Monday, June14, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Villa Pancho, TX

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:36AMSunset 8:24PM Monday June 14, 2021 10:27 PM CDT (03:27 UTC) Moonrise 9:12AMMoonset 11:04PM Illumination 26% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ130 Laguna Madre From The Port Of Brownsville To The Arroyo Colorado- Laguna Madre From The Arroyo Colorado To 5 Nm North Of Port Mansfield Tx- Laguna Madre From 5 Nm North Of Port Mansfield To Baffin Bay Tx- 952 Pm Cdt Mon Jun 14 2021
Rest of tonight..South winds 5 to 10 knots. A light chop on the bay.
Tuesday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. A light chop on the bay.
Tuesday night..East winds 5 to 10 knots. A light chop on the bay.
Wednesday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. A light chop on the bay.
Wednesday night..East winds 5 to 10 knots. A light chop on the bay.
Thursday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. A moderate chop on the bay. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Thursday night..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. A moderate chop on the bay. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. A moderate chop on the bay. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday night..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. A light chop on the bay. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. A light chop on the bay. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. A light chop on the bay.
GMZ100 Synopsis For Baffin Bay To Rio Grande Out 60 Nm- 952 Pm Cdt Mon Jun 14 2021
Synopsis..Favorable marine conditions can be expected through at least Wednesday as the lower texas coast remains removed from any major pressure systems. A weak tropical low over the southern portions of the bay of campeche is still forecast to move north passing east of the texas coast the latter half of the week and next weekend. Some potential development into a tropical depression is possible. Main marine impacts beyond Wednesday will be building seas and some increase in Thunderstorms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Villa Pancho, TX
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location: 25.88, -97.52     debug


Area Discussion for - Brownsville, TX
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FXUS64 KBRO 142345 AAA AFDBRO

Area Forecast Discussion . UPDATED National Weather Service Brownsville TX 645 PM CDT Mon Jun 14 2021

DISCUSSION. Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

AVIATION. VFR and light winds rule this evening and overnight. Some patches of lower clouds may work their way inland from the Gulf with low probability of MVFR or IFR ceilings developing. Also, some patchy shallow light fog may develop around sunrise with KMFE seeing the best probability for MVFR, but since chances remain low have optioned to maintain VFR at this time. Fair flying conditions persist Tuesday with low chances of sea breeze shower development. Light easterly surface winds prevail tonight and Tuesday.

PREV DISCUSSION. /issued 234 PM CDT Mon Jun 14 2021/

SHORT TERM (Now through Tuesday Night): A strong 500mb ridge over the Four Corners region will be the main influence for the weather across Deep South Texas through the short term period. Temperatures will remain on the warm side tonight, with lows only bottoming out in the mid-upper 70s. Deeper Gulf moisture will advect into the area late tonight and continue through the day on Tuesday. This may help initiate some streamer showers and/or seabreeze activity across portions of Deep South Texas beginning in the morning and continuing into the afternoon. Still some uncertainty with regards to precip coverage and probabilities, so kept PoPs between 10-20% for most inland locations through the afternoon. As far as temperatures, the increase in low-level moisture and cloud cover will keep afternoon highs on Tuesday a touch cooler compared to today, but still very warm, with highs expected to reach the low-mid 90s in most spots; western parts of the CWFA will still likely hit the upper 90s to near 100F. Maximum heat indices will climb between 101-108F in the afternoon. Finally, patchy fog may develop again overnight tonight, especially across the Northern Ranchlands and mid sections of the RGV as winds become light and variable after midnight.

