Thursday, February20, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Golden Beach, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:50AMSunset 6:17PM Thursday February 20, 2020 8:35 PM EST (01:35 UTC) Moonrise 4:56AMMoonset 3:44PM Illumination 8% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 27 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ651 Coastal Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl From 20 To 60 Nm Excluding The Territorial Waters Of Bahamas- 327 Pm Est Thu Feb 20 2020
.gale warning in effect from Friday morning through Saturday morning...
Tonight..South southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west 5 to 15 knots after midnight. Seas around 2 feet. Period 5 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers.
Friday..North northwest winds 15 to 25 knots with gusts to around 35 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet building to 7 to 9 feet with occasional seas to 11 feet in the afternoon. Period 8 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Slight chance of showers in the morning, then chance of showers in the afternoon.
Friday night..North winds 20 to 25 knots with gusts to around 40 knots. Seas 10 to 12 feet with occasional seas to 15 feet. Period 9 seconds. North swell 3 to 6 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Chance of showers.
Saturday..Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots with gusts to around 35 knots. Seas 10 to 12 feet with occasional seas to 15 feet. Period 10 seconds. North swell 3 to 7 feet. Intracoastal waters rough in exposed areas. Chance of showers.
Saturday night..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts to around 30 knots. Seas 9 to 11 feet with occasional seas to 14 feet subsiding to 7 to 9 feet with occasional seas to 11 feet after midnight. North swell 3 to 6 feet. Intracoastal waters choppy in exposed areas. Slight chance of showers.
Sunday..East northeast winds 10 to 20 knots with gusts to around 25 knots. Seas 6 to 8 feet with occasional seas to 10 feet subsiding to 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas to 8 feet in the afternoon. North swell 3 to 4 feet. Intracoastal waters choppy in exposed areas.
Sunday night..East winds 10 to 20 knots with gusts to around 25 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet. Intracoastal waters choppy in exposed areas.
Monday..East southeast winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts to around 25 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.
Monday night..Southeast winds 10 to 20 knots with gusts to around 25 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. Intracoastal waters choppy in exposed areas. Slight chance of showers after midnight.
Tuesday..South winds 10 to 20 knots with gusts to around 25 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Slight chance of showers.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 327 Pm Est Thu Feb 20 2020
Synopsis..A cold front will move through the south florida waters early Friday, moving south of the peninsula by Friday afternoon. Strong and gusty north wind and building seas behind the front on Friday, reaching gale force over the atlantic waters. Strong and gusty north to northeast wind continue Friday night and Saturday as high pressure moves over the southeast u.s. And adjacent western atlantic, with periodic showers mainly over the atlantic waters. Wind and seas will start subsiding on Sunday as the high pressure weakens and moves farther out into the atlantic, and turn southeast and south early next week.
Gulf stream hazards..SEas building to 8 to 12 feet late Friday and Friday night with gale force gusts. Seas 9 to 13 feet Saturday and Saturday night, then subside on Sunday. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of feb 20, 2020 at 1200 utc... 8 nautical miles east northeast of fowey rocks. 11 nautical miles east of port everglades. 11 nautical miles east northeast of lake worth. 12 nautical miles east of jupiter inlet. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Golden Beach, FL
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location: 25.96, -79.67     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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FXUS62 KMFL 210029 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 729 PM EST Thu Feb 20 2020

Aviation (00z TAFs). A few SHRA in MIA/FLL area should dissipate or move offshore by 02z. Somewhat complicated and uncertain forecast with regards to ceilings associated with approaching cold front late tonight and early Friday morning. MVFR conditions expected at KAPF after 09z and at east coast sites after 14z, but realistic chance of IFR conditions during these time frames. Wind SW-W until frontal passage, then N wind increasing after fropa with gusts to 25 knots.

Update. A few showers in the Miami/Fort Lauderdale area moving NE and should weaken or move offshore before 10 PM. Although not mentioned in the forecast due to low confidence, some patchy fog is not out of the question late tonight as the cold front approaches the southern FL peninsula. Introduced rain chances a little earlier Friday morning as the pre-frontal trough moves across Lake Okeechobee and the Naples area between 5-7 AM and east coast between 7-10 AM, followed a couple of hours later by the front itself. The passage of the cold front on Friday will be followed by strong/gusty north wind, falling temperatures, and cloudy skies.

Prev Discussion. /issued 313 PM EST Thu Feb 20 2020/

Short Term .

Tonight through Friday Night .

Weak, pesky showers continue to plague South Florida this afternoon. Flow has notably become more southerly through the morning, which will keep a warm, tropical airmass in place through the rest of the day. Coverage should begin to refocus over the eastern half of the peninsula this evening as low-level flow continues veering southwesterly. Overnight, temperatures will once again be balmy in the 60s across the area to near 70 along the east coast.

The winds tonight will be light from the southwest to west direction ahead of the cold front. This will allow for some low level moisture to work into South Florida tonight from the Gulf of Mexico. A few of the short range models are showing fog formation over the interior/west coast metro areas late tonight. However, at this time it looks like more low ceiling conditions than fog formation over the region. So will not had fog at this time to the forecast for tonight, but will continue to monitor the latest short range models on the fog development.

Tomorrow, a cold front is progged to push through the area. As the boundary marches southward through late afternoon, coverage of showers should increase to more scattered, especially along the Atlantic coast of South Florida. While convection should remain shallow, height falls in the mid to upper levels as a result of weakening in ridging aloft, an isolated clap of thunder cannot be ruled out.

