Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Aventura, FL
October 11, 2024 4:36 AM EDT (08:36 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 7:16 AM Sunset 6:57 PM Moonrise 2:08 PM Moonset 12:00 AM |
AMZ651 Coastal Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl From 20 To 60 Nm Excluding The Territorial Waters Of Bahamas- 401 Am Edt Fri Oct 11 2024
.small craft advisory in effect through Saturday afternoon - .
Today - NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 8 to 11 ft, occasionally to 14 ft. Wave detail: N 11 ft at 12 seconds and W 1 foot at 7 seconds. Intracoastal waters choppy in exposed areas. A slight chance of showers.
Tonight - NE winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming E 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 6 to 9 ft, occasionally to 11 ft. Wave detail: N 9 ft at 12 seconds and E 3 ft at 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters choppy in exposed areas.
Sat - E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft, occasionally to 9 ft, subsiding to 3 to 5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft in the afternoon. Wave detail: N 6 ft at 9 seconds and E 3 ft at 4 seconds, becoming N 4 ft at 8 seconds and E 3 ft at 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers.
Sat night - E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave detail: N 3 ft at 8 seconds and E 2 ft at 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Sun through Mon - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: E 2 ft at 4 seconds and N 2 ft at 7 seconds. Intracoastal waters light chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Mon night and Tue - N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: E 2 ft at 5 seconds and nw 1 foot at 3 seconds. Intracoastal waters light chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 401 Am Edt Fri Oct 11 2024
Synopsis -
while the gulf seas will continue to subside throughout today, seas will remain dangerous across the atlantic waters as swell on the back side of milton opposes the gulf stream. Expect these seas to peak this afternoon between 10-15 feet across local atlantic waters with highest seas observed over the palm beach waters. These waves should gradually subside as the first part of the weekend progresses.
gulf stream hazards: dangerous marine conditions will continue today into the first half of the weekend.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of oct 08, 2024 - .
6 nautical miles east of fowey rocks. 14 nautical miles east of port everglades. 6 nautical miles south southeast of lake worth. 6 nautical miles east southeast of jupiter inlet.
this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.
while the gulf seas will continue to subside throughout today, seas will remain dangerous across the atlantic waters as swell on the back side of milton opposes the gulf stream. Expect these seas to peak this afternoon between 10-15 feet across local atlantic waters with highest seas observed over the palm beach waters. These waves should gradually subside as the first part of the weekend progresses.
gulf stream hazards: dangerous marine conditions will continue today into the first half of the weekend.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of oct 08, 2024 - .
6 nautical miles east of fowey rocks. 14 nautical miles east of port everglades. 6 nautical miles south southeast of lake worth. 6 nautical miles east southeast of jupiter inlet.
this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.
NEW! Add second zone forecast
Dumfoundling Bay Click for Map Fri -- 12:47 AM EDT Moonset Fri -- 04:12 AM EDT 2.21 feet High Tide Fri -- 07:17 AM EDT Sunrise Fri -- 11:08 AM EDT 0.84 feet Low Tide Fri -- 03:08 PM EDT Moonrise Fri -- 05:12 PM EDT 2.34 feet High Tide Fri -- 06:56 PM EDT Sunset Fri -- 11:54 PM EDT 1.09 feet Low Tide Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION |   |
Dumfoundling Bay, Florida, Tide feet
12 am |
1.3 |
1 am |
1.6 |
2 am |
1.9 |
3 am |
2.1 |
4 am |
2.2 |
5 am |
2.2 |
6 am |
2 |
7 am |
1.7 |
8 am |
1.4 |
9 am |
1.1 |
10 am |
0.9 |
11 am |
0.8 |
12 pm |
0.9 |
1 pm |
1.2 |
2 pm |
1.5 |
3 pm |
1.9 |
4 pm |
2.2 |
5 pm |
2.3 |
6 pm |
2.3 |
7 pm |
2.1 |
8 pm |
1.9 |
9 pm |
1.6 |
10 pm |
1.3 |
11 pm |
1.1 |
Miami Harbor Entrance Click for Map Fri -- 12:35 AM EDT 1.36 knots Max Flood Fri -- 12:48 AM EDT Moonset Fri -- 04:18 AM EDT -0.00 knots Slack Fri -- 06:26 AM EDT -1.06 knots Max Ebb Fri -- 07:17 AM EDT Sunrise Fri -- 10:42 AM EDT 0.00 knots Slack Fri -- 01:11 PM EDT 1.59 knots Max Flood Fri -- 03:08 PM EDT Moonrise Fri -- 05:11 PM EDT -0.00 knots Slack Fri -- 06:56 PM EDT Sunset Fri -- 07:27 PM EDT -0.84 knots Max Ebb Fri -- 11:20 PM EDT 0.00 knots Slack Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION |   |
Miami Harbor Entrance, Florida Current, knots
12 am |
1.2 |
1 am |
1.3 |
2 am |
1.1 |
3 am |
0.8 |
4 am |
0.2 |
5 am |
-0.6 |
6 am |
-1 |
7 am |
-1 |
8 am |
-0.9 |
9 am |
-0.7 |
10 am |
-0.5 |
11 am |
0.3 |
12 pm |
1.2 |
1 pm |
