NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION. Privacy and Cookie policy

AMZ651 Coastal Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl From 20 To 60 Nm Excluding The Territorial Waters Of Bahamas- 1001 Am Est Wed Dec 6 2023
.small craft advisory in effect through Thursday evening...
Rest of today..N nw winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to around 30 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft along the coast and 5 to 8 ft, occasionally to 10 ft in the gulf stream. Period 6 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.
Tonight..N ne winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to around 25 kt along the coast to N ne 15 to 20 kt with gusts to around 30 kt in the gulf stream. Seas 4 to 6 ft, occasionally to 8 ft along the coast and 6 to 9 ft, occasionally to 11 ft in the gulf stream. Period 7 seconds. Intracoastal waters rough in exposed areas.
Thu..E ne winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft along the coast and 5 to 7 ft, occasionally to 9 ft in the gulf stream. Period 8 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.
Thu night..E winds 15 to 20 kt along the coast to E 15 to 20 kt with gusts to around 20 kt in the gulf stream. Seas 3 to 5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft along the coast and 4 to 6 ft, occasionally to 8 ft in the gulf stream. Period 8 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.
Fri..E se winds 15 to 20 kt along the coast to E se 15 to 20 kt with gusts to around 20 kt in the gulf stream. Seas 3 to 5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.
Fri night and Sat..E winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to around 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft. Intracoastal waters choppy in exposed areas.
Sat night..E se winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to around 25 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Intracoastal waters choppy in exposed areas.
Sun..S se winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 25 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A chance of showers and tstms.

AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 1001 Am Est Wed Dec 6 2023
Synopsis..
north to northwesterly winds will increase today in the wake of a passing cold front, becoming moderate to fresh over the gulf waters through the middle of the week. These winds will become fresh to strong over the atlantic waters during this time frame creating hazardous marine conditions. Winds will gradually diminish across the local waters on Thursday and turn out of the northeast.
gulf stream hazards: gusts up to 30kts and seas up to around 7 to 10 feet today.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of dec 05, 2023 at 12 utc...
25 nautical miles northeast of fowey rocks. 1 nautical miles east of port everglades. 10 nautical miles northeast of lake worth. 12 nautical miles northeast of jupiter inlet.
this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.

FXUS62 KMFL 061354 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 854 AM EST Wed Dec 6 2023

New UPDATE

UPDATE
Issued at 851 AM EST Wed Dec 6 2023

Only forecast change made with the morning update was to increase cloud cover through the morning to account for cirrus deck (although this will thin out from north to south by the afternoon). Otherwise a rather mild and dry day is expected (by South Florida standards) behind a reinforcing a cold front.

SHORT TERM
(Today through Thursday)
Issued at 155 AM EST Wed Dec 6 2023

A potent short-wave trough, initially positioned over the Great Lakes region, is forecast to advance southward, extending into subtropical latitudes. Concurrently, a surface high-pressure ridge, infused with a continental polar air mass, will migrate equatorward, closely aligned with the trajectory of the trough.
This incursion of colder air is expected to envelop South Florida, resulting in a significant decline in temperatures and a substantially reduced probability of precipitation across the region. Daytime high temperatures today are anticipated to hover just above 70 degrees in several areas, with projected highs varying from the mid/upper-60s to the lower 70s. The likelihood of rainfall will be notably low, due to both diminished moisture levels and a lack of mechanisms for atmospheric uplift.

By Thursday, the previously mentioned trough is projected to shift eastward toward the western Atlantic waters, facilitating a gradual increase in atmospheric heights across the region. A low- level ridge of high pressure will mirror the eastward movement of this trough, resulting in a subtle wind directional change from northwest to north-northeast. This shift is likely to induce a slight warming trend as a relatively milder maritime air mass begins to influence the County Warning Forecast Area (CWFA). The forecast period is expected to remain predominantly dry, with large-scale atmospheric subsidence and a lack of moisture inhibiting the development of convection. A substantial cooldown is anticipated this morning, particularly in the interior regions where apparent temperatures may fall into the mid to upper 40s.
While most metropolitan areas are likely to maintain temperatures just above 50 degrees, it is possible that certain areas within Collier and Palm Beach counties could experience temperatures marginally below this threshold. Todays high temperatures are forecast to be mild, with maximums ranging from the upper 60s to mid-70s.