LONG TERM (Wednesday through Saturday): The long term period continues to be highly dependent upon the potential development of a tropical system in the western Gulf of Mexico this week. Moderate mid level ridging will gradually lift to the Four Corners region as a broad mid level trough sets up across the Gulf of Mexico and a tropical system attempts to form over the Bay of Campeche. As of the 1 PM CDT Tropical Weather Outlook update, the National Hurricane Center has indicated that this area of disturbed weather has a high chance of tropical cyclone development in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico during the next 5 days. As this system develops and lifts northward across the western Gulf, tropical moisture will likely move across the lower Texas coastal waters and the eastern half of our CWA, increasing the chance for showers and thunderstorms across these areas. In addition, some of the coastal impacts from this system heading into this weekend could include an elevated risk of rip currents, rough surf and elevated swell for the Gulf waters, and minor coastal flooding. However, this system has yet to develop and high uncertainty remains in the forecast, so stay tuned for updates.

High temperatures will start off a few degrees below normal mid week and then gradually increase into the weekend as winds aloft take on a more westerly component and the tropical moisture moves out of our area.

MARINE: Now through Tuesday Night . A weak pressure gradient along the lower Texas coast will maintain near perfect marine conditions through Tuesday night, with seas of 1 to 2 feet and generally light easterly onshore flow. An isolated shower or thunderstorm is possible during the day on Tuesday.

Wednesday through Saturday . Marine conditions will be favorable on Wednesday and then gradually deteriorate as swell from the potential tropical system moves into the lower Texas waters during the latter part of the work week and heading into the weekend. Small Craft Advisories will likely be needed this weekend for elevated wave heights. In addition, scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will be possible late this week.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 76 90 76 89 / 0 20 10 10 BROWNSVILLE 76 93 76 92 / 0 20 10 20 HARLINGEN 73 93 73 91 / 0 20 10 10 MCALLEN 75 95 74 93 / 0 20 10 20 RIO GRANDE CITY 74 98 74 96 / 0 20 10 10 SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 79 85 79 85 / 10 20 10 10

BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. TX . None. GM . None.

This product is also available on the web at: HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RGV

Aviation . 59/GB

Short Term . 67-Mejia Long Term . 69-Farris


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PTIT2 - 8779770 - Port Isabel, TX 20 mi58 min E 1.9 G 5.1 83°F 85°F1014.5 hPa
BZST2 23 mi58 min E 4.1 G 5.1 82°F 79°F1012.4 hPa
PCGT2 - 8779748 - South Padre Island CGS, TX 23 mi58 min E 4.1 G 5.1 83°F 81°F1013 hPa
RLIT2 29 mi58 min E 6 G 8.9 83°F 89°F1012.4 hPa
PMNT2 47 mi58 min 84°F 91°F1013.7 hPa

Wind History for Port Isabel, TX
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Brownsville, Brownsville / South Padre Island International Airport, TX5 mi35 minno data10.00 miFair80°F72°F76%1013.4 hPa
Port Isabel, Port Isabel-Cameron County Airport, TX22 mi35 minE 410.00 miFair81°F74°F79%1013.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBRO

Wind History from BRO (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE4CalmSE5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm3NW3W5Calm--------------------
1 day agoSE4E3SE4SE3SE4SE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalm34NE964E9E10E11E10E9E9SE5E3
2 days agoSE8SE10SE8S4S5SE4S5SE4SE4S6S13S14S10S10SE6S7SE12SE10SE10SE9E9SE8E6SE7

Tide / Current Tables for Matamoros, Tamaulipas, Mexico
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Matamoros
Click for Map
Mon -- 06:38 AM CDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:03 AM CDT     1.32 feet High Tide
Mon -- 10:11 AM CDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 08:22 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.5-0.4-0.2-00.30.60.81.11.21.31.31.31.31.21.21.110.90.80.60.40.1-0.1-0.3

Tide / Current Tables for Port Isabel, Texas
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Port Isabel
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:14 AM CDT     -0.45 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:36 AM CDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:10 AM CDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 10:41 AM CDT     1.43 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:22 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.4-0.4-0.3-0.10.20.50.81.11.31.41.41.41.41.41.31.21.110.80.70.40.2-0-0.2

Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of SouthCentralPlains    EDIT
NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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