Behind the boundary, winds will further veer out of north then northwest through the day. As the boundary clears, the pressure gradient should rapidly tighten from north to south across the region, leading to wind gusts of 20 to 30 mph along the coastal interfaces of South Florida. Additionally, this will result in hazardous marine conditions for the Atlantic (see Marine section below). Considerable cloudiness tomorrow will work in concert with the cool/dry air advection behind the front to keep temperatures more seasonable on Friday. Daytime maxima will only climb into the low to mid 70s and dip into upper 40 to mid 50s across the interior and low 60s along the east coast metro.

Long Term . High pressure will build into the Southeastern United States for this weekend behind the passage of the cold front late this week. This will keep the the tight pressure gradient ongoing over South Florida this weekend leading to breezy to windy northeast winds. There could also be some fast moving showers working into the east coast metro areas from the Atlantic waters especially on Saturday.

The high will weaken some while moving east into the Western Atlantic waters early next week allowing for the pressure gradient to relax over South Florida. This in turn will allow for the winds to become more southeast over the region bringing in some low level moisture to the area leading to a few showers.

Another cold front is forecast by the long range models to move southward and through South Florida middle of next week bringing scattered showers. There could also be a thunderstorm or two over the east coast metro areas in the afternoon hours on Wednesday, but at this time the coverage will be few and far between to mention it in the forecast at this time.

Dry and cooler weather is then forecast to work into South Florida late next week behind the passage of the cold front.

Marine . A cold front is forecast to push across the local waters Friday. Behind the frontal passage, winds will increase to 20 to 25 knots across all South Florida waters with gusts up to 40 knots over the Atlantic. Therefore, a Gale Warning has been hoisted for the Atlantic waters beginning at 7AM, along with Small Craft Advisories for the Gulf and Lake Okeechobee. The only exception is the Biscayne Bay, where the Small Craft Advisory begins at 1 PM.

Seas will also be building through Friday and get up to with 12 to 14 feet over the Atlantic waters Friday night and Saturday before slowly decreasing late this weekend into early next week. The Gulf seas will also quickly build to 5 to 7 feet Friday night decreasing slowly through the weekend. Therefore, it looks like hazards marine conditions will continue over the Atlantic and Gulf waters this weekend.

Aviation (18z TAFs) . Mostly VFR conditions are expected to continue with brief bouts of MVFR possible with vicinity and passing SHRA. Southerly flow will gradually veer out of the northwest through the TAF period as a cold front crosses the area. Lowering vis and cigs possible late morning as the front approaches with SHRA increasing by the afternoon.

Beach Forecast . Increasing swell and building northeasterly winds will create a high risk of rip currents for much of the weekend along with the potential for high surf and beach erosion along the Atlantic beaches. These hazardous beach conditions could linger into early next week as well.

Another concern is the potential for coastal flooding with high tide due to the new moon this weekend. The northeasterly to easterly wind, persistent swell, and high seas will contribute to the potential for higher-than-normal tides which could create minor coastal impacts for at least this weekend. Will continue to monitor the latest forecast models to see if a coastal flood advisory will be needed for some or all of the coastal areas this weekend.

Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs. West Palm Beach 66 72 57 72 / 20 40 20 30 Fort Lauderdale 69 76 59 73 / 20 20 20 30 Miami 69 77 59 74 / 10 20 10 30 Naples 65 74 50 73 / 20 20 0 0

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. AM . Small Craft Advisory from 7 AM Friday to 7 AM EST Saturday for AMZ610.

Gale Warning from 7 AM Friday to 7 AM EST Saturday for AMZ650- 651-670-671.

Small Craft Advisory from 1 PM Friday to 7 AM EST Saturday for AMZ630.

GM . Small Craft Advisory from 7 AM Friday to 7 AM EST Saturday for GMZ656-657-676.

Update . 59/Molleda Aviation . 59/Molleda


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PEGF1 25 mi54 min S 9.9 G 14 78°F 1016.4 hPa
VAKF1 - 8723214 - Virginia Key, FL 31 mi48 min S 7 G 9.9 78°F 80°F1017.1 hPa
FWYF1 - Fowey Rocks, FL 34 mi36 min S 11 G 12 78°F 77°F1017.4 hPa (+0.8)
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 49 mi48 min SSW 8.9 G 14 78°F 79°F1015.7 hPa

Wind History for Virginia Key, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Fort Lauderdale/Hollywood International Airport, FL27 mi43 minSSW 810.00 miMostly Cloudy76°F71°F85%1016.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KFLL

Wind History from FLL (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE10SE9SE8SE3SE5SE6SE7SE4SE6SE5E5SE4SE8SE7SE7SE12
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2 days agoSE65SE8E8SE7E9E8SE10SE11SE11SE13E11SE15SE12SE14SE14SE14E13SE12SE14E12SE11SE11SE10

Tide / Current Tables for Golden Beach, ICWW, Florida
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Golden Beach
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:44 AM EST     -0.21 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:57 AM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 06:52 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:47 AM EST     1.98 feet High Tide
Thu -- 02:20 PM EST     0.13 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 03:46 PM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 06:16 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 07:52 PM EST     1.84 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.1-0.1-0.200.511.51.921.81.51.10.70.30.10.20.50.91.41.71.81.71.40.9

Tide / Current Tables for Whiskey Creek, south entrance, ICWW, Florida
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.