LONG TERM
(Thursday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 155 AM EST Wed Dec 6 2023

The colder conditions are anticipated to be transient, as an upper short-wave ridge traverses the Gulf of Mexico, while a surface high simultaneously slides eastward. This will result in a transition of wind patterns from a northerly component to an easterly flow by Friday. This shift is expected to facilitate a temperature increase of 5 to 10 degrees relative to Thursday mornings lows. However, the rise in daytime highs will be gradual, with the region experiencing another day of temperatures predominantly in the 70s.

The onset of the next weather disturbance is forecast over the Gulf of Mexico on Friday, positioned along the periphery of the surface high and in conjunction with a mid-level shortwave trough exiting South Texas and Mexico. The moisture associated with this disturbance is expected to increase incrementally through the weekend, in advance of an approaching longwave mid-level trough from the central United States, which is projected to extend southward upon reaching the eastern portion of the country. Model guidance presents some variability regarding the location of the associated surface low, with some models indicating a more northerly position near Ontario, while others suggest a southerly trajectory in the Ohio River Valley, south of the Great Lakes.
Given this uncertainty, the forecast will continue to include significant chances of rain for Sunday into Monday, aligning with the anticipated timeframe of the frontal passage through the region. A slight chance of thunderstorms is also being maintained in the forecast, as a more southerly track of the low could extend the range of conditions conducive to thunderstorms and potentially more robust convection. Currently, the dynamics most favorable for strong storms appear to remain north of South Florida, but rapid changes are possible with a forecast extending this far into the future. Residents and interested parties are advised to stay informed of forecast updates throughout the week and into the weekend, in case a significant threat of heavy rainfall or strong storms emerge across parts of South Florida.

AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 553 AM EST Wed Dec 6 2023

VFR conditions will prevail today with only some high lvl cloud cover present. Generally NW winds sustained 10-15kts with gusts up to 20-25kts are expected during the daytime hours. N-NW winds 5-10kts are then expected this evening into tonight.

MARINE
Issued at 155 AM EST Wed Dec 6 2023

A strong cold front will sweep through the region today, bringing about gusty northwesterly winds across a wide fetch. This will foster hazardous marine conditions, primarily due to elevated winds and seas across the local waters. Seas may reach as high as 7 to 10 ft (primarily over the Atlantic waters). Conditions may linger into Thursday, but will gradually subside thereafter as a ridge of high pressure builds in over the region.

BEACHES
Issued at 155 AM EST Wed Dec 6 2023

A high risk for rip currents is in effect from Thursday through Friday along the east coast, as winds maintain a modest onshore component through this period. This threat may persist into the weekend as winds gradually shift out of the east/southeast with time.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 74 57 76 66 / 0 10 0 0 West Kendall 74 53 76 62 / 0 0 0 0 Opa-Locka 72 56 75 65 / 0 10 0 0 Homestead 73 55 76 65 / 0 10 0 0 Fort Lauderdale 73 56 74 66 / 0 10 0 0 N Ft Lauderdale 72 57 74 65 / 0 10 0 0 Pembroke Pines 73 54 75 64 / 0 10 0 0 West Palm Beach 71 56 73 64 / 0 10 0 0 Boca Raton 72 56 74 65 / 0 10 0 0 Naples 72 51 74 59 / 0 0 0 0

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk from Thursday morning through Friday evening for FLZ168-172-173.

AM...Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST Thursday for AMZ650-651-670- 671.

GM...Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for GMZ656-657- 676.

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Indian Creek Golf Club
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Wed -- 12:57 AM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 04:22 AM EST     2.01 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:53 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 10:40 AM EST     0.73 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 01:28 PM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 04:36 PM EST     2.10 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:29 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 11:13 PM EST     0.55 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Indian Creek Golf Club, ICWW, Florida, Tide feet

Miami Harbor Entrance
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Wed -- 12:15 AM EST     1.31 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 12:57 AM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 04:09 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 06:53 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:23 AM EST     -0.83 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 10:14 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 12:35 PM EST     1.26 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 01:28 PM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 04:24 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 05:29 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 08:37 PM EST     -0.98 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 10:43 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Miami Harbor Entrance, Florida Current, knots

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