Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..East northeast winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet with occasional seas to 9 feet. Period 6 seconds. Intracoastal waters rough in exposed areas. Showers likely and chance of Thunderstorms.
Sunday..East northeast winds around 20 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet with occasional seas to 9 feet. Period 6 seconds. Intracoastal waters choppy in exposed areas. Showers likely in the morning. Chance of Thunderstorms. Chance of showers in the afternoon.
Sunday night..East northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas to 8 feet. Intracoastal waters choppy in exposed areas. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Monday..East northeast winds around 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Chance of Thunderstorms in the morning. Chance of showers
slight chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon
Monday night..East northeast winds 10 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet. Intracoastal waters choppy in exposed areas.
Tuesday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.
Tuesday night and Wednesday..East northeast winds 5 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 419 Pm Edt Fri Sep 20 2019
Synopsis.. High pressure to the north is keeping a breezy east wind in place for the weekend. Also, quick moving showers and a few Thunderstorms are forecast through the weekend. The breezy conditions are keeping a small craft advisory in place for the weekend for all south florida waters. Conditions are forecast to improve for the beginning of the week, and conditions should favorable for the remainder of the week.
Gulf stream hazards..SEas of 7 to 12 feet are forecast through the weekend in the gulf stream. Also, wind gusts of 30 to 35 kts are possible through the weekend. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of sep 19, 2019 at 1200 utc... 11 nautical miles east southeast of fowey rocks. 12 nautical miles east southeast of port everglades. 6 nautical miles east northeast of lake worth. 11 nautical miles east northeast of jupiter inlet. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Indian Creek, FL
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location: 25.88, -80.14     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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Fxus62 kmfl 202007
afdmfl
area forecast discussion
national weather service miami fl
407 pm edt Fri sep 20 2019

Discussion
Breezy conditions, with passing showers looks to the story for the
weekend. Also, a few thunderstorms will be possible. The models
are showing strong surface high pressure building to the north.

This is causing an increasing pressure gradient over the area,
which is responsible for the breezy conditions across the area.

Also, while not very clear, there does seem to be a moisture
boundary setting up over the area. The GFS is showing higher pwats
setting up from around alligator alley, south. Both the ECMWF and
the GFS are showing the highest potential for precipitation
generally in this area as well. This seems to be the pattern for
the weekend.

However, for Saturday models are showing a weak short wave at
500mb moving across the area. Models are indicating some heavier
showers may be possible on Saturday, especially over miami dade
county. Pops are supporting this as well, with a model blend
coming in at around 70 percent chance of rain tomorrow. Qpf
amounts are coming in in at 2 to 4 inches for this area as well.

This will bring the concern of urban flooding for tomorrow for the
miami metro area.

By Sunday, as the high builds to the north, the chances of
precipitation are slowly nudged southward as well. While there is
still a good chance of rain on Sunday for most of the cwa, the
best chances will be south of tamiami trail. Also, models are
ticking the QPF amounts down quite a bit for Sunday. However, if
the totals on Saturday to come to fruition, this could leave the
area saturated for Sunday, keeping the threat of urban flooding a
concern for the area.

The change to the pattern comes on Monday. This is when jerry
should make it far enough north to begin to interact with the
boundary, and push it southward. This helps to dry out the area,
and bring a drier air mass to the region. Dew points are forecast
to trend downward through most of the week. Along with this
downward trend, some of the low temperatures in the western lake
region are forecast to be in the upper 60s as early as Tuesday
morning. This trend looks to last most of the week, with very
little in the way of pops forecast through the end of the week.

There is a slight chance of some showers for most of the area on
Thursday as a small area of moisture advects across the area.

So in summary, increasing pops for Saturday, with rain and a few
thunderstorms possible for the area through the weekend. The
moisture boundary is pushed south on Monday, drying out the area
for the remainder of the forecast period. A drier and slightly
cooler air mass sets up for most of the week.

Marine
Showers and a few storms will be possible this weekend as high
pressure builds to the north. The high is causing a strong
pressure gradient to continue over the area, keeping the breezy
conditions over the south florida waters through the weekend.

This wind, plus a northeast swell is causing seas to run from 7 to
12 feet in the gulf stream, especially off the palm beach coast.

Models are showing the swell slowly subsiding through the weekend,
but keeping seas above advisory criteria through at least Sunday
evening. There is a small craft advisory in effect for all south
florida waters through the weekend, with the atlantic waters
through Monday morning.