1.6 |
2 pm |
1.5 |
3 pm |
1.3 |
4 pm |
0.9 |
5 pm |
0.2 |
6 pm |
-0.6 |
7 pm |
-0.8 |
8 pm |
-0.8 |
9 pm |
-0.8 |
10 pm |
-0.7 |
11 pm |
-0.3 |
Area Discussion for Miami-South Florida, FL
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FXUS62 KMFL 110730 AFDMFL
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 330 AM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024
New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE, BEACHES
SHORT TERM
(Today through Saturday)
Issued at 303 AM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024
Conditions continue to quiet down across the area as the remnants of Milton drifts further northeastward over the western Atlantic Ocean. With plenty of mid level dry air still in place across the region, this will preclude any thunderstorm development over South Florida through today and tonight. However, there will be enough low-level moisture over the area to produce a few showers through today and tonight (20-30% PoPs). As moisture starts to gradually increase on Saturday, the chances of thunderstorms will slowly start to increase as well especially along and south of Alligator Alley. As the PWAT values rise back over 2 inches gradually on Saturday, any thunderstorm that does develop will have the potential to produce heavy downpours. This could lead to localized flooding especially over the metro areas in Broward and Miami Dade county during this time frame.
High temperatures across South Florida will generally rise into the mid to upper 80s for today and Saturday.
LONG TERM
(Saturday night through Thursday)
Issued at 303 AM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024
From Sunday into early next week, mid-level ridging over the Carribean will send increased moisture over South FL, while broad troughing persists to the north. The moisture pinned over the area will support scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms each day through the middle of the week. PWAT values will be well above normal (around 2-2.25"), so periods of heavy rain may be possible with rain chances maximized during the afternoon hours each day.
A strong upper level low positioned over the Northeast during the beginning to middle of the week may develop a strong enough cold front to sweep across South Florida by the middle to end of the week, which may bring a cooler and drier stretch of weather.
Uncertainty is high with this scenario as it sits near the end of the long term period, so we will have to see if guidance continues to show the boundary sweeping through the area, or if this one will once again stall out over Lake Okeechobee like most tend to do this time of year. If this boundary does pass through the area, we could be seeing dewpoints drop into the upper 50s to low 60s which would be a refreshing change.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 130 AM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024
VFR conditions will prevail throughout the forecast period.
Northwest winds overnight will gradually become northeast on Friday morning across all terminals. These winds will then increase to around 10 to 15 kts in the afternoon with gusts between 20 and 25 kts during this time frame. Scattered showers will be possible across the east coast terminals throughout the day and they could spread over to KAPF in the afternoon.
MARINE
Issued at 303 AM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024
Hazardous marine conditions will continue across the Atlantic waters today as the remnants of Milton pushes further off to the east. While winds and seas will continue to subside through the morning hours across the Gulf waters, seas will continue to remain dangerously high across the Atlantic waters as swell on the back side of Milton opposes the Gulf Stream. Expect these seas to peak today and mostly subside by the end of the weekend.
BEACHES
Issued at 303 AM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024
Hazardous beach conditions will continue across the Atlantic Coast beaches as a high risk of rip currents remains in place. A strong northeasterly swell from the remnants of Milton will pass through the Atlantic waters today and tonight leading to very high surf heights across Palm beach County where a High Surf Advisory is in effect. This swell will bring breaking waves between 8 to 13 feet in the surf zone in the Palm Beach waters. Surf conditions should gradually subside over the upcoming weekend.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 87 76 85 76 / 20 20 30 30 West Kendall 87 74 87 74 / 20 20 30 30 Opa-Locka 87 75 86 75 / 20 20 30 30 Homestead 86 76 86 75 / 20 20 30 30 Fort Lauderdale 86 76 84 75 / 30 20 30 30 N Ft Lauderdale 86 76 85 75 / 30 20 30 30 Pembroke Pines 87 76 87 76 / 30 20 30 30 West Palm Beach 85 76 85 75 / 30 20 20 30 Boca Raton 86 76 86 75 / 30 20 20 30 Naples 86 72 87 73 / 10 10 20 10
MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Saturday evening for FLZ168-172- 173.
High Surf Advisory until 8 AM EDT Saturday for FLZ168.
