Monday, October21, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Sunny Isles Beach, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:21AMSunset 6:48PM Monday October 21, 2019 3:08 AM EDT (07:08 UTC) Moonrise 12:00AMMoonset 1:19PM Illumination 49% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 22 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ651 Coastal Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl From 20 To 60 Nm Excluding The Territorial Waters Of Bahamas- 934 Pm Edt Sun Oct 20 2019
Rest of tonight..South southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Period 3 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Slight chance of Thunderstorms late in the evening. Slight chance of showers through the night.
Monday..South southeast winds around 5 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 3 seconds. Intracoastal waters smooth.
Monday night..East southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Period 3 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop.
Tuesday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 3 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
Tuesday night..East southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers through the night.
Wednesday..East winds 5 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Slight chance of showers in the morning, then chance of showers in the afternoon.
Wednesday night and Thursday..East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet. Intracoastal waters choppy in exposed areas. Chance of light showers.
Thursday night..East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet. Intracoastal waters choppy in exposed areas. Chance of light showers through the night. Slight chance of Thunderstorms after midnight.
Friday..East southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. Intracoastal waters choppy in exposed areas. Chance of light showers.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 934 Pm Edt Sun Oct 20 2019
Synopsis.. High pressure is set to build over the area for the first part of the week. As it does, a frontal system, which has been bringing the active weather to the area for the last couple of days, is forecast to be pushed back to the north. This should allow for a mostly dry day tomorrow, with a few showers still possible over the interior. The middle of the week should see another cold front approaching the area. This front looks to stall around lake okeechobee, allowing for rain chances to trend upward from Tuesday through the weekend. This also will cause seas to build to around 6 feet in the atlantic waters of south florida from the middles of the week, into the weekend.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of oct 19, 2019 at 1200 utc... 7 nautical miles southeast of fowey rocks. 10 nautical miles east southeast of port everglades. 11 nautical miles east northeast of lake worth. 5 nautical miles east northeast of jupiter inlet. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Sunny Isles Beach, FL
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location: 25.93, -80.12     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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Fxus62 kmfl 210548
afdmfl
area forecast discussion
national weather service miami fl
148 am edt Mon oct 21 2019

Aviation
Possibility overnight early morning fog at fog-prone terminals
like apf and tmb. GenerallyVFR the rest of the period, though
light flow will allow sea breezes to dominated with convective
focus over the interior in the afternoon. Isolated convection is
possible as the sea breezes pass the terminals but the chance is
too low to include any restrictions with this issuance. Short-
fused amendments may be required for sub-vfr conditions.

Prev discussion issued 805 pm edt Sun oct 20 2019
update...

he models came in somewhat drier tomorrow, with only a slight
chance of convection in the interior. This evenings activity
should be coming to an end by 10pm, if not sooner. High pressure
will begin to build over the area, and tomorrow should be mainly
sea breeze driven, with the convection occurring as the breezes
collide in the interior. Otherwise, once the convection is done
across the area tonight, the weather should be mostly quiet
through tomorrow night, before trending wetter for the middle of
the week.

Prev discussion... Issued 348 pm edt Sun oct 20 2019
discussion...

short term (tonight-Monday): 12z mfl sounding data still depicted
a low level jet of 25-30kt across soflo, along with SRH 0-1km in
the 110-120 m2 s2 range. But models insist in quickly lifting this
jet by the early evening hours, which should help in allowing for
a more stable air mass to establish over soflo starting tonight
as the best dynamic support lifts ne.

Meanwhile, a decaying frontal boundary remains semi-stationary
across central florida, whose parent low is former nestor over the
atlantic seaboard. Models keep pushing former nestor into the west
atlantic tonight, which will in turn pull the frontal boundary
northward and away from the peninsula. Expect the best chances
for showers and storms this evening along the northern portions
of soflo, especially around the lake okeechobee region, then
quickly diminishing overnight as the low level jet and mid to
upper level support are replaced by establishing high pressure.

By Monday, whatever is left of the frontal boundary will keep
pushing north. But model sounding data still suggests enough
leftover moisture lingering over the area for a few showers or
even a storm or two to develop Monday afternoon, mainly over the
interior, as sea breeze boundaries push inland. With decreasing
cloud cover, expect afternoon temperatures to climb back into the
upper 80s to around 90.

