Villa Pancho, TX Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Villa Pancho, TX

June 18, 2024 1:08 PM CDT (18:08 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:37 AM   Sunset 8:25 PM
Moonrise 4:31 PM   Moonset 2:44 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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GMZ130 Laguna Madre From The Port Of Brownsville To The Arroyo Colorado- Laguna Madre From The Arroyo Colorado To 5 Nm North Of Port Mansfield Tx- Laguna Madre From 5 Nm North Of Port Mansfield To Baffin Bay Tx- 1003 Am Cdt Tue Jun 18 2024

.tropical storm warning in effect - .

Rest of today - Tropical storm conditions possible. East winds 15 to 20 knots becoming northeast 20 to 25 knots with gusts up to 30 knots this afternoon. Choppy on the bay becoming rough this afternoon. A chance of showers late this morning. A chance of Thunderstorms. Showers likely this afternoon.

Tonight - Tropical storm conditions expected. Northeast winds 25 to 30 knots becoming 25 to 35 knots after midnight. Very rough on the bay. A chance of showers in the evening. A chance of Thunderstorms. Showers after midnight.

Wednesday - Tropical storm conditions expected. Northeast winds 30 to 40 knots. Very rough on the bay. Hazy with patchy fog. Showers and Thunderstorms.

Wednesday night - Tropical storm conditions expected. East winds 30 to 40 knots decreasing to 25 to 30 knots after midnight. Very rough on the bay. Hazy in the evening. Showers and Thunderstorms.

Thursday - Tropical storm conditions possible. East winds 20 to 25 knots with gusts up to 35 knots. Rough on the bay. A chance of Thunderstorms in the morning. Showers. Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.

Thursday night - East winds 20 to 25 knots with gusts up to 30 knots decreasing to 15 to 20 knots after midnight. Rough on the bay becoming choppy after midnight. A chance of Thunderstorms in the evening. Showers. A slight chance of Thunderstorms after midnight.

Friday - East winds 10 to 15 knots. A moderate chop on the bay. Showers with a chance of Thunderstorms.

Friday night - East winds 10 to 15 knots. A moderate chop on the bay. A chance of Thunderstorms in the evening. Showers likely. A slight chance of Thunderstorms after midnight.

Saturday - East winds 10 to 15 knots. A moderate chop on the bay. Showers with a chance of Thunderstorms.

Saturday night - East winds 10 to 15 knots decreasing to 5 to 10 knots after midnight. A moderate chop on the bay becoming light chop after midnight. A chance of Thunderstorms in the evening. A chance of showers. A slight chance of Thunderstorms after midnight.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ100 1003 Am Cdt Tue Jun 18 2024

Synopsis - Tropical storm warning is now in effect for all marine zones. Hazardous marine conditions are expected during the forecast period due to the formation and eventual movement of a tropical system in the bay of campeche. Mariners are strongly advised to Monitor the coastal waters forecast through the next several days.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Villa Pancho, TX
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Area Discussion for - Brownsville, TX
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FXUS64 KBRO 181753 AAA AFDBRO

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Brownsville TX 1253 PM CDT Tue Jun 18 2024

New AVIATION

SHORT TERM
(Today through Wednesday)
Issued at 416 AM CDT Tue Jun 18 2024

The primary concern for the short term period will be a tropical disturbance that is developing over the Southern Gulf. The latest NHC forecast has this system moving north then westward, strengthening slightly before making landfall in Mexico. This will likely advect deep tropical moisture to the region, bringing the opportunity for showers and thunderstorms starting as early as this morning and continuing through the period. The greatest opportunity for showers and thunderstorms looks to be Tuesday night through the end of the period. A large wind field extending to the north of the system could support tropical storm force winds along the Island and Coastal portions of Kenedy, Willacy, and Cameron Counties. A Tropical Storm Warning is in place for Island and Coastal portions of Kenedy, Willacy, and Cameron Counties.

Heavier rains tonight and Wednesday could pose a threat for flash flooding, though the bulk of the rain is expected to pass to the north. The WPC has a slight risk for excessive rainfall over the coastal counties today, and across the CWA on Wednesday. The wind threat associated with this system is expected to decrease as the system moves further inland.

Stronger winds and elevated seas are expected to produce hazardous conditions along the area beaches. High Surf, Rip Currents, and some Moderate Coastal Flooding are anticipated with this system.

LONG TERM
(Wednesday night through Monday)
Issued at 416 AM CDT Tue Jun 18 2024

The tropical system will continue to impact the region through the start of the long term period, with rain chances potentially lingering into the weekend. An upper level high pressure system centered over Texas and the Southern Plains will continue to support easterly to southeasterly winds over Deep South Texas, potentially funneling additional tropical moisture into the region through the period.

Beach conditions will likely improve over the weekend as seas begin to diminish in the wake of this system.

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1251 PM CDT Tue Jun 18 2024

Through 18z Wednesday....

Aviation IDSS Key Messages:

* Isolated showers to become more numerous this afternoon; some embedded thunder is possible

* Rain/thunder threat increases tonight and continues through Wednesday

* IFR, possibly LIFR cigs/vsbys are possible under any thunderstorms that do develop

VFR conditions are taking place at all of the terminals under a FEW- BKN deck of cumulus and stratocumulus clouds per the latest GOES-16 satellite imagery, with cloud bases between 3,000-6,000 feet AGL and unrestricted visibilities.

