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AMZ651 Coastal Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl From 20 To 60 Nm Excluding The Territorial Waters Of Bahamas- 401 Am Est Mon Dec 11 2023
.small craft advisory in effect through Wednesday morning...
Today..N winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to around 35 kt. Along the coast, seas 1 to 2 ft building to 2 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft in the afternoon. In the gulf stream, seas 4 to 6 ft, occasionally to 8 ft. Period 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.
Tonight..N winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to around 35 kt along the coast to N ne 20 to 25 kt with gusts to around 35 kt in the gulf stream. Seas 4 to 6 ft, occasionally to 8 ft along the coast and 5 to 8 ft, occasionally to 10 ft in the gulf stream. Period 7 seconds. Intracoastal waters rough in exposed areas.
Tue..Winds ne winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts to around 35 kt. Along the coast, seas 4 to 6 ft, occasionally to 8 ft. In the gulf stream, seas 6 to 7 ft, occasionally to 9 ft building to 6 to 9 ft, occasionally to 11 ft in the afternoon. Period 7 seconds. Intracoastal waters rough in exposed areas. A slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
Tue night..NE winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts to around 40 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft, occasionally to 10 ft along the coast and 7 to 10 ft, occasionally to 13 ft in the gulf stream. Period 7 seconds. Intracoastal waters very rough in exposed areas. A chance of showers.
Wed through Thu..E ne winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts to around 45 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft, occasionally to 11 ft along the coast and 8 to 13 ft, occasionally to 17 ft in the gulf stream. N swell 3 ft. Intracoastal waters very rough in exposed areas. Showers likely with a chance of tstms.
Thu night..E ne winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts to around 40 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft, occasionally to 13 ft along the coast and 10 to 12 ft, occasionally to 15 ft in the gulf stream. Intracoastal waters very rough in exposed areas. Showers likely with a slight chance of tstms.
Fri..E ne winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts to around 40 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft, occasionally to 13 ft along the coast and 9 to 11 ft, occasionally to 14 ft in the gulf stream. Intracoastal waters very rough in exposed areas. Showers likely.

AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 401 Am Est Mon Dec 11 2023
Synopsis..
northerly winds will prevail in the wake of the cold front today, gradually increasing up to 20 to 25 kts and turning northeasterly by tonight. Seas will also gradually build up in excess of 7 feet resulting in hazardous boating conditions.
gulf stream hazards: seas building to 6 to 9 feet by Tuesday. Seas could exceed 10 feet later this week. Gale force wind gusts are possible at times this week.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of dec 09, 2023 at 12 utc...
18 nautical miles northeast of fowey rocks. 16 nautical miles east of port everglades. 3 nautical miles east northeast of lake worth. 5 nautical miles northeast of jupiter inlet.
this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.

FXUS62 KMFL 110908 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 408 AM EST Mon Dec 11 2023

New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE, BEACHES

SHORT TERM
(Today through Tuesday)
Issued at 359 AM EST Mon Dec 11 2023

A breezy northwesterly flow has developed across the peninsula in the wake of a cold front that moved through earlier this morning.
As the mid-level longwave trough shifts eastward into the Atlantic, drier and cooler air will settle into South Florida.
Rain chances will approach zero and temperatures will be cooler with temperatures struggling to reach the 70s in portions of the area today.

Overnight, the cold air advection will lead to some mid to upper 40s across Glades and Hendry Counties, with 50s elsewhere and lower 60s along the east coast. The breezy conditions will lead to wind chill values ranging from the 40s in inland SWFL to around 60 along the Atlantic coast on Tuesday morning.

Tuesday will be another dry and brisk day with the wind becoming more northeasterly. Temperatures will warm a few degrees but most of the area will still top out in the 70s. Late in the day, the retreating frontal boundary will begin to push into the southern Atlantic waters from the Florida Straits but rain chances over the peninsula should remain below mention.

LONG TERM
(Tuesday night through Sunday)
Issued at 359 AM EST Mon Dec 11 2023

Wet, unsettled weather returns during the long term period thanks to the presence of a stationary front along the Florida Straits and the approach of a mid-level impulse on Wednesday. The boundary will help focus moisture across the area for much of the week, with PWATs potentially reaching the 2" mark on Thursday. The approach of the mid-level impulse on Wednesday will help promote convective development starting Wed afternoon thru Thursday evening. Activity may be favored over the local Atlantic waters and the East Coast where coastal convergence may favor deeper convection, but the rest of South Florida could also see isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms during that time-frame.

Chances for rain will remain elevated Fri-Sun thanks to the lingering presence of the front to our south, but chances for thunderstorms look paltry at this time given lack of instability/support. This portion of the forecast will need to be monitored further as some uncertainty remains regarding potential impacts that far out in the period.

Pressure gradients between the boundary and an high pressure expanding across the SE US will remain tight through the long term period, resulting in prolonged periods of fresh breeziness across South Florida.

AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 110 AM EST Mon Dec 11 2023

As the front moves through the region, some brief bouts of sub-VFR will be possible. The wind will eventually become northerly and become gusty during the day on Monday. The breezy conditions may linger into Monday night, particularly as the wind turns east of north at the east coast terminals.

MARINE
Issued at 359 AM EST Mon Dec 11 2023

Winds and seas will increase behind the front, persisting through the end of the week. Hazardous marine conditions will develop across all the local waters. Winds are forecast to increase up to 20 to 25 kts with gusts to gale force by the middle of the week, while seas could build up to 6 to 11 feet across the Atlantic waters.
With this in mind, a Small Craft Advisory will remain in effect for the Gulf Waters. For the local Atlantic waters, a Small Craft Advisory will also go remain in effect and will need to be monitored in case a Gale Watch and/or Warning becomes necessary at some point this week.

BEACHES
Issued at 359 AM EST Mon Dec 11 2023

Gusty northerly winds developing behind the cold front will lead to hazardous beach conditions along the Atlantic Coast for much of the upcoming week with elevated rip current risks and high surf.
Along the Gulf beaches, the rip current risk will be elevated today with gradual improvement later in the week.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 76 62 77 71 / 0 10 10 30 West Kendall 76 59 79 69 / 0 10 10 20 Opa-Locka 76 61 79 70 / 0 10 10 20 Homestead 77 62 79 70 / 0 10 10 30 Fort Lauderdale 75 62 77 71 / 0 10 10 20 N Ft Lauderdale 74 62 77 71 / 0 10 10 20 Pembroke Pines 76 60 79 70 / 0 10 10 20 West Palm Beach 72 61 77 69 / 0 10 10 20 Boca Raton 74 62 78 70 / 0 10 10 20 Naples 71 52 77 64 / 0 0 0 10

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST Wednesday for AMZ630-650-651- 670-671.

GM...Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST Tuesday for GMZ656-657-676.

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North Miami Beach
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Mon -- 12:21 AM EST     0.04 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:36 AM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:47 AM EST     3.05 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:57 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 12:54 PM EST     0.60 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:19 PM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 05:30 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 06:43 PM EST     2.82 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

North Miami Beach, Newport Fishing Pier, Florida, Tide feet

Miami Harbor Entrance
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Mon -- 01:57 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 05:20 AM EST     2.04 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 05:36 AM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:56 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:26 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 12:11 PM EST     -1.24 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 02:31 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 04:19 PM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 05:10 PM EST     1.60 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 05:30 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 08:19 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 11:22 PM EST     -1.47 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Miami Harbor Entrance, Florida Current, knots

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