Long term (Tuesday-Sunday): long range models remain consistent in
bringing a generally benign and seasonal weather pattern for the
first half of the work week with high pressure establishing in
the wake of nestor and its associated frontal boundary.

By mid-week, models continue to suggest increasing rain chances
as another frontal boundary approaches the florida peninsula. This
front seems to become semi-stationary somewhere over extreme
soflo, or even reach the florida keys, before lifting northward
as a warm front by Friday. A secondary, reinforcing frontal
system seems to arrive at the region during the weekend, although
there is plenty of uncertainty about timing and potential impacts.

In general, it is reasonable to expect an increase in showers for
the upcoming weekend.

Marine...

winds are now dropping to below cautionary levels over the coastal
waters, with showers and thunderstorm activity also decreasing in
the wake of former cyclone nestor. However, there is still a
slight chance for storms to form over the northern portions of the
atlantic marine zones this evening before more stable conditions
establish on Monday.

Preliminary point temps pops
West palm beach 89 77 89 76 20 10 30 40
fort lauderdale 89 79 88 78 20 10 20 30
miami 90 78 89 77 20 10 20 20
naples 89 76 89 75 10 10 10 20

Mfl watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Gm... None.

Aviation... 02 rag


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PEGF1 11 mi57 min 82°F 1014.7 hPa
VAKF1 - 8723214 - Virginia Key, FL 14 mi57 min S 1.9 G 2.9 82°F 85°F1014.4 hPa
FWYF1 - Fowey Rocks, FL 23 mi69 min S 6 G 7 82°F 84°F1015 hPa (-0.9)
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 47 mi51 min W 2.9 G 4.1 81°F 84°F1015.7 hPa
MDKF1 47 mi69 min 85°F

Wind History for Virginia Key, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Hollywood, North Perry Airport, FL8 mi76 minN 010.00 miFair81°F75°F82%1015.1 hPa
Miami, Opa Locka Airport, FL9 mi76 minN 010.00 miFair80°F75°F87%1015 hPa
Fort Lauderdale/Hollywood International Airport, FL10 mi76 minS 310.00 miA Few Clouds81°F75°F82%1014.3 hPa
Miami, Miami International Airport, FL11 mi76 minN 010.00 miPartly Cloudy80°F75°F85%1014.9 hPa
Fort Lauderdale, Fort Lauderdale Executive Airport, FL19 mi76 minN 010.00 miPartly Cloudy79°F75°F88%1014.7 hPa
Pompano Beach, Pompano Beach Airpark, FL22 mi76 minN 010.00 miA Few Clouds81°F75°F82%1014.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KHWO

Wind History from HWO (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS5S7S6S6S4SW7SW14SW8SW12SW9SW11SW10SW10W11SW6SW5CalmS4S4W4CalmCalmCalmS3
1 day agoSE9
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2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE3E8SE11SE10E9SE8SE9SE8SE8S5S3SE6SE5SE6SE8SE11SE9

Tide / Current Tables for North Miami Beach, Newport Fishing Pier, Florida
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North Miami Beach
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Mon -- 12:17 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 01:49 AM EDT     2.89 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:22 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:14 AM EDT     0.85 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:41 AM EDT     Last Quarter
Mon -- 02:19 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 02:43 PM EDT     3.05 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:47 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:59 PM EDT     1.18 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.52.82.92.72.41.91.410.90.91.21.72.22.7332.92.521.61.31.21.31.6

Tide / Current Tables for Miami Harbor Entrance, Florida Current
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Miami Harbor Entrance
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Mon -- 12:18 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 03:36 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 05:46 AM EDT     -1.30 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 07:22 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:41 AM EDT     Last Quarter
Mon -- 10:00 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 12:27 PM EDT     1.86 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 02:18 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 04:24 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 06:28 PM EDT     -1.07 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 06:47 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:39 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.61.41.10.5-0.4-1.1-1.3-1.1-0.9-0.6-011.81.81.51.20.4-0.5-1-1-0.9-0.9-0.50.4

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.