Friday, February21, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Indian Creek, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:50AMSunset 6:18PM Friday February 21, 2020 7:41 PM EST (00:41 UTC) Moonrise 5:44AMMoonset 4:41PM Illumination 3% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 28 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ651 Coastal Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl From 20 To 60 Nm Excluding The Territorial Waters Of Bahamas- 323 Pm Est Fri Feb 21 2020
.gale warning in effect through Saturday morning...
.small craft advisory in effect from Saturday morning through Sunday morning...
Tonight..North winds 20 to 25 knots with gusts to around 40 knots. Along the coast, seas 5 to 7 feet with occasional seas to 9 feet building to 7 to 9 feet with occasional seas to 11 feet after midnight. In the gulf stream, seas 11 to 13 feet with occasional seas to 17 feet. Period 9 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Showers likely in the evening, then chance of showers after midnight.
Saturday..North northeast winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts to around 30 knots along the coast to northeast 20 to 25 knots with gusts to around 35 knots in the gulf stream. Seas 7 to 9 feet with occasional seas to 11 feet along the coast and 11 to 13 feet with occasional to 17 feet in the gulf stream. Period 11 seconds. North swell 3 to 6 feet in the afternoon. Intracoastal waters rough in exposed areas. Chance of showers in the morning, then slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
Saturday night..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts to around 20 knots along the coast to east northeast 15 to 20 knots with gusts to around 25 knots in the gulf stream. Along the coast, seas 7 to 9 feet with occasional seas to 11 feet. In the gulf stream, seas 9 to 11 feet with occasional seas to 14 feet subsiding to 7 to 9 feet with occasional seas to 11 feet after midnight. Period 11 seconds. North swell 3 to 6 feet becoming 5 feet after midnight. Intracoastal waters choppy in exposed areas. Slight chance of light showers in the evening.
Sunday..East northeast winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts to around 20 knots along the coast to east northeast 10 to 20 knots in the gulf stream. Seas 5 to 7 feet with occasional seas to 9 feet. Period 10 seconds. North northeast swell 4 feet. Intracoastal waters choppy in exposed areas.
Sunday night..East winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts to around 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.
Monday..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.
Monday night and Tuesday..South southeast winds 10 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.
Tuesday night..South winds 10 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Slight chance of showers after midnight.
Wednesday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts to around 25 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 323 Pm Est Fri Feb 21 2020
Synopsis..A cold front is moving across extreme south florida, bringing increasing northerly winds and building seas and reaching gale force over the atlantic waters. Gusty north to northeasterly winds will continue tonight into Saturday as high pressure moves over the southeast u.s. And adjacent western atlantic, with periodic showers possible mainly over the atlantic waters. Winds and seas should begin to subside on Sunday as the high pressure weakens and moves farther out into the atlantic.
Gulf stream hazards..SEas building to 8 to 12 feet tonight with gale force gusts expected. Seas of 9 to 13 feet continue Saturday and Saturday night before subsiding on Sunday. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of feb 20, 2020 at 1200 utc... 8 nautical miles east northeast of fowey rocks. 11 nautical miles east of port everglades. 11 nautical miles east northeast of lake worth. 12 nautical miles east of jupiter inlet. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Indian Creek, FL
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location: 25.88, -80.14     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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FXUS62 KMFL 212356 AAA AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion . UPDATED National Weather Service Miami FL 656 PM EST Fri Feb 21 2020

Aviation. MVFR to IFR conditions will continue this evening over all of the TAF sites before slowly improving through the overnight hours. VFR conditions could return to the TAF sites after 14/15Z on Saturday. There could be a few showers affecting the east coast taf sites tonight, but the coverage will be few and far between to put in the east coast TAF sites at this time.

Prev Discussion. /issued 323 PM EST Fri Feb 21 2020/

..ROUGH MARINE CONDITIONS FOR ALL WATERS OF SOUTH FLORIDA TONIGHT CONTINUING ATLANTIC WATERS THROUGH THE WEEKEND .