AM...Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM EDT Saturday for AMZ650-651-670- 671.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM EDT this morning for GMZ656-657- 676.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 330 AM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024
New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE, BEACHES
SHORT TERM
(Today through Saturday)
Issued at 303 AM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024
Conditions continue to quiet down across the area as the remnants of Milton drifts further northeastward over the western Atlantic Ocean. With plenty of mid level dry air still in place across the region, this will preclude any thunderstorm development over South Florida through today and tonight. However, there will be enough low-level moisture over the area to produce a few showers through today and tonight (20-30% PoPs). As moisture starts to gradually increase on Saturday, the chances of thunderstorms will slowly start to increase as well especially along and south of Alligator Alley. As the PWAT values rise back over 2 inches gradually on Saturday, any thunderstorm that does develop will have the potential to produce heavy downpours. This could lead to localized flooding especially over the metro areas in Broward and Miami Dade county during this time frame.
High temperatures across South Florida will generally rise into the mid to upper 80s for today and Saturday.
LONG TERM
(Saturday night through Thursday)
Issued at 303 AM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024
From Sunday into early next week, mid-level ridging over the Carribean will send increased moisture over South FL, while broad troughing persists to the north. The moisture pinned over the area will support scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms each day through the middle of the week. PWAT values will be well above normal (around 2-2.25"), so periods of heavy rain may be possible with rain chances maximized during the afternoon hours each day.
A strong upper level low positioned over the Northeast during the beginning to middle of the week may develop a strong enough cold front to sweep across South Florida by the middle to end of the week, which may bring a cooler and drier stretch of weather.
Uncertainty is high with this scenario as it sits near the end of the long term period, so we will have to see if guidance continues to show the boundary sweeping through the area, or if this one will once again stall out over Lake Okeechobee like most tend to do this time of year. If this boundary does pass through the area, we could be seeing dewpoints drop into the upper 50s to low 60s which would be a refreshing change.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 130 AM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024
VFR conditions will prevail throughout the forecast period.
Northwest winds overnight will gradually become northeast on Friday morning across all terminals. These winds will then increase to around 10 to 15 kts in the afternoon with gusts between 20 and 25 kts during this time frame. Scattered showers will be possible across the east coast terminals throughout the day and they could spread over to KAPF in the afternoon.
MARINE
Issued at 303 AM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024
Hazardous marine conditions will continue across the Atlantic waters today as the remnants of Milton pushes further off to the east. While winds and seas will continue to subside through the morning hours across the Gulf waters, seas will continue to remain dangerously high across the Atlantic waters as swell on the back side of Milton opposes the Gulf Stream. Expect these seas to peak today and mostly subside by the end of the weekend.
BEACHES
Issued at 303 AM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024
Hazardous beach conditions will continue across the Atlantic Coast beaches as a high risk of rip currents remains in place. A strong northeasterly swell from the remnants of Milton will pass through the Atlantic waters today and tonight leading to very high surf heights across Palm beach County where a High Surf Advisory is in effect. This swell will bring breaking waves between 8 to 13 feet in the surf zone in the Palm Beach waters. Surf conditions should gradually subside over the upcoming weekend.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 87 76 85 76 / 20 20 30 30 West Kendall 87 74 87 74 / 20 20 30 30 Opa-Locka 87 75 86 75 / 20 20 30 30 Homestead 86 76 86 75 / 20 20 30 30 Fort Lauderdale 86 76 84 75 / 30 20 30 30 N Ft Lauderdale 86 76 85 75 / 30 20 30 30 Pembroke Pines 87 76 87 76 / 30 20 30 30 West Palm Beach 85 76 85 75 / 30 20 20 30 Boca Raton 86 76 86 75 / 30 20 20 30 Naples 86 72 87 73 / 10 10 20 10
MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Saturday evening for FLZ168-172- 173.
High Surf Advisory until 8 AM EDT Saturday for FLZ168.
AM...Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM EDT Saturday for AMZ650-651-670- 671.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM EDT this morning for GMZ656-657- 676.
Wind History for Virginia Key, FL
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Air | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KHWO NORTH PERRY,FL | 6 sm | 43 min | NNW 06 | 10 sm | Clear | 73°F | 70°F | 89% | 29.91 | |
KFLL FORT LAUDERDALE/HOLLYWOOD INTL,FL | 8 sm | 43 min | NW 07 | 10 sm | Partly Cloudy | 73°F | 70°F | 89% | 29.90 | |
KOPF MIAMIOPA LOCKA EXECUTIVE,FL | 8 sm | 43 min | N 07 | 10 sm | A Few Clouds | 73°F | 72°F | 94% | 29.91 | |
KMIA MIAMI INTL,FL | 13 sm | 43 min | NNW 06 | 10 sm | A Few Clouds | 73°F | 72°F | 94% | 29.90 | |
KFXE FORT LAUDERDALE EXECUTIVE,FL | 17 sm | 43 min | NW 06 | 10 sm | A Few Clouds | 73°F | 72°F | 94% | 29.90 | |
KPMP POMPANO BEACH AIRPARK,FL | 21 sm | 43 min | NNW 07 | 10 sm | Mostly Cloudy | 73°F | 72°F | 94% | 29.90 |
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KHWO
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KHWO
Wind History Graph: HWO
(wind in knots)GEOS Local Image of Southeast
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