Villa Pancho, TX Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Villa Pancho, TX


December 1, 2023 9:00 PM CST (03:00 UTC)
Sunrise 6:58AM   Sunset 5:39PM   Moonrise  9:37PM   Moonset 10:56AM 

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION. Privacy and Cookie policy

Marine Forecasts
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GMZ130 Laguna Madre From The Port Of Brownsville To The Arroyo Colorado- Laguna Madre From The Arroyo Colorado To 5 Nm North Of Port Mansfield Tx- Laguna Madre From 5 Nm North Of Port Mansfield To Baffin Bay Tx- 405 Pm Cst Fri Dec 1 2023
Tonight..North winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northwest after midnight. Light chop on the bay becoming smooth after midnight. Patchy fog after midnight.
Saturday..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Light chop on the bay. Patchy fog in the morning.
Saturday night..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Light chop on the bay.
Sunday..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Light chop on the bay.
Sunday night..South winds around 5 knots becoming west after midnight. Smooth on the bay.
Monday..North winds around 5 knots becoming northeast in the afternoon. Smooth on the bay becoming light chop in the afternoon.
Monday night..East winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast after midnight. Light chop on the bay becoming smooth after midnight.
Tuesday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Light chop on the bay.
Tuesday night..East winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northeast after midnight. Light chop on the bay becoming smooth after midnight.
Wednesday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Light chop on the bay.
Wednesday night..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Light chop on the bay.

GMZ100 405 Pm Cst Fri Dec 1 2023
Synopsis..Weak high pressure will build across the waters overnight, as weak low pressure moves east of the texas coast. High pressure will gradually strengthen Sunday before settling over the waters Sunday night. Another high pressure cell will move into southeast texas Monday and remain through Wednesday. Light to moderate winds and moderate seas through Sunday will decrease to light winds and slight seas Monday through Tuesday. Seas and swell may increase Tuesday and Wednesday back to moderate levels as the differnce between the southeast texas ridge and low pressure over the bay of campeche increases.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Villa Pancho, TX
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Area Discussion for - Brownsville, TX
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FXUS64 KBRO 012350 AAA AFDBRO

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Brownsville TX 550 PM CST Fri Dec 1 2023

New AVIATION

SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Saturday night)
Issued at 156 PM CST Fri Dec 1 2023

A weak front is currently over the Lower Rio Grande Valley, but is expected to push out by late tonight into early Saturday.
However behind this front a coastal trough is expected to linger off the Lower Texas Coast, which will keep the skies mostly cloudy to overcast through the short term forecast period. While the dreary skies keep the sun away, they will provide some cooling for the temperatures as well. Rain seems to be very unlikely at this current point even with the overcast skies due to the drier air at the surface. The high temperatures for tomorrow are expected to remain in the 70s, though a few places in the Lower Rio Grande Valley could tip toe into the low 80s. Of course, on the flip side of that the low temperatures will be a bit chilly. Tonight the low temperatures are expected to be in the range of upper 50s for the Northern Ranchlands and Upper Rio Grande Valley, while lower 60s for the Mid and Lower Rio Grande Valley. The low temperatures for Saturday night are expected to be in the 50s for Deep South Texas and the Rio Grande Valley. This is due to a mid-level trough moving past the north of the CWA and allowing for a surface high pressure to dive down into the region. This surface high pressure is expected to bring an additional surge of chilly temperatures thus why the spread of the 50s is a bit large on Saturday night than tonight.

The biggest story for the short term forecast period is the potential fog development during the overnight hours. The NBM model has been signaling for a strong potential for the development of fog late tonight and sticking around through the morning hours tomorrow. The SREF model does also show a bit of a signal as well for the formation of fog, however it is not as strong. Still, there is a good chance for fog to develop tonight with the weak winds and moisture in the atmosphere. Mostly likely scenario is that fog develops over most of Deep South Texas and the Rio Grande Valley, with the exception being maybe the the southeastern parts of the Lower Rio Grande Valley. However, the reasonable worst case is that the fog forms earlier during the overnight hours and is more widespread. Later shifts will have to monitor the fog in case there is a need for a Dense Fog Advisory.

LONG TERM
(Sunday through next Friday)
Issued at 156 PM CST Fri Dec 1 2023

Light north winds will continue through Sunday morning before shifting to east and then southeast later in the day as a high pressure system to the north moves offshore. The wind shift will allow moisture to increase through Tuesday. An upper level shortwave moving through southern Texas Tuesday into Wednesday will provide additional mid-level moisture and moderate forcing.
Low instability will favor stratiform rain, keeping thunderstorm chances near zero. Winds will again shift more northerly Wednesday as another surface high pressure system approaches, bringing slightly cooler temperatures (low 70s) for Wednesday and Thursday.

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 541 PM CST Fri Dec 1 2023

The challenge overnight through mid morning Saturday continues to be visibilty and to a lesser degree ceiling...as model blends, climatology, and top soil moisture favor at least IFR conditions on both counts for much of the overnight and a few hours after daybreak Saturday.