..POSSIBLE STRONG STORMS MIDDLE OF THE WEEK FOLLOWED BY COLD WEATHER LATE NEXT WEEK INTO NEXT WEEKEND .

Short Term .

Tonight through Saturday night .

The cold front that slid through South Florida this morning remains draped across the southern portion of our area in the 15Z WPC surface analysis. Behind the boundary, a blanket of clouds continues to advect and should help keep daytime temperatures near their climatological average. Northerly winds will continue to increase through the remainder of the day as the pressure gradient tightens across the region. Effectively, these gusty winds will result in hazardous marine and beach conditions into the weekend (see Marine and Beach sections below).

The frontal boundary will continue it's journey southward on Saturday, allowing slightly cooler and drier air to filter into South Florida. While gusty to start, winds should gradually begin to subside late Saturday afternoon to Saturday evening as the accompanying surface low pushes further into the Atlantic. A few showers may brush the east coast, but highest chances remain possible over the Atlantic waters.

Temperatures Saturday morning will be in the upper 40s to lower 50s across the interior and areas west of Lake Okeechobee, while the eastern portions of South Florida will experience upper 50s to lower 60s. Daytime temperatures on Saturday will climb into the low to mid 70s across South Florida.

Long Term . High pressure will move eastward into the Western Atlantic waters late this weekend into early next week allowing for a deep trough of low pressure to develop over the Central United States and move eastward into the Eastern United States late next week. This will allow for a strong cold front to move southward and through South Florida by middle of next week bringing showers and some thunderstorms to the region. A few thunderstorms could even become strong over South Florida with the passage of the cold front, due to a low to mid level jet of 40 to 50 knots working around the deep trough of low pressure and through the Florida Peninsula. We will continue to monitor the latest forecast models for the threat of strong storms middle of next week.

Cold air will be working into South Florida late next week into next weekend behind the passage of the strong cold front. The latest long range models are showing lows to be in the 40s to around 50 over South Florida with highs struggling to get up into the 60s to near 70 for late next week into next weekend. We will also continue to monitor the latest forecast models on the temperatures for late next week into next weekend.

Marine . Winds have begun to increase behind a cold front that pushed across the area this morning. Accordingly, a Gale Warning is in effect for the Atlantic and Small Craft Advisories for all other South Florida waters.

Hazardous seas will continue to build due to the strong northerly winds. Gulf waters could reach up to 7 feet, while a northerly swell aids the Atlantic in reaching 10 to 15 feet through the weekend. Conditions should slowly begin to improve by early next week, first in the Gulf and then in the Atlantic.

Aviation . MVFR cigs continue across all South Florida terminals behind the passage of a cold front; VFR conditions should make their return overnight. Gusty NW to N winds will remain breezy overnight and become gusty tomorrow while also veering out of the NE.

Beach Forecast . Gusty winds and large swell will result in hazardous beach conditions, mostly for the Atlantic coast. Currently, there is a High Risk of Rip Currents and Wind Advisory in effect for coastal Palm Beach and a High Surf Advisory taking effect this evening. For the remainder of the South Florida beaches, a moderate risk of Rip currents exists today before increasing to a High Risk for Broward and Miami-Dade overnight into Saturday night.

Another concern is the potential for coastal flooding with high tides during the new moon this weekend. Minor coastal impacts for at least this weekend will exist given the moon phase, northeasterly to easterly wind, persistent swell, and high seas. All of these factors will contribute to the potential for higher- than- normal tides for the east coast. Will continue to monitor the latest forecast models to see if a coastal flood advisory will be needed for some or all of the coastal areas this weekend. The last few high tide observations are running almost half a foot above predicted levels.

Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs. West Palm Beach 59 72 61 74 / 40 30 20 10 Fort Lauderdale 60 73 63 74 / 40 30 20 10 Miami 59 73 64 75 / 20 20 20 10 Naples 50 75 56 78 / 0 0 0 0

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . High Rip Current Risk through Sunday morning for FLZ168.

Wind Advisory until 7 AM EST Saturday for FLZ168.

High Surf Advisory from 1 AM Saturday to 7 AM EST Sunday for FLZ168.

High Rip Current Risk from 1 AM EST Saturday through Sunday morning for FLZ172-173.

AM . Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST Saturday for AMZ610-630.

Small Craft Advisory from 7 AM Saturday to 7 AM EST Sunday for AMZ650-651-670-671.

Gale Warning until 7 AM EST Saturday for AMZ650-651-670-671.

GM . Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST Saturday for GMZ656-657-676.

Marine . 11/HVN Aviation . 54/BNB Beach Forecast . 11/HVN Short Term . 11/HVN Long Term . 54/BNB


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
VAKF1 - 8723214 - Virginia Key, FL 10 mi53 min NNW 6 G 15 66°F 79°F1018.3 hPa
PEGF1 14 mi59 min NNW 22 G 28 1017.8 hPa
FWYF1 - Fowey Rocks, FL 20 mi41 min N 23 G 26 67°F 76°F1018.2 hPa (+1.2)
MDKF1 43 mi101 min 81°F
HCEF1 - Highway Creek, FL 46 mi101 min 81°F
LSNF1 - Long Sound, FL 48 mi101 min 81°F
THRF1 48 mi161 min 80°F
LBSF1 - Little Blackwater, FL 49 mi161 min 80°F

Wind History for Virginia Key, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Miami, Miami International Airport, FL8 mi48 minNNW 14 G 2110.00 miOvercast66°F55°F68%1018.8 hPa
Miami, Opa Locka Airport, FL8 mi48 minNNW 12 G 1910.00 miOvercast65°F57°F76%1019.1 hPa
Hollywood, North Perry Airport, FL10 mi48 minNNW 14 G 2510.00 miOvercast65°F55°F73%1019.3 hPa
Fort Lauderdale/Hollywood International Airport, FL13 mi48 minN 12 G 2010.00 miOvercast64°F57°F78%1018.3 hPa
Fort Lauderdale, Fort Lauderdale Executive Airport, FL22 mi48 minNNW 13 G 1810.00 miOvercast63°F55°F78%1018.8 hPa
Miami, Kendall-Tamiami Executive Airport, FL22 mi48 minN 17 G 2410.00 miOvercast65°F57°F76%1018.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KOPF

Wind History from OPF (wind in knots)
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1 day agoSE6SE5SE8E4CalmNE3N4CalmCalmCalmN3CalmCalmSE9SE8SE8E8SE11S11S11S10S4S8S8
2 days agoSE8E8E7E7E9SE10SE7SE6SE7SE4CalmE3CalmE6SE7SE8--E9SE11E9SE9SE10E10E8

Tide / Current Tables for Indian Creek Golf Club, ICWW, Florida
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Indian Creek Golf Club
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Fri -- 02:22 AM EST     -0.21 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:43 AM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 06:51 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:33 AM EST     2.05 feet High Tide
Fri -- 02:54 PM EST     0.04 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:41 PM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 06:17 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 08:39 PM EST     1.92 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.40-0.2-0.20.20.71.21.7221.81.40.90.50.100.20.61.11.61.91.91.71.3

Tide / Current Tables for Miami Harbor Entrance, Florida Current
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Miami Harbor Entrance
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:51 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 05:35 AM EST     2.01 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 05:43 AM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 06:51 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:28 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 12:14 PM EST     -1.49 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 02:19 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 04:42 PM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 05:55 PM EST     1.76 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 06:17 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 08:26 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-1.5-0.90.21.11.51.91.91.30.4-0.3-0.7-1.1-1.5-1.3-0.40.71.21.61.81.30.4-0.4-0.8-1.2

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.