The main concern during the 18z TAF cycle will be the increased chances for showers and thunderstorms. According to the latest radar, satellite and model observations, isolated showers and maybe some embedded thunder are expected to become more scattered about the area this afternoon as sfc daytime heating and influx of deep tropical moisture from a developing tropical system to our south increases. The main uncertainty is whether these showers make it to any of the terminals this afternoon as they are very much hit or miss given the isolated to scattered nature. Given the situation, have VCSH in the TAFs for this afternoon into this evening.

Through tonight and into Wednesday morning, showers and thunderstorms are expected to become more numerous across the area as the core of the tropical entity moves closer to land. However, the main uncertainty is where exactly the rain bands set up. That said, have Prob30 groups in the TAFs for now. Any showers or storms that move over a terminal will have the capabilities of reducing cigs/vis down to IFR and maybe even LIFR under the most intense rainfall. Otherwise, expect for VFR conditions to prevail.

Winds will continue out of the east 15-25 kts with gusts as high as 35 kts or so through the TAF period. Winds will become strongest towards the latter parts of the 18z TAF period in response to the tropical system.

MARINE
Issued at 416 AM CDT Tue Jun 18 2024

A tropical disturbance in the Southern Gulf of Mexico is expected to move slowly northward then westward, making landfall in Mexico.
A large wind field extending to the north of this system will likely support high seas as well as the potential for Tropical Storm Force winds. Winds and seas are expected to improve over the weekend, with light to moderate winds and moderate seas continuing through the remainder of the period. A Tropical Storm Warning is in place for the Laguna Madre and Coastal Gulf waters.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BROWNSVILLE 79 89 81 90 / 90 100 100 100 HARLINGEN 76 87 78 91 / 80 100 100 100 MCALLEN 78 86 80 89 / 60 100 100 90 RIO GRANDE CITY 77 84 77 87 / 50 100 100 90 SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 80 86 83 87 / 90 100 100 90 BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 77 88 80 89 / 90 100 100 100

BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...Tropical Storm Warning for TXZ351-354-355-451-454-455.

Flood Watch from late tonight through Thursday afternoon for TXZ248>255-351-353>355-451-454-455.

Coastal Flood Warning from 1 AM Wednesday to 1 PM CDT Thursday for TXZ351-354-355-451-454-455.

High Rip Current Risk through Wednesday evening for TXZ451-454- 455.

High Surf Advisory until 7 PM CDT Wednesday for TXZ451-454-455.

GM...Tropical Storm Warning for GMZ130-132-135-150-155-170-175.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
PTIT2 - 8779770 - Port Isabel, TX 20 mi50 minNNE 11G18 85°F 88°F29.71
BZST2 23 mi50 minNE 23G25 84°F 86°F29.65
PCGT2 - 8779748 - South Padre Island CGS, TX 23 mi50 minNE 8.9G20 87°F 86°F29.68
RLIT2 29 mi50 minNE 19G22 86°F 87°F29.70
PMNT2 47 mi50 min 86°F 89°F29.72


Wind History for Port Isabel, TX
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KBRO BROWNSVILLE/SOUTH PADRE ISLAND INTL,TX 5 sm15 minNE 20G2710 smOvercast91°F75°F59%29.70
KPIL PORT ISABELCAMERON COUNTY,TX 22 sm15 minENE 16G2210 smA Few Clouds88°F79°F75%29.72
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KBRO
   
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Wind History graph: BRO
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for Matamoros, Tamaulipas, Mexico
   
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Matamoros
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Tue -- 02:44 AM CST     Moonset
Tue -- 03:42 AM CST     1.21 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:38 AM CST     Sunrise
Tue -- 04:31 PM CST     Moonrise
Tue -- 06:36 PM CST     -0.37 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:24 PM CST     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Matamoros, Tamaulipas, Mexico, Tide feet
12
am
0.8
1
am
1
2
am
1.1
3
am
1.2
4
am
1.2
5
am
1.2
6
am
1.1
7
am
1.1
8
am
1.1
9
am
1
10
am
1
11
am
0.9
12
pm
0.8
1
pm
0.6
2
pm
0.4
3
pm
0.2
4
pm
-0
5
pm
-0.2
6
pm
-0.3
7
pm
-0.4
8
pm
-0.3
9
pm
-0.1
10
pm
0.2
11
pm
0.4


Tide / Current for Port Isabel, Texas
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Port Isabel
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Tue -- 03:42 AM CDT     Moonset
Tue -- 05:12 AM CDT     1.24 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:37 AM CDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 05:30 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 07:45 PM CDT     -0.33 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:23 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Port Isabel, Texas, Tide feet
12
am
0.6
1
am
0.8
2
am
1
3
am
1.1
4
am
1.2
5
am
1.2
6
am
1.2
7
am
1.2
8
am
1.1
9
am
1.1
10
am
1
11
am
1
12
pm
0.9
1
pm
0.8
2
pm
0.6
3
pm
0.4
4
pm
0.2
5
pm
-0
6
pm
-0.2
7
pm
-0.3
8
pm
-0.3
9
pm
-0.3
10
pm
-0.1
11
pm
0.1


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of SouthCentralPlains   
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Brownsville, TX,




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