Guidance and blends are in best agreement on ceilings, which should gradually descend from high IFR/low MVFR down to LIFR (200 to 400 feet) just about everywhere a couple hours after midnight.
LIFR conditions should prevail through mid morning Saturday before rising to IFR or low MVFR (i.e. 1200 feet) between 9 AM and 11 AM, with increasing northwest flow and lowering humidity in the low levels raising ceilings to VFR...perhaps even scattering out after 2 or 3 PM.

As for visibility...the descending ceilings will bring visibility drops along for the ride given the temperature/dewpoint profile mirroring closely (near 100 percent RH)
That said
light northwest flow with very dry air above the shallow inversion favors perhaps a brief period of LIFR visibilty...as low as one- half mile...and mainly at the lower Valley terminals where dewpoints will be a little higher than at McAllen/Miller.

With little if any overrunning flow above the low level northwesterly flow...it'll be hard to see a true dense fog (1/4 mile or less) situation early Saturday.

The misty conditions will lift by late morning, with no restrictions by noon or shortly thereafter as the northwest flow picks up a touch and drier air mixes down.

MARINE
Issued at 156 PM CST Fri Dec 1 2023

Tonight through Saturday Night...A weak cold front is expected to move through the Lower Texas Coast late tonight into early Saturday morning. A combination of moderate northerly winds and moderate seas are expected through Saturday night. Wave action on the Gulf waters is expected to stay elevated enough to require Small Craft Exercise Caution through the time period. Isolated showers are possible tomorrow for the offshore Gulf waters.

Sunday through Wednesday night...Broad high pressure over the area will kick off the forecast on Sunday with light to moderate north winds and moderate seas. Light north winds will shift to northeast or east Monday and east to southeast later in the week, but will remain light. Seas will decrease to low Monday morning and will remain low through the week, though 3-4 feet seas could return near the end of the period. Slight rain chances will briefly return Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday morning as a weak coastal trough develops.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BROWNSVILLE 64 79 61 74 / 10 10 10 0 HARLINGEN 62 79 57 75 / 0 10 0 0 MCALLEN 62 79 58 75 / 0 10 0 0 RIO GRANDE CITY 59 77 54 75 / 0 0 0 0 SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 66 71 64 70 / 10 10 10 0 BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 62 75 59 73 / 0 10 10 0

BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...High Rip Current Risk until 6 PM CST this evening for TXZ451-454- 455.

GM...None.


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
PTIT2 - 8779770 - Port Isabel, TX 20 mi42 min NW 6G8 70°F 69°F29.82
BZST2 23 mi42 min S 8G8.9 69°F 29.80
PCGT2 - 8779748 - South Padre Island CGS, TX 23 mi42 min NW 8G8.9 70°F 69°F29.79
RLIT2 29 mi42 min NNW 7G8.9 69°F 70°F29.80
PMNT2 47 mi42 min 67°F 68°F29.82

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Wind History for Port Isabel, TX
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KBRO BROWNSVILLE/SOUTH PADRE ISLAND INTL,TX 5 sm53 minNW 058 smOvercast72°F70°F94%29.83
KPIL PORT ISABELCAMERON COUNTY,TX 22 sm31 minNW 078 smOvercast70°F68°F94%29.84

Wind History from BRO
(wind in knots)


Tide / Current for Matamoros, Tamaulipas, Mexico
   
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Matamoros
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Fri -- 06:59 AM CST     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:56 AM CST     Moonset
Fri -- 11:32 AM CST     -0.27 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:38 PM CST     Sunset
Fri -- 09:36 PM CST     Moonrise
Fri -- 10:17 PM CST     1.50 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Matamoros, Tamaulipas, Mexico, Tide feet
12
am
1.5
1
am
1.5
2
am
1.4
3
am
1.3
4
am
1.2
5
am
1
6
am
0.8
7
am
0.6
8
am
0.3
9
am
0
10
am
-0.2
11
am
-0.3
12
pm
-0.3
1
pm
-0.2
2
pm
0
3
pm
0.3
4
pm
0.5
5
pm
0.8
6
pm
1.1
7
pm
1.3
8
pm
1.4
9
pm
1.5
10
pm
1.5
11
pm
1.5



Tide / Current for Port Isabel, Texas
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Port Isabel
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Fri -- 06:58 AM CST     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:55 AM CST     Moonset
Fri -- 11:42 AM CST     -0.15 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:36 PM CST     Sunset
Fri -- 09:35 PM CST     Moonrise
Fri -- 10:47 PM CST     1.66 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Port Isabel, Texas, Tide feet
12
am
1.7
1
am
1.6
2
am
1.5
3
am
1.4
4
am
1.3
5
am
1.1
6
am
0.9
7
am
0.7
8
am
0.4
9
am
0.2
10
am
-0
11
am
-0.1
12
pm
-0.2
1
pm
-0.1
2
pm
0.1
3
pm
0.4
4
pm
0.6
5
pm
0.9
6
pm
1.2
7
pm
1.4
8
pm
1.5
9
pm
1.6
10
pm
1.7
11
pm
1.7




Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of gulf of mexico   
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Brownsville, TX,



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