Aviation
GenerallyVFR with gusty easterly winds and passing showers
through much of the period. Some easing in the wind speeds and
gusts are possible overnight. Brief bouts of sub-vfr are possible
with showers, particularly along the east coast terminals this
afternoon.

Beach forecast
Rough seas off the palm beach coast are bringing high surf to the
palm beach coast. This may cause beach erosion and possibly cause
waves to crash over jetties and piers. With the surf around 8 to 9
feet, a high surf advisory is in effect through Monday morning.

Also, the east wind, along with rough seas may bring strong rip
currents to all beaches along the atlantic coast. There is a high
risk of rip currents through Monday morning as well.

Preliminary point temps pops
West palm beach 79 84 78 86 40 50 20 30
fort lauderdale 81 84 79 86 40 70 50 40
miami 80 84 78 86 50 70 50 50
naples 76 87 74 89 20 50 10 40

Mfl watches warnings advisories
Fl... High rip current risk through Sunday evening for flz168-172-173.

High surf advisory until 8 pm edt Sunday for flz168.

Am... Small craft advisory until 8 am edt Sunday for amz610.

Small craft advisory until 8 pm edt Sunday for amz630-650-651-
670-671.

Gm... Small craft advisory until 8 am edt Sunday for gmz656-657-676.

Discussion... 13
marine... 13
aviation... 02 rag
beach forecast... 13


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
VAKF1 - 8723214 - Virginia Key, FL 10 mi49 min ENE 23 G 27 81°F 84°F1015.1 hPa
PEGF1 14 mi49 min ENE 24 G 33 85°F 1016.1 hPa
PVGF1 - Port Everglades Channel, FL 15 mi157 min ENE 22 G 28 82°F 1016.3 hPa73°F
FWYF1 - Fowey Rocks, FL 20 mi31 min ENE 25 G 27 82°F 84°F1015.2 hPa (-0.6)
HCEF1 - Highway Creek, FL 46 mi91 min 84°F
LSNF1 - Long Sound, FL 48 mi91 min 84°F
THRF1 48 mi151 min 83°F
LBSF1 - Little Blackwater, FL 49 mi151 min 83°F

Wind History for Virginia Key, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Miami, Miami International Airport, FL8 mi38 minE 22 G 2910.00 miMostly Cloudy and Breezy86°F70°F59%1015.5 hPa
Miami, Opa Locka Airport, FL8 mi38 minE 21 G 2910.00 miMostly Cloudy and Breezy85°F71°F63%1015.9 hPa
Hollywood, North Perry Airport, FL10 mi38 minE 16 G 3010.00 miMostly Cloudy88°F70°F55%1016 hPa
Fort Lauderdale/Hollywood International Airport, FL13 mi38 minE 22 G 2810.00 miMostly Cloudy and Breezy86°F71°F61%1015.4 hPa
Fort Lauderdale, Fort Lauderdale Executive Airport, FL22 mi38 minENE 17 G 2810.00 miOvercast84°F71°F65%1016.1 hPa
Miami, Kendall-Tamiami Executive Airport, FL22 mi38 minENE 16 G 2410.00 miRain85°F75°F72%1014.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KOPF

Wind History from OPF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE19
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2 days agoN11
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--N9NE9NE6NE4NE4N5N4N5NW6N6CalmNW4NW4N4N6N6NE8NE12
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Tide / Current Tables for Indian Creek Golf Club, ICWW, Florida
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Indian Creek Golf Club
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:57 AM EDT     2.34 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:08 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:30 AM EDT     0.46 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 12:38 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 02:42 PM EDT     2.41 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:19 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 09:01 PM EDT     0.80 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 11:42 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.92.22.32.21.91.51.10.70.50.50.71.11.62.12.32.42.21.91.51.20.90.80.91.2

Tide / Current Tables for Miami Harbor Entrance, Florida Current
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Miami Harbor Entrance
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:09 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 04:27 AM EDT     -1.48 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 07:08 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:26 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 11:08 AM EDT     1.96 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 12:38 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 02:54 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 04:57 PM EDT     -1.21 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 07:19 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 09:01 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 11:27 PM EDT     1.66 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 11:42 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.30.90.2-0.8-1.4-1.4-1.1-0.7-0.30.51.421.81.40.8-0.1-0.9-1.2-1-0.7-0.5-00.81.6

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (16,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.